Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
88 Yale 55.7%   12   20 - 5 10 - 3 +6.4      +6.6 52 -0.2 179 63.4 318 +7.8 78 +4.6 1
153 Harvard 18.3%   15 - 11 9 - 4 +0.4      -1.9 225 +2.3 108 60.4 357 -0.3 162 +3.4 2
162 Penn 14.3%   14 - 11 8 - 5 -0.3      -1.6 209 +1.2 137 71.8 93 +0.8 146 +1.2 3
163 Cornell 11.8%   12 - 12 7 - 6 -0.4      +6.0 57 -6.4 334 77.8 12 -1.4 184 -0.8 4
190 Columbia 0.0%   14 - 11 5 - 8 -1.9      -1.1 191 -0.9 205 67.5 206 -1.4 183 -5.0 7
239 Princeton 0.0%   8 - 19 5 - 8 -4.4      -1.8 219 -2.6 257 61.3 348 -7.0 276 -4.8 6
267 Dartmouth 0.0%   9 - 15 5 - 8 -5.9      -3.4 258 -2.6 255 72.7 68 -5.3 248 -3.8 5
282 Brown 0.0%   7 - 17 3 - 10 -6.7      -7.2 340 +0.6 151 66.4 242 -9.0 308 -8.1 8


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 153 Harvard 61 162 Penn 64   
Sat, Feb 28 190 Columbia 54 88 Yale 60   
Sat, Feb 28 282 Brown 80 163 Cornell 86   
Sat, Feb 28 267 Dartmouth 61 239 Princeton 82   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Mar 6 190 Columbia 64 153 Harvard 70 70%   
Fri, Mar 6 282 Brown 68 162 Penn 71 63%   
Sat, Mar 7 163 Cornell 89 267 Dartmouth 86 60%   
Sat, Mar 7 239 Princeton 64 88 Yale 78 90%   





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.0 100.0
Harvard 1.9 6.7 93.3
Penn 2.8 19.1 80.9
Cornell 3.8 22.1 77.9
Dartmouth 5.2 77.9 20.5 1.6
Columbia 5.3 67.9 29.5 2.6
Princeton 5.6 46.7 41.8 11.5
Brown 8.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 21 - 5 9.6 90.4
Harvard 10 - 4 16 - 11 30.7 69.3
Penn 9 - 5 15 - 11 37.6 62.4
Cornell 8 - 6 13 - 12 40.8 59.2
Dartmouth 5 - 9 9 - 16 59.2 40.8
Columbia 5 - 9 14 - 12 69.3 30.7
Princeton 5 - 9 8 - 20 90.4 9.6
Brown 3 - 11 7 - 18 62.4 37.6

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 100.0% 93.3 6.7
Harvard 6.7% 6.7
Penn
Cornell
Dartmouth
Columbia
Princeton
Brown


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 55.7% 55.7% 0.0% 12   3.0 40.7 11.7 0.3 44.3 0.0%
Harvard 18.3% 18.3% 0.0% 0.3 5.3 9.5 3.1 0.1 81.7 0.0%
Penn 14.3% 14.3% 0.0% 0.2 2.7 7.2 4.0 0.2 85.7 0.0%
Cornell 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.8 0.9 88.3 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 99.9% 1.0 0.1 99.9
2nd Round 8.4% 0.1 91.6 8.4
Sweet Sixteen 1.2% 0.0 98.9 1.2
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Yale 55.7% 0.0% 55.7% 7.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 18.3% 0.0% 18.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 14.3% 0.0% 14.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 11.8% 0.1% 11.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%