Lehigh
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#244
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#274
Pace69.1#174
Improvement+2.1#59

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#168
First Shot+3.6#80
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#344
Layup/Dunks-2.0#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#158
Freethrows-0.7#223
Improvement+0.8#115

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#320
First Shot-0.8#196
After Offensive Rebounds-4.0#361
Layups/Dunks+2.6#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#359
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#86
Freethrows-0.7#240
Improvement+1.3#84
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.3% 15.0% 10.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 42.1% 50.9% 27.1%
.500 or above in Conference 67.8% 72.0% 60.7%
Conference Champion 17.6% 20.3% 13.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 5.8% 9.6%
First Four5.8% 5.6% 6.0%
First Round10.7% 12.5% 7.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Away) - 63.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 413 - 813 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 61   @ Northwestern L 46-90 7%     0 - 1 -31.9 -16.8 -16.6
  Nov 06, 2024 71   @ Georgetown L 77-85 8%     0 - 2 +3.0 +7.0 -3.6
  Nov 12, 2024 177   @ Columbia L 75-76 26%     0 - 3 +1.1 +9.4 -8.4
  Nov 15, 2024 14   @ UCLA L 45-85 3%     0 - 4 -21.7 -12.1 -12.5
  Nov 26, 2024 336   @ St. Francis (PA) L 78-88 63%     0 - 5 -18.1 +2.4 -20.6
  Nov 30, 2024 233   Marist W 74-69 58%     1 - 5 -1.7 +5.9 -7.2
  Dec 04, 2024 272   Monmouth W 90-63 66%     2 - 5 +18.0 +13.8 +4.5
  Dec 07, 2024 46   @ Dayton L 62-86 5%     2 - 6 -10.4 +0.7 -13.8
  Dec 21, 2024 340   @ LIU Brooklyn W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 02, 2025 264   Bucknell W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 05, 2025 313   @ Loyola Maryland W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 08, 2025 223   @ Colgate L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 11, 2025 299   Army W 76-70 70%    
  Jan 15, 2025 256   @ Boston University L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 313   Loyola Maryland W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 22, 2025 242   @ American L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 246   Lafayette W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 29, 2025 302   Navy W 79-73 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 310   @ Holy Cross W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 03, 2025 223   Colgate W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 242   American W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 12, 2025 302   @ Navy L 75-76 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 310   Holy Cross W 78-71 72%    
  Feb 17, 2025 264   @ Bucknell L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 22, 2025 246   @ Lafayette L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 26, 2025 256   Boston University W 72-69 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 299   @ Army L 73-74 49%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.8 4.8 4.5 2.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 17.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.2 5.2 3.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.2 5.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.2 3.2 5.8 2.1 0.2 11.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 5.5 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.9 2.9 0.3 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.6 2.9 0.6 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.3 0.7 0.0 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.7 6.1 8.2 11.0 12.4 13.5 12.9 10.4 8.3 5.3 2.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 99.2% 1.5    1.4 0.0
15-3 95.0% 2.8    2.5 0.3
14-4 84.9% 4.5    3.4 1.0 0.1
13-5 58.4% 4.8    2.5 2.0 0.4 0.0
12-6 27.0% 2.8    0.7 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
11-7 5.3% 0.7    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.6% 17.6 11.0 4.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 38.1% 38.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.4% 50.9% 50.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.5% 37.9% 37.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9
15-3 2.9% 35.4% 35.4% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 1.9
14-4 5.3% 30.9% 30.9% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 3.7
13-5 8.3% 23.8% 23.8% 15.5 0.1 0.7 1.2 6.3
12-6 10.4% 19.3% 19.3% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.6 8.4
11-7 12.9% 15.8% 15.8% 15.9 0.1 1.9 10.9
10-8 13.5% 12.2% 12.2% 15.9 0.1 1.6 11.9
9-9 12.4% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 1.1 11.4
8-10 11.0% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.6 10.4
7-11 8.2% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.2 7.9
6-12 6.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 6.0
5-13 3.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.7
4-14 1.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-15 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.3% 13.3% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.0 9.0 86.7 0.0%