Ivy League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
69 Yale 59.1%   13   12 - 6 6 - 0 18 - 8 12 - 2 +7.8      +5.0 59 +2.8 97 69.3 152 +3.6 115 +13.5 1
122 Cornell 19.8%   11 - 6 5 - 1 16 - 9 10 - 4 +2.3      +4.8 63 -2.5 246 75.4 36 +1.4 149 +6.0 2
129 Princeton 15.6%   13 - 6 4 - 2 18 - 9 9 - 5 +1.9      +1.5 134 +0.4 156 67.1 213 +4.0 108 +1.8 3
214 Brown 1.9%   9 - 9 2 - 4 13 - 13 6 - 8 -2.9      -0.7 194 -2.2 238 64.9 271 -2.4 211 -5.0 6
237 Columbia 0.2%   9 - 8 0 - 6 12 - 13 3 - 11 -4.4      +1.5 131 -6.0 337 73.5 56 -4.8 247 -19.2 8
241 Harvard 1.6%   6 - 12 2 - 4 9 - 17 5 - 9 -4.6      -3.7 273 -1.0 204 67.3 209 -5.7 257 -3.9 5
257 Dartmouth 1.6%   7 - 10 3 - 3 10 - 15 6 - 8 -5.5      -4.0 283 -1.5 217 75.2 38 -4.7 245 +0.7 4
273 Penn 0.2%   6 - 13 2 - 4 8 - 19 4 - 10 -6.3      -1.1 206 -5.2 322 66.1 238 -7.3 285 -6.3 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.1 91.4 7.7 0.9 0.1
Cornell 2.1 15.1 60.0 20.7 3.2 0.8 0.1 0.0
Princeton 2.8 3.9 34.7 46.6 10.8 3.0 0.8 0.2
Brown 4.9 0.0 2.6 11.1 28.8 28.1 16.7 9.2 3.4
Columbia 7.2 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.5 13.2 23.1 54.1
Harvard 5.3 0.0 1.3 6.9 22.7 25.5 24.0 14.8 4.8
Dartmouth 4.5 0.2 4.5 15.5 34.0 23.8 14.4 6.5 1.2
Penn 6.1 0.4 2.4 8.9 17.4 26.0 32.3 12.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 12 - 2 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.5 13.7 27.2 33.9 19.3
Cornell 10 - 4 0.1 0.8 4.1 12.1 22.5 28.0 21.0 9.8 1.7
Princeton 9 - 5 0.1 1.0 4.8 12.8 22.8 28.1 20.6 8.7 1.3
Brown 6 - 8 0.6 4.8 12.6 22.1 25.6 20.0 10.5 3.3 0.5
Columbia 3 - 11 2.9 11.6 22.7 27.4 20.7 10.3 3.6 0.6 0.1
Harvard 5 - 9 1.9 7.7 18.0 26.4 23.8 14.8 5.7 1.6 0.1
Dartmouth 6 - 8 2.1 9.3 19.6 25.7 22.5 13.6 5.6 1.5 0.1
Penn 4 - 10 6.0 20.1 28.7 25.7 13.3 4.9 1.1 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 91.4% 81.8 8.9 0.7 0.1
Cornell 15.1% 7.0 7.4 0.7 0.1
Princeton 3.9% 1.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
Brown 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Columbia
Harvard 0.0% 0.0
Dartmouth 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Penn


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 59.1% 59.1% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.1 0.3 9.5 32.2 15.1 1.9 0.1 40.9 0.0%
Cornell 19.8% 19.8% 0.0% 0.2 3.5 8.6 5.8 1.6 0.0 80.2 0.0%
Princeton 15.6% 15.6% 0.0% 0.1 3.2 7.1 4.6 0.7 84.4 0.0%
Brown 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.2 98.1 0.0%
Columbia 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.0%
Harvard 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 98.4 0.0%
Dartmouth 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 98.4 0.0%
Penn 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 59.1% 0.0% 59.1% 12.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 19.8% 0.0% 19.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 15.6% 0.0% 15.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 1.9% 0.0% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 1.6% 1.1% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 1.6% 0.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.2% 1.0 0.8 99.2
2nd Round 15.3% 0.2 84.7 15.3
Sweet Sixteen 3.6% 0.0 96.4 3.6
Elite Eight 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0