Seattle
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.7 #121
Expected Predictive Rating +3.9 #106
Pace 69.5 #166
Improvement -1.4 #255

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #278 C+ F C D+ B-
Defense #36 B B- A+ C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #76 1.19 #144 +2.9 #88
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #223 0.74 #188 -1.1 #230
Three Pointers 40% #213 1.06 #120 +0.1 #176
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #122 +2.0 #122
Freethrows 16.0 #254 71% #235 11.4 #261
Second Chance 25.5% #313 0.81 #361 0.21 #357
Turnovers 16.7% #195
Total Offense -3.7 #278

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #145 1.04 #51 +1.4 #129
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #125 0.79 #232 -0.9 #252
Three Pointers 38% #266 0.91 #61 +3.5 #52
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #60 +4.1 #61
Freethrows 16.6 #146 71% #110 11.8 #136
Second Chance 32.6% #263 0.90 #28 0.29 #110
Turnovers 20.9% #14
Total Defense +6.4 #36

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #107 -0.1% #150
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.5% #137 -7.9% #48
Possession Length 16.5 #98 17.7 #245
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #293 0.14 #78
Improvement -4.2 #354 +2.8 #39

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.6 11.8
.500 or above 97.5% 99.6% 95.9%
.500 or above in Conference 51.6% 70.1% 38.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.3% 2.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pacific (Away) - 42.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 23 - 6
Quad 35 - 57 - 11
Quad 411 - 218 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 280 Denver W 84 - 73 87% +6  1 - 0 +1 -7 F F D- +8 A C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 281 Cal Poly L 71 - 73 87% +4  1 - 1 -12 -12 B- F F +1 C- C A+
 Wed, Nov 12 243 Eastern Washington W 94 - 67 83% +15  2 - 1 +19 +11 A+ C- F +7 B- A+ B
 Sat, Nov 15 219 Idaho St. W 83 - 74 81% +9  3 - 1 +3 +15 A+ A- F -11 C F A-
 Fri, Nov 21 77 @Stanford W 77 - 69 23% -2  4 - 1 +19 +7 B+ C- D+ +11 A+ A- C+
 Fri, Nov 28 263 Texas St. W 66 - 52 79% +5  5 - 1 +8 +2 B+ F A +8 C A+ A
 Sat, Nov 29 144 UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 74 57% -1  5 - 2 -2 +3 B+ F A- -6 C- F A+
 Sun, Dec 7 256 UTEP W 75 - 68 84% +1  6 - 2 -1 +3 B+ C C- -4 C- D+ A-
 Wed, Dec 17 181 @UC Davis W 79 - 78 55% +4  7 - 2 +3 +3 C C+ F -0 F A+ C
 Fri, Dec 19 47 Washington W 70 - 66 31% -2  8 - 2 +12 -6 C F D- +17 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 345 @Texas San Antonio W 71 - 68 86% +4  9 - 2 -6 -9 F F D +3 F B+ A+
 Sun, Dec 28 101 San Francisco L 59 - 67 54% -4  9 - 3 0 - 1 -6 -14 F F A+ +7 A+ D D+
 Tue, Dec 30 141 Washington St. W 69 - 55 67% +6  10 - 3 1 - 1 +12 -5 B F D+ +17 A+ C+ A+
 Fri, Jan 2 6 @Gonzaga L 72 - 80 OT 4% +6  10 - 4 1 - 2 +16 +5 B+ C+ B +12 A+ A+ B
 Sun, Jan 4 42 @St. Mary's L 76 - 93 13% -0  10 - 5 1 - 3 -2 +17 A+ D- A+ -21 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 195 @Oregon St. L 55 - 68 58% -2  10 - 6 1 - 4 -12 -16 F F D +4 A+ F B+
 Thu, Jan 15 209 San Diego W 75 - 64 80% +6  11 - 6 2 - 4 +5 -4 A F C +8 B+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 6 Gonzaga L 50 - 71 9% -8  11 - 7 2 - 5 -3 -14 D- C- F +11 A+ C- A+
 Wed, Jan 21 155 Loyola Marymount W 69 - 59 70% +12  12 - 7 3 - 5 +7 -1 C D- A+ +8 D A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 132 @Pacific L 67 - 69 42%
 Wed, Jan 28 141 @Washington St. L 71 - 72 45%
 Wed, Feb 4 279 Pepperdine W 72 - 60 88%
 Sat, Feb 7 210 @Portland W 72 - 69 60%
 Wed, Feb 11 54 @Santa Clara L 66 - 77 16%
 Sun, Feb 15 195 Oregon St. W 71 - 63 77%
 Wed, Feb 18 42 St. Mary's L 64 - 70 28%
 Sat, Feb 21 210 Portland W 75 - 66 79%
 Wed, Feb 25 279 @Pepperdine W 69 - 63 71%
 Sat, Feb 28 155 @Loyola Marymount L 66 - 67 48%
Totals 18 - 11 9 - 9 +3 -4 C+ F C +6 B B- A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 6.6 11.7 6.4 1.1 0.0 26.3 4th
5th 0.1 6.3 12.8 5.3 0.5 0.0 25.0 5th
6th 2.1 11.0 4.2 0.3 17.6 6th
7th 0.3 6.2 5.0 0.3 11.8 7th
8th 1.9 5.1 0.7 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.2 3.4 1.1 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 1.7 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 0.1 1.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.2 7.4 14.7 23.6 23.8 17.5 7.9 2.1 0.2 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.2% 0.2
12-6 2.1% 1.4% 1.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 2.1
11-7 7.9% 1.1% 1.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 7.8
10-8 17.5% 0.7% 0.7% 11.7 0.0 0.1 17.4
9-9 23.8% 0.4% 0.4% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 23.7
8-10 23.6% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 23.6
7-11 14.7% 0.1% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 14.7
6-12 7.4% 7.4
5-13 2.2% 2.2
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 11.7 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%