America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
204 Vermont 41.1%   16   10 - 8 4 - 1 -2.8      0.0 164 -2.8 261 62.7 336 -2.0 206 -1.4 1
275 Maryland Baltimore Co. 18.7%   9 - 7 4 - 1 -6.3      -1.5 211 -4.8 312 66.7 240 -6.6 274 -5.2 2
305 Albany 11.0%   4 - 13 3 - 2 -8.2      -4.4 292 -3.8 288 66.7 242 -9.5 320 -7.9 4
309 Umass Lowell 10.6%   5 - 12 3 - 2 -8.5      -4.2 287 -4.3 302 72.3 90 -9.8 322 -8.3 5
323 New Hampshire 6.3%   4 - 12 2 - 3 -10.0      -7.6 346 -2.4 249 68.7 191 -10.8 330 -11.1 7
336 NJIT 4.8%   8 - 12 4 - 2 -11.2      -7.6 345 -3.6 280 70.4 140 -7.4 284 -6.5 3
341 Maine 3.6%   3 - 17 2 - 4 -11.5      -11.5 363 0.0 167 63.0 329 -15.0 351 -12.9 8
343 Bryant 3.6%   4 - 13 2 - 3 -11.6      -8.0 350 -3.7 283 63.9 314 -10.2 327 -10.7 6
362 Binghamton 0.2%   1 - 17 0 - 6 -15.8      -8.9 356 -6.9 349 64.7 289 -23.4 363 -24.6 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Jan 19 305 Albany 75 204 Vermont 68   
Mon, Jan 19 343 Bryant 55 336 NJIT 79   
Mon, Jan 19 362 Binghamton 60 275 Maryland Baltimore Co. 78   
Mon, Jan 19 341 Maine 48 323 New Hampshire 65   
Thu, Jan 22 309 Umass Lowell 68 204 Vermont 77   
Thu, Jan 22 341 Maine 52 305 Albany 49   
Thu, Jan 22 362 Binghamton 82 323 New Hampshire 88   
Thu, Jan 22 336 NJIT 74 275 Maryland Baltimore Co. 87   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 24 275 Maryland Baltimore Co. 79 309 Umass Lowell 74 69%   
Sat, Jan 24 323 New Hampshire 71 305 Albany 69 55%   
Sat, Jan 24 343 Bryant 64 204 Vermont 70 71%   
Sat, Jan 24 362 Binghamton 59 341 Maine 66 76%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.4 74.7 17.2 5.1 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 2.5 26.4 34.4 17.9 10.3 5.7 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
Albany 3.7 7.5 21.3 22.8 17.2 12.9 9.2 6.0 3.0 0.1
Umass Lowell 4.1 5.8 16.7 20.2 18.5 14.6 11.4 8.0 4.6 0.3
New Hampshire 5.2 1.8 8.3 13.3 15.3 15.8 16.3 14.8 13.0 1.4
NJIT 4.5 3.6 10.6 17.0 18.7 18.6 15.6 10.3 5.4 0.3
Maine 6.0 0.5 3.0 7.0 10.6 14.6 17.9 21.3 21.3 3.8
Bryant 5.8 1.0 3.9 7.8 11.9 15.3 18.1 19.5 19.2 3.3
Binghamton 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 4.4 13.2 79.5

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 12 - 4 18 - 11 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.4 8.5 15.7 22.9 24.0 17.7 6.4
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10 - 6 15 - 12 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.4 9.4 15.5 20.8 20.2 15.5 8.9 3.2 0.4
Albany 9 - 7 10 - 18 0.1 0.5 2.2 6.5 12.3 18.5 21.3 19.1 11.9 5.7 1.7 0.2
Umass Lowell 9 - 7 11 - 17 0.1 0.9 3.3 8.6 15.5 19.8 21.0 16.1 9.4 4.1 1.1 0.1
New Hampshire 7 - 9 9 - 18 0.2 1.1 4.0 9.6 15.8 20.3 19.8 15.3 9.1 3.8 0.9 0.2
NJIT 8 - 8 12 - 18 0.7 4.6 12.0 19.6 23.5 19.6 12.2 5.4 1.9 0.4 0.0
Maine 7 - 9 8 - 22 0.4 2.6 7.9 15.7 21.6 21.8 16.3 9.2 3.6 0.8 0.1
Bryant 7 - 9 9 - 19 0.3 2.4 7.0 13.6 20.6 21.8 17.4 10.2 4.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
Binghamton 3 - 13 4 - 24 5.1 15.2 23.7 23.9 17.5 9.3 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 74.7% 59.6 12.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 26.4% 15.0 9.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
Albany 7.5% 3.1 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Umass Lowell 5.8% 2.2 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
New Hampshire 1.8% 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
NJIT 3.6% 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Maine 0.5% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bryant 1.0% 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Binghamton


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 41.1% 41.1% 0.0% 16   0.1 1.6 4.6 15.4 19.5 58.9 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 18.7% 18.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6 16.9 81.3 0.0%
Albany 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 10.9 89.0 0.0%
Umass Lowell 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 10.5 89.4 0.0%
New Hampshire 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 6.2 93.7 0.0%
NJIT 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0 4.8 95.2 0.0%
Maine 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 3.6 96.4 0.0%
Bryant 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0 3.6 96.4 0.0%
Binghamton 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 71.4% 0.7 28.6 71.4
2nd Round 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 41.1% 7.1% 37.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 18.7% 11.7% 13.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 11.0% 10.2% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 10.6% 9.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 6.3% 5.9% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 4.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 3.6% 3.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 3.6% 3.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%