Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.8 #168
Expected Predictive Rating -2.0 #207
Pace 62.1 #346
Improvement +4.8 #19

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #185 B- D D F C+
Defense #171 C- C C B D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #119 1.16 #173 +1.4 #128
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #207 0.78 #136 -0.4 #197
Three Pointers 40% #194 1.14 #32 +2.1 #106
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #92 +3.1 #92
Freethrows 11.7 #363 83% #1 9.7 #329
Second Chance 27.8% #258 0.94 #304 0.26 #294
Turnovers 18.1% #286
Total Offense -0.7 #185

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #71 1.17 #191 -2.7 #271
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #261 0.76 #178 +0.9 #125
Three Pointers 39% #231 1.02 #196 +0.7 #150
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #209 -1.1 #210
Freethrows 14.4 #43 74% #235 10.6 #56
Second Chance 30.8% #197 1.01 #131 0.31 #158
Turnovers 16.5% #180
Total Defense -0.1 #171

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #135 1.3% #283
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.3% #95 0.8% #198
Possession Length 18.2 #261 18.7 #339
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #274 0.16 #139
Improvement +2.5 #53 +2.3 #55

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% 12.4% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.6
.500 or above 59.5% 70.5% 39.5%
.500 or above in Conference 78.7% 87.5% 62.7%
Conference Champion 11.9% 15.4% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 1.8% 8.4%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round10.4% 12.4% 6.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Home) - 64.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 35 - 65 - 9
Quad 49 - 414 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 323 New Hampshire W 86 - 75 87% -6  1 - 0 -2 +9 A+ F B- -11 F C+ B-
 Tue, Nov 11 259 Northeastern L 60 - 77 76% -9  1 - 1 -25 -16 F F F -10 C D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 333 @Army W 75 - 52 75% +9  2 - 1 +15 +3 A F F +14 A C A+
 Sun, Nov 16 160 @Marist W 56 - 54 36% +1  3 - 1 +5 -3 D+ D F +9 B- A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 116 @Penn St. L 80 - 84 25% -2  3 - 2 +2 +16 A+ A+ D+ -14 D- D D-
 Sat, Nov 22 285 Boston University L 74 - 75 72% +2  3 - 3 -8 +1 B+ C- F -9 F C- A+
 Wed, Nov 26 134 @Boston College L 60 - 73 30% -9  3 - 4 -8 -2 C D+ C- -8 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 343 Bryant W 56 - 53 90% +2  4 - 4 -12 -11 D F F -0 A+ F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 176 @Massachusetts L 71 - 78 40% -10  4 - 5 -5 -3 D+ D+ C- -2 F A+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 165 @Furman L 69 - 79 38% -7  4 - 6 -8 -0 B F B- -8 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 320 Holy Cross W 81 - 53 87% +16  5 - 6 +15 +14 A A+ F +5 A+ D F
 Tue, Dec 23 18 @St. John's L 59 - 85 4% -9  5 - 7 -6 -2 B+ F D -5 D C A+
 Sun, Dec 28 199 @Colgate W 78 - 69 45% +2  6 - 7 +9 +5 A+ F C +4 A- C B
 Mon, Jan 5 221 Dartmouth L 68 - 76 71% -3  6 - 8 0 - 1 -15 -2 F A+ D -13 F F D
 Sat, Jan 10 180 @Columbia W 79 - 54 40% +13  7 - 8 1 - 1 +27 +19 A+ C+ D- +12 A+ B+ B+
 Sat, Jan 17 214 Princeton W 87 - 80 OT 70% -7  8 - 8 2 - 1 +1 +15 A- F A+ -14 B- F F
 Mon, Jan 19 182 Penn W 64 - 63 64% +1  9 - 8 3 - 1 -3 -4 C F F +1 C+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 187 Cornell W 83 - 79 64%
 Fri, Jan 30 264 @Brown W 66 - 64 56%
 Sat, Jan 31 83 @Yale L 67 - 78 15%
 Sat, Feb 7 221 @Dartmouth L 72 - 73 49%
 Fri, Feb 13 264 Brown W 69 - 61 76%
 Sat, Feb 14 83 Yale L 70 - 75 32%
 Sat, Feb 21 187 @Cornell L 80 - 82 43%
 Fri, Feb 27 214 @Princeton L 67 - 68 48%
 Sat, Feb 28 182 @Penn L 71 - 73 41%
 Sat, Mar 7 180 Columbia W 74 - 70 63%
Totals 14 - 13 8 - 6 -1 -1 B- D D +0 C- C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.0 4.7 3.7 1.2 0.1 11.9 1st
2nd 1.1 10.0 14.2 6.5 1.0 32.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 7.6 10.3 2.5 0.1 20.7 3rd
4th 0.0 3.2 9.0 1.9 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.6 7.1 2.4 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.7 2.9 0.1 5.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.5 0.1 3.3 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 0.2 1.3 8th
Total 0.2 1.7 6.0 13.4 20.1 22.5 18.8 11.3 4.6 1.2 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 100.0% 1.2    1.1 0.1
11-3 79.2% 3.7    2.3 1.3 0.0
10-4 41.3% 4.7    1.7 2.6 0.4 0.0
9-5 10.8% 2.0    0.2 0.9 0.8 0.1
8-6 0.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 11.9% 11.9 5.4 5.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.1% 34.6% 34.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 1.2% 31.8% 31.8% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
11-3 4.6% 23.7% 23.7% 13.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 3.5
10-4 11.3% 19.2% 19.2% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 9.2
9-5 18.8% 16.0% 16.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.3 0.1 15.7
8-6 22.5% 11.9% 11.9% 14.9 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.2 19.8
7-7 20.1% 4.9% 4.9% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 19.2
6-8 13.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.4
5-9 6.0% 6.0
4-10 1.7% 1.7
3-11 0.2% 0.2
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 14.4 89.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%