Denver
Summit League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#325
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#290
Pace67.9#211
Improvement-1.5#280

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#279
First Shot-2.2#241
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#267
Layup/Dunks-5.1#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#191
Freethrows+0.7#136
Improvement+0.5#137

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#335
First Shot-6.1#350
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#128
Layups/Dunks-8.8#362
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#117
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#27
Freethrows-2.9#338
Improvement-2.0#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.4% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 2.2% 5.3% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 14.2% 19.3% 12.5%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 38.3% 31.7% 40.5%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.7%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Away) - 24.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 47 - 109 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 87   @ Stanford L 62-85 5%     0 - 1 -13.8 -6.9 -7.1
  Nov 12, 2024 108   @ Colorado St. L 65-74 7%     0 - 2 -1.9 -1.2 -0.9
  Nov 17, 2024 139   Montana St. W 79-78 24%     1 - 2 -0.9 -1.9 +0.9
  Nov 24, 2024 212   @ Montana L 73-83 18%     1 - 3 -9.5 -5.7 -3.2
  Nov 25, 2024 148   Cal St. Northridge L 60-89 18%     1 - 4 -28.5 -13.1 -14.7
  Nov 26, 2024 298   Utah Tech L 54-68 43%     1 - 5 -21.3 -15.6 -7.5
  Dec 01, 2024 312   @ Portland L 90-101 2OT 35%     1 - 6 -16.3 -3.8 -10.0
  Dec 04, 2024 329   Sacramento St. W 80-59 65%     2 - 6 +8.0 +11.7 -1.4
  Dec 07, 2024 276   @ Portland St. W 68-67 28%     3 - 6 -2.1 +1.3 -3.2
  Dec 15, 2024 278   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 59-74 28%     3 - 7 -18.1 -2.8 -18.1
  Dec 17, 2024 249   @ Cal Poly L 78-85 25%    
  Dec 21, 2024 192   Northern Colorado L 75-80 33%    
  Jan 02, 2025 123   @ South Dakota St. L 66-81 9%    
  Jan 04, 2025 228   @ South Dakota L 77-86 21%    
  Jan 09, 2025 302   North Dakota W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 11, 2025 131   North Dakota St. L 70-78 23%    
  Jan 15, 2025 294   Nebraska Omaha W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 18, 2025 143   @ St. Thomas L 68-81 12%    
  Jan 23, 2025 293   @ Oral Roberts L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 30, 2025 271   UMKC L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 294   @ Nebraska Omaha L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 06, 2025 228   South Dakota L 80-83 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 143   St. Thomas L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 13, 2025 302   @ North Dakota L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 15, 2025 131   @ North Dakota St. L 67-81 10%    
  Feb 19, 2025 293   Oral Roberts W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 27, 2025 271   @ UMKC L 68-74 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 123   South Dakota St. L 69-78 22%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.0 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 6.6 4.0 0.6 0.0 13.6 6th
7th 0.3 3.1 8.1 5.2 0.7 0.0 17.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.8 9.1 5.6 0.9 0.0 21.3 8th
9th 1.0 3.7 7.7 8.6 4.3 0.6 0.0 25.9 9th
Total 1.0 3.8 8.5 13.7 16.6 16.7 14.6 10.9 7.2 4.0 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 90.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 84.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0
12-4 47.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 16.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.1% 9.4% 9.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.3% 13.1% 13.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 0.7% 6.7% 6.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
10-6 1.8% 5.3% 5.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.7
9-7 4.0% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.8
8-8 7.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 7.1
7-9 10.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 10.7
6-10 14.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.5
5-11 16.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.6
4-12 16.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 16.6
3-13 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.7
2-14 8.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.5
1-15 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.8
0-16 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%