Umass Lowell
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#314
Expected Predictive Rating-14.1#346
Pace72.4#110
Improvement+1.5#74

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#255
First Shot-2.6#250
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#215
Layup/Dunks-0.4#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#275
Freethrows+0.4#158
Improvement-0.1#182

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#336
First Shot-3.0#276
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#305
Layups/Dunks-1.7#242
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#201
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement+1.6#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 12.1% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 12.4% 25.7% 9.7%
.500 or above in Conference 56.1% 67.2% 53.9%
Conference Champion 8.6% 13.5% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 5.8% 11.2%
First Four8.0% 9.5% 7.8%
First Round5.2% 7.2% 4.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 16.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 410 - 1011 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 5 @Connecticut L 47-110 1%     0 - 1 -39.5 -17.4 -18.1
  Mon, Nov 10 346 New Haven L 67-73 72%     0 - 2 -20.5 -8.5 -12.1
  Thu, Nov 13 140 @Columbia L 72-86 12%     0 - 3 -9.5 +0.9 -10.5
  Sun, Nov 16 53 @Wake Forest L 75-109 3%     0 - 4 -21.0 +3.4 -21.7
  Wed, Nov 19 124 @Bradley L 77-87 10%     0 - 5 -4.1 +11.1 -15.6
  Sat, Nov 22 329 @St. Peter's L 66-68 43%     0 - 6 -8.7 -10.1 +1.4
  Wed, Nov 26 338 @Stonehill W 75-64 49%     1 - 6 +2.9 +2.1 +1.0
  Sat, Dec 6 175 @Massachusetts L 74-84 16%    
  Sat, Dec 13 154 @Quinnipiac L 73-85 14%    
  Tue, Dec 16 255 Sacred Heart L 81-82 50%    
  Sun, Dec 21 235 @Boston University L 71-78 25%    
  Mon, Dec 29 27 @Iowa L 60-86 1%    
  Sat, Jan 3 324 Albany W 78-74 64%    
  Thu, Jan 8 295 @Bryant L 71-75 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 349 @Binghamton W 74-73 52%    
  Thu, Jan 15 351 NJIT W 78-71 74%    
  Thu, Jan 22 189 Vermont L 74-77 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 272 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 74-79 32%    
  Thu, Jan 29 344 @New Hampshire L 73-74 50%    
  Sat, Jan 31 326 @Maine L 67-69 42%    
  Thu, Feb 5 351 @NJIT W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 324 @Albany L 75-77 42%    
  Thu, Feb 12 295 Bryant W 74-72 58%    
  Thu, Feb 19 344 New Hampshire W 77-71 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 349 Binghamton W 76-70 71%    
  Thu, Feb 26 189 @Vermont L 71-80 20%    
  Sat, Feb 28 272 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-76 53%    
  Tue, Mar 3 326 @Maine L 67-69 42%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.4 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.1 8.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 4.3 4.7 2.2 0.4 0.1 13.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 5.7 4.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 13.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.2 5.6 1.1 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.5 5.3 1.1 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.7 5.8 1.2 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.6 5.0 1.3 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.9 3.5 1.0 0.1 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 1.7 0.6 0.1 5.8 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.8 5.4 8.6 11.7 14.0 14.2 13.8 10.9 8.1 4.7 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 95.3% 1.2    1.1 0.2
13-3 83.3% 2.3    1.7 0.5 0.0
12-4 50.7% 2.4    1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
11-5 22.6% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.7% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.6% 8.6 5.0 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 40.2% 40.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-2 1.3% 34.3% 34.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8
13-3 2.7% 26.6% 26.6% 15.9 0.1 0.6 2.0
12-4 4.7% 20.8% 20.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0 3.7
11-5 8.1% 18.4% 18.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5 6.6
10-6 10.9% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 1.3 9.6
9-7 13.8% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 1.5 12.3
8-8 14.2% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 1.1 13.1
7-9 14.0% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.7 13.3
6-10 11.7% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 11.2
5-11 8.6% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 8.3
4-12 5.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 5.3
3-13 2.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.8
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.9 90.8 0.0%