Columbia
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#237
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#247
Pace73.5#56
Improvement-6.6#357

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#131
First Shot+2.7#99
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#259
Layup/Dunks+2.0#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#63
Freethrows-0.8#236
Improvement-2.3#306

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#337
First Shot-6.3#345
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#145
Layups/Dunks-1.2#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#259
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#359
Freethrows+3.1#19
Improvement-4.3#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.4 n/a
.500 or above 35.3% 49.9% 17.4%
.500 or above in Conference 0.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 73.8% 62.7% 87.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 55.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 20 - 31 - 4
Quad 31 - 32 - 7
Quad 410 - 612 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 325   @ Loyola Maryland W 81-78 62%     1 - 0 -4.5 -2.2 -2.5
  Nov 06, 2024 46   @ Villanova W 90-80 6%     2 - 0 +23.4 +24.6 -0.8
  Nov 09, 2024 314   Delaware St. W 83-62 75%     3 - 0 +9.7 -0.5 +8.7
  Nov 12, 2024 267   Lehigh W 76-75 65%     4 - 0 -7.4 +8.3 -15.7
  Nov 16, 2024 353   Mercyhurst W 77-63 85%     5 - 0 -1.6 +5.6 -5.8
  Nov 20, 2024 327   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-72 63%     6 - 0 +0.3 +7.4 -7.1
  Nov 23, 2024 318   Stony Brook W 82-63 76%     7 - 0 +7.3 +4.7 +3.2
  Nov 25, 2024 357   New Hampshire W 83-57 86%     8 - 0 +9.7 +3.7 +5.8
  Dec 04, 2024 280   @ Albany L 73-88 49%     8 - 1 -19.1 -5.6 -12.8
  Dec 28, 2024 326   Fairfield W 85-72 78%     9 - 1 +0.4 +11.3 -9.8
  Dec 30, 2024 63   @ Rutgers L 64-91 8%     9 - 2 -15.6 -5.4 -9.4
  Jan 11, 2025 122   Cornell L 83-94 34%     9 - 3 0 - 1 -11.2 +8.8 -20.3
  Jan 18, 2025 69   Yale L 88-92 18%     9 - 4 0 - 2 +1.4 +8.4 -6.7
  Jan 20, 2025 129   @ Princeton L 67-71 20%     9 - 5 0 - 3 +0.4 -1.9 +2.1
  Jan 25, 2025 273   @ Penn L 78-93 47%     9 - 6 0 - 4 -18.8 -2.1 -16.0
  Jan 31, 2025 241   Harvard L 82-90 60%     9 - 7 0 - 5 -15.1 -2.6 -11.6
  Feb 01, 2025 257   Dartmouth L 89-95 64%     9 - 8 0 - 6 -14.0 +3.4 -16.7
  Feb 08, 2025 214   Brown W 78-77 55%    
  Feb 14, 2025 257   @ Dartmouth L 81-82 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 241   @ Harvard L 76-78 40%    
  Feb 21, 2025 214   @ Brown L 75-79 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 69   @ Yale L 73-88 8%    
  Feb 28, 2025 129   Princeton L 76-80 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 273   Penn W 81-77 67%    
  Mar 08, 2025 122   @ Cornell L 82-91 18%    
Projected Record 12 - 13 3 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.6 4.4 1.5 0.0 6.5 5th
6th 0.8 7.6 4.6 0.2 13.2 6th
7th 1.6 10.5 10.3 0.7 23.1 7th
8th 2.9 11.6 21.1 16.2 2.3 0.0 54.1 8th
Total 2.9 11.6 22.7 27.4 20.7 10.3 3.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
7-7 0.6% 5.5% 5.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.5
6-8 3.6% 3.3% 3.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.5
5-9 10.3% 10.3
4-10 20.7% 20.7
3-11 27.4% 27.4
2-12 22.7% 22.7
1-13 11.6% 11.6
0-14 2.9% 2.9
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.9%