Lehigh
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#298
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#315
Pace70.2#134
Improvement-3.1#317

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#296
First Shot-1.2#210
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#343
Layup/Dunks-3.8#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#194
Freethrows-0.7#227
Improvement-7.0#364

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#264
First Shot+0.8#152
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#359
Layups/Dunks+1.0#135
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#52
Freethrows+0.4#156
Improvement+3.9#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 7.0% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 4.8% 11.1% 2.4%
.500 or above in Conference 16.1% 31.8% 10.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 40.6% 24.0% 46.9%
First Four4.2% 5.5% 3.7%
First Round2.7% 4.2% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Away) - 27.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 410 - 1110 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 55   @ Northwestern L 46-90 4%     0 - 1 -31.2 -17.1 -15.6
  Nov 06, 2024 68   @ Georgetown L 77-85 5%     0 - 2 +2.9 +9.2 -6.0
  Nov 12, 2024 203   @ Columbia L 75-76 21%     0 - 3 -0.3 +7.8 -8.3
  Nov 15, 2024 31   @ UCLA L 45-85 3%     0 - 4 -24.3 -14.4 -12.8
  Nov 26, 2024 344   @ St. Francis (PA) L 78-88 56%     0 - 5 -19.1 +1.8 -21.1
  Nov 30, 2024 217   Marist W 74-69 43%     1 - 5 -0.9 +8.9 -9.3
  Dec 04, 2024 268   Monmouth W 90-63 54%     2 - 5 +18.2 +14.3 +4.2
  Dec 07, 2024 76   @ Dayton L 62-86 6%     2 - 6 -14.0 -1.1 -15.6
  Dec 21, 2024 313   @ LIU Brooklyn W 60-59 43%     3 - 6 -4.9 -11.4 +6.5
  Jan 02, 2025 265   Bucknell W 66-64 OT 54%     4 - 6 1 - 0 -6.6 -15.1 +8.2
  Jan 05, 2025 315   @ Loyola Maryland L 74-80 43%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -12.0 -4.2 -7.6
  Jan 08, 2025 199   @ Colgate L 62-67 21%     4 - 8 1 - 2 -4.0 -9.8 +5.8
  Jan 11, 2025 303   Army L 69-74 61%     4 - 9 1 - 3 -15.7 -12.4 -3.0
  Jan 15, 2025 282   @ Boston University L 58-63 37%     4 - 10 1 - 4 -9.2 -5.3 -4.8
  Jan 18, 2025 315   Loyola Maryland L 60-76 64%     4 - 11 1 - 5 -27.4 -12.9 -16.1
  Jan 22, 2025 236   @ American L 65-71 27%    
  Jan 25, 2025 277   Lafayette W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 29, 2025 292   Navy W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross L 73-74 44%    
  Feb 03, 2025 199   Colgate L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 08, 2025 236   American L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 12, 2025 292   @ Navy L 71-74 38%    
  Feb 15, 2025 319   Holy Cross W 75-71 66%    
  Feb 17, 2025 265   @ Bucknell L 68-72 32%    
  Feb 22, 2025 277   @ Lafayette L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 26, 2025 282   Boston University W 67-65 58%    
  Mar 01, 2025 303   @ Army L 71-73 40%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.8 2.0 0.8 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.4 3.3 1.7 0.1 5.5 4th
5th 0.1 3.1 3.6 0.4 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 2.0 6.6 1.1 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 7.2 3.7 0.1 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 6.4 6.8 0.6 14.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 6.7 8.5 1.8 18.4 9th
10th 0.3 1.6 4.8 8.8 7.9 2.8 0.1 26.3 10th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.9 10.1 15.7 18.9 18.0 14.3 9.0 4.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 50.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 22.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 5.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 27.8% 27.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
11-7 1.9% 22.2% 22.2% 15.9 0.1 0.4 1.5
10-8 4.9% 14.9% 14.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7 4.2
9-9 9.0% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 1.1 7.9
8-10 14.3% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 1.1 13.2
7-11 18.0% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.6 17.4
6-12 18.9% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.4 18.6
5-13 15.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 15.5
4-14 10.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.0
3-15 4.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.9
2-16 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-17 0.3% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3
0-18
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.7 95.2 0.0%