Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
147 South Dakota St. 30.3%   15   3 - 4 0 - 0 17 - 11 11 - 5 +0.7      -1.7 215 +2.4 97 71.6 134 -1.0 189 0.0 1
149 North Dakota St. 28.5%   4 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 10 11 - 5 +0.4      -0.8 186 +1.2 131 68.3 215 +0.9 160 0.0 1
166 St. Thomas 21.8%   5 - 4 0 - 0 18 - 10 11 - 5 -0.8      0.0 163 -0.8 191 69.4 187 -0.2 180 0.0 1
252 Nebraska Omaha 6.8%   1 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 17 8 - 8 -5.2      -0.4 178 -4.8 330 70.9 146 -12.1 327 0.0 1
276 South Dakota 4.8%   4 - 4 0 - 0 13 - 15 8 - 8 -6.2      -2.1 226 -4.1 314 80.0 10 -5.8 253 0.0 1
291 Denver 3.6%   3 - 5 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -7.1      +1.0 137 -8.2 360 67.0 253 +1.7 152 0.0 1
311 Oral Roberts 2.5%   1 - 7 0 - 0 8 - 20 6 - 10 -8.4      -2.6 240 -5.8 343 74.0 78 -8.1 286 0.0 1
339 UMKC 1.0%   0 - 7 0 - 0 6 - 22 5 - 11 -11.1      -7.2 348 -3.9 309 70.5 162 -14.1 347 0.0 1
340 North Dakota 0.8%   2 - 7 0 - 0 8 - 21 5 - 11 -11.1      -7.0 345 -4.1 312 72.1 118 -10.4 312 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 3 152 Montana St. 82 166 St. Thomas 74   
Wed, Dec 3 151 Northern Colorado 75 252 Nebraska Omaha 70   
Wed, Dec 3 197 Montana 72 149 North Dakota St. 81   
Wed, Dec 3 291 Denver 93 251 Eastern Washington 89   
Wed, Dec 3 167 Idaho St. 68 339 UMKC 59   
Wed, Dec 3 156 Portland St. 77 276 South Dakota 71   
Wed, Dec 3 263 Northern Arizona 62 147 South Dakota St. 75   
Wed, Dec 3 187 Idaho 90 340 North Dakota 58   
Wed, Dec 3 311 Oral Roberts 66 192 Weber St. 92   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Dec 6 187 Idaho 69 147 South Dakota St. 75 71%   
Sat, Dec 6 252 Nebraska Omaha 72 156 Portland St. 80 78%   
Sat, Dec 6 149 North Dakota St. 76 263 Northern Arizona 66 81%   
Sat, Dec 6 151 Northern Colorado 85 276 South Dakota 76 81%   
Sat, Dec 6 291 Denver 67 167 Idaho St. 76 81%   
Sat, Dec 6 152 Montana St. 78 311 Oral Roberts 72 70%   
Sat, Dec 6 251 Eastern Washington 81 339 UMKC 71 81%   
Sat, Dec 6 197 Montana 80 340 North Dakota 74 71%   
Sun, Dec 7 166 St. Thomas 78 192 Weber St. 74 67%   
Tue, Dec 9 276 South Dakota 74 106 Wyoming 87 89%   
Tue, Dec 9 316 Ball St. 66 147 South Dakota St. 72 72%   
Wed, Dec 10 339 UMKC 72 192 Weber St. 78 71%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
South Dakota St. 2.3 41.1 25.2 16.3 8.7 4.6 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.1
North Dakota St. 2.3 38.1 25.9 16.9 9.3 4.9 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.2
St. Thomas 2.7 26.9 25.2 21.2 12.3 7.3 4.0 2.0 0.8 0.3
Nebraska Omaha 4.5 6.7 10.8 15.6 18.4 16.3 13.4 9.4 6.0 3.4
South Dakota 5.0 4.5 8.1 12.1 16.1 17.8 15.4 12.6 8.8 4.6
Denver 5.4 2.9 6.2 10.7 14.9 17.1 16.6 14.4 10.6 6.6
Oral Roberts 6.0 1.6 3.8 6.7 11.4 15.0 16.8 17.9 15.9 10.8
UMKC 7.1 0.5 1.3 3.1 5.4 8.4 13.1 17.9 23.6 26.8
North Dakota 7.1 0.3 1.1 2.8 5.6 8.9 12.7 18.3 23.5 26.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
South Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.8 5.7 8.9 12.6 15.9 17.0 15.8 11.3 6.3 1.6
North Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.5 5.6 9.7 13.1 15.9 16.9 14.7 10.7 5.4 1.5
St. Thomas 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.5 5.1 8.7 12.7 15.4 16.4 15.5 11.3 6.8 3.0 0.7
Nebraska Omaha 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.3 7.4 11.1 13.8 15.5 14.5 12.1 9.0 5.2 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
South Dakota 8 - 8 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.1 6.3 10.2 13.2 15.2 15.2 13.0 9.8 6.3 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
Denver 7 - 9 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.5 8.0 11.6 14.7 15.1 14.5 12.0 8.1 5.2 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Oral Roberts 6 - 10 0.2 1.3 3.8 7.2 12.1 14.2 15.7 14.7 12.6 8.5 5.2 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
UMKC 5 - 11 1.3 5.1 9.9 14.4 16.9 15.8 13.6 10.0 6.3 3.5 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
North Dakota 5 - 11 1.3 4.6 10.2 14.3 17.0 17.0 13.4 9.8 6.2 3.6 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota St. 41.1% 29.1 9.7 2.0 0.2 0.0
North Dakota St. 38.1% 26.4 9.6 1.9 0.2 0.0
St. Thomas 26.9% 17.1 7.9 1.7 0.2 0.0
Nebraska Omaha 6.7% 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
South Dakota 4.5% 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
Denver 2.9% 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.1
Oral Roberts 1.6% 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
UMKC 0.5% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
North Dakota 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota St. 30.3% 30.3% 0.0% 15   0.1 1.4 5.2 10.3 9.9 3.5 69.7 0.0%
North Dakota St. 28.5% 28.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.0 9.9 8.8 3.1 71.5 0.0%
St. Thomas 21.8% 21.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.5 6.5 8.0 4.1 78.2 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 0.1 0.2 1.0 5.4 93.2 0.0%
South Dakota 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 95.2 0.0%
Denver 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.1 96.4 0.0%
Oral Roberts 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.3 97.5 0.0%
UMKC 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0 1.0 99.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.8 99.2 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Dakota St. 30.3% 1.2% 29.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 28.5% 0.9% 28.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Thomas 21.8% 1.3% 21.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 6.8% 4.2% 5.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 4.8% 2.0% 3.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 3.6% 1.5% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 2.5% 2.1% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 93.2% 0.9 6.8 93.2
2nd Round 3.8% 0.0 96.2 3.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0