Ivy League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
100 Yale 37.4%   13   5 - 5 0 - 0 17 - 9 10 - 4 +5.3      +4.0 76 +1.3 128 68.4 197 -0.1 167 0.0 1
117 Princeton 20.2%   7 - 4 0 - 0 17 - 10 9 - 5 +2.8      +3.0 94 -0.3 177 67.4 221 +3.0 120 0.0 1
120 Cornell 19.9%   6 - 3 0 - 0 16 - 9 9 - 5 +2.6      +4.1 73 -1.6 219 77.1 24 +3.8 109 0.0 1
156 Brown 10.0%   7 - 3 0 - 0 15 - 11 8 - 6 0.0      0.0 173 0.0 169 64.3 303 -0.4 173 0.0 1
177 Columbia 8.2%   8 - 1 0 - 0 16 - 9 7 - 7 -0.9      +2.0 121 -2.9 266 70.3 145 +9.2 68 0.0 1
231 Harvard 3.0%   3 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 17 6 - 8 -3.7      -3.8 284 +0.1 163 68.5 193 -7.6 295 0.0 1
274 Penn 0.9%   4 - 7 0 - 0 8 - 19 4 - 10 -6.2      -1.6 214 -4.6 317 64.4 294 -7.7 298 0.0 1
312 Dartmouth 0.3%   3 - 7 0 - 0 7 - 18 4 - 10 -8.4      -5.6 327 -2.8 261 72.8 79 -8.6 308 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 2.0 50.4 23.3 13.1 7.3 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
Princeton 2.8 25.8 24.1 19.7 13.8 9.0 4.9 2.1 0.7
Cornell 2.8 25.5 24.1 19.4 14.0 9.2 5.0 2.1 0.7
Brown 3.8 11.3 15.7 18.5 19.2 16.1 10.9 6.0 2.3
Columbia 4.1 8.9 13.1 16.4 18.2 18.2 13.8 8.0 3.4
Harvard 5.3 2.7 5.6 9.2 14.1 18.7 22.2 17.4 10.0
Penn 6.2 0.7 2.1 4.4 7.9 13.6 21.3 27.3 22.6
Dartmouth 6.8 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.6 8.5 16.4 26.6 40.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 10 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 5.7 10.1 14.9 18.5 19.3 15.5 9.0 2.7
Princeton 9 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.0 7.8 12.0 15.6 17.6 16.6 12.6 7.5 2.8 0.7
Cornell 9 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 4.2 7.7 11.7 15.8 17.7 16.1 12.6 7.5 3.1 0.7
Brown 8 - 6 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 5.7 9.7 13.8 16.5 17.0 14.6 10.1 5.7 2.5 0.7 0.1
Columbia 7 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.8 7.6 12.0 15.4 16.7 15.6 12.1 8.3 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
Harvard 6 - 8 0.3 1.8 4.9 10.1 14.9 17.0 17.2 13.9 9.9 5.7 2.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Penn 4 - 10 1.4 5.3 11.5 16.9 19.2 17.4 12.9 8.2 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Dartmouth 4 - 10 3.6 11.1 17.8 20.1 18.4 13.4 8.0 4.4 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 50.4% 35.9 11.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 0.0
Princeton 25.8% 15.3 8.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Cornell 25.5% 15.5 7.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Brown 11.3% 5.8 3.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Columbia 8.9% 4.5 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Harvard 2.7% 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Penn 0.7% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 37.4% 37.4% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.6 12.3 14.7 6.7 1.7 0.1 62.6 0.0%
Princeton 20.2% 20.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 6.4 8.8 3.8 0.6 0.0 79.8 0.0%
Cornell 19.9% 19.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 6.1 8.6 3.8 0.6 0.0 80.1 0.0%
Brown 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0 1.0 3.5 3.7 1.7 0.1 90.0 0.0%
Columbia 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.1 3.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 91.8 0.0%
Harvard 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.4 97.0 0.0%
Penn 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 99.1 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 99.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 37.4% 0.0% 37.4% 6.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 20.2% 0.0% 20.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 19.9% 0.0% 19.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 8.2% 0.0% 8.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 3.0% 1.0% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 99.4% 1.0 0.6 99.4 0.0
2nd Round 13.3% 0.1 86.7 13.3
Sweet Sixteen 2.8% 0.0 97.2 2.8
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0