West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#341
Expected Predictive Rating-14.4#347
Pace68.6#189
Improvement+2.1#56

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#337
First Shot-6.7#345
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#141
Layup/Dunks-0.1#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#352
Freethrows-3.1#337
Improvement+2.3#39

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#333
First Shot-3.7#300
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#303
Layups/Dunks-1.9#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#140
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#273
Freethrows-0.4#216
Improvement-0.2#194
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 9.3% 19.3% 5.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.6% 13.4% 31.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 25.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 111 - 14
Quad 46 - 107 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 28   @ Mississippi St. L 60-95 1%     0 - 1 -18.7 -8.7 -8.6
  Nov 06, 2024 111   @ Georgia Tech L 62-85 6%     0 - 2 -16.4 -10.7 -4.3
  Nov 12, 2024 328   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-76 32%     0 - 3 -9.5 -7.0 -2.3
  Nov 15, 2024 180   @ South Florida L 55-74 11%     0 - 4 -17.0 -13.3 -5.1
  Nov 19, 2024 125   Troy L 65-84 16%     0 - 5 -19.7 -1.0 -20.5
  Nov 23, 2024 234   @ Georgia Southern L 54-64 16%     0 - 6 -10.8 -19.4 +8.8
  Nov 26, 2024 148   Utah Valley L 74-77 14%     0 - 7 -2.6 +2.0 -4.5
  Nov 27, 2024 130   North Dakota St. L 61-73 11%     0 - 8 -10.2 -11.2 +0.3
  Nov 29, 2024 112   @ Samford L 65-86 6%     0 - 9 -14.6 -7.6 -7.2
  Dec 04, 2024 239   @ Mercer L 72-86 17%     0 - 10 -15.3 +3.3 -19.4
  Dec 07, 2024 328   Tennessee Tech W 78-73 54%     1 - 10 -7.5 -0.2 -7.1
  Dec 17, 2024 193   @ Charlotte L 70-75 12%     1 - 11 -3.4 +1.9 -5.7
  Jan 02, 2025 192   Florida Gulf Coast L 65-72 25%    
  Jan 04, 2025 344   Stetson W 75-72 63%    
  Jan 10, 2025 273   @ Austin Peay L 62-70 22%    
  Jan 11, 2025 107   @ Lipscomb L 62-81 4%    
  Jan 16, 2025 192   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 18, 2025 344   @ Stetson L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 23, 2025 205   Jacksonville L 67-73 28%    
  Jan 25, 2025 188   North Florida L 76-83 26%    
  Jan 29, 2025 339   @ Central Arkansas L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 270   @ Queens L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 05, 2025 107   Lipscomb L 65-78 12%    
  Feb 08, 2025 182   North Alabama L 69-76 26%    
  Feb 13, 2025 220   @ Eastern Kentucky L 68-80 15%    
  Feb 15, 2025 343   @ Bellarmine L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 18, 2025 182   @ North Alabama L 66-79 12%    
  Feb 20, 2025 339   Central Arkansas W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 24, 2025 270   Queens L 74-77 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 273   Austin Peay L 65-67 42%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 0.7 0.0 4.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.4 1.4 0.1 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.3 2.7 0.3 12.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.9 7.4 3.7 0.6 0.0 17.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 5.7 7.7 3.9 0.5 0.0 19.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.7 5.8 7.4 3.1 0.4 0.0 18.7 11th
12th 0.7 2.8 5.7 4.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 16.3 12th
Total 0.7 2.9 7.4 11.9 16.0 16.6 15.3 11.7 8.1 4.8 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 24.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 10.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 7.4% 7.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 1.1
10-8 2.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5
9-9 4.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.8
8-10 8.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.1
7-11 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.7
6-12 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.3
5-13 16.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.6
4-14 16.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.0
3-15 11.9% 11.9
2-16 7.4% 7.4
1-17 2.9% 2.9
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%