Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#58
Expected Predictive Rating+14.4#36
Pace67.7#197
Improvement+5.2#15

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#116
First Shot+1.9#118
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#179
Layup/Dunks+2.2#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#235
Freethrows+2.0#76
Improvement+2.5#52

Defense
Total Defense+7.7#25
First Shot+7.5#15
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#168
Layups/Dunks+6.5#19
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#237
Freethrows+0.5#141
Improvement+2.7#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.7% 29.9% 14.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 20.2% 28.2% 13.0%
Average Seed 10.5 10.4 10.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.1% 100.0% 98.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four13.8% 17.5% 10.4%
First Round14.2% 20.1% 8.8%
Second Round4.9% 7.0% 2.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stanford (Away) - 47.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 9
Quad 25 - 17 - 10
Quad 38 - 115 - 11
Quad 47 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 64-49 99%     1 - 0 -5.2 -15.8 +10.2
  Nov 07, 2024 333   N.C. A&T W 80-64 97%     2 - 0 +2.6 -10.6 +11.1
  Nov 10, 2024 18   Michigan W 72-70 27%     3 - 0 +18.1 +8.1 +10.1
  Nov 13, 2024 346   South Carolina Upstate W 85-80 98%     4 - 0 -9.5 +2.0 -11.6
  Nov 16, 2024 44   @ Xavier L 60-75 33%     4 - 1 -0.9 -2.2 +0.5
  Nov 19, 2024 350   Western Carolina W 82-69 98%     5 - 1 -2.3 +4.5 -6.7
  Nov 23, 2024 323   Detroit Mercy W 67-57 97%     6 - 1 -2.4 -6.0 +4.1
  Nov 28, 2024 4   Florida L 58-75 17%     6 - 2 +2.9 -4.0 +6.2
  Nov 29, 2024 92   Minnesota W 57-51 64%     7 - 2 +12.0 -4.0 +16.9
  Dec 03, 2024 19   @ Texas A&M L 44-57 20%     7 - 3 +5.4 -13.9 +17.8
  Dec 07, 2024 176   Boston College W 72-66 88%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +2.7 +0.5 +2.6
  Dec 17, 2024 137   James Madison W 75-58 84%     9 - 3 +15.9 +13.9 +5.0
  Dec 21, 2024 32   @ Clemson L 62-73 26%     9 - 4 1 - 1 +5.4 -3.5 +8.8
  Dec 31, 2024 104   @ Syracuse W 81-71 61%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +16.9 +6.9 +9.4
  Jan 04, 2025 91   North Carolina St. W 77-59 72%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +21.6 +14.3 +9.2
  Jan 11, 2025 169   @ Miami (FL) W 88-78 76%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +12.3 +12.1 +0.4
  Jan 15, 2025 78   Stanford W 80-67 68%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +17.9 +12.1 +6.4
  Jan 18, 2025 118   @ Virginia Tech W 72-63 67%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +14.1 +4.8 +9.9
  Jan 21, 2025 36   North Carolina W 67-66 48%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +11.2 -3.8 +15.0
  Jan 25, 2025 2   Duke L 56-63 16%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +13.6 -4.5 +17.8
  Jan 28, 2025 27   @ Louisville L 59-72 24%     15 - 6 7 - 3 +3.9 -3.3 +6.5
  Feb 01, 2025 47   Pittsburgh W 76-74 55%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +10.4 +10.9 -0.4
  Feb 05, 2025 78   @ Stanford L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 116   @ California W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 12, 2025 82   Florida St. W 74-69 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 42   @ SMU L 71-75 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 91   @ North Carolina St. W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 26, 2025 97   Virginia W 65-58 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 83   Notre Dame W 70-65 69%    
  Mar 03, 2025 2   @ Duke L 60-76 7%    
  Mar 08, 2025 99   Georgia Tech W 74-67 77%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.1 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.7 3.9 1.5 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 9.3 14.1 6.2 0.6 31.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 9.8 14.8 5.4 0.4 0.0 31.4 5th
6th 0.3 4.5 7.8 2.1 0.1 14.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 4.4 1.8 0.1 7.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 0.9 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.1 0.8 4.1 10.8 20.7 26.6 22.4 11.3 3.0 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 22.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.3% 0.0    0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 3.0% 78.2% 2.0% 76.2% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.7 77.7%
15-5 11.3% 50.8% 4.2% 46.6% 10.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.8 3.0 0.0 5.5 48.6%
14-6 22.4% 30.7% 2.3% 28.4% 10.7 0.1 0.4 1.4 4.8 0.3 15.5 29.1%
13-7 26.6% 17.2% 1.8% 15.4% 10.9 0.1 0.5 3.6 0.3 22.0 15.7%
12-8 20.7% 8.0% 1.4% 6.6% 11.0 0.2 1.3 0.2 19.1 6.7%
11-9 10.8% 3.0% 0.6% 2.4% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 10.5 2.4%
10-10 4.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.7% 11.0 0.1 4.1 0.7%
9-11 0.8% 0.8
8-12 0.1% 0.1
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 21.7% 1.9% 19.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.6 13.6 0.9 78.3 20.2%