Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
117 Chattanooga 0.0%   22 - 9 15 - 3 22 - 9 15 - 3 +3.0      +5.7 56 -2.7 259 66.7 216 +4.2 108 +7.0 1
123 Samford 0.0%   20 - 10 12 - 6 20 - 10 12 - 6 +2.3      +3.3 91 -1.0 202 75.7 22 +2.9 122 +1.4 4
128 Wofford 100.0%   15   17 - 15 10 - 8 17 - 15 10 - 8 +2.0      +4.2 74 -2.2 235 61.9 334 -0.3 166 -1.8 6
139 Furman 0.0%   22 - 9 11 - 7 22 - 9 11 - 7 +1.2      +2.1 115 -0.8 193 65.2 262 +4.2 105 -0.1 5
153 East Tennessee St. 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 6 17 - 13 12 - 6 +0.4      -0.8 202 +1.1 134 63.9 293 -0.9 173 +1.7 3
158 UNC Greensboro 0.0%   17 - 12 13 - 5 17 - 12 13 - 5 +0.2      -0.2 181 +0.4 166 61.7 340 +0.3 159 +3.4 2
263 Mercer 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 12 12 - 19 6 - 12 -5.6      -5.4 314 -0.2 179 75.4 28 -5.6 261 -7.4 8
298 VMI 0.0%   11 - 19 7 - 11 11 - 19 7 - 11 -7.9      -5.0 304 -2.9 264 69.8 124 -6.2 268 -5.3 7
339 Western Carolina 0.0%   5 - 22 4 - 14 5 - 22 4 - 14 -11.6      -7.2 339 -4.5 305 74.1 49 -12.1 339 -10.4 9
357 The Citadel 0.0%   1 - 25 0 - 18 1 - 25 0 - 18 -14.8      -8.1 348 -6.7 343 62.9 317 -23.4 363 -23.4 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Chattanooga 1.0 100.0
Samford 3.0 100.0
Wofford 6.0 100.0
Furman 5.0 100.0
East Tennessee St. 3.0 100.0
UNC Greensboro 2.0 100.0
Mercer 8.0 100.0
VMI 7.0 100.0
Western Carolina 9.0 100.0
The Citadel 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Chattanooga 15 - 3 100.0
Samford 12 - 6 100.0
Wofford 10 - 8 100.0
Furman 11 - 7 100.0
East Tennessee St. 12 - 6 100.0
UNC Greensboro 13 - 5 100.0
Mercer 6 - 12 100.0
VMI 7 - 11 100.0
Western Carolina 4 - 14 100.0
The Citadel 0 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Chattanooga 100.0% 100.0
Samford
Wofford
Furman
East Tennessee St.
UNC Greensboro
Mercer
VMI
Western Carolina
The Citadel


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wofford 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.1 12.5 84.7 2.7
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wofford 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 0.0 100.0
2nd Round 4.0% 0.0 96.0 4.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0