Austin Peay
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#277
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#260
Pace65.3#258
Improvement+0.5#173

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#256
First Shot-3.2#270
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#186
Layup/Dunks-1.0#217
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#247
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#259
Freethrows+1.3#98
Improvement+6.8#4

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#273
First Shot-2.7#260
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#244
Layups/Dunks-6.5#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#23
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#18
Freethrows-3.3#352
Improvement-6.2#361
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 32 - 63 - 12
Quad 49 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 72   @ Butler W 68-66 7%     1 - 0 +12.5 +1.6 +11.0
  Nov 11, 2024 117   Chattanooga W 67-61 26%     2 - 0 +6.2 -4.5 +11.2
  Nov 17, 2024 6   @ Tennessee L 68-103 1%     2 - 1 -12.0 +6.8 -18.0
  Nov 20, 2024 329   @ Morehead St. L 58-63 55%     2 - 2 -12.8 -9.7 -3.8
  Nov 26, 2024 252   Georgia St. W 62-50 44%     3 - 2 +7.1 -8.0 +16.6
  Nov 27, 2024 216   Texas Arlington L 58-68 37%     3 - 3 -13.0 -11.1 -3.0
  Nov 30, 2024 153   @ East Tennessee St. L 57-79 18%     3 - 4 -18.9 -9.9 -10.3
  Dec 08, 2024 123   @ Samford L 47-72 14%     3 - 5 -19.9 -21.6 -0.4
  Dec 14, 2024 195   Southern Illinois L 60-65 43%     3 - 6 -9.6 -9.6 -0.5
  Dec 18, 2024 186   @ Ohio L 58-78 23%     3 - 7 -18.6 -14.1 -4.8
  Dec 21, 2024 48   @ Vanderbilt L 55-85 4%     3 - 8 -16.1 -15.1 +0.1
  Jan 02, 2025 276   @ North Florida W 97-89 39%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +4.3 +12.8 -8.9
  Jan 04, 2025 199   @ Jacksonville L 44-68 24%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -23.2 -24.5 +0.8
  Jan 09, 2025 348   West Georgia L 68-72 80%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -19.5 -13.4 -6.0
  Jan 11, 2025 207   Queens L 60-67 45%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -12.3 -13.3 +0.6
  Jan 16, 2025 198   Eastern Kentucky W 97-90 OT 43%     5 - 11 2 - 3 +2.3 +6.2 -4.9
  Jan 18, 2025 97   @ Lipscomb L 60-88 10%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -20.2 -6.7 -15.1
  Jan 23, 2025 344   @ Central Arkansas W 73-71 61%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -7.5 -2.5 -4.9
  Jan 25, 2025 121   @ North Alabama L 84-88 OT 14%     6 - 13 3 - 5 +1.1 +2.7 -1.2
  Jan 30, 2025 340   Bellarmine W 86-77 OT 78%     7 - 13 4 - 5 -5.8 -4.0 -2.4
  Feb 01, 2025 198   @ Eastern Kentucky L 82-88 24%     7 - 14 4 - 6 -5.2 +15.3 -21.0
  Feb 05, 2025 121   North Alabama L 64-74 28%     7 - 15 4 - 7 -10.4 -9.6 -1.0
  Feb 08, 2025 344   Central Arkansas W 90-67 79%     8 - 15 5 - 7 +8.0 +13.8 -4.8
  Feb 13, 2025 187   Florida Gulf Coast W 73-60 41%     9 - 15 6 - 7 +8.8 +11.7 -0.3
  Feb 15, 2025 350   Stetson W 76-63 81%     10 - 15 7 - 7 -2.8 +9.6 -9.6
  Feb 18, 2025 340   @ Bellarmine L 68-94 61%     10 - 16 7 - 8 -35.3 -13.5 -21.7
  Feb 20, 2025 207   @ Queens W 92-78 26%     11 - 16 8 - 8 +14.2 +13.6 -0.1
  Feb 24, 2025 97   Lipscomb L 78-95 20%     11 - 17 8 - 9 -14.7 +20.5 -38.5
  Feb 26, 2025 348   @ West Georgia L 70-73 63%     11 - 18 8 - 10 -13.0 -4.1 -9.0
  Mar 02, 2025 276   North Florida W 90-69 50%     12 - 18 +14.6 +7.6 +6.5
  Mar 03, 2025 121   @ North Alabama L 64-90 14%     12 - 19 -20.9 -7.3 -13.9
Projected Record 12 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%