Seattle
Western Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#152
Expected Predictive Rating-12.5#328
Pace67.0#254
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#177
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#136
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.9% 13.0% 8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.5 14.2
.500 or above 52.3% 58.4% 31.2%
.500 or above in Conference 72.3% 75.3% 61.8%
Conference Champion 13.1% 14.7% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 3.1% 6.8%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 1.0%
First Round11.6% 12.8% 7.6%
Second Round1.6% 1.8% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Away) - 77.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 66 - 12
Quad 49 - 315 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 228   @ Eastern Washington L 86-93 54%     0 - 1 -7.2 +7.5 -14.6
  Nov 09, 2024 104   Liberty L 64-66 46%     0 - 2 -0.2 -2.9 +2.6
  Nov 14, 2024 333   @ Cal Poly W 77-69 78%    
  Nov 16, 2024 132   @ UC San Diego L 66-70 36%    
  Nov 26, 2024 148   Furman L 71-72 50%    
  Nov 29, 2024 6   @ Duke L 61-81 3%    
  Dec 04, 2024 209   Portland St. W 80-73 73%    
  Dec 07, 2024 194   @ UTEP L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 17, 2024 118   @ Western Kentucky L 74-79 32%    
  Dec 20, 2024 162   Illinois-Chicago W 75-71 62%    
  Dec 23, 2024 79   @ Washington L 67-76 20%    
  Dec 30, 2024 212   Nicholls St. W 73-66 72%    
  Jan 04, 2025 181   @ California Baptist L 67-68 46%    
  Jan 11, 2025 237   Abilene Christian W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 16, 2025 301   Utah Tech W 78-67 83%    
  Jan 18, 2025 214   Southern Utah W 76-69 72%    
  Jan 23, 2025 160   @ Texas Arlington L 75-78 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 124   Utah Valley W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 30, 2025 85   @ Grand Canyon L 66-75 22%    
  Feb 06, 2025 299   Tarleton St. W 74-63 83%    
  Feb 08, 2025 160   Texas Arlington W 78-75 62%    
  Feb 13, 2025 237   @ Abilene Christian W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 299   @ Tarleton St. W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 22, 2025 124   @ Utah Valley L 65-70 33%    
  Feb 27, 2025 181   California Baptist W 70-65 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 85   Grand Canyon L 69-72 40%    
  Mar 06, 2025 214   @ Southern Utah W 73-72 52%    
  Mar 08, 2025 301   @ Utah Tech W 75-70 66%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 4.1 3.1 1.4 0.3 13.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.2 6.2 5.6 2.0 0.3 17.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.6 7.3 4.0 0.9 0.0 17.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.2 6.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 15.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.6 5.3 1.9 0.1 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.4 3.9 1.3 0.1 9.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.5 2.6 0.8 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.9 5.0 7.3 10.3 12.8 13.6 13.6 11.8 9.3 6.1 3.4 1.4 0.3 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.4    1.3 0.1
14-2 90.7% 3.1    2.5 0.6
13-3 66.2% 4.1    2.4 1.5 0.1
12-4 30.5% 2.9    1.0 1.3 0.5 0.0
11-5 10.9% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 13.1% 13.1 7.7 4.1 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 64.9% 58.4% 6.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.6%
15-1 1.4% 48.7% 48.7% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7
14-2 3.4% 38.5% 38.5% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.1
13-3 6.1% 33.8% 33.8% 13.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.1
12-4 9.3% 23.8% 23.8% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 7.1
11-5 11.8% 18.9% 18.9% 14.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 9.6
10-6 13.6% 11.2% 11.2% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 12.1
9-7 13.6% 6.5% 6.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 12.7
8-8 12.8% 3.7% 3.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 12.3
7-9 10.3% 1.7% 1.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.1
6-10 7.3% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.2
5-11 5.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.9
4-12 2.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-13 1.5% 1.5
2-14 0.6% 0.6
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.9% 11.8% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.5 3.1 2.1 1.0 88.2 0.0%