Portland
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#325
Expected Predictive Rating-10.2#321
Pace70.8#124
Improvement-0.9#248

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#318
First Shot-1.2#205
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#353
Layup/Dunks-4.7#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#97
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#116
Freethrows+0.1#174
Improvement+1.6#65

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#305
First Shot-4.3#316
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#167
Layups/Dunks-0.9#205
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#312
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#346
Freethrows+4.0#5
Improvement-2.5#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 48.0% 43.0% 52.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 44.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 50 - 10
Quad 31 - 71 - 17
Quad 45 - 76 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 138   UC Santa Barbara L 53-94 24%     0 - 1 -42.8 -22.9 -18.7
  Nov 12, 2024 23   @ Oregon L 70-80 OT 2%     0 - 2 +7.0 -3.8 +12.1
  Nov 16, 2024 261   @ Long Beach St. W 63-61 26%     1 - 2 -0.5 -2.6 +2.4
  Nov 21, 2024 180   South Florida L 68-74 21%     1 - 3 -7.0 -6.7 -0.2
  Nov 22, 2024 149   Ohio L 73-85 18%     1 - 4 -11.6 -9.9 -0.4
  Nov 24, 2024 117   Princeton L 67-94 13%     1 - 5 -24.2 -10.0 -12.7
  Dec 01, 2024 318   Denver W 101-90 2OT 60%     2 - 5 -0.8 -0.6 -2.6
  Dec 06, 2024 113   @ Kent St. L 57-76 8%     2 - 6 -12.6 -5.1 -9.0
  Dec 10, 2024 240   UMKC L 64-69 42%     2 - 7 -12.3 -7.7 -4.9
  Dec 18, 2024 229   Cal St. Bakersfield L 64-81 39%     2 - 8 -23.6 -4.7 -20.9
  Dec 21, 2024 246   Lafayette L 68-70 44%    
  Dec 28, 2024 77   Washington St. L 69-82 10%    
  Dec 30, 2024 65   @ Oregon St. L 58-79 2%    
  Jan 02, 2025 4   @ Gonzaga L 62-94 0.1%   
  Jan 04, 2025 43   St. Mary's L 59-76 6%    
  Jan 09, 2025 59   @ San Francisco L 59-81 2%    
  Jan 16, 2025 277   Pacific L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 77   @ Washington St. L 66-85 4%    
  Jan 23, 2025 319   San Diego W 75-72 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 4   Gonzaga L 65-91 1%    
  Jan 30, 2025 165   @ Loyola Marymount L 64-76 14%    
  Feb 01, 2025 237   @ Pepperdine L 70-78 23%    
  Feb 06, 2025 72   Santa Clara L 68-82 10%    
  Feb 13, 2025 65   Oregon St. L 61-76 9%    
  Feb 15, 2025 165   Loyola Marymount L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 19, 2025 43   @ St. Mary's L 56-79 2%    
  Feb 22, 2025 277   @ Pacific L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 27, 2025 237   Pepperdine L 73-75 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 319   @ San Diego L 72-75 38%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.7 5.5 3.9 1.1 0.1 12.3 8th
9th 0.1 3.8 9.9 6.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 21.0 9th
10th 0.6 6.9 14.0 6.3 0.8 0.0 28.5 10th
11th 3.5 11.3 12.3 4.9 0.4 0.0 32.5 11th
Total 3.5 11.9 19.3 22.7 18.3 12.9 6.9 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.4% 0.4
8-10 1.1% 1.1
7-11 3.0% 3.0
6-12 6.9% 6.9
5-13 12.9% 12.9
4-14 18.3% 18.3
3-15 22.7% 22.7
2-16 19.3% 19.3
1-17 11.9% 11.9
0-18 3.5% 3.5
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.4%