Portland
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#270
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#234
Pace71.7#129
Improvement+0.8#121

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#245
First Shot-1.9#227
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#236
Layup/Dunks+5.4#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#289
Freethrows-2.0#285
Improvement+2.7#12

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#274
First Shot-0.8#199
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#312
Layups/Dunks+1.9#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#341
Freethrows+0.2#174
Improvement-2.0#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 2.0% 4.9% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 4.1% 6.1% 3.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 33.1% 27.5% 35.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 28.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 61 - 10
Quad 32 - 73 - 17
Quad 47 - 49 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 358 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-74 85%     1 - 0 -8.1 -9.4 -0.2
  Sun, Nov 9 168 UC Davis W 67-63 42%     2 - 0 +0.1 -5.5 +5.6
  Sat, Nov 15 106 @Wyoming L 56-93 11%     2 - 1 -29.7 -12.5 -17.0
  Fri, Nov 21 303 Cal St. Fullerton W 103-85 68%     3 - 1 +7.1 +13.6 -8.4
  Sat, Nov 22 151 Northern Colorado L 80-86 OT 37%     3 - 2 -8.7 -4.6 -3.4
  Sun, Nov 23 166 St. Thomas L 66-76 41%     3 - 3 -13.8 -10.4 -3.2
  Wed, Nov 26 286 Long Beach St. W 93-73 64%     4 - 3 +10.2 +12.9 -3.1
  Mon, Dec 1 84 @Stanford L 72-94 8%     4 - 4 -12.4 +4.8 -17.3
  Sun, Dec 14 122 Kent St. L 79-85 29%    
  Wed, Dec 17 80 @Oregon L 67-83 6%    
  Mon, Dec 22 148 @UC Santa Barbara L 70-80 19%    
  Sun, Dec 28 158 Washington St. L 77-80 39%    
  Tue, Dec 30 55 Santa Clara L 70-83 12%    
  Fri, Jan 2 42 @St. Mary's L 61-82 3%    
  Sun, Jan 4 99 @San Francisco L 67-81 10%    
  Thu, Jan 8 139 Pacific L 71-76 34%    
  Sat, Jan 10 163 Oregon St. L 71-73 41%    
  Wed, Jan 14 298 @Pepperdine L 72-73 44%    
  Sat, Jan 17 143 @Loyola Marymount L 66-76 17%    
  Sat, Jan 24 42 St. Mary's L 64-79 9%    
  Wed, Jan 28 139 @Pacific L 68-79 17%    
  Sat, Jan 31 158 @Washington St. L 74-83 21%    
  Wed, Feb 4 4 Gonzaga L 65-90 1%    
  Sat, Feb 7 114 Seattle L 69-76 28%    
  Wed, Feb 11 262 @San Diego L 78-81 39%    
  Wed, Feb 18 298 Pepperdine W 75-70 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 114 @Seattle L 66-79 14%    
  Wed, Feb 25 4 @Gonzaga L 62-93 0.2%   
  Sat, Feb 28 262 San Diego W 81-78 59%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.2 2.9 6th
7th 0.4 2.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.4 3.8 0.9 0.1 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.3 1.8 0.1 14.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.6 7.2 8.8 2.7 0.2 20.5 10th
11th 0.2 3.0 9.2 8.8 2.6 0.2 23.9 11th
12th 1.3 5.0 7.9 5.6 1.5 0.1 21.3 12th
Total 1.3 5.2 10.8 16.4 18.5 17.1 13.0 8.7 4.9 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.4% 0.4
10-8 1.1% 1.1
9-9 2.5% 2.5
8-10 4.9% 4.9
7-11 8.7% 8.7
6-12 13.0% 13.0
5-13 17.1% 17.1
4-14 18.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.5
3-15 16.4% 16.4
2-16 10.8% 10.8
1-17 5.2% 5.2
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%