Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#175
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#212
Pace77.9#27
Improvement+0.1#178

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#236
First Shot-7.6#355
After Offensive Rebound+5.2#6
Layup/Dunks+0.3#171
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#351
Freethrows-1.1#238
Improvement+1.0#103

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#129
First Shot+0.0#169
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#107
Layups/Dunks-5.7#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#138
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#13
Freethrows-2.0#294
Improvement-0.9#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 3.6% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 70.5% 74.4% 50.7%
.500 or above in Conference 64.2% 66.2% 54.4%
Conference Champion 2.4% 2.7% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 2.1% 4.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.4% 3.6% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 83.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 65 - 9
Quad 411 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 170 Marshall L 72-78 61%     0 - 1 -10.0 -12.6 +3.5
  Sat, Nov 8 324 Albany W 83-62 85%     1 - 1 +8.8 -0.5 +8.2
  Thu, Nov 13 321 Le Moyne W 94-80 85%     2 - 1 +1.8 +3.4 -2.8
  Sun, Nov 16 244 Central Connecticut St. W 84-77 73%     3 - 1 -0.6 +0.9 -2.1
  Fri, Nov 21 180 College of Charleston L 65-69 51%     3 - 2 -5.4 -7.6 +2.0
  Sat, Nov 22 264 Green Bay L 75-79 67%     3 - 3 -9.8 +0.6 -10.5
  Mon, Nov 24 163 Oregon St. W 73-65 48%     4 - 3 +7.4 +3.1 +4.7
  Wed, Dec 3 193 Harvard W 78-71 65%     5 - 3 +1.8 -0.4 +1.9
  Sat, Dec 6 314 Umass Lowell W 84-74 84%    
  Wed, Dec 10 132 Boston College L 70-71 50%    
  Sat, Dec 13 100 Florida St. L 79-85 27%    
  Sat, Dec 20 122 Kent St. L 83-84 46%    
  Tue, Dec 30 203 @Eastern Michigan L 72-74 44%    
  Sat, Jan 3 119 Bowling Green L 74-75 45%    
  Tue, Jan 6 194 @Ohio L 79-81 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 316 Ball St. W 77-67 82%    
  Tue, Jan 13 267 @Western Michigan W 78-76 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 330 @Northern Illinois W 80-75 69%    
  Tue, Jan 20 173 Toledo W 81-78 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 215 @Buffalo L 76-77 46%    
  Tue, Jan 27 127 @Miami (OH) L 76-83 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 203 Eastern Michigan W 75-71 65%    
  Tue, Feb 3 309 Central Michigan W 80-70 81%    
  Sat, Feb 14 54 @Akron L 78-92 10%    
  Tue, Feb 17 127 Miami (OH) L 79-80 47%    
  Sat, Feb 21 215 Buffalo W 79-74 68%    
  Tue, Feb 24 316 @Ball St. W 74-70 64%    
  Sat, Feb 28 119 @Bowling Green L 71-78 26%    
  Tue, Mar 3 194 Ohio W 82-78 64%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.3 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.9 2.7 0.7 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.7 2.7 0.4 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.2 3.0 6.5 2.8 0.4 12.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 6.0 3.4 0.4 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.4 4.1 0.6 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.7 4.2 0.8 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.3 2.3 3.5 1.2 0.1 7.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 2.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.0 0.1 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.2 4.2 6.8 9.6 11.8 14.3 14.4 12.6 9.8 6.7 3.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 73.3% 0.5    0.3 0.2
15-3 41.1% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.0
14-4 19.6% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 21.3% 21.3% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.7% 14.8% 14.8% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
14-4 3.9% 10.6% 10.6% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.5
13-5 6.7% 8.4% 8.4% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.2
12-6 9.8% 5.8% 5.8% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 9.2
11-7 12.6% 3.9% 3.9% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 12.1
10-8 14.4% 3.2% 3.2% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 14.0
9-9 14.3% 2.5% 2.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 14.0
8-10 11.8% 1.0% 1.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 11.7
7-11 9.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 9.6
6-12 6.8% 6.8
5-13 4.2% 4.2
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.2 96.6 0.0%