Seattle
Western Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#147
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#223
Pace65.4#252
Improvement+1.4#137

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#230
First Shot-4.2#293
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#72
Layup/Dunks-5.0#337
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#233
Freethrows+4.1#12
Improvement-5.1#352

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#90
First Shot+0.9#146
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#34
Layups/Dunks-0.8#205
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#120
Freethrows+0.7#131
Improvement+6.5#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% 15.9% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.4% 11.3% 0.0%
First Round8.3% 12.6% 0.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 32 - 4
Quad 30 - 113 - 15
Quad 410 - 312 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 295   @ Eastern Washington L 86-93 71%     0 - 1 -11.9 +8.3 -20.0
  Nov 09, 2024 71   Liberty L 64-66 34%     0 - 2 +3.0 +0.3 +2.6
  Nov 14, 2024 194   @ Cal Poly L 71-75 50%     0 - 3 -3.0 -6.0 +3.1
  Nov 16, 2024 47   @ UC San Diego W 84-71 11%     1 - 3 +27.1 +25.4 +2.6
  Nov 26, 2024 139   Furman L 56-61 49%     1 - 4 -3.8 -10.6 +6.2
  Nov 29, 2024 1   @ Duke L 48-70 1%     1 - 5 +7.4 -10.5 +17.2
  Dec 04, 2024 202   Portland St. W 91-74 72%     2 - 5 +11.8 +22.4 -9.9
  Dec 07, 2024 159   @ UTEP L 72-88 42%     2 - 6 -13.1 +3.1 -16.4
  Dec 17, 2024 154   @ Western Kentucky L 73-86 42%     2 - 7 -10.0 +3.8 -13.8
  Dec 20, 2024 173   Illinois-Chicago L 68-79 66%     2 - 8 -14.4 -9.4 -4.6
  Dec 23, 2024 104   @ Washington W 79-70 29%     3 - 8 +15.7 +7.1 +8.4
  Dec 30, 2024 177   Nicholls St. L 69-71 67%     3 - 9 -5.8 -4.2 -1.6
  Jan 04, 2025 162   @ California Baptist L 59-61 43%     3 - 10 0 - 1 +0.6 -6.8 +7.3
  Jan 11, 2025 210   Abilene Christian W 66-64 73%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -3.6 -0.2 -3.2
  Jan 16, 2025 290   Utah Tech W 82-62 85%     5 - 10 2 - 1 +9.8 +6.9 +3.8
  Jan 18, 2025 304   Southern Utah W 75-52 86%     6 - 10 3 - 1 +12.0 +1.5 +11.3
  Jan 23, 2025 216   @ Texas Arlington L 56-65 54%     6 - 11 3 - 2 -9.3 -9.3 -1.5
  Jan 25, 2025 115   Utah Valley L 66-70 52%     6 - 12 3 - 3 -3.5 -1.9 -1.8
  Jan 30, 2025 94   @ Grand Canyon L 74-83 25%     6 - 13 3 - 4 -0.9 +2.9 -3.2
  Feb 06, 2025 275   Tarleton St. W 91-54 83%     7 - 13 4 - 4 +27.9 +36.1 -1.3
  Feb 08, 2025 216   Texas Arlington W 67-65 74%     8 - 13 5 - 4 -3.8 -5.9 +2.3
  Feb 13, 2025 210   @ Abilene Christian L 59-75 54%     8 - 14 5 - 5 -16.1 -11.4 -4.2
  Feb 15, 2025 275   @ Tarleton St. L 64-67 67%     8 - 15 5 - 6 -6.6 -6.1 -0.4
  Feb 22, 2025 115   @ Utah Valley L 55-61 31%     8 - 16 5 - 7 +0.0 -3.0 +1.8
  Feb 27, 2025 162   California Baptist W 72-48 64%     9 - 16 6 - 7 +21.1 +4.0 +18.9
  Mar 01, 2025 94   Grand Canyon L 60-63 43%     9 - 17 6 - 8 -0.4 -7.2 +6.7
  Mar 06, 2025 304   @ Southern Utah W 62-39 73%     10 - 17 7 - 8 +17.5 -8.5 +27.1
  Mar 08, 2025 290   @ Utah Tech W 70-65 71%     11 - 17 8 - 8 +0.3 -3.6 +4.1
  Mar 13, 2025 210   Abilene Christian W 68-64 64%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.3 10.1 89.6
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 10.1 89.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 10.4% 100.0% 16.0 3.0 97.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 16.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 39.0%
Lose Out 34.6%