Denver
Summit League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#340
Expected Predictive Rating-12.1#329
Pace67.2#221
Improvement-3.1#320

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#301
First Shot-2.2#234
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#315
Layup/Dunks-5.8#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#50
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#127
Freethrows-0.3#192
Improvement-1.9#292

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#347
First Shot-6.0#347
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#259
Layups/Dunks-6.7#359
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#130
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#40
Freethrows-3.7#357
Improvement-1.2#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 84.1% 62.2% 92.5%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oral Roberts (Away) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 6
Quad 31 - 72 - 13
Quad 44 - 116 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 87   @ Stanford L 62-85 4%     0 - 1 -13.8 -7.7 -6.3
  Nov 12, 2024 76   @ Colorado St. L 65-74 3%     0 - 2 +1.0 -0.3 +1.2
  Nov 17, 2024 180   Montana St. W 79-78 23%     1 - 2 -2.6 -1.9 -0.8
  Nov 24, 2024 226   @ Montana L 73-83 16%     1 - 3 -10.9 -5.6 -4.7
  Nov 25, 2024 133   Cal St. Northridge L 60-89 11%     1 - 4 -27.2 -12.8 -13.6
  Nov 26, 2024 284   Utah Tech L 54-68 33%     1 - 5 -21.1 -15.4 -7.5
  Dec 01, 2024 308   @ Portland L 90-101 2OT 28%     1 - 6 -16.5 -6.2 -8.0
  Dec 04, 2024 337   Sacramento St. W 80-59 60%     2 - 6 +6.8 +12.4 -3.3
  Dec 07, 2024 227   @ Portland St. W 68-67 16%     3 - 6 +0.0 +5.2 -5.1
  Dec 15, 2024 309   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 59-74 29%     3 - 7 -20.7 -4.6 -18.9
  Dec 17, 2024 286   @ Cal Poly L 94-95 OT 25%     3 - 8 -5.4 +2.6 -7.9
  Dec 21, 2024 166   Northern Colorado L 75-82 21%     3 - 9 -9.9 +4.5 -15.0
  Jan 02, 2025 114   @ South Dakota St. L 70-91 6%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -15.3 -7.1 -6.5
  Jan 04, 2025 268   @ South Dakota L 84-91 22%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -10.3 -0.8 -9.1
  Jan 09, 2025 277   North Dakota L 70-95 41%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -34.3 -12.3 -21.7
  Jan 11, 2025 112   North Dakota St. L 50-69 14%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -18.6 -20.8 -0.4
  Jan 15, 2025 222   Nebraska Omaha L 62-80 30%     3 - 14 0 - 5 -24.1 -8.7 -17.4
  Jan 18, 2025 125   @ St. Thomas L 62-74 7%     3 - 15 0 - 6 -6.8 -6.9 -0.8
  Jan 23, 2025 311   @ Oral Roberts L 74-80 28%    
  Jan 30, 2025 223   UMKC L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 222   @ Nebraska Omaha L 68-79 14%    
  Feb 06, 2025 268   South Dakota L 82-85 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 125   St. Thomas L 71-82 16%    
  Feb 13, 2025 277   @ North Dakota L 73-81 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 112   @ North Dakota St. L 67-84 5%    
  Feb 19, 2025 311   Oral Roberts L 76-77 51%    
  Feb 27, 2025 223   @ UMKC L 64-75 15%    
  Mar 01, 2025 114   South Dakota St. L 69-81 15%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 2 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 5th
6th 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.4 6th
7th 0.6 3.5 2.9 0.5 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 2.5 8.5 7.2 1.2 0.1 19.5 8th
9th 7.4 21.4 24.8 14.0 2.4 0.0 70.0 9th
Total 7.4 21.4 27.2 23.1 13.2 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0% 0.0
8-8 0.1% 0.1
7-9 0.4% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4
6-10 1.8% 1.8
5-11 5.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.4
4-12 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.2
3-13 23.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 23.1
2-14 27.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 27.2
1-15 21.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.4
0-16 7.4% 7.4
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.3%