Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
135 St. Thomas 34.8%   14   8 - 4 0 - 0 20 - 8 12 - 4 +1.7      +1.5 129 +0.2 152 69.4 187 +2.1 139 0.0 1
155 North Dakota St. 25.5%   7 - 5 0 - 0 18 - 10 11 - 5 +0.4      +0.3 157 +0.1 157 69.7 178 +1.2 153 0.0 1
172 South Dakota St. 20.1%   4 - 7 0 - 0 15 - 13 11 - 5 -0.8      0.0 166 -0.8 194 71.4 127 -4.2 235 0.0 1
221 Nebraska Omaha 9.0%   3 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 15 9 - 7 -3.8      0.0 165 -3.8 303 68.5 214 -4.6 242 0.0 1
290 Denver 3.6%   4 - 8 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -6.7      +2.0 118 -8.8 363 69.7 175 -1.4 187 0.0 1
291 South Dakota 3.3%   5 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -6.8      -1.2 199 -5.6 337 78.9 12 -6.5 262 0.0 1
303 Oral Roberts 2.2%   2 - 10 0 - 0 8 - 20 6 - 10 -8.0      -3.6 269 -4.4 317 70.5 152 -7.7 281 0.0 1
333 North Dakota 0.8%   3 - 10 0 - 0 8 - 21 5 - 11 -10.4      -6.2 332 -4.2 313 71.6 124 -10.5 322 0.0 1
343 UMKC 0.6%   0 - 11 0 - 0 4 - 23 4 - 12 -11.7      -9.2 359 -2.4 248 72.7 89 -16.2 348 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Dec 20 253 Lamar 82 221 Nebraska Omaha 85   
Sat, Dec 20 290 Denver 86 171 Northern Colorado 79   
Sat, Dec 20 135 St. Thomas 92 272 UC Riverside 78   
Sat, Dec 20 58 Kansas St. 106 291 South Dakota 76   
Sun, Dec 21 155 North Dakota St. 73 131 UC Irvine 74   
Sun, Dec 21 195 Austin Peay 0 343 UMKC 0   
Sun, Dec 21 25 Nebraska 78 333 North Dakota 55   
Mon, Dec 22 155 North Dakota St. 66 202 UTEP 76   
Mon, Dec 22 303 Oral Roberts 57 167 Texas Arlington 69   
Mon, Dec 22 290 Denver 85 92 Tulsa 90   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 28 221 Nebraska Omaha 69 56 Oregon 85 92%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
St. Thomas 2.0 48.7 25.0 14.1 6.7 3.4 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
North Dakota St. 2.4 34.1 27.5 18.6 10.5 5.2 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
South Dakota St. 2.8 25.2 24.7 21.1 14.0 7.7 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.3
Nebraska Omaha 4.1 9.4 14.0 18.2 20.3 15.5 10.6 6.7 3.7 1.5
Denver 5.4 2.5 5.6 9.6 15.1 18.7 18.1 14.5 10.2 5.7
South Dakota 5.4 2.3 5.2 9.4 15.2 18.5 17.7 15.1 10.8 5.9
Oral Roberts 6.0 1.3 3.2 6.9 11.4 16.2 18.6 18.2 14.8 9.4
North Dakota 7.0 0.3 1.0 2.6 5.6 10.0 14.6 19.3 24.0 22.5
UMKC 7.4 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.9 6.9 11.8 17.0 24.2 33.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
St. Thomas 12 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.8 6.9 11.1 15.6 19.0 18.1 13.8 7.0 1.9
North Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.2 6.2 10.5 14.6 17.5 17.6 14.6 8.8 3.9 0.9
South Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.9 5.3 9.0 12.8 16.1 16.8 15.4 11.1 6.0 2.4 0.5
Nebraska Omaha 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 5.1 8.8 12.0 15.1 15.8 14.5 11.6 7.5 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
Denver 7 - 9 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.1 7.7 12.1 15.6 16.5 14.9 11.7 7.9 4.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Dakota 7 - 9 0.1 0.4 1.8 4.4 8.2 12.2 15.2 16.7 14.8 11.6 7.5 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Oral Roberts 6 - 10 0.2 1.0 3.1 6.8 11.1 14.9 17.0 15.7 12.7 8.6 5.2 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
North Dakota 5 - 11 0.8 3.5 8.3 13.5 17.3 17.6 15.2 10.9 6.8 3.5 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
UMKC 4 - 12 1.7 6.2 12.4 16.8 18.0 16.7 12.2 7.9 4.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Thomas 48.7% 35.0 11.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
North Dakota St. 34.1% 22.1 9.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 25.2% 15.2 7.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Nebraska Omaha 9.4% 4.7 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Denver 2.5% 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Dakota 2.3% 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Oral Roberts 1.3% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
North Dakota 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
UMKC 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Thomas 34.8% 34.8% 0.0% 14   0.0 0.3 2.3 9.4 14.6 7.2 1.0 65.2 0.0%
North Dakota St. 25.5% 25.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.9 5.0 10.4 7.6 1.6 74.5 0.0%
South Dakota St. 20.1% 20.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.5 8.4 4.6 79.9 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 4.2 91.0 0.0%
Denver 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 96.4 0.0%
South Dakota 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 96.7 0.0%
Oral Roberts 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 2.0 97.8 0.0%
North Dakota 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.8 99.2 0.0%
UMKC 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6 99.4 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Thomas 34.8% 0.2% 34.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 25.5% 0.3% 25.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 20.1% 2.2% 19.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 9.0% 2.6% 7.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 3.6% 1.6% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 3.3% 1.8% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 2.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 94.8% 0.9 5.2 94.8
2nd Round 3.7% 0.0 96.3 3.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0