Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
112 St. Thomas 39.0%   20 - 8 12 - 4 +3.4      +3.0 98 +0.4 158 70.8 114 +1.8 130 +0.5 2
131 North Dakota St. 39.0%   14   21 - 7 14 - 2 +1.9      +1.8 123 +0.1 168 66.2 243 +3.0 117 +6.0 1
213 South Dakota St. 6.7%   11 - 17 7 - 9 -3.0      -1.0 188 -2.0 233 67.8 198 -6.3 263 -7.6 7
245 Denver 5.7%   12 - 16 8 - 8 -4.7      +3.8 88 -8.5 358 69.4 150 -4.0 236 -5.6 6
253 Nebraska Omaha 4.9%   11 - 16 8 - 8 -5.2      -1.4 200 -3.9 289 68.5 180 -5.1 246 -5.5 5
284 South Dakota 2.7%   13 - 15 8 - 8 -6.8      -3.5 263 -3.2 269 74.2 39 -5.7 254 -5.2 4
303 North Dakota 1.4%   13 - 16 10 - 6 -8.4      -1.6 210 -6.8 346 69.2 157 -5.1 245 -1.5 3
318 Oral Roberts 0.6%   6 - 22 4 - 12 -9.7      -5.5 312 -4.3 295 69.0 164 -10.7 328 -12.5 8
360 UMKC 0.0%   1 - 26 1 - 15 -17.9      -12.6 363 -5.4 319 72.9 61 -21.7 364 -20.1 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 284 South Dakota 75 213 South Dakota St. 70   
Sat, Feb 28 253 Nebraska Omaha 53 112 St. Thomas 68   
Sat, Feb 28 303 North Dakota 63 131 North Dakota St. 96   
Sat, Feb 28 360 UMKC 70 318 Oral Roberts 94   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 4 360 UMKC 69 318 Oral Roberts 77 78%   
Thu, Mar 5 213 South Dakota St. 74 112 St. Thomas 80 73%   
Fri, Mar 6 253 Nebraska Omaha 79 284 South Dakota 78 56%   
Fri, Mar 6 245 Denver 86 303 North Dakota 82 64%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
North Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
St. Thomas 2.0 100.0
North Dakota 3.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 4.0 100.0
South Dakota 4.0 100.0
Denver 4.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 7.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 8.0 100.0
UMKC 9.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
North Dakota St. 14 - 2 21 - 7 100.0
St. Thomas 12 - 4 21 - 8 100.0
North Dakota 10 - 6 13 - 17 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 8 - 8 12 - 16 100.0
South Dakota 8 - 8 13 - 16 100.0
Denver 8 - 8 13 - 16 100.0
South Dakota St. 7 - 9 11 - 18 100.0
Oral Roberts 4 - 12 7 - 22 100.0
UMKC 1 - 15 1 - 27 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
St. Thomas
North Dakota
Nebraska Omaha
South Dakota
Denver
South Dakota St.
Oral Roberts
UMKC


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Thomas 39.0% 39.0% 0.0% 7.2 22.2 9.3 0.2 61.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 39.0% 39.0% 0.0% 14   2.0 17.3 18.1 1.7 0.0 61.0 0.0%
South Dakota St. 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 6.7 93.4 0.0%
Denver 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 0.1 5.6 94.3 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 4.9 95.1 0.0%
South Dakota 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0 2.6 97.3 0.0%
North Dakota 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6 99.4 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 91.9% 0.9 8.1 91.9
2nd Round 4.3% 0.0 95.7 4.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Thomas 39.0% 0.0% 39.0% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 39.0% 0.0% 39.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 6.7% 6.4% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 5.7% 4.6% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 4.9% 4.7% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 2.7% 2.2% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%