America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
144 Bryant 40.3%   15   12 - 9 8 - 0 18 - 11 14 - 2 +1.2      +1.3 142 -0.1 173 81.9 2 -1.0 187 +9.1 1
199 Maine 21.4%   12 - 9 6 - 2 17 - 12 11 - 5 -1.7      -3.9 281 +2.2 111 65.6 250 -1.5 192 +1.9 2
203 Umass Lowell 16.5%   12 - 8 4 - 4 17 - 11 9 - 7 -2.1      +1.8 125 -3.9 289 72.9 69 -1.5 191 -6.8 4
240 Vermont 9.4%   10 - 11 5 - 3 14 - 15 9 - 7 -4.6      -6.1 331 +1.5 134 60.4 351 -4.3 235 -3.2 3
261 Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.6%   8 - 12 3 - 5 12 - 16 7 - 9 -5.7      +0.5 166 -6.2 342 76.2 27 -7.8 296 -8.8 6
280 Albany 4.2%   9 - 12 3 - 5 12 - 17 6 - 10 -6.6      -3.0 250 -3.6 280 70.4 123 -6.6 273 -10.4 7
313 Binghamton 2.0%   8 - 12 3 - 5 11 - 17 6 - 10 -8.8      -3.6 271 -5.2 321 64.5 283 -6.8 277 -7.9 5
344 NJIT 0.5%   4 - 18 2 - 6 6 - 24 4 - 12 -11.8      -9.5 361 -2.3 243 64.2 294 -13.7 344 -11.8 9
357 New Hampshire 0.2%   2 - 19 2 - 6 4 - 25 4 - 12 -13.8      -9.1 358 -4.8 308 68.7 170 -17.5 358 -11.7 8






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Bryant 1.1 92.3 7.4 0.3 0.0
Maine 2.0 17.1 66.6 11.9 3.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
Umass Lowell 3.5 0.7 15.2 38.1 29.4 10.4 4.3 1.7 0.2 0.0
Vermont 3.4 1.6 18.0 41.0 26.7 8.4 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.2 0.0 1.4 8.8 20.5 32.6 19.5 12.7 3.7 0.9
Albany 5.8 0.0 0.6 5.3 11.7 22.5 27.7 23.2 7.4 1.6
Binghamton 5.9 0.6 4.4 11.7 22.4 28.0 21.7 8.9 2.3
NJIT 7.6 0.1 0.1 1.4 4.8 11.2 18.2 38.4 25.9
New Hampshire 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1 5.8 12.4 34.9 44.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Bryant 14 - 2 0.0 0.3 2.7 10.0 23.2 30.3 24.6 8.9
Maine 11 - 5 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.8 15.3 25.1 27.4 18.5 5.8
Umass Lowell 9 - 7 0.1 0.7 3.1 9.8 19.7 26.1 24.3 13.1 3.1
Vermont 9 - 7 0.2 2.2 8.3 18.0 25.9 24.1 14.9 5.3 1.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 7 - 9 0.3 2.6 9.0 20.3 28.2 24.4 11.5 3.2 0.5
Albany 6 - 10 1.0 6.5 17.8 27.1 25.2 15.2 5.7 1.3 0.1
Binghamton 6 - 10 1.0 7.0 18.2 26.7 24.9 15.0 5.6 1.4 0.1
NJIT 4 - 12 6.6 20.1 28.6 24.8 13.6 5.1 1.2 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 4 - 12 12.4 30.2 30.3 17.8 6.9 2.0 0.3 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bryant 92.3% 81.4 10.3 0.5 0.0
Maine 17.1% 7.1 9.4 0.5 0.0
Umass Lowell 0.7% 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0
Vermont 1.6% 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Albany 0.0% 0.0
Binghamton
NJIT
New Hampshire


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bryant 40.3% 40.3% 0.0% 15   0.0 1.0 6.1 14.3 16.2 2.8 59.7 0.0%
Maine 21.4% 21.4% 0.0% 0.1 0.9 3.6 10.3 6.6 78.6 0.0%
Umass Lowell 16.5% 16.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.4 6.5 8.4 83.5 0.0%
Vermont 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 0.1 0.1 1.2 8.0 90.7 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 5.2 94.4 0.0%
Albany 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 3.7 95.8 0.0%
Binghamton 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.1 1.9 98.0 0.0%
NJIT 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5 99.5 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Bryant 40.3% 0.3% 40.2% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 21.4% 1.7% 20.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 16.5% 2.7% 15.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vermont 9.4% 5.0% 7.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.6% 4.1% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 4.2% 3.0% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 2.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 91.1% 0.9 8.9 91.1
2nd Round 2.8% 0.0 97.3 2.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0