Portland
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#256
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#197
Pace73.7#69
Improvement-0.8#231

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#265
First Shot-3.2#262
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#201
Layup/Dunks+7.3#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#292
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#326
Freethrows-2.8#327
Improvement+0.2#163

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#227
First Shot-0.7#187
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#271
Layups/Dunks+0.6#152
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#342
Freethrows+1.1#107
Improvement-1.0#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 1.9% 3.8% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 4.2% 8.3% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.8% 21.9% 44.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 38.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 61 - 10
Quad 33 - 74 - 17
Quad 46 - 310 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-74 84%     1 - 0 -6.8 -8.9 +0.8
  Sun, Nov 9 176 UC Davis W 67-63 46%     2 - 0 -0.2 -7.6 +7.5
  Sat, Nov 15 103 @Wyoming L 56-93 12%     2 - 1 -29.3 -13.8 -15.3
  Fri, Nov 21 242 Cal St. Fullerton W 103-85 59%     3 - 1 +10.3 +15.3 -6.9
  Sat, Nov 22 171 Northern Colorado L 80-86 OT 44%     3 - 2 -9.7 -6.2 -2.7
  Sun, Nov 23 135 St. Thomas L 66-76 35%     3 - 3 -11.3 -9.4 -1.7
  Wed, Nov 26 275 Long Beach St. W 93-73 65%     4 - 3 +10.8 +11.9 -1.6
  Mon, Dec 1 81 @Stanford L 72-94 9%     4 - 4 -12.1 +4.8 -17.1
  Sun, Dec 14 124 Kent St. W 88-78 33%     5 - 4 +9.4 +1.2 +6.8
  Wed, Dec 17 56 @Oregon L 69-94 6%     5 - 5 -12.8 -7.0 -3.1
  Mon, Dec 22 150 @UC Santa Barbara L 61-79 20%     5 - 6 -14.3 -6.8 -9.3
  Sun, Dec 28 149 Washington St. L 75-78 39%    
  Tue, Dec 30 86 Santa Clara L 73-82 20%    
  Fri, Jan 2 44 @St. Mary's L 62-82 3%    
  Sun, Jan 4 95 @San Francisco L 67-81 10%    
  Thu, Jan 8 138 Pacific L 72-76 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 154 Oregon St. L 71-74 40%    
  Wed, Jan 14 262 @Pepperdine L 71-74 40%    
  Sat, Jan 17 123 @Loyola Marymount L 65-76 16%    
  Sat, Jan 24 44 St. Mary's L 65-79 10%    
  Wed, Jan 28 138 @Pacific L 69-79 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 149 @Washington St. L 72-81 20%    
  Wed, Feb 4 6 Gonzaga L 68-92 2%    
  Sat, Feb 7 112 Seattle L 70-76 30%    
  Wed, Feb 11 260 @San Diego L 77-80 40%    
  Wed, Feb 18 262 Pepperdine W 74-71 62%    
  Sat, Feb 21 112 @Seattle L 67-79 15%    
  Wed, Feb 25 6 @Gonzaga L 65-95 0.3%   
  Sat, Feb 28 260 San Diego W 80-77 61%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.3 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.3 0.9 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.6 4.1 6.5 2.1 0.1 13.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 5.8 9.4 3.4 0.3 20.0 10th
11th 0.1 2.1 7.9 9.5 3.8 0.4 0.0 23.7 11th
12th 1.1 4.5 8.1 7.0 2.4 0.2 0.0 23.3 12th
Total 1.1 4.6 10.2 15.9 18.3 17.8 13.6 9.1 5.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.3% 0.3
10-8 1.1% 1.1
9-9 2.6% 2.6
8-10 5.2% 5.2
7-11 9.1% 9.1
6-12 13.6% 13.6
5-13 17.8% 17.8
4-14 18.3% 18.3
3-15 15.9% 15.9
2-16 10.2% 10.2
1-17 4.6% 4.6
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%