VMI
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#298
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#268
Pace69.8#124
Improvement+1.8#121

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#304
First Shot-5.1#311
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#184
Layup/Dunks-5.8#344
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#176
Freethrows+1.5#88
Improvement-0.4#211

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#264
First Shot-1.9#238
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#278
Layups/Dunks-0.2#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#203
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#317
Freethrows+2.0#56
Improvement+2.2#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 32 - 93 - 14
Quad 48 - 511 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 340   @ Bellarmine W 76-71 55%     1 - 0 -4.3 -4.5 +0.3
  Nov 15, 2024 313   Tennessee Tech L 71-72 55%     1 - 1 -10.1 -8.5 -1.6
  Nov 16, 2024 307   Charleston Southern W 80-69 52%     2 - 1 +2.5 +1.2 +0.9
  Nov 18, 2024 60   @ Pittsburgh L 48-93 4%     2 - 2 -32.8 -18.9 -14.8
  Nov 22, 2024 140   @ Davidson L 66-93 14%     2 - 3 -23.2 -7.2 -15.5
  Nov 26, 2024 309   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-70 43%     2 - 4 -9.1 -3.9 -5.5
  Nov 29, 2024 114   @ George Washington L 64-77 10%     2 - 5 -6.9 +2.4 -10.7
  Dec 07, 2024 207   Queens L 78-81 40%     2 - 6 -8.3 +3.9 -12.3
  Dec 21, 2024 226   @ Richmond L 71-78 24%     2 - 7 -7.7 +3.3 -11.6
  Jan 01, 2025 153   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-84 15%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -11.9 +4.5 -17.7
  Jan 04, 2025 263   Mercer L 67-70 52%     2 - 9 0 - 2 -11.4 -12.5 +1.3
  Jan 09, 2025 123   @ Samford L 68-81 12%     2 - 10 0 - 3 -7.9 -6.5 -1.1
  Jan 12, 2025 117   @ Chattanooga L 66-91 11%     2 - 11 0 - 4 -19.3 -1.1 -20.8
  Jan 15, 2025 339   Western Carolina W 66-50 73%     3 - 11 1 - 4 +1.6 -10.0 +12.2
  Jan 18, 2025 357   @ The Citadel W 75-70 66%     4 - 11 2 - 4 -7.1 +1.3 -8.1
  Jan 22, 2025 139   Furman W 91-82 27%     5 - 11 3 - 4 +7.5 +15.8 -8.3
  Jan 25, 2025 158   UNC Greensboro L 57-60 30%     5 - 12 3 - 5 -5.5 -13.0 +7.2
  Jan 29, 2025 128   @ Wofford W 74-67 12%     6 - 12 4 - 5 +11.7 +7.0 +5.3
  Feb 01, 2025 339   @ Western Carolina W 80-76 OT 54%     7 - 12 5 - 5 -4.9 -1.6 -3.6
  Feb 05, 2025 153   East Tennessee St. L 55-62 30%     7 - 13 5 - 6 -9.4 -16.4 +6.8
  Feb 08, 2025 357   The Citadel W 82-70 82%     8 - 13 6 - 6 -5.6 +2.0 -7.5
  Feb 12, 2025 158   @ UNC Greensboro L 54-80 15%     8 - 14 6 - 7 -23.0 -17.0 -6.1
  Feb 15, 2025 263   @ Mercer W 80-71 31%     9 - 14 7 - 7 +6.1 +8.5 -2.4
  Feb 19, 2025 128   Wofford L 43-82 25%     9 - 15 7 - 8 -39.8 -32.8 -7.5
  Feb 22, 2025 139   @ Furman L 71-75 13%     9 - 16 7 - 9 +0.0 +0.8 -0.9
  Feb 27, 2025 123   Samford L 83-95 24%     9 - 17 7 - 10 -12.5 +3.7 -15.6
  Mar 01, 2025 117   Chattanooga L 70-91 22%     9 - 18 7 - 11 -20.8 -6.2 -14.8
  Mar 07, 2025 357   The Citadel W 73-62 75%     10 - 18 -3.8 -5.4 +1.7
  Mar 08, 2025 158   UNC Greensboro W 64-57 22%     11 - 18 +7.2 -1.2 +9.2
  Mar 09, 2025 128   Wofford L 65-85 18%     11 - 19 -18.0 +0.3 -21.5
Projected Record 11 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%