Grand Canyon
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +9.2 62
Results Rating +7.8 77
Consistency 0.14 138
Pace 69.4 149
Improvement +2.5 93

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 136 C B- C B C+
Defense A- 21 A- B C+ C- B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 86 B- 61% 95 +3.4 67
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 193 D 34% 303 -1.1 242
Three Pointers 38% 240 C- 33% 241 -2.2 257
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 136 C -0.3 174
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 165
Second Chance C+ 32.6% 105 C+ 1.08 106 B- 0.35 86
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.0% 132
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 291
Turnovers C 17.1% 208
Freethrows B- 0.33 111 B 76% 44 B 0.25 70
Total Offense C+ +1.2 136

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 44% 257 C+ 9.7% 111
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 137 C+ 4.4% 140
Three Pointers C 84% 200 C+ 0.8% 156
Total C- 53% 242 C+ 5.2% 145


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 287 A- 50% 19 -5.0 41
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 36 C 39% 201 +2.2 336
Three Pointers 39% 238 A- 30% 22 -3.6 39
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.0 38 A- -5.3 24
1st FG Attempt A- 0.90 24
Second Chance A- 24.6% 21 C- 1.07 245 B 0.26 51
Turnovers from Steals C 9.8% 165
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 106
Turnovers C+ 17.6% 129
Freethrows C- 0.32 236 C+ 72% 136 C- 0.23 226
Total Defense A- +8.0 21

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 106 B 15.4% 41
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 188 D+ 3.2% 273
Three Pointers B- 80% 85 C- 0.6% 222
Total B- 50% 72 C+ 6.5% 112

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 236 16.8 89
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 133 0.14 87
Consistency 0.13 219 0.13 205
Improvement +1.2 130 +1.3 112

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Longshot
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 72 62 53
Results Rating Rank 88 76 55
Conference Record 12 - 8 13 - 7 13 - 7
Conference Finish 4 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 11
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12% 13% 9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1% 2% 0%
Average Seed 11.0 11.0 11.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 1% 0%
First Round12% 12% 9%
Second Round3% 3% 2%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Fresno St. (Home) - 83.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 33 - 5
Quad 24 - 47 - 9
Quad 34 - 211 - 11
Quad 410 - 121 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 257 Purdue Fort Wayne W 90 - 71 94% +15  98% 1 - 0 B +11 B- +4 A- B C- B +5 B+ C- B
 Fri, Nov 7 217 Youngstown St. L 81 - 90 92% -3  29% 1 - 1 F+ -15 C +1 D- A+ C F -16 D F F
 Mon, Nov 10 341 Northern Illinois W 88 - 59 98% +17  95% 2 - 1 B+ +14 B- +5 C+ A+ F A- +8 A- F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 24 @Saint Louis L 64 - 78 18% -11  0% 2 - 2 C+ +5 D- -6 F+ D- C A+ +12 A- B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 278 Northwestern St. W 85 - 72 95% +8  97% 3 - 2 C+ +4 B +7 B- B- C- D+ -4 F A+ D
 Tue, Nov 25 104 Utah W 68 - 58 68% +6  95% 4 - 2 B+ +14 D -4 F D+ A+ A+ +19 A+ D A
 Wed, Nov 26 29 Iowa L 46 - 59 28% -6  21% 4 - 3 C+ +2 F -16 C F F A+ +16 A+ C A
 Tue, Dec 2 320 Stetson W 67 - 45 97% +4  63% 5 - 3 B +9 F -13 F C F A+ +23 A+ B+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 64 Oklahoma St. L 78 - 84 51% -2  23% 5 - 4 C+ +3 B- +5 D+ A- A C- -2 F+ A- B
 Sat, Dec 13 228 Coastal Carolina W 82 - 61 92% +19  99% 6 - 4 B+ +14 B+ +9 D A+ A B+ +6 B A- F
 Sat, Dec 20 101 @Wyoming W 82 - 70 56% +14  97% 7 - 4 1 - 0 A +20 B +6 A+ D F A+ +13 A+ D+ C
 Mon, Dec 22 327 IU Indianapolis W 91 - 78 97% +8  95% 8 - 4 C -1 C +1 C A- D+ C- -2 C F A-
 Sat, Jan 3 92 Colorado St. L 60 - 70 72% -10  1% 8 - 5 1 - 1 D+ -7 F -10 F B- C- B- +2 A- B+ B+
 Wed, Jan 7 60 @Boise St. W 75 - 58 38% +7  83% 9 - 5 2 - 1 A+ +29 B +7 A- D+ D A+ +23 A+ A+ A
 Sat, Jan 10 224 San Jose St. W 76 - 58 92% +14  97% 10 - 5 3 - 1 B +11 D -6 C+ C+ D- A+ +17 B+ A A
 Tue, Jan 13 50 @New Mexico L 64 - 87 32% -9  0% 10 - 6 3 - 2 D -9 D- -7 F+ F+ A+ C -1 F A- C
 Sat, Jan 17 41 Utah St. W 84 - 74 47% +5  95% 11 - 6 4 - 2 A +20 A+ +17 A+ B A B +4 A+ D- F+
 Wed, Jan 21 48 San Diego St. W 70 - 69 53% +2  64% 12 - 6 5 - 2 B +9 C +0 B- F+ D- A +9 A+ B+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 129 @Fresno St. W 68 - 57 66% +5  94% 13 - 6 6 - 2 A- +16 C +1 F A+ B A+ +16 A+ A+ C+
 Tue, Jan 27 81 @Nevada L 60 - 66 OT 46% +2  55% 13 - 7 6 - 3 C+ +4 F -13 F D+ D- A+ +17 A+ B+ D+
 Fri, Jan 30 60 Boise St. W 86 - 69 61% +6  76% 14 - 7 7 - 3 A+ +23 A+ +17 A+ C+ B A- +7 A+ C- C+
 Tue, Feb 3 344 Air Force W 81 - 57 98% +21  99% 15 - 7 8 - 3 B +8 C +1 B+ B C A- +8 A F A
 Sat, Feb 7 102 @UNLV L 78 - 80 57% -7  11% 15 - 8 8 - 4 B- +5 C+ +2 D D B B- +3 A F+ C+
 Wed, Feb 11 50 New Mexico L 64 - 70 54% -8  11% 15 - 9 8 - 5 C+ +2 D -6 F+ A- B- A- +8 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 14 224 @San Jose St. W 94 - 79 82% +6  72% 16 - 9 9 - 5 B+ +14 A+ +23 A- A+ D- D- -7 D B- F+
 Tue, Feb 17 48 @San Diego St. W 73 - 63 31% +4  75% 17 - 9 10 - 5 A+ +24 B +6 D+ A+ B+ A+ +18 A+ D- B-
 Sat, Feb 21 101 Wyoming L 65 - 70 76% -2  13% 17 - 10 10 - 6 C- -3 D- -8 F+ A F B +5 C+ A+ D+
 Wed, Feb 25 102 UNLV W 80 - 67 77% +12  98% 18 - 10 11 - 6 B+ +14 C+ +4 A+ D C- A +11 A A F
 Sat, Feb 28 41 @Utah St. L 69 - 74 26% -7  4% 18 - 11 11 - 7 B +11 B +6 B- B C- B +4 D- A+ F
 Tue, Mar 3 344 @Air Force W 86 - 60 95% +19  100% 19 - 11 12 - 7 A- +16 B+ +9 A+ F C A- +7 C+ A+ D
 Sat, Mar 7 129 Fresno St. W 76 - 66 84%
Totals 20 - 11 13 - 7 +9 C+ +1 A- C C+ A- +8 C- B B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ B- D C- C 42% 37% 38% C+ C C+ C+ B- C B- B B A- A- C A- A- 35% 26% 39% B+ A- A- C- B C+ C- C+ C-
1.10 61% 34% 33% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.1 .35 17% .33 76% .25 0.97 50% 39% 30% -5 -1 0.90 25% 1.1 .26 18% .32 72% .23
Nov
3		 Purdue Fort Wayne B- D A+ A+ B+ 48% 6% 46% A- A- F A+ B C- B+ C B+ B D+ D A+ B 30% 23% 47% A B+ A- F C- B A F B
1.20 54% 67% 48% +9 +3 1.26 25% 1.7 .43 20% .33 75% .25 0.95 61% 43% 25% -4 -1 0.92 16% 1.5 .24 17% .16 90% .14
Nov
7		 Youngstown St. C A+ F F F+ 53% 28% 19% C D- A+ B+ A+ C B F+ C F B- D+ F+ D+ 42% 10% 48% D D B- F F F F F F
1.12 79% 20% 0% -4 0 0.94 44% 1.1 .50 18% .37 68% .25 1.24 55% 40% 39% +3 +2 1.10 26% 1.6 .42 12% .47 80% .38
Nov
10		 Northern Illinois B- C+ F A+ C+ 43% 16% 41% C C+ A+ A+ A+ F C+ A+ A A- A+ A+ F A- 36% 25% 39% A A- A F F A+ F+ F F
1.22 62% 13% 45% +4 +1 1.12 54% 1.4 .73 21% .33 95% .32 0.82 31% 18% 41% -11 -1 0.80 23% 1.6 .35 29% .41 81% .33
Nov
15		 Saint Louis D- D+ F F F 36% 20% 44% C+ F+ B F D- C B A+ A A+ C+ A+ D A- 46% 6% 48% C A- B A- B+ A+ C F D+
0.86 50% 9% 25% -15 0 0.73 30% 0.5 .14 16% .35 86% .30 1.04 58% 0% 40% +2 +2 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 24% .30 82% .25
Nov
21		 Northwestern St. B A B- C- B- 40% 17% 43% C+ B- A+ F B- C- A+ B+ A+ D+ F F B F 22% 38% 40% A+ F A+ B+ A+ D F A D-
1.23 71% 43% 33% +5 +1 1.14 46% 0.9 .42 17% .68 77% .53 1.04 73% 53% 30% +6 -3 1.08 9% 1.0 .09 15% .41 67% .27
Nov
25		 Utah D A+ F F F 44% 36% 20% F F D C+ D+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A A+ B+ A+ 50% 19% 31% D+ A+ A- F D A D+ A+ B-
1.01 73% 17% 0% -11 -2 0.76 24% 1.0 .24 9% .52 69% .36 0.86 48% 25% 31% -9 +1 0.86 26% 1.4 .35 21% .34 61% .21
Nov
26		 Iowa F D+ D- B- C 46% 18% 36% B C F F F F F B+ F+ A+ A+ F A A+ 43% 13% 45% D+ A+ C C+ C A F A F+
0.76 56% 29% 36% -2 +1 1.00 15% 0.0 .00 31% .22 78% .17 0.98 41% 80% 28% -6 +1 0.93 33% 1.0 .33 20% .45 68% .31
Dec
2		 Stetson F A+ B F F 28% 24% 48% D- F C C+ C F A+ D A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% F+ A+ B- A+ B+ A+ A A+ A+
1.01 77% 45% 18% -4 -1 0.91 32% 1.2 .38 21% .44 70% .31 0.68 50% 0% 26% -15 +1 0.74 24% 0.8 .18 26% .20 40% .08
Dec
6		 Oklahoma St. B- C+ C F D+ 40% 14% 46% C+ D+ A- B A- A D- F F C- F+ F C+ F 51% 24% 24% A- F+ A+ C A- B F B- F
1.11 57% 38% 27% -6 +1 0.93 35% 1.2 .43 13% .21 62% .13 1.20 68% 58% 33% +10 0 1.22 23% 1.0 .23 17% .48 71% .34
Dec
13		 Coastal Carolina B+ D- F C+ D 33% 26% 40% B- D A+ C- A+ A B- A+ A- B+ C+ B+ B B 33% 33% 34% C+ B B A+ A- F A+ A+ A+
1.21 47% 27% 35% -6 -1 0.88 47% 1.0 .47 7% .32 85% .27 0.90 53% 32% 30% -6 -2 0.86 23% 0.7 .16 6% .13 50% .06
Dec
20		 Wyoming B A+ A+ A A+ 52% 5% 43% A A+ F+ C+ D F A+ B- A+ A+ C+ D- A+ A+ 38% 15% 47% B A+ A F D+ C F C- F
1.12 73% 50% 39% +11 +3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 22% .61 71% .44 0.95 55% 50% 12% -15 +1 0.74 28% 1.4 .38 16% .49 77% .37
Dec
22		 IU Indianapolis C D+ A+ A+ C 54% 17% 29% C C B+ B- A- D+ A+ A+ A+ C- F F+ A- D 13% 35% 52% A+ C D F F A- F+ A+ D+
1.21 58% 50% 43% +6 +2 1.17 43% 1.3 .54 20% .50 87% .43 1.04 86% 47% 29% +3 -4 1.00 30% 1.7 .52 20% .25 60% .15
Jan
3		 Colorado St. F F+ C F F 33% 20% 47% C+ F C A- B- C- D F D- B- C- A+ C+ A 36% 11% 52% D+ A- F A+ B+ B+ F A+ F
0.96 50% 40% 22% -11 0 0.80 28% 1.3 .36 16% .25 62% .15 1.12 63% 20% 35% 0 +1 1.05 41% 0.7 .28 21% .50 68% .34
Jan
7		 Boise St. B B- A+ D+ B 52% 13% 35% A+ A- A F D+ D D B+ D+ A+ B B+ A+ A+ 30% 30% 40% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A F C- F
1.11 61% 71% 32% +4 +2 1.15 32% 0.6 .19 18% .22 75% .16 0.86 54% 31% 24% -10 -2 0.79 20% 0.7 .14 21% .46 80% .37
Jan
10		 San Jose St. D A+ F D- C 35% 8% 56% B- C+ C- B- C+ D- B- A B+ A+ B- A C+ B+ 29% 31% 40% C+ B+ A+ B- A A F A+ D
1.09 82% 25% 30% +4 +1 1.13 33% 1.2 .41 20% .32 83% .27 0.83 54% 29% 33% -5 -2 0.89 23% 1.0 .23 20% .39 64% .25
Jan
13		 New Mexico D- C- F F F+ 28% 31% 41% D- F+ D- F F+ A+ D A+ C C B- F F F 45% 24% 31% A- F A C A- C F C- F
0.87 56% 28% 25% -9 -2 0.79 20% 0.8 .15 12% .23 87% .20 1.19 55% 58% 53% +12 0 1.27 22% 1.0 .22 15% .45 75% .34
Jan
17		 Utah St. A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 18% 39% B A+ A- C B A A+ D+ A+ B A+ F A+ A+ 35% 25% 40% A+ A+ F B+ D- F+ F D+ F
1.28 63% 50% 41% +9 +1 1.20 38% 1.0 .38 17% .60 70% .42 1.12 33% 62% 24% -9 -1 0.83 47% 1.0 .49 11% .39 74% .29
Jan
21		 San Diego St. C F F A+ C+ 40% 18% 42% B B- D+ F F+ D- A+ A- A+ A A- F+ A+ A+ 35% 37% 28% A- A+ B- B+ B+ D C+ F D+
0.99 39% 13% 47% -4 0 0.96 26% 0.7 .17 24% .52 79% .41 0.98 53% 45% 13% -8 -2 0.81 29% 1.0 .29 14% .31 84% .26
Jan
24		 Fresno St. C C+ D F F 36% 20% 44% C F A+ A- A+ B A+ B A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ 29% 27% 44% A A+ A- A+ A+ C+ F C- F
1.03 63% 33% 10% -15 0 0.71 41% 1.2 .51 17% .45 76% .34 0.86 43% 38% 19% -14 -1 0.71 23% 0.4 .10 18% .48 77% .37
Jan
27		 Nevada F F A+ F F 34% 24% 42% D+ F D B D+ D- F+ D F+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 38% 34% 29% B+ A+ A C- B+ D+ D+ A+ B-
0.83 41% 58% 19% -10 -1 0.80 22% 1.3 .27 21% .26 67% .17 0.91 38% 16% 38% -14 -2 0.71 27% 1.1 .29 12% .41 65% .27
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Boise St. A+ A F A+ A+ 48% 22% 30% A- A+ F A+ C+ B A+ A+ A+ A- A- A+ A- A+ 49% 7% 44% F A+ B+ F C- C+ F B- F
1.30 68% 30% 64% +17 +1 1.37 10% 2.5 .25 14% .40 83% .33 1.04 50% 0% 30% -9 +3 0.89 29% 1.3 .38 17% .45 76% .34
Feb
3		 Air Force C A B- C B 48% 13% 38% A B+ B C+ B C B+ F D- A- A+ F A A 40% 19% 40% B- A C+ F F A A- F D+
1.18 72% 43% 35% +8 +2 1.21 34% 1.1 .38 15% .36 48% .17 0.83 37% 56% 26% -10 0 0.83 22% 1.6 .34 26% .24 92% .22
Feb
7		 UNLV C+ F+ D- C+ D 41% 22% 37% C D C F D B A+ B- A+ B- A- C B- A- 27% 37% 35% A+ A D+ F+ F+ C+ B F F+
1.09 47% 30% 35% -5 0 0.91 30% 0.8 .25 15% .58 74% .43 1.11 50% 42% 33% -1 -3 0.94 35% 1.1 .38 17% .32 95% .30
Feb
11		 New Mexico D D+ B F F 33% 22% 45% C+ F+ B A A- B- B A- B+ A- A+ D+ F D- 35% 30% 35% A+ C- A+ A- A+ A+ C- C+ C-
0.93 53% 45% 17% -11 0 0.78 31% 1.2 .36 18% .32 78% .25 1.02 44% 43% 56% +8 -2 1.15 20% 0.8 .17 20% .33 72% .24
Feb
14		 San Jose St. A+ A+ A+ F A 38% 26% 36% D- A- A+ A+ A+ D- A- A A+ D- C- F D+ F+ 26% 34% 40% B D A+ F B- F+ F F F
1.45 83% 67% 24% +11 -1 1.23 54% 1.6 .88 20% .37 84% .31 1.22 58% 50% 37% +6 -3 1.09 21% 1.5 .31 11% .40 83% .33
Feb
17		 San Diego St. B C- F+ D- D+ 40% 31% 29% D+ D+ C- A+ A+ B+ A B+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 38% 28% A- A+ C+ F D- B- C+ F D
1.02 53% 27% 29% -8 -1 0.83 27% 1.8 .48 18% .39 78% .31 0.88 44% 25% 20% -16 -3 0.66 31% 1.4 .44 18% .31 89% .27
Feb
21		 Wyoming D- F F B- F 47% 17% 36% C+ F+ C+ A+ A F C- B+ C+ B B- F B+ C+ 34% 12% 54% B- C+ B A+ A+ D+ C- B- C
0.96 41% 25% 35% -10 +1 0.85 28% 1.4 .39 22% .36 74% .27 1.04 53% 83% 30% 0 +1 1.04 32% 0.5 .16 15% .33 74% .24
Feb
25		 UNLV C+ B+ D+ A+ A+ 48% 21% 31% C+ A+ D+ D D C- A+ B- A+ A A+ C+ F A+ 52% 19% 29% D A A+ D A F F A+ B-
1.15 65% 33% 54% +11 +1 1.26 26% 1.0 .26 19% .55 74% .41 0.96 37% 40% 47% -5 +1 0.94 17% 1.0 .17 12% .46 50% .23
Feb
28		 Utah St. B A F D- C+ 36% 10% 54% A- B- C A B C- D- A+ C+ B F A+ F F 39% 18% 43% A- D- A+ A+ A+ F C- A+ B
1.08 67% 20% 30% -2 +1 1.00 30% 1.2 .37 22% .26 92% .24 1.16 74% 0% 52% +11 0 1.24 19% 0.7 .13 9% .33 58% .19
Mar
3		 Air Force B+ A+ B- A+ A+ 33% 27% 39% D+ A+ F+ F F C B+ C B A- D+ F A+ C- 30% 34% 36% A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D F D- F
1.25 82% 43% 45% +16 -1 1.31 21% 0.7 .14 15% .36 71% .26 0.87 62% 47% 25% -1 -2 0.95 7% 0.0 .00 19% .47 69% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2.3 2.3 2nd
3rd 23.4 23.4 3rd
4th 16.3 58.0 74.3 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 16.3 83.7 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 83.7% 12.9% 11.5% 1.4% 11.0 0.1 1.2 8.5 1.0 72.9 1.5%
12-8 16.3% 8.7% 8.7% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 1.1 0.3 14.9 0.1%
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 12.2% 11.0% 1.2% 11.0 87.8 1.3%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.6% 100.0% 10.9 1.1 11.9 78.4 8.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 12.3% 4.2% 11.1 0.1 3.5 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 27.6% 1.7% 11.1 0.0 1.5 0.2
Lose Out 1.0%