Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
73 Yale 57.6%   12   7 - 1 0 - 0 21 - 5 11 - 3 +7.7      +8.7 23 -1.1 202 65.9 277 +11.8 53 0.0 1
140 Columbia 16.2%   7 - 1 0 - 0 18 - 8 9 - 5 +1.5      +1.8 122 -0.3 173 69.8 178 +14.2 33 0.0 1
150 Cornell 11.4%   4 - 4 0 - 0 13 - 12 8 - 6 +0.3      +4.0 83 -3.7 299 79.9 11 +0.3 166 0.0 1
193 Harvard 5.3%   4 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 15 7 - 7 -2.2      -1.3 203 -0.9 194 63.9 320 -4.7 236 0.0 1
225 Brown 3.2%   4 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 16 6 - 8 -3.8      -6.0 331 +2.2 107 65.3 291 -7.3 277 0.0 1
240 Penn 2.6%   4 - 3 0 - 0 11 - 15 5 - 9 -4.5      -0.6 180 -3.9 304 71.5 137 -0.9 188 0.0 1
247 Princeton 2.2%   2 - 8 0 - 0 9 - 19 5 - 9 -4.7      -4.4 291 -0.3 175 67.0 254 -8.6 293 0.0 1
261 Dartmouth 1.8%   2 - 3 0 - 0 8 - 17 5 - 9 -5.7      -3.4 258 -2.3 243 75.2 49 -10.0 308 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 2 150 Cornell 81 66 George Mason 99   
Tue, Dec 2 225 Brown 56 110 Rhode Island 66   
Wed, Dec 3 150 Cornell 80 129 Towson 93   
Wed, Dec 3 205 Monmouth 63 247 Princeton 58   
Wed, Dec 3 140 Columbia 72 136 Hofstra 70   
Wed, Dec 3 261 Dartmouth 69 344 New Hampshire 68   
Wed, Dec 3 193 Harvard 71 175 Massachusetts 78   
Fri, Dec 5 225 Brown 75 295 Bryant 56   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Dec 6 153 Furman 72 193 Harvard 67 70%   
Sat, Dec 6 259 Loyola Chicago 70 247 Princeton 68 58%   
Sat, Dec 6 261 Dartmouth 70 106 Wyoming 83 88%   
Sat, Dec 6 240 Penn 64 39 Villanova 80 93%   
Sat, Dec 6 140 Columbia 81 324 Albany 67 89%   
Sun, Dec 7 150 Cornell 84 228 Samford 83 55%   
Sun, Dec 7 204 Illinois-Chicago 70 73 Yale 84 89%   
Mon, Dec 8 331 Lafayette 70 240 Penn 78 79%   
Tue, Dec 9 140 Columbia 74 222 Stony Brook 72 58%   
Tue, Dec 9 225 Brown 66 72 Providence 81 91%   
Tue, Dec 9 74 Colorado St. 83 261 Dartmouth 67 93%   
Wed, Dec 10 277 Merrimack 64 247 Princeton 69 67%   
Wed, Dec 10 324 Albany 67 73 Yale 84 93%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.4 75.5 15.8 5.3 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Columbia 3.0 17.7 31.2 20.5 12.8 8.5 5.0 2.9 1.4
Cornell 3.4 12.2 24.9 21.8 15.9 10.8 7.1 5.0 2.4
Harvard 4.4 5.0 13.7 17.5 18.1 15.8 13.4 10.0 6.5
Brown 5.1 2.2 8.3 13.0 16.0 16.7 16.6 15.9 11.4
Penn 5.3 2.2 7.2 11.1 13.9 16.3 16.7 17.0 15.6
Princeton 5.4 1.7 6.5 10.1 13.6 16.5 17.8 17.9 16.0
Dartmouth 5.8 1.5 4.7 8.6 11.4 14.0 16.4 19.4 24.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 4.0 8.0 13.6 19.6 23.2 19.5 9.5
Columbia 9 - 5 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.8 5.2 8.9 12.8 16.2 17.3 15.4 11.4 5.8 2.4 0.5
Cornell 8 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.3 7.8 11.5 15.3 17.2 15.6 12.4 8.0 3.8 1.1 0.2
Harvard 7 - 7 0.1 0.7 2.3 5.1 9.6 13.7 16.2 16.5 14.5 10.2 6.6 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
Brown 6 - 8 0.3 1.5 4.7 8.7 14.0 16.3 16.8 15.4 10.9 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Penn 5 - 9 0.6 2.5 5.9 11.2 14.6 16.8 16.2 13.1 9.2 5.4 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
Princeton 5 - 9 0.5 2.6 6.3 11.4 15.7 17.6 16.6 12.6 8.5 5.1 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 1.2 5.0 9.6 13.9 16.4 16.1 13.9 11.0 6.4 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 75.5% 62.3 11.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Columbia 17.7% 9.8 6.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Cornell 12.2% 6.5 4.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
Harvard 5.0% 2.4 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
Brown 2.2% 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Penn 2.2% 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Princeton 1.7% 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.5% 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 57.6% 57.3% 0.3% 12   0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.2 14.4 29.6 9.6 1.2 0.0 42.4 0.6%
Columbia 16.2% 16.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.4 6.4 3.1 0.4 83.8 0.0%
Cornell 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 0.1 1.2 3.4 4.0 2.4 0.3 88.6 0.0%
Harvard 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.0 1.1 94.7 0.0%
Brown 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.6 96.8 0.0%
Penn 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.4 97.4 0.0%
Princeton 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 97.8 0.0%
Dartmouth 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 98.2 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 57.6% 0.2% 57.4% 13.1% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 16.2% 0.0% 16.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 11.4% 0.1% 11.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 5.3% 0.5% 5.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 3.2% 1.0% 2.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 2.6% 0.2% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 2.2% 1.1% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 1.8% 0.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.7 0.3
1st Round 98.6% 1.0 1.4 98.4 0.1
2nd Round 15.4% 0.2 84.6 15.4
Sweet Sixteen 3.2% 0.0 96.8 3.2
Elite Eight 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.6
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0