South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#239
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#188
Pace83.4#3
Improvement+1.2#145

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#134
First Shot-0.9#202
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#53
Layup/Dunks+1.1#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#332
Freethrows+3.6#21
Improvement-4.0#339

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#329
First Shot-2.8#265
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#344
Layups/Dunks-1.8#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#270
Freethrows-0.2#195
Improvement+5.2#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M - Commerce (Home) - 82.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 52 - 11
Quad 414 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 231   Southern W 93-79 59%     1 - 0 +7.4 +9.6 -3.8
  Nov 06, 2024 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 86-76 83%    
  Nov 12, 2024 63   @ Iowa L 77-96 7%     1 - 1 -7.1 +2.5 -8.7
  Nov 20, 2024 296   @ Western Michigan W 80-76 53%     2 - 1 -1.0 +1.9 -3.0
  Nov 22, 2024 338   @ Southern Indiana L 83-92 68%     2 - 2 -17.9 +1.0 -18.3
  Nov 27, 2024 57   @ Nebraska L 79-96 7%     2 - 3 -4.2 +6.9 -9.8
  Dec 04, 2024 214   Idaho St. W 94-80 56%     3 - 3 +8.3 +21.6 -12.7
  Dec 07, 2024 246   @ Northern Arizona L 82-95 41%     3 - 4 -14.8 +1.6 -15.5
  Dec 10, 2024 176   Wyoming W 82-81 48%     4 - 4 -2.7 +2.3 -5.0
  Dec 14, 2024 341   Western Illinois W 89-66 84%     5 - 4 +8.1 +10.8 -2.0
  Dec 19, 2024 290   @ Utah Tech L 87-92 52%     5 - 5 -9.7 +7.6 -17.1
  Dec 21, 2024 56   @ Santa Clara L 81-98 7%     5 - 6 -4.2 +5.8 -8.4
  Jan 02, 2025 234   @ UMKC L 54-68 39%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -15.2 -12.1 -4.4
  Jan 04, 2025 302   Denver W 91-84 74%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -3.9 +8.7 -13.0
  Jan 11, 2025 132   @ St. Thomas L 104-119 21%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -10.5 +20.8 -29.9
  Jan 16, 2025 321   Oral Roberts W 92-82 78%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -2.3 +1.3 -4.7
  Jan 18, 2025 143   North Dakota St. L 77-103 41%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -27.8 -4.0 -22.9
  Jan 23, 2025 264   @ North Dakota W 102-93 45%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +6.1 +11.1 -6.2
  Jan 25, 2025 135   @ South Dakota St. L 71-90 21%     8 - 10 3 - 4 -14.8 -5.0 -8.7
  Jan 29, 2025 149   Nebraska Omaha W 91-87 42%     9 - 10 4 - 4 +2.0 +8.0 -6.4
  Feb 06, 2025 302   @ Denver W 86-79 55%     10 - 10 5 - 4 +1.6 +4.3 -3.3
  Feb 08, 2025 321   @ Oral Roberts W 75-74 60%     11 - 10 6 - 4 -5.8 -10.1 +4.2
  Feb 13, 2025 234   UMKC W 79-72 60%     12 - 10 7 - 4 +0.3 -0.8 +0.5
  Feb 16, 2025 135   South Dakota St. L 91-94 39%     12 - 11 7 - 5 -4.3 +8.9 -12.9
  Feb 19, 2025 132   St. Thomas W 85-80 38%     13 - 11 8 - 5 +4.0 +10.6 -6.5
  Feb 22, 2025 149   @ Nebraska Omaha L 85-93 23%     13 - 12 8 - 6 -4.5 +3.3 -7.1
  Feb 26, 2025 143   @ North Dakota St. L 78-82 23%     13 - 13 8 - 7 -0.3 -1.8 +1.7
  Mar 01, 2025 264   North Dakota W 92-79 66%     14 - 13 9 - 7 +4.6 -0.5 +3.4
  Mar 07, 2025 143   North Dakota St. W 85-84 31%     15 - 13 +2.0 +2.5 -0.5
  Mar 08, 2025 149   Nebraska Omaha L 75-100 32%     15 - 14 -24.3 -8.6 -13.0
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 82.7%
Lose Out 17.3%