North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#276
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#245
Pace78.4#10
Improvement-7.2#360

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#145
First Shot+1.1#133
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#195
Layup/Dunks-0.5#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#9
Freethrows-3.1#344
Improvement-6.0#357

Defense
Total Defense-7.4#351
First Shot-6.4#344
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#280
Layups/Dunks-8.2#362
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#81
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#147
Freethrows-0.5#221
Improvement-1.2#248
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 22 - 12 - 4
Quad 34 - 56 - 9
Quad 47 - 813 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 68   @ South Carolina W 74-71 6%     1 - 0 +13.7 +8.9 +4.8
  Nov 07, 2024 307   Charleston Southern W 90-66 68%     2 - 0 +12.8 +5.9 +5.1
  Nov 10, 2024 95   @ Georgia Tech W 105-93 10%     3 - 0 +19.9 +22.9 -4.6
  Nov 12, 2024 31   @ Georgia L 77-90 3%     3 - 1 +3.7 +15.2 -11.7
  Nov 18, 2024 203   UNC Asheville L 75-89 45%     3 - 2 -19.2 -0.1 -19.6
  Nov 29, 2024 233   @ SIU Edwardsville W 78-73 30%     4 - 2 +3.8 +4.7 -0.9
  Dec 01, 2024 57   @ Nebraska L 72-103 5%     4 - 3 -18.2 -0.6 -14.8
  Dec 07, 2024 251   @ Georgia Southern L 91-93 OT 34%     4 - 4 -4.1 +2.3 -6.1
  Dec 14, 2024 158   UNC Greensboro W 89-77 35%     5 - 4 +9.5 +13.4 -4.2
  Dec 17, 2024 203   @ UNC Asheville L 81-95 26%     5 - 5 -13.6 +1.8 -14.8
  Dec 21, 2024 3   @ Florida L 45-99 1%     5 - 6 -27.8 -19.2 -5.6
  Jan 02, 2025 277   Austin Peay L 89-97 61%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -17.3 +6.6 -23.4
  Jan 04, 2025 97   Lipscomb L 64-96 20%     5 - 8 0 - 2 -29.7 -13.5 -13.9
  Jan 09, 2025 198   @ Eastern Kentucky L 74-79 24%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -4.2 -2.8 -1.3
  Jan 11, 2025 340   @ Bellarmine W 98-83 61%     6 - 9 1 - 3 +5.7 +21.4 -15.0
  Jan 16, 2025 344   Central Arkansas W 92-80 79%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -3.0 +11.7 -14.8
  Jan 18, 2025 121   North Alabama L 84-90 28%     7 - 10 2 - 4 -6.4 +9.6 -16.0
  Jan 23, 2025 207   @ Queens W 90-81 26%     8 - 10 3 - 4 +9.2 +9.6 -1.0
  Jan 25, 2025 348   @ West Georgia L 72-92 63%     8 - 11 3 - 5 -30.0 -9.1 -19.8
  Jan 29, 2025 350   Stetson W 101-100 OT 81%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -14.8 -0.9 -14.1
  Feb 01, 2025 199   @ Jacksonville W 81-78 24%     10 - 11 5 - 5 +3.8 +5.7 -2.1
  Feb 06, 2025 340   Bellarmine W 95-88 79%     11 - 11 6 - 5 -7.8 +3.0 -11.4
  Feb 08, 2025 187   Florida Gulf Coast L 70-84 41%     11 - 12 6 - 6 -18.2 -6.7 -11.4
  Feb 13, 2025 121   @ North Alabama L 70-83 14%     11 - 13 6 - 7 -7.9 -0.4 -7.8
  Feb 15, 2025 344   @ Central Arkansas L 83-84 OT 62%     11 - 14 6 - 8 -10.5 +0.2 -10.7
  Feb 18, 2025 350   @ Stetson W 79-71 65%     12 - 14 7 - 8 -2.3 -2.8 +0.3
  Feb 20, 2025 199   Jacksonville W 77-73 43%     13 - 14 8 - 8 -0.7 +1.2 -2.1
  Feb 24, 2025 187   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 82-86 23%     13 - 15 8 - 9 -2.7 -0.1 -2.1
  Feb 26, 2025 198   Eastern Kentucky L 81-86 43%     13 - 16 8 - 10 -9.7 +7.7 -17.6
  Mar 02, 2025 277   Austin Peay L 69-90 50%     13 - 17 -27.5 -8.8 -18.2
Projected Record 13 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%