Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#193
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#236
Pace63.9#320
Improvement-0.4#225

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#203
First Shot+1.9#126
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#342
Layup/Dunks-0.6#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#126
Freethrows-2.2#297
Improvement-1.6#304

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#194
First Shot-4.1#309
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#20
Layups/Dunks-2.8#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#297
Freethrows+1.1#118
Improvement+1.1#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 6.9% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 30.4% 46.4% 23.4%
.500 or above in Conference 52.2% 58.8% 49.4%
Conference Champion 5.0% 6.4% 4.4%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 9.3% 13.4%
First Four0.5% 0.2% 0.6%
First Round5.1% 6.9% 4.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Furman (Away) - 30.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 64 - 11
Quad 48 - 412 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 344 New Hampshire W 86-75 87%     1 - 0 -3.4 +7.9 -11.3
  Tue, Nov 11 227 Northeastern L 60-77 68%     1 - 1 -24.0 -11.6 -13.2
  Sat, Nov 15 342 @Army W 75-52 72%     2 - 1 +14.7 +5.3 +11.8
  Sun, Nov 16 159 @Marist W 56-54 32%     3 - 1 +4.7 -3.1 +8.0
  Wed, Nov 19 96 @Penn St. L 80-84 17%     3 - 2 +4.1 +16.7 -12.9
  Sat, Nov 22 235 Boston University L 74-75 59%     3 - 3 -5.5 +2.1 -7.6
  Wed, Nov 26 132 @Boston College L 60-73 25%     3 - 4 -8.1 -2.1 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 29 295 Bryant W 56-53 78%     4 - 4 -7.5 -8.5 +1.7
  Wed, Dec 3 175 @Massachusetts L 71-78 35%     4 - 5 -5.2 -2.0 -2.9
  Sat, Dec 6 153 @Furman L 67-72 30%    
  Sat, Dec 20 301 Holy Cross W 73-64 79%    
  Tue, Dec 23 13 @St. John's L 63-86 1%    
  Sun, Dec 28 176 @Colgate L 68-72 35%    
  Mon, Jan 5 261 Dartmouth W 75-69 72%    
  Sat, Jan 10 140 @Columbia L 68-75 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 247 Princeton W 70-65 69%    
  Mon, Jan 19 240 Penn W 75-70 68%    
  Sat, Jan 24 150 Cornell W 79-78 52%    
  Fri, Jan 30 225 @Brown L 64-65 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 73 @Yale L 67-80 13%    
  Sat, Feb 7 261 @Dartmouth W 73-72 52%    
  Fri, Feb 13 225 Brown W 67-62 66%    
  Sat, Feb 14 73 Yale L 70-77 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 150 @Cornell L 76-82 31%    
  Fri, Feb 27 247 @Princeton L 67-68 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 240 @Penn L 72-73 47%    
  Sat, Mar 7 140 Columbia L 71-72 47%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 5.0 1st
2nd 0.2 2.5 5.2 4.5 1.2 0.1 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.3 8.1 4.1 0.7 0.1 17.5 3rd
4th 0.4 4.6 9.1 3.7 0.4 0.0 18.1 4th
5th 0.3 3.9 8.5 2.9 0.2 15.8 5th
6th 0.2 3.1 7.1 2.8 0.1 13.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.1 2.1 0.1 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.5 1.1 0.1 6.5 8th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.3 5.1 9.6 13.7 16.2 16.5 14.5 10.2 6.6 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
12-2 88.9% 1.0    0.8 0.3
11-3 55.9% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-4 20.8% 1.4    0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0
9-5 5.7% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.4 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.3% 20.9% 20.9% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-2 1.2% 30.5% 30.5% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
11-3 2.9% 19.4% 19.4% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.4
10-4 6.6% 14.6% 14.6% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 5.6
9-5 10.2% 12.7% 12.7% 14.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 8.9
8-6 14.5% 9.4% 9.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.5 13.1
7-7 16.5% 3.7% 3.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 15.9
6-8 16.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.2
5-9 13.7% 13.7
4-10 9.6% 9.6
3-11 5.1% 5.1
2-12 2.3% 2.3
1-13 0.7% 0.7
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 14.6 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.0 1.1 94.7 0.0%