Central Arkansas
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#344
Expected Predictive Rating-12.3#341
Pace66.1#231
Improvement-0.3#208

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#328
First Shot-4.3#295
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#296
Layup/Dunks-6.0#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#60
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#124
Freethrows-2.0#291
Improvement+2.3#78

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#336
First Shot-6.7#349
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#120
Layups/Dunks+3.5#60
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-12.8#363
Freethrows+1.3#94
Improvement-2.6#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 8
Quad 30 - 60 - 14
Quad 47 - 107 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 20   @ BYU L 50-88 1%     0 - 1 -18.8 -15.5 -4.0
  Nov 07, 2024 64   @ Utah L 63-98 2%     0 - 2 -23.5 -10.2 -10.0
  Nov 16, 2024 341   @ Western Illinois L 61-63 39%     0 - 3 -11.4 -8.6 -3.0
  Nov 21, 2024 212   Southeast Missouri St. L 73-77 OT 26%     0 - 4 -9.7 -8.4 -0.8
  Nov 24, 2024 203   UNC Asheville W 92-83 2OT 25%     1 - 4 +3.8 +0.4 +2.1
  Nov 30, 2024 95   @ Georgia Tech L 68-87 4%     1 - 5 -11.1 +6.6 -19.3
  Dec 04, 2024 253   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 57-63 17%     1 - 6 -8.2 -16.6 +8.7
  Dec 07, 2024 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 78-84 63%     1 - 7 -21.7 -3.7 -18.0
  Dec 14, 2024 38   @ Arkansas L 57-82 1%     1 - 8 -9.2 -1.5 -9.7
  Dec 16, 2024 357   The Citadel W 73-71 70%     2 - 8 -15.6 -9.1 -6.5
  Dec 22, 2024 40   @ Oklahoma L 66-89 1%     2 - 9 -7.6 -3.7 -3.0
  Jan 02, 2025 198   Eastern Kentucky L 83-89 2OT 23%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -10.7 -9.1 -0.5
  Jan 04, 2025 340   Bellarmine W 71-65 60%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -8.8 -9.9 +1.3
  Jan 09, 2025 350   @ Stetson L 65-75 42%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -20.3 -6.3 -15.3
  Jan 11, 2025 187   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 71-77 11%     3 - 12 1 - 3 -4.7 -0.8 -4.0
  Jan 16, 2025 276   @ North Florida L 80-92 21%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -15.7 +1.1 -16.8
  Jan 18, 2025 199   @ Jacksonville L 62-72 11%     3 - 14 1 - 5 -9.2 -0.9 -9.4
  Jan 23, 2025 277   Austin Peay L 71-73 39%     3 - 15 1 - 6 -11.3 -4.6 -6.7
  Jan 25, 2025 97   Lipscomb L 55-68 9%     3 - 16 1 - 7 -10.7 -12.8 +0.9
  Jan 29, 2025 348   West Georgia W 75-70 62%     4 - 16 2 - 7 -10.5 -2.6 -7.7
  Feb 01, 2025 121   @ North Alabama L 65-94 6%     4 - 17 2 - 8 -23.9 -0.6 -26.2
  Feb 05, 2025 207   Queens L 47-63 25%     4 - 18 2 - 9 -21.3 -23.8 +0.5
  Feb 08, 2025 277   @ Austin Peay L 67-90 21%     4 - 19 2 - 10 -26.8 -4.7 -23.1
  Feb 13, 2025 199   Jacksonville L 62-77 23%     4 - 20 2 - 11 -19.7 -6.8 -13.8
  Feb 15, 2025 276   North Florida W 84-83 OT 38%     5 - 20 3 - 11 -8.2 -3.0 -5.3
  Feb 18, 2025 207   @ Queens L 72-89 12%     5 - 21 3 - 12 -16.8 +1.9 -19.6
  Feb 20, 2025 348   @ West Georgia W 82-71 41%     6 - 21 4 - 12 +1.0 +6.3 -5.0
  Feb 24, 2025 121   North Alabama L 70-93 14%     6 - 22 4 - 13 -23.4 +0.3 -25.4
  Feb 26, 2025 97   @ Lipscomb L 60-78 4%     6 - 23 4 - 14 -10.2 -7.1 -3.9
  Mar 02, 2025 350   Stetson W 77-72 53%     7 - 23 -8.1 -2.9 -5.1
  Mar 03, 2025 97   @ Lipscomb L 66-84 4%     7 - 24 -10.2 -1.4 -9.5
Projected Record 7 - 24 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%