Penn
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#240
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#188
Pace71.5#137
Improvement+0.8#115

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#180
First Shot-1.9#224
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#116
Layup/Dunks-5.8#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#172
Freethrows+2.9#49
Improvement+0.4#149

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#304
First Shot-1.3#215
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#317
Layups/Dunks-6.3#348
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#60
Freethrows+2.7#43
Improvement+0.4#148
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 4.3% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.0 14.7
.500 or above 26.7% 57.0% 24.8%
.500 or above in Conference 32.1% 43.9% 31.4%
Conference Champion 2.2% 4.3% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.3% 16.0% 25.9%
First Four0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round2.5% 4.3% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Neutral) - 5.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 41 - 6
Quad 32 - 53 - 11
Quad 49 - 412 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 250 @American L 78-84 40%     0 - 1 -7.9 -1.8 -5.6
  Tue, Nov 11 72 @Providence L 81-106 9%     0 - 2 -14.3 +1.9 -13.3
  Mon, Nov 17 184 Saint Joseph's W 83-74 51%     1 - 2 +4.3 +3.9 -0.2
  Fri, Nov 21 256 @Drexel W 84-68 42%     2 - 2 +13.6 +14.0 +0.3
  Fri, Nov 28 277 Merrimack W 77-65 68%     3 - 2 +2.6 +2.6 +0.3
  Sat, Nov 29 229 La Salle W 73-71 60%     4 - 2 -5.0 +4.5 -9.3
  Sun, Nov 30 136 Hofstra L 60-77 38%     4 - 3 -18.3 -8.4 -10.8
  Sat, Dec 6 39 Villanova L 63-80 6%    
  Mon, Dec 8 331 Lafayette W 78-70 79%    
  Sat, Dec 20 120 @Rutgers L 68-79 16%    
  Sun, Dec 28 66 @George Mason L 65-81 7%    
  Wed, Dec 31 351 NJIT W 81-70 84%    
  Mon, Jan 5 247 @Princeton L 71-74 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 225 Brown W 71-69 59%    
  Sat, Jan 17 261 @Dartmouth L 78-80 44%    
  Mon, Jan 19 193 @Harvard L 70-75 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 73 Yale L 75-84 20%    
  Fri, Jan 30 140 @Columbia L 73-82 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 150 @Cornell L 82-90 24%    
  Sat, Feb 7 247 Princeton W 74-71 61%    
  Fri, Feb 13 140 Columbia L 76-79 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 150 Cornell L 85-87 44%    
  Sat, Feb 21 73 @Yale L 72-87 9%    
  Fri, Feb 27 261 Dartmouth W 81-77 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 193 Harvard W 73-72 53%    
  Fri, Mar 6 225 @Brown L 68-72 37%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 2.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.5 5.1 2.1 0.2 0.0 11.1 3rd
4th 0.3 4.4 6.8 2.2 0.1 13.9 4th
5th 0.4 4.7 8.7 2.4 0.1 16.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 4.3 8.9 2.9 0.1 16.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.4 7.8 2.8 0.1 17.0 7th
8th 0.6 2.5 4.9 5.4 2.1 0.1 15.6 8th
Total 0.6 2.5 5.9 11.2 14.6 16.8 16.2 13.1 9.2 5.4 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-2 89.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1
11-3 62.3% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
10-4 23.6% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1
9-5 5.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.1% 37.9% 37.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.3% 22.3% 22.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-3 1.3% 15.2% 15.2% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
10-4 2.7% 12.5% 12.5% 13.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.4
9-5 5.4% 10.5% 10.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.8
8-6 9.2% 7.2% 7.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 8.5
7-7 13.1% 4.4% 4.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 12.5
6-8 16.2% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 16.1
5-9 16.8% 16.8
4-10 14.6% 14.6
3-11 11.2% 11.2
2-12 5.9% 5.9
1-13 2.5% 2.5
0-14 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.4 97.4 0.0%