San Jose St.
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#156
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#169
Pace65.8#241
Improvement+2.0#111

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#139
First Shot+1.4#128
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#201
Layup/Dunks+0.6#159
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#154
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#219
Freethrows+1.9#75
Improvement-0.1#195

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#204
First Shot-1.0#213
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#182
Layups/Dunks-4.0#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#179
Freethrows+1.7#73
Improvement+2.1#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 7
Quad 21 - 61 - 13
Quad 34 - 45 - 17
Quad 48 - 213 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 341   Western Illinois L 55-59 91%     0 - 1 -18.9 -17.0 -2.5
  Nov 08, 2024 292   Pacific L 67-80 77%     0 - 2 -20.6 -11.8 -8.3
  Nov 10, 2024 221   @ Hawaii L 69-80 53%     0 - 3 -11.6 +4.5 -17.4
  Nov 17, 2024 152   UC Santa Barbara L 59-64 60%     0 - 4 -7.4 -3.9 -4.6
  Nov 20, 2024 62   @ USC L 68-82 14%     0 - 5 -2.0 +5.4 -8.7
  Nov 25, 2024 159   UTEP W 71-65 51%     1 - 5 +6.1 +1.0 +5.2
  Nov 26, 2024 158   UNC Greensboro W 69-64 50%     2 - 5 +5.2 +1.4 +4.2
  Nov 27, 2024 294   Long Beach St. W 82-66 77%     3 - 5 +8.3 +16.1 -5.5
  Dec 04, 2024 41   @ New Mexico L 77-83 9%     3 - 6 0 - 1 +9.4 +13.1 -3.7
  Dec 14, 2024 194   Cal Poly W 107-100 OT 68%     4 - 6 +2.4 +7.3 -6.4
  Dec 21, 2024 137   Kennesaw St. W 89-65 56%     5 - 6 +22.7 +10.8 +10.1
  Dec 28, 2024 52   Boise St. L 71-73 23%     5 - 7 0 - 2 +6.1 +13.7 -7.9
  Dec 31, 2024 53   Colorado St. L 50-72 23%     5 - 8 0 - 3 -14.0 -20.5 +6.8
  Jan 04, 2025 92   @ UNLV L 73-79 22%     5 - 9 0 - 4 +2.3 +13.6 -11.9
  Jan 07, 2025 55   Utah St. L 78-85 23%     5 - 10 0 - 5 +0.9 +10.8 -10.4
  Jan 11, 2025 300   @ Air Force W 69-62 70%     6 - 10 1 - 5 +1.8 +3.1 -0.5
  Jan 14, 2025 41   New Mexico W 71-70 18%     7 - 10 2 - 5 +10.8 +3.2 +7.7
  Jan 18, 2025 83   @ Nevada L 64-75 19%     7 - 11 2 - 6 -1.6 +6.6 -10.1
  Jan 25, 2025 176   Wyoming W 67-58 65%     8 - 11 3 - 6 +5.3 +1.3 +5.1
  Jan 28, 2025 54   @ San Diego St. L 68-71 11%     8 - 12 3 - 7 +10.5 +6.9 +3.5
  Feb 01, 2025 300   Air Force W 75-64 85%     9 - 12 4 - 7 +0.3 +3.9 -2.7
  Feb 04, 2025 258   @ Fresno St. W 94-91 2OT 61%     10 - 12 5 - 7 +0.5 +3.2 -3.3
  Feb 07, 2025 52   @ Boise St. L 52-79 11%     10 - 13 5 - 8 -13.4 -9.0 -7.5
  Feb 11, 2025 54   San Diego St. L 66-69 23%     10 - 14 5 - 9 +5.0 +1.7 +3.3
  Feb 14, 2025 83   Nevada L 58-73 36%     10 - 15 5 - 10 -11.1 -4.9 -8.3
  Feb 19, 2025 55   @ Utah St. L 57-105 11%     10 - 16 5 - 11 -34.6 -11.2 -25.4
  Feb 22, 2025 176   @ Wyoming W 82-73 44%     11 - 16 6 - 11 +10.9 +10.7 +0.1
  Feb 25, 2025 92   UNLV L 71-77 40%     11 - 17 6 - 12 -3.2 -0.3 -2.7
  Mar 04, 2025 53   @ Colorado St. L 56-83 11%     11 - 18 6 - 13 -13.5 -8.9 -5.7
  Mar 08, 2025 258   Fresno St. W 92-68 78%     12 - 18 7 - 13 +16.0 +13.1 +1.9
  Mar 12, 2025 176   Wyoming W 69-68 54%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 99.9
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.3%
Lose Out 45.3%