Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
76 Yale 56.8%   13   9 - 1 0 - 0 21 - 5 11 - 3 +7.4      +8.7 23 -1.3 207 66.7 258 +12.0 48 0.0 1
141 Columbia 15.5%   8 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 9 8 - 6 +1.3      +0.3 158 +1.0 133 70.4 160 +4.0 111 0.0 1
159 Cornell 11.2%   5 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 12 8 - 6 +0.1      +5.3 65 -5.3 333 77.9 22 -0.8 179 0.0 1
187 Harvard 6.5%   5 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 15 7 - 7 -1.8      -1.3 202 -0.5 181 63.7 324 -4.8 242 0.0 1
222 Brown 3.6%   4 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 15 6 - 8 -3.8      -5.9 327 +2.0 107 65.3 290 -8.2 293 0.0 1
239 Penn 2.6%   5 - 5 0 - 0 11 - 15 5 - 9 -4.5      -1.5 206 -3.1 281 72.6 93 -1.4 186 0.0 1
245 Dartmouth 2.3%   4 - 6 0 - 0 9 - 16 5 - 9 -4.8      -3.2 257 -1.6 217 75.2 44 -6.4 261 0.0 1
254 Princeton 1.6%   2 - 10 0 - 0 8 - 20 5 - 9 -5.2      -4.6 294 -0.6 186 67.0 250 -10.8 327 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Fri, Dec 19 245 Dartmouth 63 235 Sacred Heart 85   
Sat, Dec 20 239 Penn 69 146 Rutgers 70   
Sat, Dec 20 187 Harvard 81 323 Holy Cross 53   
Sun, Dec 21 65 California 74 141 Columbia 56   
Sun, Dec 21 159 Cornell 83 310 Albany 75   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Dec 22 254 Princeton 68 147 Temple 78 81%   
Tue, Dec 23 187 Harvard 62 20 St. John's 83 96%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.4 75.4 15.7 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Columbia 3.0 17.3 30.7 20.9 13.4 8.3 5.2 2.9 1.4
Cornell 3.5 12.3 24.2 21.2 15.7 11.2 7.9 5.0 2.5
Harvard 4.2 5.9 15.6 18.5 17.7 15.0 12.2 9.3 5.9
Brown 5.1 2.4 8.8 12.8 15.2 16.8 16.5 14.8 12.6
Penn 5.4 1.8 7.0 10.6 13.6 16.0 17.2 16.9 16.8
Dartmouth 5.5 1.7 6.1 10.1 13.6 15.6 17.5 18.2 17.3
Princeton 5.7 1.2 5.1 8.7 12.4 15.0 17.7 19.8 20.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.3 8.2 14.4 20.1 22.9 18.8 8.4
Columbia 8 - 6 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.6 5.3 9.3 13.8 16.5 17.8 15.2 10.4 5.6 1.9 0.3
Cornell 8 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 4.6 8.1 12.6 15.6 16.8 16.1 11.6 7.4 3.2 1.1 0.1
Harvard 7 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.5 8.5 12.7 15.9 16.9 15.3 11.4 7.0 3.6 1.4 0.2 0.0
Brown 6 - 8 0.3 1.7 4.5 8.9 13.6 16.7 17.0 14.8 10.9 6.6 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Penn 5 - 9 0.4 2.3 6.4 11.3 15.2 17.1 16.7 12.9 8.9 5.1 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 0.5 2.6 6.4 11.6 16.1 17.7 16.1 13.1 8.4 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Princeton 5 - 9 0.7 3.0 7.5 13.3 17.1 18.1 15.6 11.7 7.2 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 75.4% 62.5 11.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Columbia 17.3% 9.9 6.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Cornell 12.3% 6.5 4.4 1.1 0.2 0.0
Harvard 5.9% 2.7 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Brown 2.4% 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Penn 1.8% 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.7% 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Princeton 1.2% 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 56.8% 56.7% 0.2% 13   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.9 11.3 31.0 11.6 1.1 0.0 43.2 0.4%
Columbia 15.5% 15.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.6 5.3 1.1 0.0 84.5 0.0%
Cornell 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.0 2.9 0.3 88.8 0.0%
Harvard 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 2.9 1.2 93.5 0.0%
Brown 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 1.8 96.4 0.0%
Penn 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 0.4 97.4 0.0%
Dartmouth 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 97.7 0.0%
Princeton 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.5 98.4 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 56.8% 0.1% 56.8% 11.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 15.5% 0.0% 15.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 11.2% 0.0% 11.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 6.5% 0.5% 6.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 3.6% 1.0% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 2.6% 0.2% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 2.3% 0.7% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 1.6% 1.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 98.6% 1.0 1.4 98.5 0.1
2nd Round 13.9% 0.1 86.1 13.9
Sweet Sixteen 2.9% 0.0 97.1 2.9
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0