West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.9#345
Expected Predictive Rating-13.2#341
Pace68.8#166
Improvement+0.5#166

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#329
First Shot-5.9#330
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#193
Layup/Dunks+0.4#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#352
Freethrows-2.9#334
Improvement+1.3#114

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#335
First Shot-4.2#304
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#308
Layups/Dunks-2.5#278
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#242
Freethrows-1.2#269
Improvement-0.8#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.0% 3.9% 16.5%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lipscomb (Home) - 12.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 111 - 16
Quad 45 - 106 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 35   @ Mississippi St. L 60-95 1%     0 - 1 -19.3 -8.7 -9.2
  Nov 06, 2024 99   @ Georgia Tech L 62-85 5%     0 - 2 -15.7 -9.8 -4.4
  Nov 12, 2024 298   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-76 26%     0 - 3 -8.2 -5.9 -2.2
  Nov 15, 2024 177   @ South Florida L 55-74 11%     0 - 4 -17.3 -12.4 -6.3
  Nov 19, 2024 111   Troy L 65-84 12%     0 - 5 -18.2 -0.3 -19.7
  Nov 23, 2024 254   @ Georgia Southern L 54-64 20%     0 - 6 -12.9 -20.7 +8.1
  Nov 26, 2024 132   Utah Valley L 74-77 11%     0 - 7 -1.4 +2.8 -4.1
  Nov 27, 2024 139   North Dakota St. L 61-73 11%     0 - 8 -10.7 -11.9 +0.6
  Nov 29, 2024 109   @ Samford L 65-86 5%     0 - 9 -14.6 -5.7 -9.1
  Dec 04, 2024 222   @ Mercer L 72-86 15%     0 - 10 -14.9 +4.2 -19.9
  Dec 07, 2024 298   Tennessee Tech W 78-73 43%     1 - 10 -5.1 +1.5 -6.5
  Dec 17, 2024 221   @ Charlotte L 70-75 15%     1 - 11 -5.8 +1.8 -8.0
  Jan 02, 2025 164   Florida Gulf Coast L 68-79 18%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -13.3 -4.4 -9.3
  Jan 04, 2025 334   Stetson L 62-78 57%     1 - 13 0 - 2 -29.7 -19.2 -10.6
  Jan 09, 2025 296   @ Austin Peay W 72-68 25%     2 - 13 1 - 2 -0.9 -3.3 +2.3
  Jan 11, 2025 110   @ Lipscomb L 67-86 6%     2 - 14 1 - 3 -13.0 -0.3 -13.5
  Jan 16, 2025 164   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 60-82 9%     2 - 15 1 - 4 -19.4 -14.5 -4.0
  Jan 18, 2025 334   @ Stetson L 78-82 38%     2 - 16 1 - 5 -12.7 +2.0 -14.8
  Jan 23, 2025 179   Jacksonville L 62-79 21%     2 - 17 1 - 6 -20.4 -7.6 -13.5
  Jan 25, 2025 245   North Florida W 92-72 34%     3 - 17 2 - 6 +12.4 +5.4 +6.0
  Jan 29, 2025 341   @ Central Arkansas L 70-75 40%     3 - 18 2 - 7 -14.3 -4.6 -9.9
  Feb 01, 2025 213   @ Queens L 68-87 14%     3 - 19 2 - 8 -19.4 -5.5 -14.0
  Feb 05, 2025 110   Lipscomb L 66-79 12%    
  Feb 08, 2025 155   North Alabama L 69-79 19%    
  Feb 13, 2025 231   @ Eastern Kentucky L 71-81 16%    
  Feb 15, 2025 356   @ Bellarmine L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 18, 2025 155   @ North Alabama L 66-81 8%    
  Feb 20, 2025 341   Central Arkansas W 72-70 61%    
  Feb 24, 2025 213   Queens L 73-79 29%    
  Feb 26, 2025 296   Austin Peay L 68-70 45%    
Projected Record 5 - 25 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.1 2.6 5.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 6.0 20.5 20.5 6.5 0.6 54.1 10th
11th 3.1 12.3 9.1 1.8 0.0 26.3 11th
12th 3.0 2.3 0.2 5.5 12th
Total 6.1 20.6 29.9 25.0 13.1 4.4 0.8 0.2 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.2% 0.2
8-10 0.8% 0.8
7-11 4.4% 4.4
6-12 13.1% 13.1
5-13 25.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 25.0
4-14 29.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 29.9
3-15 20.6% 20.6
2-16 6.1% 6.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.1%