Presbyterian
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#283
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#290
Pace62.3#335
Improvement-1.8#273

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#226
First Shot-3.8#289
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#71
Layup/Dunks-2.6#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#206
Freethrows-1.4#273
Improvement-0.7#219

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#311
First Shot-4.2#306
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#243
Layups/Dunks-3.1#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#210
Freethrows-0.8#250
Improvement-1.2#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.5% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.9% 2.3% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.3% 7.1% 51.8%
First Four1.3% 1.4% 0.9%
First Round0.8% 0.9% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Home) - 79.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 48 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 221   @ Charlotte L 79-88 28%     0 - 1 -9.8 +16.4 -27.5
  Nov 08, 2024 91   @ North Carolina St. L 72-81 8%     0 - 2 -0.4 +6.8 -7.5
  Nov 13, 2024 151   Wofford W 71-68 31%     1 - 2 +1.3 +2.5 -0.9
  Nov 16, 2024 170   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-85 20%     1 - 3 -15.7 -1.3 -15.0
  Nov 21, 2024 270   @ Stephen F. Austin W 58-55 OT 38%     2 - 3 -0.6 -15.9 +15.1
  Nov 22, 2024 219   Youngstown St. W 67-42 37%     3 - 3 +21.8 -2.8 +25.4
  Nov 23, 2024 253   Monmouth W 71-61 45%     4 - 3 +4.7 +3.0 +2.7
  Nov 27, 2024 298   @ Tennessee Tech L 75-90 44%     4 - 4 -20.2 +2.4 -23.2
  Dec 03, 2024 340   @ Florida A&M L 63-66 59%     4 - 5 -12.2 -15.7 +3.6
  Dec 15, 2024 169   @ Miami (FL) L 75-94 20%     4 - 6 -16.7 +5.2 -23.6
  Dec 21, 2024 271   Manhattan L 81-86 OT 58%     4 - 7 -13.7 -2.2 -11.3
  Dec 30, 2024 79   @ South Carolina L 59-69 7%     4 - 8 -0.2 +2.8 -4.6
  Jan 02, 2025 190   Longwood W 68-60 39%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +4.1 -3.1 +7.8
  Jan 04, 2025 236   @ Gardner-Webb L 61-63 32%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -3.9 -7.6 +3.5
  Jan 08, 2025 346   @ South Carolina Upstate L 67-77 61%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -19.5 -8.4 -11.4
  Jan 11, 2025 172   UNC Asheville L 87-96 35%     5 - 11 1 - 3 -11.9 +12.3 -24.4
  Jan 18, 2025 107   @ High Point L 66-77 11%     5 - 12 1 - 4 -4.5 -2.4 -3.2
  Jan 22, 2025 285   Charleston Southern W 71-61 60%     6 - 12 2 - 4 +0.7 +0.9 +0.7
  Jan 25, 2025 204   Radford L 69-82 42%     6 - 13 2 - 5 -17.6 +6.4 -26.9
  Jan 29, 2025 205   @ Winthrop L 67-76 25%     6 - 14 2 - 6 -8.7 -5.0 -4.0
  Feb 01, 2025 107   High Point L 72-84 22%     6 - 15 2 - 7 -10.5 +5.7 -18.0
  Feb 05, 2025 346   South Carolina Upstate W 79-71 79%    
  Feb 12, 2025 285   @ Charleston Southern L 69-71 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 190   @ Longwood L 68-76 21%    
  Feb 19, 2025 205   Winthrop L 75-77 44%    
  Feb 22, 2025 204   @ Radford L 65-72 25%    
  Feb 26, 2025 172   @ UNC Asheville L 69-78 19%    
  Mar 01, 2025 236   Gardner-Webb W 73-72 52%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.1 0.3 3rd
4th 0.2 0.7 0.1 1.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 0.7 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.3 4.7 3.6 0.1 8.7 6th
7th 0.7 8.4 10.8 1.0 20.9 7th
8th 0.5 10.4 23.7 20.5 3.5 0.1 58.6 8th
9th 1.9 3.6 1.4 0.1 6.9 9th
Total 2.4 14.0 25.8 29.2 19.2 7.6 1.7 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.1% 0.0 0.1
8-8 1.7% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.1 1.6
7-9 7.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.2 7.4
6-10 19.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 18.9
5-11 29.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.4 28.8
4-12 25.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 25.5
3-13 14.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.9
2-14 2.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.4
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 16.0 1.3 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%