Denver
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.5 257
Expected Predictive Rating -4.8 238
Pace 70.4 131
Improvement +2.6 78

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- #97 C C+ B C+ D-
Defense D- #359 D- D- F+ C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 322 55% 264 -4.4 326
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 58 42% 68 +3.6 37
Three Pointers 40% 208 37% 50 +1.4 132
1st FG Attempt 1.03 156 +0.6 154
Second Chance 29.3% 217 1.15 46 0.34 118
Turnovers 14.6% 43
Freethrows 0.30 199 77% 32 0.23 136
Total Offense +3.0 97

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 45 63% 314 -5.6 347
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 298 37% 133 +1.7 59
Three Pointers 39% 236 37% 318 -1.0 234
1st FG Attempt 1.12 326 -4.9 325
Second Chance 35.1% 330 1.12 311 0.39 341
Turnovers 13.0% 351
Freethrows 0.31 216 70% 64 0.22 186
Total Defense -8.5 359

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -1.3 326 +0.9 324
Shot Type Accuracy +1.8 108 +3.8 318
Possession Length 17.3 173 16.6 60
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 339 0.21 296
Improvement -1.1 #254 +3.7 #22

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 5% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 16.0
.500 or above 2% 5% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 48% 69% 29%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four3% 3% 3%
First Round3% 4% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Home) - 48.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 32 - 6
Quad 33 - 55 - 10
Quad 47 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 132 @Seattle L 73 - 84 17% -6  7% 0 - 1 D+ -6 C- -1 C- B- D- D+ -5 C+ D D+
 Thu, Nov 6 46 @Washington L 70 - 84 4% -8  6% 0 - 2 C +0 C +1 A- D+ D C -0 C D D
 Sun, Nov 9 162 @Montana St. W 75 - 73 22% -2  21% 1 - 2 C+ +5 B+ +8 A+ A+ F D+ -4 C+ F D-
 Sat, Nov 15 350 Texas San Antonio L 79 - 84 83% -4  8% 1 - 3 F -21 C+ +2 B- F A F -23 F D- D
 Fri, Nov 21 103 @Colorado St. W 83 - 81 11% +2  61% 2 - 3 B +10 A+ +23 A- C+ A+ F -13 C- F C
 Mon, Nov 24 2 @Arizona L 73 - 103 1% -23  0% 2 - 4 C- -2 B +7 B A C- D -7 F B A-
 Wed, Nov 26 106 @Wyoming L 59 - 101 12% -16  4% 2 - 5 F -35 F -14 F B C F -20 F+ F F+
 Wed, Dec 3 229 Eastern Washington W 93 - 89 55% +0  45% 3 - 5 C- -3 A +13 A+ F A F -16 F D D+
 Sat, Dec 6 250 @Idaho St. L 79 - 93 37% -6  13% 3 - 6 F+ -16 C+ +3 C- A C F -20 F F F
 Sat, Dec 13 210 Cal St. Fullerton L 86 - 105 52% -19  0% 3 - 7 F -25 C +2 F+ A+ A- F -25 F F D+
 Sat, Dec 20 175 @Northern Colorado W 86 - 79 24% -2  14% 4 - 7 B +9 B+ +8 A F+ C C+ +1 B- D+ F+
 Mon, Dec 22 70 @Tulsa L 85 - 90 7% -4  0% 4 - 8 B- +6 B- +4 D+ A+ F+ B- +3 A D+ D-
 Wed, Dec 31 357 UMKC W 87 - 74 87% +12  99% 5 - 8 1 - 0 D+ -5 B +6 C- D+ A+ F+ -11 C+ F F
 Sun, Jan 4 123 @St. Thomas L 88 - 92 15% -3  17% 5 - 9 1 - 1 C +1 A +12 B- A B F+ -11 C F F
 Thu, Jan 8 193 @South Dakota St. L 79 - 87 27% -1  43% 5 - 10 1 - 2 D+ -7 B- +4 D+ B- A F -12 C- F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 281 @South Dakota L 72 - 82 44% -2  22% 5 - 11 1 - 3 D- -14 D- -7 F C C+ D -7 F A+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 337 Oral Roberts W 98 - 87 80% +6  80% 6 - 11 2 - 3 C- -3 A+ +16 A B- B F -20 F D- F
 Thu, Jan 22 146 North Dakota St. L 77 - 82 37% -5  11% 6 - 12 2 - 4 D+ -7 B- +5 C C+ A+ F -13 F D+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 288 North Dakota L 86 - 93 68% -0  44% 6 - 13 2 - 5 F+ -17 C -0 B- F B F -17 F D D
 Wed, Jan 28 357 @UMKC W 69 - 61 73% -0  36% 7 - 13 3 - 5 C- -4 D- -6 F C B B- +3 B- B F
 Sat, Jan 31 249 Nebraska Omaha L 82 - 84 59% +1  46% 7 - 14 3 - 6 D -10 C- -0 C- D A+ F+ -10 D C+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 146 @North Dakota St. W 78 - 71 19% +5  85% 8 - 14 4 - 6 B +11 C+ +2 D+ C+ A A- +8 A+ C- D
 Sat, Feb 7 288 @North Dakota W 98 - 79 46% +12  99% 9 - 14 5 - 6 A- +15 A+ +23 A A A+ D -7 B- D+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 193 South Dakota St. L 81 - 82 48%
 Sun, Feb 15 249 @Nebraska Omaha L 79 - 83 37%
 Thu, Feb 19 281 South Dakota W 87 - 83 66%
 Sat, Feb 21 123 St. Thomas L 81 - 86 32%
 Thu, Feb 26 337 @Oral Roberts W 82 - 79 61%
Totals 11 - 17 7 - 9 -5 B- +3 C C+ B D- -8 D- D- F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- D+ B- B C+ 33% 27% 40% D- C C- B C+ B C B+ C+ D- D C+ D D 44% 17% 39% D D- D- D D- F+ C- B C
1.13 55% 42% 37% +2 -1 1.03 29% 1.1 .34 15% .30 77% .23 1.21 63% 37% 37% +4 +1 1.12 35% 1.1 .39 13% .31 70% .21
Nov
3		 Seattle C- D- F A C+ 26% 34% 40% F C- D+ A+ B- D- A+ A+ A+ D+ B B- C- B- 52% 17% 31% D C+ C- F+ D D+ F B F
0.95 46% 29% 40% -2 -3 0.92 28% 1.2 .33 23% .47 82% .39 1.09 54% 33% 35% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 16% .51 67% .34
Nov
6		 Washington C D+ A+ C+ A- 28% 26% 45% C A- C F+ D+ D D- D+ D- C C+ F B D+ 31% 35% 35% A- C B F D D B+ B- B+
0.99 53% 57% 33% +3 -1 1.06 26% 0.8 .20 18% .21 67% .14 1.19 59% 58% 32% +6 -2 1.09 33% 1.4 .45 13% .24 73% .18
Nov
9		 Montana St. B+ A- C- A+ A+ 59% 27% 14% C A+ B+ A+ A+ F F+ F F D+ F D+ A B- 34% 17% 49% D- C+ C F F D- A+ B- A+
1.17 66% 38% 57% +10 +1 1.22 38% 1.3 .50 22% .20 60% .12 1.14 67% 44% 27% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.7 .48 12% .12 71% .09
Nov
15		 Texas San Antonio C+ B+ C- A B+ 22% 20% 58% F+ B- F F F A D+ A+ C+ F D+ F F F 44% 13% 44% F F F C- D- D F D- F
1.21 67% 36% 41% +7 -1 1.15 24% 0.5 .12 11% .24 86% .21 1.29 57% 67% 48% +12 +1 1.29 37% 0.9 .33 15% .36 75% .27
Nov
21		 Colorado St. A+ C A A+ A+ 20% 40% 40% F A- B- C- C+ A+ B+ A+ A F B+ A+ F C 48% 6% 45% F C- F F+ F C F D+ F
1.38 60% 50% 45% +12 -4 1.18 30% 1.1 .33 7% .34 79% .27 1.35 53% 0% 50% +6 +3 1.19 48% 1.3 .60 18% .90 80% .71
Nov
24		 Arizona B C- C- B- B+ 23% 38% 38% D B B- A+ A C- A+ C- A+ D F F F F 38% 18% 44% D F F A+ B A- B A+ A+
0.97 50% 35% 35% -2 -3 0.90 27% 1.3 .34 20% .40 67% .26 1.37 81% 60% 50% +23 0 1.49 51% 0.7 .33 19% .33 45% .15
Nov
26		 Wyoming F F+ D+ F F 35% 22% 43% D- F B+ C+ B C C- F+ D F C+ F F D- 57% 6% 37% F F+ F F F F+ D- B+ D+
0.84 47% 36% 14% -17 -1 0.67 33% 0.9 .30 17% .38 64% .24 1.43 55% 67% 45% +6 +3 1.20 47% 1.5 .69 13% .39 71% .28
Dec
3		 Eastern Washington A C+ D- A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% D- A+ C F F A A+ A+ A+ F F F+ F F 34% 34% 32% A F C F D D+ D C D+
1.34 61% 36% 61% +16 0 1.34 32% 0.7 .23 12% .54 85% .46 1.28 82% 47% 50% +19 -2 1.36 30% 1.3 .39 17% .33 74% .24
Dec
6		 Idaho St. C+ C A D- C- 40% 23% 36% D+ C- B- A+ A C A+ D+ A+ F A F F F 38% 8% 55% D F F+ F+ F F C+ D- C
1.18 58% 55% 29% +1 0 1.04 33% 1.4 .47 15% .47 74% .35 1.38 45% 50% 52% +11 +2 1.26 39% 1.2 .45 9% .29 78% .23
Dec
13		 Cal St. Fullerton C C- F D- F 42% 16% 42% C+ F+ C+ A+ A+ A- B- F C F D F F F 39% 11% 50% F+ F F+ F F D+ C- D+ D+
1.12 58% 22% 29% -5 +1 0.93 32% 1.6 .51 16% .34 64% .22 1.37 64% 50% 50% +16 +1 1.36 31% 1.4 .44 14% .35 74% .26
Dec
20		 Northern Colorado B+ B- F A+ A 54% 20% 26% B- A F A+ F+ C C- A+ B C+ F A+ A+ B 44% 15% 41% D B- F B+ D+ F+ A- A+ A+
1.20 62% 27% 50% +6 +1 1.17 11% 1.7 .19 13% .32 90% .29 1.10 81% 22% 21% 0 +1 1.03 36% 0.9 .33 13% .16 40% .06
Dec
22		 Tulsa B- B B- F C- 35% 30% 35% D- D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A A+ B- B- F A+ A+ 67% 2% 31% F A F A- D+ D- C- B+ C
1.11 63% 38% 26% -2 -1 0.94 39% 1.4 .55 20% .42 81% .34 1.17 54% 100% 22% -7 +5 0.97 41% 1.1 .45 12% .35 75% .27
Dec
31		 UMKC B C B- C+ C 40% 23% 38% D+ C- F A D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ F A+ A+ B 52% 15% 33% F C+ F+ F F F F C- F
1.24 62% 42% 35% +3 0 1.08 26% 1.2 .31 9% .41 81% .33 1.06 70% 13% 12% -8 +2 0.88 34% 1.4 .47 14% .38 70% .27
Jan
4		 St. Thomas A C- C A B 38% 22% 40% D+ B- C A+ A B A+ A+ A+ F+ A A+ F C 45% 4% 52% D- C F C+ F F F A+ D-
1.23 58% 36% 40% +3 0 1.08 30% 1.7 .50 15% .50 87% .43 1.29 52% 0% 45% +4 +3 1.16 36% 0.9 .32 10% .45 59% .26
Jan
8		 South Dakota St. B- F B A- C 23% 36% 41% F D+ B+ D+ B- A D- F F+ F F A+ C C- 44% 27% 29% B C- F F F D- F F+ F
1.14 38% 45% 39% +1 -3 0.98 34% 1.0 .34 12% .24 67% .16 1.25 74% 21% 33% +2 0 1.06 41% 1.2 .50 13% .41 76% .31
Jan
10		 South Dakota D- F A+ F F 35% 25% 40% F F D+ B+ C C+ D- A+ D+ D F+ C F F 49% 15% 36% D- F A- A+ A+ F C B- C+
1.02 45% 57% 22% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.4 .39 16% .22 85% .19 1.17 65% 38% 42% +8 +1 1.21 22% 0.4 .09 13% .36 73% .26
Jan
14		 Oral Roberts A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 25% 43% F A C+ C+ B- B A A+ A+ F F D+ C- F 49% 9% 42% F F F C+ D- F C- A+ B+
1.40 53% 62% 48% +13 -1 1.26 34% 1.2 .41 13% .43 85% .36 1.24 68% 40% 33% +5 +2 1.16 35% 0.9 .32 9% .31 55% .17
Jan
22		 North Dakota St. B- F+ D+ A+ C 33% 19% 47% C C D- A+ C+ A+ F C- F F F+ B F F 37% 18% 45% F+ F C D- D+ F+ C D+ C
1.18 53% 36% 44% +5 0 1.12 24% 1.3 .29 12% .07 75% .05 1.26 68% 33% 43% +10 0 1.22 32% 1.1 .35 12% .26 73% .19
Jan
24		 North Dakota C F A+ A+ B 33% 20% 47% D- B- F D F B A- D B- F D A+ F F 38% 17% 44% B- F F+ C+ D D F C+ F
1.18 47% 60% 46% +9 0 1.20 24% 1.0 .24 18% .45 67% .30 1.27 60% 22% 48% +7 0 1.17 34% 1.0 .34 12% .50 69% .34
Jan
28		 UMKC D- F D+ F F 35% 33% 31% F F A- D- C B B+ B A- B- F C+ A+ C 24% 36% 40% A B- B- B+ B F C A+ B+
1.03 39% 35% 25% -12 -2 0.75 44% 0.9 .38 15% .33 74% .24 0.91 69% 35% 23% -5 -3 0.85 26% 0.7 .19 12% .27 50% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Nebraska Omaha C- F C- A+ C+ 26% 26% 48% F C- F A+ D A+ F C+ F F+ F+ B- D+ D 38% 25% 36% C+ D D A C+ F D D- F+
1.14 50% 38% 41% +3 -2 1.05 18% 1.3 .23 7% .19 77% .15 1.17 67% 36% 35% +3 -1 1.07 30% 0.9 .27 11% .34 77% .27
Feb
5		 North Dakota St. C+ C A+ F D+ 35% 22% 43% C D+ F A+ C+ A B+ A A A- B- A+ A A+ 42% 23% 35% D A+ A F C- D F B- F+
1.10 61% 64% 27% +2 0 1.06 18% 1.6 .29 14% .31 84% .26 1.00 55% 17% 28% -10 0 0.83 25% 1.3 .33 14% .36 68% .25
Feb
7		 North Dakota A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 35% 23% 42% F+ A A- B+ A A+ C A+ B+ D D- A+ A+ A- 63% 4% 33% F B- B F D+ F F F F
1.46 83% 58% 36% +15 -1 1.31 43% 1.3 .54 12% .39 83% .32 1.18 62% 0% 11% -10 +4 0.89 24% 1.3 .32 4% .44 86% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 1.2 1.4 2.7 3rd
4th 0.6 12.7 12.7 1.3 27.3 4th
5th 0.1 8.9 15.8 0.6 25.4 5th
6th 0.0 3.6 17.2 2.1 22.9 6th
7th 3.8 13.0 4.9 21.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 3.9 16.6 31.6 30.5 14.6 2.8 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 2.8% 11.7% 11.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.5
9-7 14.6% 5.8% 5.8% 15.7 0.3 0.6 13.7
8-8 30.5% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6 28.9
7-9 31.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 1.1 30.4
6-10 16.6% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 16.2
5-11 3.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 3.8
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.8 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 14.8 3.0 18.2 78.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%
Lose Out 2.8%