Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -2.1 193
Results Rating -3.2 221
Consistency 0.10 3
Pace 74.5 36
Improvement -3.5 310

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense C 163 C B D+ C C
Defense C- 237 C- C+ C F+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 113 C 59% 147 +1.8 110
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 68 C+ 40% 117 +1.3 107
Three Pointers 36% 286 C 34% 180 -2.5 266
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 210 C+ +0.7 143
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 148
Second Chance C+ 31.4% 149 B+ 1.18 27 B 0.37 66
Opponents' Steals D 10.7% 302
Other Turnovers C- 7.9% 259
Turnovers D+ 18.6% 297
Freethrows B- 0.33 107 D- 67% 339 C 0.22 188
Total Offense C +0.0 163

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots A 66% 8 B 8.8% 61
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 56 B- 3.5% 70
Three Pointers C- 82% 230 B- 0.6% 105
Total B+ 64% 38 B- 4.6% 68


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 180 D 63% 306 +1.8 237
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 267 C- 39% 229 -0.8 121
Three Pointers 44% 98 C+ 33% 122 +0.6 213
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 237 C- +1.1 224
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 229
Second Chance B- 28.3% 101 C- 1.05 216 C+ 0.30 138
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 235
Other Turnovers B- 7.9% 97
Turnovers C 16.6% 188
Freethrows F+ 0.38 352 C- 73% 228 F+ 0.28 350
Total Defense C- -2.1 237

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 56% 324 D 7.8% 306
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 36% 329 D- 1.7% 335
Three Pointers D+ 87% 286 D- 0.1% 346
Total D 63% 325 D- 3.4% 338

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 98 16.9 114
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 176 0.21 321
Consistency 0.13 200 0.10 42
Improvement +3.1 50 -6.6 363

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 209 195 186
Results Rating Rank 223 218 200
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 8 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 10% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.3 n/a
.500 or above 15% 100% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 1% 0%
First Round1% 10% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 76 - 11
Quad 410 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 189 Marshall L 72 - 78 61% -5  11% 0 - 1 D -11 F -19 C- F F A +9 D B A+
 Sat, Nov 8 321 Albany W 83 - 62 85% +7  75% 1 - 1 B- +8 D -4 F A+ D- A+ +11 A+ C A
 Thu, Nov 13 298 Le Moyne W 94 - 80 80% +11  97% 2 - 1 C+ +3 B +7 A B+ F D -5 C+ D+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 306 Central Connecticut St. W 84 - 77 82% +12  99% 3 - 1 C- -5 D- -7 D A+ F C+ +2 C C C
 Fri, Nov 21 143 College of Charleston L 65 - 69 38% +1  50% 3 - 2 C- -3 D- -7 B- B- F B +4 B+ F D-
 Sat, Nov 22 209 Green Bay L 75 - 79 53% -4  17% 3 - 3 D+ -7 C- -2 F A+ D+ D -5 D+ B- F+
 Mon, Nov 24 160 Oregon St. W 73 - 65 42% +2  73% 4 - 3 B- +8 C +1 D+ A+ D A- +7 D- A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 153 Harvard W 78 - 71 52% +10  98% 5 - 3 C+ +4 C +0 A F F+ B +4 B C C-
 Sat, Dec 6 311 Umass Lowell W 80 - 60 83% +8  84% 6 - 3 B- +8 F+ -8 C- F+ F A+ +14 B- A- A+
 Wed, Dec 10 137 Boston College W 76 - 74 37% +3  69% 7 - 3 C+ +3 B- +4 D A+ F C -1 A B- D
 Sat, Dec 13 77 Florida St. W 103 - 95 18% +5  77% 8 - 3 A- +16 A+ +16 A A+ B C- -2 D- A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 20 152 Kent St. L 59 - 69 52% -5  14% 8 - 4 0 - 1 D- -13 F -20 F F F+ A- +7 B- B+ C
 Tue, Dec 30 248 @Eastern Michigan L 74 - 80 49% -2  31% 8 - 5 0 - 2 D+ -8 D+ -2 F C+ A+ D -5 C- C+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 165 Bowling Green L 100 - 101 OT 56% -0  37% 8 - 6 0 - 3 C- -5 B- +5 A+ B- D- F+ -9 F+ B F
 Tue, Jan 6 221 @Ohio L 83 - 86 44% -3  22% 8 - 7 0 - 4 C- -4 C+ +2 B- F C D -6 F B C+
 Sat, Jan 10 292 Ball St. W 79 - 71 79% +3  75% 9 - 7 1 - 4 C- -2 C+ +3 A F C+ D -6 D- C+ D+
 Tue, Jan 13 280 @Western Michigan W 85 - 82 56% +4  79% 10 - 7 2 - 4 C -1 B+ +9 D+ A+ D F+ -10 F F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 341 @Northern Illinois L 68 - 70 76% -3  8% 10 - 8 2 - 5 D- -11 F -12 F D F C+ +1 B- C D
 Tue, Jan 20 151 Toledo W 84 - 82 52% +2  66% 11 - 8 3 - 5 C -1 B- +4 B+ B+ D D+ -5 F+ B- A+
 Fri, Jan 23 212 @Buffalo W 68 - 67 42% +7  78% 12 - 8 4 - 5 C +1 D- -6 F B D A- +7 C- C+ B
 Tue, Jan 27 90 @Miami (OH) L 84 - 86 15% +3  76% 12 - 9 4 - 6 B- +7 A+ +16 A- A+ B F+ -8 B+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 31 248 Eastern Michigan W 70 - 67 71% +4  89% 13 - 9 5 - 6 C- -5 C- -1 D+ C A D+ -4 D A- A-
 Tue, Feb 3 258 Central Michigan W 95 - 89 74% -1  44% 14 - 9 6 - 6 C- -3 A+ +15 A+ A- A- F -18 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 228 @Coastal Carolina L 91 - 94 3OT 45% +4  68% 14 - 10 C- -4 C+ +3 D+ A D D- -6 F B F+
 Fri, Feb 13 71 @Akron L 92 - 99 11% -5  11% 14 - 11 6 - 7 C+ +4 A- +10 A+ C- D D -5 B- C+ D
 Tue, Feb 17 90 Miami (OH) L 77 - 86 31% -5  2% 14 - 12 6 - 8 D+ -6 C +1 A C+ C- D- -7 D+ A- F
 Sat, Feb 21 212 Buffalo L 82 - 86 OT 65% +2  62% 14 - 13 6 - 9 D -10 C- -2 A- D+ D+ D- -8 D+ D+ C-
 Tue, Feb 24 292 @Ball St. L 73 - 74 OT 59% +8  82% 14 - 14 6 - 10 D+ -5 D -5 F A+ C- C -1 C+ C- D-
 Sat, Feb 28 165 @Bowling Green L 62 - 81 33% +0  50% 14 - 15 6 - 11 F+ -17 D- -6 C- F+ B+ F -12 F+ B- D-
 Tue, Mar 3 221 Ohio W 94 - 82 67% +2  62% 15 - 15 7 - 11 B- +5 B +6 A B+ C C- -2 A F F
Totals 15 - 15 7 - 11 -2 C +0 B+ C+ C C- -2 C D- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C+ C C+ 41% 48% 36% C C C+ B+ B D+ B- D- C C- D C- C+ C- 39% 18% 44% C- C- B- C- C+ C F+ C- F+
1.09 59% 40% 34% +1 0 1.03 31% 1.2 .37 19% .33 67% .22 1.12 63% 39% 33% +1 0 1.05 28% 1.0 .30 17% .38 73% .24
Nov
3
Marshall F C- A F+ D+ 43% 22% 35% B- C- F F F F A+ F A+ A F A C+ D+ 33% 14% 53% F D D- A+ B A+ F C- F
0.88 57% 45% 29% -1 0 1.00 25% 0.4 .10 25% .58 58% .34 0.96 82% 29% 33% +6 +1 1.16 36% 0.8 .29 32% .34 74% .25
Nov
8
Albany D D+ B F F 44% 14% 42% B- F A- A+ A+ D- A+ D- A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% D- A+ A F C A F C- F
1.12 55% 43% 19% -10 +1 0.84 42% 1.8 .76 18% .49 70% .34 0.84 58% 20% 21% -12 +1 0.81 24% 1.3 .30 26% .42 70% .29
Nov
13
Le Moyne B B+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 20% 39% C A A- C B+ F C A- B- D C+ A+ B B 46% 9% 46% F C+ B- F D+ F F A- D
1.23 64% 45% 43% +9 0 1.20 39% 1.1 .42 18% .32 80% .26 1.05 58% 20% 31% -4 +2 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 13% .42 64% .27
Nov
16
Central Connecticut St. D- F+ D+ C D 40% 19% 40% D D A+ A+ A+ F A+ F C- C+ D+ A+ D- C+ 43% 31% 27% D- C A+ F C C F A+ F
1.08 48% 36% 35% -4 0 0.95 44% 1.3 .56 22% .41 48% .20 0.99 62% 27% 38% 0 -1 1.00 16% 1.6 .25 17% .48 68% .32
Nov
21
College of Charleston D- F+ A+ D B- 35% 22% 43% C+ B- C+ B+ B- F C+ F D- B D- F+ A+ A 40% 15% 45% F+ B+ A+ F F D- F F F
0.96 50% 70% 30% +2 0 1.04 32% 1.1 .35 22% .25 46% .11 1.02 68% 43% 14% -8 +1 0.87 11% 4.3 .48 13% .49 83% .41
Nov
22
Green Bay C- B F F F 38% 16% 47% B- F B A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ D F+ C+ A C- 56% 19% 26% D D+ C- A B- F+ F D F
1.11 65% 29% 19% -9 +1 0.84 35% 2.1 .73 15% .45 85% .38 1.17 67% 38% 27% +2 +1 1.09 25% 0.9 .21 12% .59 80% .47
Nov
24
Oregon St. C C C+ F D 50% 20% 30% C+ D+ A B+ A+ D C- F F+ A- F B C+ F 22% 20% 59% B+ D- B- A+ A+ A+ B A- B+
1.10 56% 40% 20% -7 +1 0.90 41% 1.2 .49 17% .31 59% .18 0.98 90% 33% 33% +5 -1 1.11 24% 0.3 .07 24% .34 71% .24
Dec
3
Harvard C B C A+ A+ 45% 27% 29% D A D F F F+ A+ F+ A- B C+ F A+ B 42% 27% 31% B B D- A- C C- C C+ C
1.07 64% 38% 50% +9 0 1.20 24% 0.7 .17 21% .36 67% .24 0.97 57% 60% 18% -2 -1 0.96 32% 0.8 .24 18% .25 80% .20
Dec
6
Umass Lowell F+ C- A- D- C- 50% 28% 22% D C- B- F F+ F C C- C- A+ A- F A+ B 57% 20% 24% F+ B- A B- A- A+ F A+ D
1.05 57% 47% 31% +1 0 1.03 34% 0.8 .26 17% .27 71% .19 0.78 46% 67% 18% -7 +1 0.91 24% 1.0 .24 26% .48 48% .23
Dec
10
Boston College B- F A- F D 43% 33% 24% D D A+ A+ A+ F A+ F B+ C C- A+ A+ A+ 56% 4% 40% F A D- A+ B- D F F F
1.08 43% 44% 25% -8 -1 0.84 44% 1.4 .59 21% .43 54% .23 1.05 60% 0% 11% -14 +3 0.80 35% 0.8 .28 13% .57 77% .44
Dec
13
Florida St. A+ C+ F+ A+ A 49% 17% 34% A- A B- A+ A+ B B C B- C- F A+ C+ D- 42% 7% 52% D D- D- A+ A+ C+ D+ F D-
1.26 59% 30% 50% +7 +1 1.19 33% 1.6 .53 17% .31 71% .22 1.17 76% 25% 32% +5 +2 1.17 38% 0.5 .20 15% .33 83% .27
Dec
20
Kent St. F D F A+ F 40% 32% 28% F+ F F+ F F F+ A C- A- A- B F A+ B- 33% 18% 49% B- B- A+ F B+ C A D+ A-
0.83 53% 0% 46% -9 -1 0.81 22% 0.8 .17 20% .42 71% .30 0.98 50% 67% 25% -4 0 0.94 23% 1.3 .29 18% .29 76% .23
Dec
30
Eastern Michigan D+ B- F F F 31% 31% 39% F F D A C+ A+ D F+ D- D C+ D+ C C 53% 28% 19% D- C- C B C+ F F B F
1.01 61% 22% 26% -9 -2 0.81 25% 1.3 .31 10% .27 67% .18 1.10 56% 38% 33% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.9 .24 12% .61 69% .42
Jan
3
Bowling Green B- B+ D A+ A+ 54% 12% 35% A- A+ F+ A+ B- D- A+ C- A+ F+ D B+ F F 54% 18% 29% C F+ A+ F B F F A- F
1.15 64% 33% 50% +11 +2 1.29 20% 1.7 .33 21% .51 71% .36 1.16 63% 30% 44% +6 +1 1.16 14% 1.2 .17 11% .58 67% .39
Jan
6
Ohio C+ C+ B B+ B 44% 25% 32% D+ B- D F F C D B- D+ D F+ C- F F 34% 17% 49% D+ F A+ F B C+ D+ B C
1.12 60% 43% 39% +4 0 1.11 30% 0.6 .19 16% .27 76% .21 1.16 67% 44% 42% +10 0 1.23 19% 1.2 .22 16% .34 67% .23
Jan
10
Ball St. C+ A+ D B+ A+ 33% 20% 47% C A D+ F F C+ A+ F A+ D C A D- F+ 42% 15% 42% D D- A F C+ D+ D+ D+ D+
1.15 87% 33% 38% +11 0 1.24 29% 0.4 .13 17% .51 69% .35 1.03 55% 25% 36% -2 +1 1.00 18% 1.2 .21 15% .31 72% .22
Jan
13
Western Michigan B+ C B- C- C- 29% 19% 52% D- D+ B A+ A+ D B- A+ A- F+ C+ F F+ F 32% 15% 53% D F F+ F F D+ C+ C- C
1.26 60% 40% 33% 0 -1 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 15% .35 80% .28 1.21 53% 63% 39% +6 0 1.15 35% 1.3 .47 15% .28 75% .21
Jan
17
Northern Illinois F F F F+ F 49% 15% 36% B- F D+ D D F A+ D+ A+ C+ C+ A+ A B+ 43% 2% 55% F B- F A C D F D F
0.93 48% 29% 29% -9 +1 0.87 28% 1.0 .28 25% .55 70% .38 0.96 52% 0% 26% -10 +3 0.88 38% 0.6 .23 19% .51 70% .36
Jan
20
Toledo B- B- D A+ B+ 45% 12% 43% B- B+ A C B+ D A+ D+ A+ D+ D- F+ F F 36% 34% 30% A- F+ B C+ B- A+ F D F
1.19 64% 33% 43% +8 +2 1.20 43% 1.0 .43 20% .39 68% .26 1.16 65% 50% 43% +10 -2 1.19 26% 1.0 .26 21% .45 80% .36
Jan
23
Buffalo D- B- F F+ F+ 36% 28% 36% F+ F C+ B+ B D B- F D+ A- F D+ C+ D- 23% 26% 51% A+ C- A+ F C+ B A A+ A+
1.03 65% 31% 29% -2 -1 0.96 34% 1.1 .37 20% .30 63% .19 1.01 82% 42% 33% +6 -2 1.11 17% 1.6 .28 18% .26 50% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27
Miami (OH) A+ B- A+ A A 27% 33% 39% F A- A- A+ A+ B B- B- B- F+ B- F B A- 27% 9% 64% D+ B+ F F F D+ F C+ F
1.25 64% 53% 40% +10 -2 1.18 36% 1.3 .45 15% .30 76% .23 1.28 58% 50% 32% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.7 .58 13% .65 74% .48
Jan
31
Eastern Michigan C- B A+ F D- 55% 16% 30% A- D+ C C- C A A+ C- A+ D+ F F A+ D- 30% 30% 41% B D B+ A- A- A- F F F
1.08 63% 57% 8% -6 +2 0.93 29% 1.0 .29 11% .60 71% .43 1.03 85% 46% 22% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 22% .35 89% .31
Feb
3
Central Michigan A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 48% 8% 44% A- A+ C A+ A- A- A+ C+ A+ F D+ C F F 35% 23% 42% C- F F D F A+ F B- F
1.36 70% 50% 43% +12 +2 1.31 36% 1.5 .54 13% .46 71% .33 1.27 60% 40% 72% +25 -1 1.51 38% 1.2 .46 30% .49 67% .33
Feb
7
Coastal Carolina C+ F A+ B D+ 31% 39% 31% D- D+ A B A D B- F F D- C B F F 25% 34% 41% B+ F D- A+ B F+ B A+ A
1.09 21% 54% 37% -4 -3 0.89 39% 1.1 .44 14% .32 48% .15 1.12 56% 33% 48% +6 -3 1.10 31% 0.6 .19 12% .22 50% .11
Feb
13
Akron A- B- A+ A+ A+ 46% 20% 34% C+ A+ F A+ C- D C F D+ D F C C+ C 26% 22% 52% A B- A- F C+ D F F F
1.18 62% 73% 42% +13 +1 1.29 17% 1.8 .30 20% .27 65% .18 1.27 75% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.09 27% 1.4 .39 14% .64 88% .57
Feb
17
Miami (OH) C B F A+ A+ 40% 30% 30% D+ A D A C+ C- C F D- D- C+ F F D 37% 18% 45% C D+ A+ D- A- F F B- F
1.09 65% 27% 60% +11 -1 1.22 24% 1.1 .28 18% .28 56% .16 1.22 61% 56% 41% +9 0 1.20 13% 1.3 .17 10% .52 73% .38
Feb
21
Buffalo C- A- A+ A- A 35% 24% 41% D- A- B- F D+ D+ A+ F C+ D- C- A+ F D 35% 19% 46% B- D+ A- F D+ C- F C+ F
1.13 71% 58% 40% +13 -1 1.27 37% 0.7 .27 19% .38 59% .22 1.19 59% 22% 45% +5 0 1.13 20% 1.7 .33 15% .49 73% .36
Feb
24
Ball St. D F F F F 42% 20% 38% B- F A A+ A+ C- C- B- C- C C+ C+ A+ B- 42% 15% 42% D C+ F A C- D- F+ F F
0.99 48% 18% 24% -14 0 0.75 42% 1.3 .53 19% .27 81% .22 1.01 52% 33% 24% -10 +1 0.85 34% 0.7 .23 14% .35 82% .28
Feb
28
Bowling Green D- B- F D+ D+ 45% 18% 37% C+ C- F+ F F+ B+ F F F F C- F F+ F+ 45% 8% 47% D F+ C- A- B- D- D- F F
0.95 61% 22% 32% -3 +1 0.98 20% 0.9 .17 15% .23 62% .14 1.24 59% 50% 39% +5 +2 1.16 29% 0.7 .19 14% .37 86% .32
Mar
3
Ohio B A+ A C- A+ 43% 20% 37% C A C A+ B+ C A+ B A+ C- C- B A+ A+ 36% 23% 41% C A C- F F F F F F
1.23 76% 50% 33% +10 0 1.22 34% 1.3 .45 16% .54 77% .42 1.07 60% 38% 17% -9 -1 0.82 29% 1.5 .42 10% .42 79% .33




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 72.9 72.9 7th
8th 27.1 27.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 1.5% 1.5% 15.3 0.1 1.0 0.5 98.5
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.3 98.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 28.6% 5.3% 15.3 0.2 3.5 1.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.4%
Lose Out 84.8%