America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
147 Umass Lowell 27.7%   15   7 - 4 0 - 0 19 - 9 11 - 5 +0.4      +2.1 119 -1.7 223 74.6 54 +2.0 139 0.0 1
178 Bryant 20.6%   4 - 7 0 - 0 15 - 14 10 - 6 -0.9      +0.1 169 -1.0 203 82.7 2 -4.9 248 0.0 1
184 Vermont 19.2%   5 - 7 0 - 0 16 - 13 10 - 6 -1.2      -3.8 288 +2.6 105 60.6 350 -3.1 221 0.0 1
212 Maine 13.7%   6 - 5 0 - 0 17 - 12 10 - 6 -2.5      -3.7 282 +1.2 132 66.8 239 -0.1 168 0.0 1
236 Albany 8.9%   5 - 6 0 - 0 15 - 14 9 - 7 -4.1      -0.9 193 -3.2 279 73.2 71 -3.7 233 0.0 1
249 Maryland Baltimore Co. 7.2%   4 - 6 0 - 0 13 - 15 8 - 8 -4.9      +0.1 170 -4.9 321 80.6 7 -7.6 296 0.0 1
314 Binghamton 1.9%   4 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 17 6 - 10 -8.6      -4.8 304 -3.8 291 64.3 302 -6.0 271 0.0 1
352 NJIT 0.4%   2 - 11 0 - 0 6 - 24 4 - 12 -12.5      -9.4 359 -3.1 273 65.3 272 -15.0 350 0.0 1
356 New Hampshire 0.3%   0 - 11 0 - 0 4 - 25 4 - 12 -12.9      -9.8 362 -3.1 272 70.6 133 -20.9 363 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Umass Lowell 2.4 39.4 22.9 15.3 10.3 6.6 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
Bryant 2.9 27.8 22.0 17.6 13.5 9.6 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.1
Vermont 3.0 25.1 21.5 18.3 14.4 10.2 6.5 2.9 1.0 0.2
Maine 3.6 16.5 17.9 17.6 16.1 13.7 10.3 5.4 1.9 0.5
Albany 4.3 9.5 12.4 15.0 16.8 17.5 15.0 8.8 3.7 1.3
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4.6 7.2 10.3 12.8 15.7 17.3 17.6 11.8 5.5 1.8
Binghamton 6.3 1.3 2.8 4.8 7.9 12.3 18.3 26.2 17.2 9.1
NJIT 7.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 4.2 9.0 19.3 32.1 32.1
New Hampshire 7.8 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.9 8.3 17.6 30.9 36.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Umass Lowell 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.5 6.4 10.2 14.1 17.2 17.1 14.4 9.5 4.4 0.9
Bryant 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.8 5.7 9.3 13.2 16.1 16.8 14.9 10.5 6.0 2.2 0.5
Vermont 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.1 6.2 10.1 13.6 17.0 16.6 14.1 9.6 5.2 1.9 0.4
Maine 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.1 5.7 9.6 13.1 15.4 16.0 14.4 10.7 6.2 2.9 0.9 0.1
Albany 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 5.3 9.3 13.1 15.7 16.1 14.1 10.7 6.5 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 4.0 7.4 11.6 14.5 15.4 15.3 12.2 8.5 5.0 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0
Binghamton 6 - 10 0.3 1.4 4.2 8.5 12.5 16.0 16.6 14.5 11.3 7.3 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
NJIT 4 - 12 2.1 7.5 14.7 19.2 19.1 15.7 10.3 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 4 - 12 2.7 9.3 16.2 19.3 18.6 14.5 9.3 5.5 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Umass Lowell 39.4% 26.9 9.7 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Bryant 27.8% 17.4 7.8 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Vermont 25.1% 15.3 7.3 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Maine 16.5% 9.3 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Albany 9.5% 4.9 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 7.2% 3.6 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Binghamton 1.3% 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
NJIT 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Umass Lowell 27.7% 27.7% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.2 1.4 5.7 9.8 8.4 2.3 72.3 0.0%
Bryant 20.6% 20.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.8 7.7 6.4 79.4 0.0%
Vermont 19.2% 19.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.6 7.6 5.1 80.8 0.0%
Maine 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.2 5.7 3.7 86.3 0.0%
Albany 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 3.2 4.2 91.1 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6 5.1 92.8 0.0%
Binghamton 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 98.1 0.0%
NJIT 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Umass Lowell 27.7% 0.5% 27.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 20.6% 3.1% 19.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vermont 19.2% 1.9% 18.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 13.7% 1.4% 13.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 8.9% 2.1% 7.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 7.2% 3.3% 5.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 1.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 93.5% 0.9 6.5 93.5
2nd Round 4.3% 0.0 95.7 4.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0