Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
83 Yale 61.8%   13   12 - 3 3 - 1 +7.2      +7.8 38 -0.6 189 66.1 263 +8.3 73 +2.8 2
168 Harvard 10.3%   9 - 8 3 - 1 -0.8      -0.7 185 -0.1 171 62.1 346 -2.0 207 +2.2 3
180 Columbia 5.1%   10 - 6 1 - 3 -1.3      +0.3 153 -1.7 227 70.1 151 +0.7 154 -5.8 6
182 Penn 7.1%   8 - 8 2 - 2 -1.5      +0.3 154 -1.8 235 71.9 96 -0.7 173 -1.7 5
187 Cornell 5.0%   6 - 9 1 - 3 -1.8      +5.2 66 -7.0 350 80.8 7 -3.6 222 -8.4 8
214 Princeton 4.5%   5 - 13 2 - 2 -3.3      -2.5 237 -0.9 199 64.5 293 -6.5 271 +0.4 4
221 Dartmouth 5.6%   7 - 8 3 - 1 -3.6      -1.5 210 -2.1 244 74.2 55 -3.3 221 +4.5 1
264 Brown 0.7%   5 - 10 1 - 3 -5.6      -6.8 335 +1.2 128 65.5 275 -8.3 302 -7.2 7


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Jan 19 168 Harvard 64 182 Penn 63   
Mon, Jan 19 221 Dartmouth 71 214 Princeton 69   
Mon, Jan 19 180 Columbia 74 83 Yale 91   
Mon, Jan 19 264 Brown 67 187 Cornell 89   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 24 187 Cornell 79 168 Harvard 83 65%   
Sat, Jan 24 180 Columbia 78 221 Dartmouth 79 53%   
Sat, Jan 24 182 Penn 76 83 Yale 82 71%   
Sat, Jan 24 264 Brown 63 214 Princeton 68 70%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.2 86.2 9.3 2.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Harvard 3.2 12.1 32.5 21.2 13.9 9.5 6.0 3.5 1.4
Columbia 4.6 2.6 14.8 16.6 15.6 15.5 15.3 12.3 7.3
Penn 4.1 5.4 19.5 18.9 17.0 15.1 11.6 8.6 4.0
Cornell 5.1 1.7 11.0 12.2 13.8 15.3 17.1 17.8 11.1
Princeton 4.5 2.7 14.6 16.6 16.7 16.7 14.4 11.3 7.1
Dartmouth 3.9 5.9 20.8 20.0 17.2 14.9 11.0 7.2 3.1
Brown 6.5 0.2 2.4 4.6 6.7 9.9 13.8 22.5 39.8

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 21 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.9 9.9 18.6 27.4 25.8 13.0
Harvard 8 - 6 14 - 13 0.2 2.0 6.2 12.6 19.7 23.0 18.8 11.3 4.8 1.2 0.2
Columbia 6 - 8 15 - 11 0.2 1.0 4.0 9.4 16.3 21.3 20.9 15.7 8.2 2.7 0.4
Penn 7 - 7 13 - 13 0.3 1.9 5.9 12.8 20.0 21.8 18.8 11.9 5.0 1.4 0.2
Cornell 6 - 8 11 - 14 0.3 2.0 6.7 13.6 19.5 21.7 17.4 11.5 5.5 1.6 0.2
Princeton 6 - 8 9 - 19 0.5 2.9 8.7 16.5 22.3 21.2 15.5 8.5 3.1 0.6 0.1
Dartmouth 7 - 7 11 - 14 0.9 4.9 12.3 19.4 22.7 19.2 12.4 5.9 1.8 0.3 0.0
Brown 4 - 10 8 - 17 2.5 10.0 18.3 23.5 20.6 14.2 7.3 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 86.2% 74.0 9.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
Harvard 12.1% 5.5 5.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
Columbia 2.6% 0.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Penn 5.4% 2.1 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Cornell 1.7% 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Princeton 2.7% 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Dartmouth 5.9% 2.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Brown 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 61.8% 61.8% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.1 0.4 10.8 36.4 13.0 1.1 0.0 38.2 0.0%
Harvard 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.8 4.4 0.6 89.7 0.0%
Columbia 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.5 0.8 0.0 94.9 0.0%
Penn 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.7 2.9 0.1 92.9 0.0%
Cornell 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.6 0.6 95.0 0.0%
Princeton 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.1 95.5 0.0%
Dartmouth 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 2.1 94.4 0.0%
Brown 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.5 99.3 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 98.3% 1.0 1.8 98.3
2nd Round 11.2% 0.1 88.8 11.2
Sweet Sixteen 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 61.8% 0.0% 61.8% 10.2% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 10.3% 0.1% 10.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 5.1% 0.0% 5.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 7.1% 0.0% 7.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 5.0% 0.2% 4.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 4.5% 3.4% 3.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 5.6% 1.0% 5.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%