Air Force
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#332
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#307
Pace62.5#348
Improvement-0.4#217

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#338
First Shot-3.8#285
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#317
Layup/Dunks-0.2#184
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#290
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#247
Freethrows+0.4#157
Improvement+1.0#96

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#302
First Shot-2.9#270
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#251
Layups/Dunks-1.3#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#157
Freethrows+0.2#173
Improvement-1.4#305
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 85.9% 81.1% 86.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Away) - 15.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 80 - 11
Quad 31 - 112 - 21
Quad 44 - 55 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 88 @Belmont L 63-79 5%     0 - 1 -7.2 -1.8 -6.2
  Sat, Nov 8 182 Austin Peay L 54-74 30%     0 - 2 -24.6 -20.3 -3.9
  Tue, Nov 11 230 LIU Brooklyn L 72-76 38%     0 - 3 -11.0 -3.0 -8.1
  Sat, Nov 15 127 Miami (OH) L 61-76 18%     0 - 4 -15.4 -10.0 -6.1
  Wed, Nov 19 268 Alabama St. W 66-64 46%     1 - 4 -7.0 -8.7 +1.9
  Fri, Nov 21 206 SIU Edwardsville W 77-63 34%     2 - 4 +8.2 +5.7 +2.8
  Sun, Nov 23 354 IU Indianapolis W 98-85 72%     3 - 4 -3.1 +4.2 -8.8
  Wed, Nov 26 151 Northern Colorado L 53-71 24%     3 - 5 -20.7 -13.5 -9.8
  Sat, Nov 29 276 South Dakota L 63-80 35%     3 - 6 -23.2 -12.8 -10.8
  Wed, Dec 3 139 Pacific L 65-80 21%     3 - 7 -16.5 +1.5 -20.2
  Sun, Dec 7 198 @Navy L 61-72 16%    
  Wed, Dec 17 52 @San Diego St. L 58-81 1%    
  Tue, Dec 30 106 Wyoming L 63-74 14%    
  Sat, Jan 3 131 @UNLV L 67-82 8%    
  Tue, Jan 6 51 Utah St. L 60-78 5%    
  Sat, Jan 10 103 New Mexico L 66-78 14%    
  Tue, Jan 13 185 @San Jose St. L 61-72 15%    
  Sat, Jan 17 105 Nevada L 62-73 15%    
  Tue, Jan 20 74 @Colorado St. L 57-78 3%    
  Sat, Jan 24 59 @Boise St. L 54-76 2%    
  Sat, Jan 31 179 Fresno St. L 67-73 29%    
  Tue, Feb 3 94 @Grand Canyon L 58-76 5%    
  Sat, Feb 7 52 San Diego St. L 61-78 6%    
  Tue, Feb 10 74 Colorado St. L 60-75 9%    
  Sat, Feb 14 179 @Fresno St. L 64-76 14%    
  Tue, Feb 17 103 @New Mexico L 63-81 6%    
  Sat, Feb 21 131 UNLV L 70-79 21%    
  Tue, Feb 24 185 San Jose St. L 64-69 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 106 @Wyoming L 60-77 6%    
  Tue, Mar 3 94 Grand Canyon L 61-73 13%    
  Sat, Mar 7 105 @Nevada L 59-76 6%    
Projected Record 5 - 26 2 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.3 2.1 5.2 5.3 2.7 0.7 0.1 16.3 11th
12th 13.5 23.6 22.3 11.8 4.5 0.8 0.1 76.7 12th
Total 13.5 23.9 24.4 17.2 11.1 5.7 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.2% 0.2
8-12 0.4% 0.4
7-13 1.1% 1.1
6-14 2.6% 2.6
5-15 5.7% 5.7
4-16 11.1% 11.1
3-17 17.2% 17.2
2-18 24.4% 24.4
1-19 23.9% 23.9
0-20 13.5% 13.5
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 11.6%