Portland
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#299
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#280
Pace69.4#150
Improvement+4.5#28

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#225
First Shot+2.5#105
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#357
Layup/Dunks-1.8#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#145
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#80
Freethrows+0.4#158
Improvement+7.2#1

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#336
First Shot-6.1#344
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#157
Layups/Dunks-0.1#169
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#339
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#358
Freethrows+3.8#6
Improvement-2.7#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 0.6% 11.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Home) - 10.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 7
Quad 20 - 40 - 10
Quad 31 - 71 - 17
Quad 47 - 58 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 158   UC Santa Barbara L 53-94 29%     0 - 1 -43.1 -23.3 -18.5
  Nov 12, 2024 45   @ Oregon L 70-80 OT 3%     0 - 2 +4.1 -5.2 +10.5
  Nov 16, 2024 305   @ Long Beach St. W 63-61 42%     1 - 2 -3.7 -5.0 +1.5
  Nov 21, 2024 177   South Florida L 68-74 25%     1 - 3 -6.8 -5.5 -1.2
  Nov 22, 2024 168   Ohio L 73-85 23%     1 - 4 -12.0 -8.5 -2.1
  Nov 24, 2024 129   Princeton L 67-94 18%     1 - 5 -25.1 -9.3 -14.2
  Dec 01, 2024 331   Denver W 101-90 2OT 70%     2 - 5 -2.1 -0.7 -3.8
  Dec 06, 2024 148   @ Kent St. L 57-76 15%     2 - 6 -15.6 -5.9 -11.2
  Dec 10, 2024 235   UMKC L 64-69 46%     2 - 7 -11.8 -6.5 -5.5
  Dec 18, 2024 258   Cal St. Bakersfield L 64-81 51%     2 - 8 -25.0 -6.3 -20.8
  Dec 21, 2024 281   Lafayette W 74-64 56%     3 - 8 +0.8 -2.8 +3.5
  Dec 28, 2024 103   Washington St. L 73-89 18%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -14.0 -2.6 -10.6
  Dec 30, 2024 76   @ Oregon St. L 79-89 6%     3 - 10 0 - 2 +0.0 +16.6 -17.5
  Jan 02, 2025 11   @ Gonzaga L 50-81 1%     3 - 11 0 - 3 -10.8 -15.3 +4.2
  Jan 04, 2025 31   St. Mary's L 58-81 5%     3 - 12 0 - 4 -11.4 -5.6 -6.9
  Jan 09, 2025 72   @ San Francisco L 72-81 6%     3 - 13 0 - 5 +1.1 +9.5 -8.9
  Jan 16, 2025 302   Pacific W 84-81 OT 61%     4 - 13 1 - 5 -7.5 +3.9 -11.4
  Jan 18, 2025 103   @ Washington St. L 70-92 9%     4 - 14 1 - 6 -15.0 -3.2 -10.7
  Jan 23, 2025 311   San Diego W 92-82 63%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -1.1 +13.2 -14.5
  Jan 25, 2025 11   Gonzaga L 62-105 3%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -27.7 -5.6 -22.7
  Jan 30, 2025 136   @ Loyola Marymount L 63-88 14%     5 - 16 2 - 8 -21.0 -5.7 -15.5
  Feb 01, 2025 217   @ Pepperdine W 84-64 25%     6 - 16 3 - 8 +19.3 +14.7 +5.4
  Feb 06, 2025 64   Santa Clara L 70-84 11%    
  Feb 13, 2025 76   Oregon St. L 67-80 13%    
  Feb 15, 2025 136   Loyola Marymount L 69-76 29%    
  Feb 19, 2025 31   @ St. Mary's L 57-81 1%    
  Feb 22, 2025 302   @ Pacific L 73-75 40%    
  Feb 27, 2025 217   Pepperdine L 75-77 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 311   @ San Diego L 76-78 41%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 6th
7th 0.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 2.0 7th
8th 2.8 14.1 14.7 4.9 0.3 36.6 8th
9th 2.0 23.0 16.7 3.1 0.1 44.9 9th
10th 9.5 4.9 0.3 14.7 10th
11th 1.4 0.0 1.4 11th
Total 12.8 30.7 31.1 17.9 6.4 1.0 0.2 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.2% 0.2
8-10 1.0% 1.0
7-11 6.4% 6.4
6-12 17.9% 17.9
5-13 31.1% 31.1
4-14 30.7% 30.7
3-15 12.8% 12.8
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 12.8%