Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#330
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#273
Pace70.7#154
Improvement-3.5#354

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#268
First Shot-3.7#283
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#175
Layup/Dunks-2.2#255
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#171
Freethrows-1.1#240
Improvement-2.7#356

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#348
First Shot-2.6#260
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#341
Layups/Dunks-1.8#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#228
Freethrows+0.1#176
Improvement-0.8#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 16.0 15.6
.500 or above 1.4% 5.8% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 8.2% 15.4% 7.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 36.2% 26.1% 36.9%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bradley (Away) - 6.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 82 - 14
Quad 46 - 67 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 357 Louisiana Monroe W 102-82 76%     1 - 0 +2.9 +14.8 -13.2
  Fri, Nov 7 36 @Wisconsin L 72-97 2%     1 - 1 -9.0 +2.8 -10.6
  Mon, Nov 10 94 @Grand Canyon L 59-88 6%     1 - 2 -20.9 -8.7 -11.4
  Tue, Nov 18 87 @Northern Iowa L 57-70 5%     1 - 3 -4.1 -1.3 -4.4
  Fri, Nov 21 259 @Loyola Chicago W 76-59 25%     2 - 3 +14.5 +11.4 +5.4
  Tue, Nov 25 182 @Austin Peay L 59-77 15%     2 - 4 -16.6 -6.3 -11.7
  Tue, Dec 2 246 Lindenwood L 64-99 42%     2 - 5 -42.7 -14.3 -26.4
  Sat, Dec 6 124 @Bradley L 66-82 7%    
  Sat, Dec 13 223 @Elon L 77-86 20%    
  Sat, Dec 20 309 Central Michigan W 75-74 56%    
  Tue, Dec 30 215 Buffalo L 75-78 38%    
  Sat, Jan 3 122 @Kent St. L 74-90 7%    
  Tue, Jan 6 173 Toledo L 76-82 30%    
  Tue, Jan 13 203 @Eastern Michigan L 68-78 18%    
  Sat, Jan 17 175 Massachusetts L 75-80 31%    
  Tue, Jan 20 194 @Ohio L 74-84 18%    
  Sat, Jan 24 316 @Ball St. L 70-74 35%    
  Tue, Jan 27 267 Western Michigan L 76-77 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 127 @Miami (OH) L 71-86 8%    
  Wed, Feb 11 119 Bowling Green L 70-80 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 309 @Central Michigan L 72-77 34%    
  Tue, Feb 17 215 @Buffalo L 72-81 20%    
  Sat, Feb 21 194 Ohio L 77-81 35%    
  Tue, Feb 24 173 @Toledo L 73-85 16%    
  Sat, Feb 28 316 Ball St. W 73-71 56%    
  Tue, Mar 3 122 Kent St. L 77-87 20%    
  Fri, Mar 6 54 @Akron L 73-95 3%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.3 0.1 4.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.9 3.9 0.7 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.5 4.3 5.3 1.5 0.1 11.7 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 4.9 7.2 2.7 0.2 16.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.6 5.9 7.9 3.4 0.4 0.0 19.4 12th
13th 1.3 5.1 7.9 7.1 2.8 0.4 0.0 24.6 13th
Total 1.3 5.2 9.6 14.1 16.2 15.9 13.2 9.9 6.5 4.2 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 13.3% 0.0    0.0
13-5 6.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.2% 0.2
12-6 0.4% 3.3% 3.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 1.1
10-8 2.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.2
9-9 4.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 4.2
8-10 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.5
7-11 9.9% 9.9
6-12 13.2% 13.2
5-13 15.9% 15.9
4-14 16.2% 16.2
3-15 14.1% 14.1
2-16 9.6% 9.6
1-17 5.2% 5.2
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%