Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.0 251
Expected Predictive Rating -6.9 273
Pace 69.0 172
Improvement +1.9 110

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #236 C- C- C D+ D-
Defense C- #254 D+ D+ C F+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 304 63% 73 -0.9 213
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 25 36% 236 +3.2 42
Three Pointers 35% 300 33% 220 -3.4 297
1st FG Attempt 1.00 207 -1.0 208
Second Chance 26.8% 285 1.05 147 0.28 249
Turnovers 17.0% 188
Freethrows 0.27 291 74% 124 0.20 259
Total Offense -2.5 236

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 121 61% 277 -2.8 273
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 137 42% 316 -1.3 287
Three Pointers 38% 278 33% 162 +2.0 98
1st FG Attempt 1.06 249 -2.1 248
Second Chance 28.0% 83 1.24 363 0.35 268
Turnovers 17.2% 166
Freethrows 0.37 330 75% 331 0.28 343
Total Defense -2.5 254

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -1.5 339 +0.0 174
Shot Type Accuracy +0.6 152 +2.0 260
Possession Length 17.5 202 16.7 82
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 242 0.20 267
Improvement -0.4 #213 +2.3 #63

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 15.9
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 6% 11% 1%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 4% 1% 7%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Home) - 53.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 32 - 102 - 17
Quad 47 - 49 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 43 @San Diego St. L 45 - 77 4% -13  7% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -20 F D+ F B +4 A- F A-
 Sat, Nov 8 140 @Fresno St. L 62 - 82 19% -10  13% 0 - 2 F+ -16 F -10 D- F+ D- D+ -5 F B A-
 Wed, Nov 12 115 @Pacific L 66 - 69 15% +3  64% 0 - 3 C+ +3 D -5 D- B+ D- B+ +8 A+ F B+
 Sun, Nov 16 94 Illinois St. L 80 - 82 24% -4  8% 0 - 4 C +0 B+ +9 A- B- A+ D- -9 C+ B+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 162 Montana St. L 72 - 78 43% -3  5% 0 - 5 D -9 D+ -4 C D+ C D -6 C D- D-
 Wed, Nov 26 206 @Portland L 73 - 93 30% -11  0% 0 - 6 F -20 D+ -3 D+ D+ C- F -16 F C B-
 Sun, Nov 30 216 San Diego W 76 - 72 54% -1  26% 1 - 6 C- -2 B- +5 C+ A+ A+ D -7 D F A+
 Thu, Dec 4 133 @UC Santa Barbara L 77 - 84 OT 18% -1  25% 1 - 7 0 - 1 C- -2 D+ -3 F A+ C C+ +1 C+ A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 139 UC San Diego L 74 - 80 38% -4  13% 1 - 8 0 - 2 D+ -8 C+ +2 B D- B+ F+ -10 F A C
 Tue, Dec 9 236 @San Jose St. L 83 - 89 OT 36% -1  28% 1 - 9 D+ -7 B- +4 D+ A- D- F -12 F F C+
 Thu, Dec 18 291 Pepperdine W 81 - 78 71% -2  28% 2 - 9 D+ -8 C+ +2 B+ D A- F+ -10 F F A+
 Sun, Dec 21 8 @Iowa St. L 60 - 91 1% -29  0% 2 - 10 D+ -7 D -5 C- F A- C -0 C- C- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 265 Cal Poly W 74 - 66 65% +10  95% 3 - 10 1 - 2 C -1 F+ -8 C- D- C- B+ +7 A+ D- F
 Thu, Jan 8 119 @UC Irvine L 64 - 74 15% -7  17% 3 - 11 1 - 3 C- -4 D -5 B- F C- C+ +1 C+ A F+
 Sat, Jan 10 322 Cal St. Bakersfield W 81 - 75 78% +5  71% 4 - 11 2 - 3 D+ -7 D- -6 C C- F+ C -1 F+ A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 15 293 UC Riverside W 88 - 73 71% +10  92% 5 - 11 3 - 3 C+ +4 A- +11 A+ C- A- D -6 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 186 @Cal St. Northridge W 87 - 80 27% +0  54% 6 - 11 4 - 3 B +8 C+ +2 B D- C- B +5 A+ F B-
 Thu, Jan 22 210 @Cal St. Fullerton L 61 - 71 31% -11  0% 6 - 12 4 - 4 D -10 F -11 D- F F C+ +1 F B+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 133 UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 74 36% -8  0% 6 - 13 4 - 5 C- -4 C +0 B- F A D+ -5 C+ D F
 Thu, Jan 29 293 @UC Riverside L 61 - 71 49% -0  47% 6 - 14 4 - 6 F+ -15 F -15 F C+ F C+ +0 C+ F+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 102 Hawaii L 82 - 89 25% -4  28% 6 - 15 4 - 7 D+ -5 B+ +9 C- A+ B- F -14 F C C-
 Thu, Feb 5 139 @UC San Diego L 74 - 77 19% +1  52% 6 - 16 4 - 8 C +1 D+ -2 B F C B- +4 C+ D- A+
 Thu, Feb 12 210 Cal St. Fullerton W 79 - 78 53%
 Sat, Feb 14 180 @UC Davis L 72 - 79 27%
 Thu, Feb 19 119 UC Irvine L 69 - 74 33%
 Sat, Feb 21 186 Cal St. Northridge L 80 - 81 48%
 Thu, Feb 26 265 @Cal Poly L 81 - 83 42%
 Sat, Feb 28 322 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 77 - 75 58%
 Thu, Mar 5 180 UC Davis L 75 - 76 48%
 Sun, Mar 8 102 @Hawaii L 66 - 79 11%
Totals 9 - 21 7 - 13 -5 C- -2 C- C- C C- -3 D+ D+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B- C- C- C 34% 30% 35% D- C- D+ C+ C- C D C+ D+ C- D+ D C D+ 41% 22% 38% C D+ B- F D+ C D- D- F+
1.05 63% 36% 33% +1 -2 1.00 27% 1.0 .28 17% .27 74% .20 1.12 61% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 28% 1.2 .35 17% .37 75% .20
Nov
4		 San Diego St. F D D- F F 37% 22% 41% C F B F D+ F F F F B A A+ F A 43% 20% 37% F A- D+ F F A- D+ C+ C-
0.63 50% 27% 20% -14 0 0.73 32% 0.6 .18 29% .10 40% .04 1.08 50% 0% 47% -3 0 0.96 34% 1.5 .51 21% .34 74% .25
Nov
8		 Fresno St. F D+ B F D- 30% 26% 43% D- D- D- F+ F+ D- A+ A- A+ D+ F F F F 40% 9% 51% D- F F+ A+ B A- F C F
0.87 57% 42% 20% -8 -1 0.83 22% 0.9 .19 22% .41 78% .32 1.15 71% 50% 41% +11 +2 1.28 36% 0.6 .21 22% .50 75% .38
Nov
12		 Pacific D D+ D D- D 27% 31% 43% D+ D- B- A B+ D- B F D+ B+ D+ A- A+ A+ 47% 14% 40% F+ A+ C- F F B+ F B- F
0.96 54% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.86 28% 1.3 .35 19% .38 57% .22 1.01 60% 33% 12% -13 +1 0.79 35% 1.3 .46 23% .57 73% .42
Nov
16		 Illinois St. B+ A D A+ A 29% 35% 36% D- A- C+ C+ B- A+ D+ F F+ D- D+ F+ A C+ 43% 24% 33% C- C+ A+ F B+ F F F F
1.18 69% 32% 45% +7 -2 1.11 28% 1.0 .28 9% .29 56% .16 1.21 65% 45% 27% +1 0 1.04 16% 1.4 .23 9% .63 79% .50
Nov
21		 Montana St. D+ A- D+ B B 28% 46% 26% F C C- D- D+ C B- C+ B- D F B+ B C- 32% 32% 36% B C A F D- D- D- C+ D-
1.04 67% 36% 36% +2 -4 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 16% .29 76% .22 1.13 71% 35% 32% +2 -2 1.02 22% 1.7 .38 13% .32 74% .23
Nov
26		 Portland D+ C+ C F D 34% 17% 49% C D+ D B- D+ C- B D+ B- F F F F F 70% 11% 19% F F A+ F C B- D F F
1.02 61% 33% 27% -5 0 0.92 27% 1.1 .30 18% .34 70% .24 1.30 76% 80% 44% +20 +4 1.49 18% 2.0 .35 21% .33 89% .30
Nov
30		 San Diego B- B- B+ C B- 34% 30% 36% F C+ B- A+ A+ A+ F F F D F F+ B D- 35% 24% 41% C+ D F F F A+ A F B+
1.21 65% 47% 33% +5 -2 1.08 39% 1.5 .58 11% .18 50% .09 1.14 75% 45% 32% +6 -1 1.13 46% 1.4 .65 24% .15 86% .12
Dec
4		 UC Santa Barbara D+ D+ F C- F 16% 40% 44% F F A A A+ C B A- A- C+ B- F D- D 15% 43% 43% A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.04 56% 23% 33% -7 -4 0.80 39% 1.3 .50 18% .40 79% .31 1.14 57% 50% 40% +9 -5 1.11 28% 0.4 .13 19% .64 84% .54
Dec
6		 UC San Diego C+ B A- C B+ 29% 23% 48% D B D F+ D- B+ F C F F+ D- B- F F 45% 13% 43% C- F A+ A A C F F F
1.09 63% 46% 33% +3 -1 1.05 25% 0.9 .22 13% .17 70% .12 1.18 67% 33% 45% +10 +1 1.26 18% 0.8 .14 16% .44 76% .33
Dec
9		 San Jose St. B- B C F D+ 40% 25% 35% D D+ A+ D A- D- D+ A+ C F C F F F 36% 28% 36% D+ F A F F C+ F C F
1.17 67% 38% 28% 0 0 1.02 50% 1.1 .53 21% .25 86% .21 1.25 56% 64% 44% +12 -1 1.24 26% 1.9 .48 17% .46 74% .34
Dec
18		 Pepperdine C+ B- F A+ A 50% 33% 17% F+ B+ F A+ D A- B A- A- F+ F F C F 29% 29% 43% A- F B+ F F A+ A D A
1.16 62% 29% 67% +7 -1 1.15 17% 1.6 .28 13% .31 79% .25 1.12 86% 57% 33% +13 -2 1.24 24% 2.0 .48 26% .19 80% .15
Dec
21		 Iowa St. D A+ B F C- 28% 35% 37% D C- F+ F F A- F+ C F+ C F+ A- F D 35% 31% 35% A+ C- C+ D C- C+ B A+ A+
0.81 75% 40% 14% -5 -3 0.86 18% 0.6 .10 19% .17 70% .12 1.24 74% 29% 53% +12 -2 1.24 38% 1.2 .44 16% .29 44% .13
Jan
3		 Cal Poly F+ A+ F F C- 47% 26% 26% D+ C- F A D- C- C D+ C B+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 8% 56% C+ A+ A F D- F F A- F+
1.04 76% 29% 21% +1 0 1.04 21% 1.3 .27 17% .29 71% .20 0.93 35% 0% 30% -15 +1 0.75 22% 1.6 .36 15% .42 72% .30
Jan
8		 UC Irvine D C- A- C B+ 37% 41% 22% F B- F F F C- D B+ C- C+ C D- A+ C+ 46% 32% 22% C C+ A B- A F+ F F F
0.90 50% 45% 33% 0 -3 0.96 19% 0.3 .05 18% .22 77% .17 1.04 57% 44% 18% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.0 .22 13% .45 79% .35
Jan
10		 Cal St. Bakersfield D- C+ F+ A+ B- 35% 31% 33% F C F A+ C- F+ A+ B A+ C F A+ C- D- 45% 26% 28% F F+ A+ A+ A+ C- B- F D+
1.07 59% 33% 44% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.6 .37 21% .49 76% .37 0.99 71% 14% 33% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.6 .14 19% .32 85% .28
Jan
15		 UC Riverside A- B+ A A+ A+ 41% 33% 25% F+ A+ D+ C+ C- A- C C+ C D C A+ A+ A+ 48% 22% 30% C- A+ F+ F F F F F+ F
1.30 67% 53% 54% +16 -1 1.31 29% 1.0 .29 12% .33 70% .23 1.07 58% 17% 19% -12 0 0.80 33% 1.2 .38 10% .39 79% .31
Jan
17		 Cal St. Northridge C+ A+ C- C+ B+ 26% 20% 54% D+ B F B+ D- C- A+ A- A+ B A- B- A+ A+ 56% 11% 33% F+ A+ D F F B- F F+ F
1.10 79% 36% 34% +5 -1 1.11 18% 1.3 .24 16% .42 82% .35 1.01 47% 33% 22% -13 +2 0.81 37% 1.3 .46 19% .45 72% .33
Jan
22		 Cal St. Fullerton F B D D- D 27% 20% 53% D D- D F F F B- B+ B C+ F F A+ F 34% 27% 39% A- F A- B+ B+ B+ C- F D
0.90 67% 33% 29% -2 -1 0.96 26% 0.6 .14 25% .33 76% .25 1.04 73% 75% 24% +9 -1 1.18 19% 0.8 .15 19% .35 79% .27
Jan
24		 UC Santa Barbara C B B B- B 38% 23% 40% C- B- F C- F A D- A+ C D+ B+ B F B- 52% 19% 29% D- C+ B- F D F C+ A B
1.13 67% 45% 37% +7 0 1.15 15% 1.0 .15 13% .29 88% .26 1.18 52% 33% 50% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.2 .37 13% .29 69% .20
Jan
29		 UC Riverside F F+ A- F F 48% 26% 26% C- F B- C- C+ F B F C C+ F C- A+ C+ 37% 20% 43% C C+ F D+ F+ C F A- F
0.88 50% 50% 17% -7 0 0.87 34% 0.9 .32 23% .38 60% .23 1.03 68% 40% 23% -3 0 0.96 36% 0.9 .33 19% .48 67% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Hawaii B+ B- F+ D- C 31% 36% 33% F C- A+ A+ A+ B- B- A+ A- F C+ F F F 40% 30% 30% A+ F A+ F C C- F F+ F
1.14 59% 30% 28% -6 -3 0.85 40% 1.6 .63 15% .33 80% .26 1.23 58% 57% 57% +16 -1 1.32 20% 1.6 .32 18% .49 79% .39
Feb
5		 UC San Diego D+ A+ D- B+ A- 28% 36% 36% F B F A+ F C B A+ A B- A D+ F+ B- 47% 11% 43% D C+ F+ D D- A+ F D- F
0.99 73% 32% 37% +4 -3 1.04 3% 2.0 .06 16% .32 85% .27 1.03 45% 40% 40% -2 +2 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 24% .51 72% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 2.6 0.2 4.8 6th
7th 0.4 4.0 6.6 1.1 12.2 7th
8th 0.1 3.1 14.3 15.3 3.9 0.0 36.8 8th
9th 0.3 5.9 15.7 11.1 2.2 0.1 35.2 9th
10th 1.3 3.9 2.0 0.2 7.5 10th
11th 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.0 11th
Total 2.2 10.3 20.8 25.9 21.6 12.8 5.2 1.2 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.1% 0.1
11-9 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.1
10-10 5.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 5.1
9-11 12.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.7
8-12 21.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 21.5
7-13 25.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 25.9
6-14 20.8% 20.8
5-15 10.3% 10.3
4-16 2.2% 2.2
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.2%