Lehigh
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#267
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#303
Pace68.7#169
Improvement+1.2#135

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#272
First Shot-0.3#184
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#339
Layup/Dunks-3.6#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#191
Freethrows-0.5#210
Improvement-3.4#334

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#244
First Shot+1.3#133
After Offensive Rebounds-3.7#358
Layups/Dunks+1.1#129
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#49
Freethrows+0.5#142
Improvement+4.5#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 10.7% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 5.9% 9.3% 1.7%
.500 or above in Conference 24.4% 36.1% 10.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 17.3% 9.4% 26.9%
First Four7.8% 9.0% 6.3%
First Round5.1% 6.2% 3.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 54.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 411 - 1112 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 56   @ Northwestern L 46-90 5%     0 - 1 -31.7 -18.7 -14.5
  Nov 06, 2024 85   @ Georgetown L 77-85 8%     0 - 2 +1.5 +8.5 -6.6
  Nov 12, 2024 237   @ Columbia L 75-76 35%     0 - 3 -3.0 +6.1 -9.1
  Nov 15, 2024 29   @ UCLA L 45-85 3%     0 - 4 -23.2 -15.2 -10.9
  Nov 26, 2024 336   @ St. Francis (PA) L 78-88 62%     0 - 5 -19.0 +2.3 -21.4
  Nov 30, 2024 211   Marist W 74-69 47%     1 - 5 -0.1 +9.4 -9.1
  Dec 04, 2024 253   Monmouth W 90-63 57%     2 - 5 +19.2 +14.2 +5.2
  Dec 07, 2024 80   @ Dayton L 62-86 8%     2 - 6 -14.2 -1.4 -15.5
  Dec 21, 2024 327   @ LIU Brooklyn W 60-59 57%     3 - 6 -6.7 -11.8 +5.1
  Jan 02, 2025 251   Bucknell W 66-64 OT 57%     4 - 6 1 - 0 -5.7 -15.6 +9.7
  Jan 05, 2025 325   @ Loyola Maryland L 74-80 56%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -13.5 -4.6 -8.7
  Jan 08, 2025 239   @ Colgate L 62-67 35%     4 - 8 1 - 2 -7.1 -12.9 +5.7
  Jan 11, 2025 297   Army L 69-74 65%     4 - 9 1 - 3 -14.9 -11.9 -2.8
  Jan 15, 2025 294   @ Boston University L 58-63 45%     4 - 10 1 - 4 -9.8 -5.2 -5.5
  Jan 18, 2025 325   Loyola Maryland L 60-76 73%     4 - 11 1 - 5 -28.5 -13.0 -17.0
  Jan 22, 2025 233   @ American L 67-68 34%     4 - 12 1 - 6 -2.7 +0.0 -2.8
  Jan 25, 2025 281   Lafayette W 86-47 62%     5 - 12 2 - 6 +29.8 +14.0 +17.5
  Jan 29, 2025 263   Navy L 54-79 59%     5 - 13 2 - 7 -33.2 -19.7 -15.0
  Feb 01, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross W 69-67 53%     6 - 13 3 - 7 -4.8 -2.4 -2.2
  Feb 03, 2025 239   Colgate W 94-68 54%     7 - 13 4 - 7 +18.9 +22.5 -1.8
  Feb 08, 2025 233   American W 69-68 55%    
  Feb 12, 2025 263   @ Navy L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 15, 2025 319   Holy Cross W 74-68 72%    
  Feb 17, 2025 251   @ Bucknell L 69-72 36%    
  Feb 22, 2025 281   @ Lafayette L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 26, 2025 294   Boston University W 67-63 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 297   @ Army L 71-72 45%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 0.7 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.8 2.6 0.3 3.7 3rd
4th 0.2 5.3 2.1 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.0 3.1 7.4 0.5 11.0 5th
6th 0.9 10.9 3.0 0.0 14.8 6th
7th 0.5 8.4 10.6 0.4 19.8 7th
8th 0.4 5.4 12.8 2.3 0.0 20.8 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 7.3 3.9 0.1 13.4 9th
10th 0.8 3.3 2.6 0.2 6.9 10th
Total 0.9 5.8 15.8 26.2 27.0 17.0 6.1 1.3 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 20.5% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
10-8 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 1.3% 21.3% 21.3% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.0
10-8 6.1% 20.9% 20.9% 15.9 0.1 1.2 4.9
9-9 17.0% 14.3% 14.3% 16.0 0.0 2.4 14.5
8-10 27.0% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 2.5 24.5
7-11 26.2% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 1.5 24.7
6-12 15.8% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.7 15.1
5-13 5.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 5.7
4-14 0.9% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.1 0.8
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 8.5 91.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 15.1 11.1 63.0 25.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 0.5%