Lehigh
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#279
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#311
Pace67.6#194
Improvement+0.9#151

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#308
First Shot-1.5#217
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#343
Layup/Dunks-4.0#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#197
Freethrows-0.7#230
Improvement-4.5#347

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#221
First Shot+1.9#116
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#356
Layups/Dunks+1.2#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#48
Freethrows+0.6#136
Improvement+5.3#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 7.4% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 31.2% 8.0% 49.0%
First Four6.0% 7.2% 5.2%
First Round3.2% 4.0% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Away) - 43.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 410 - 1211 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 58   @ Northwestern L 46-90 5%     0 - 1 -31.2 -18.7 -14.0
  Nov 06, 2024 73   @ Georgetown L 77-85 7%     0 - 2 +2.3 +8.7 -6.0
  Nov 12, 2024 275   @ Columbia L 75-76 39%     0 - 3 -4.8 +5.7 -10.6
  Nov 15, 2024 27   @ UCLA L 45-85 2%     0 - 4 -22.7 -14.9 -10.7
  Nov 26, 2024 331   @ St. Francis (PA) L 78-88 56%     0 - 5 -18.0 +1.5 -19.6
  Nov 30, 2024 223   Marist W 74-69 47%     1 - 5 -0.8 +7.9 -8.3
  Dec 04, 2024 255   Monmouth W 90-63 55%     2 - 5 +19.2 +13.8 +5.7
  Dec 07, 2024 83   @ Dayton L 62-86 8%     2 - 6 -14.7 -2.0 -15.3
  Dec 21, 2024 323   @ LIU Brooklyn W 60-59 51%     3 - 6 -5.9 -10.5 +4.6
  Jan 02, 2025 232   Bucknell W 66-64 OT 49%     4 - 6 1 - 0 -4.4 -15.5 +10.8
  Jan 05, 2025 325   @ Loyola Maryland L 74-80 53%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -13.4 -4.0 -9.2
  Jan 08, 2025 239   @ Colgate L 62-67 32%     4 - 8 1 - 2 -6.7 -13.5 +6.7
  Jan 11, 2025 287   Army L 69-74 61%     4 - 9 1 - 3 -14.5 -12.1 -2.2
  Jan 15, 2025 300   @ Boston University L 58-63 45%     4 - 10 1 - 4 -10.3 -6.2 -4.9
  Jan 18, 2025 325   Loyola Maryland L 60-76 72%     4 - 11 1 - 5 -28.5 -12.5 -17.5
  Jan 22, 2025 247   @ American L 67-68 34%     4 - 12 1 - 6 -3.3 +0.2 -3.6
  Jan 25, 2025 298   Lafayette W 86-47 64%     5 - 12 2 - 6 +28.8 +14.5 +16.0
  Jan 29, 2025 283   Navy L 54-79 61%     5 - 13 2 - 7 -34.4 -19.7 -16.1
  Feb 01, 2025 317   @ Holy Cross W 69-67 50%     6 - 13 3 - 7 -4.6 -1.7 -2.7
  Feb 03, 2025 239   Colgate W 94-68 51%     7 - 13 4 - 7 +19.2 +21.9 -1.0
  Feb 08, 2025 247   American L 75-78 OT 53%     7 - 14 4 - 8 -10.4 -5.8 -4.4
  Feb 12, 2025 283   @ Navy L 60-63 41%     7 - 15 4 - 9 -7.3 -11.3 +3.8
  Feb 15, 2025 317   Holy Cross W 72-60 69%     8 - 15 5 - 9 +0.3 +1.5 +0.3
  Feb 17, 2025 232   @ Bucknell L 50-67 31%     8 - 16 5 - 10 -18.3 -16.8 -3.3
  Feb 22, 2025 298   @ Lafayette L 66-67 43%    
  Feb 26, 2025 300   Boston University W 67-63 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 287   @ Army L 69-71 41%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 1.2 1.2 5th
6th 1.8 5.8 7.6 6th
7th 8.0 29.5 5.6 43.0 7th
8th 1.2 17.3 5.8 24.4 8th
9th 5.1 10.8 0.2 16.1 9th
10th 6.0 1.7 7.7 10th
Total 12.3 37.8 37.3 12.6 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 12.6% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 1.4 11.2
7-11 37.3% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 2.5 34.8
6-12 37.8% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 1.7 36.2
5-13 12.3% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.6 11.7
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 16.0 6.1 93.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.0%
Lose Out 5.7%