Preseason Rankings
Harvard
Ivy League
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#172
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.8#276
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#216
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#153
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.6% 12.1% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.4 14.4
.500 or above 56.7% 59.1% 28.2%
.500 or above in Conference 61.9% 63.4% 44.1%
Conference Champion 12.8% 13.4% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 9.1% 19.5%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round11.7% 12.2% 5.4%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Home) - 92.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 54 - 10
Quad 410 - 315 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2025 356   New Hampshire W 76-61 92%    
  Nov 11, 2025 226   Northeastern W 71-65 69%    
  Nov 15, 2025 353   @ Army W 72-64 78%    
  Nov 16, 2025 237   @ Marist W 62-61 52%    
  Nov 19, 2025 90   @ Penn St. L 66-76 19%    
  Nov 22, 2025 277   Boston University W 66-61 68%    
  Nov 26, 2025 100   @ Boston College L 64-73 21%    
  Nov 29, 2025 250   Bryant W 77-70 72%    
  Dec 03, 2025 173   @ Massachusetts L 69-72 40%    
  Dec 06, 2025 133   @ Furman L 65-71 31%    
  Dec 20, 2025 352   Holy Cross W 75-61 89%    
  Dec 23, 2025 8   @ St. John's L 59-82 3%    
  Dec 28, 2025 216   @ Colgate L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 05, 2026 230   Dartmouth W 73-67 69%    
  Jan 10, 2026 265   @ Columbia W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 17, 2026 171   Princeton W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 19, 2026 278   Penn W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 24, 2026 160   Cornell W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 30, 2026 168   @ Brown L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 31, 2026 92   @ Yale L 64-74 21%    
  Feb 07, 2026 230   @ Dartmouth L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 13, 2026 168   Brown W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 14, 2026 92   Yale L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 21, 2026 160   @ Cornell L 73-77 38%    
  Feb 27, 2026 171   @ Princeton L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 28, 2026 278   @ Penn W 71-69 57%    
  Mar 07, 2026 265   Columbia W 78-71 73%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.7 4.2 3.2 1.6 0.4 12.8 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 5.7 5.9 2.6 0.5 16.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.6 7.0 5.2 1.3 0.1 16.4 3rd
4th 0.2 3.0 7.4 4.2 0.5 0.0 15.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.8 6.3 3.4 0.3 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.5 2.5 0.2 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.7 1.6 0.1 8.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.0 2.0 1.9 0.7 0.0 5.8 8th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.5 4.8 7.4 10.1 12.1 13.7 13.6 12.2 9.8 6.9 3.7 1.6 0.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
13-1 100.0% 1.6    1.5 0.1
12-2 85.5% 3.2    2.5 0.7 0.0
11-3 61.2% 4.2    2.3 1.7 0.2
10-4 27.2% 2.7    0.8 1.3 0.5 0.0
9-5 6.0% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 12.8% 12.8 7.6 4.0 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.4% 57.8% 57.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
13-1 1.6% 47.6% 47.4% 0.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.5%
12-2 3.7% 39.5% 39.5% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3
11-3 6.9% 30.2% 30.2% 13.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.8
10-4 9.8% 23.3% 23.3% 13.4 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.6
9-5 12.2% 17.1% 17.1% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 10.1
8-6 13.6% 13.4% 13.4% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 11.8
7-7 13.7% 6.0% 6.0% 16.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 12.9
6-8 12.1% 0.5% 0.5% 17.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
5-9 10.1% 10.1
4-10 7.4% 7.4
3-11 4.8% 4.8
2-12 2.5% 2.5
1-13 1.0% 1.0
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.4 3.1 2.9 1.9 0.9 88.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 10.0 100.0