Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.8 #266
Expected Predictive Rating -5.4 #250
Pace 62.3 #343
Improvement +1.5 #108

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #267 D+ C F C C
Defense #253 D C+ C- C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #51 1.11 #246 +1.9 #111
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #88 0.73 #209 +1.5 #101
Three Pointers 31% #345 0.92 #292 -6.4 #345
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #263 -3.1 #263
Freethrows 19.1 #102 67% #333 12.9 #167
Second Chance 32.2% #139 1.05 #175 0.34 #136
Turnovers 19.3% #333
Total Offense -3.4 #267

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #57 1.19 #218 -3.3 #290
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #262 0.81 #265 +0.5 #158
Three Pointers 39% #244 1.11 #301 -0.7 #209
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #288 -3.5 #289
Freethrows 17.2 #180 70% #58 11.9 #147
Second Chance 30.0% #151 1.02 #147 0.30 #138
Turnovers 15.5% #237
Total Defense -2.5 #253

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.4% #219 1.3% #294
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.7% #268 5.5% #278
Possession Length 18.6 #305 18.0 #292
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #306 0.16 #125
Improvement +3.3 #31 -1.8 #284

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 3.6% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 11.9% 23.3% 6.4%
.500 or above in Conference 62.1% 83.7% 51.8%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.4% 1.2% 1.5%
First Round2.1% 3.2% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Home) - 32.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 411 - 813 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 194 Navy L 55 - 76 48% -16  0 - 1 -26 -14 F F F -15 F C F
 Sat, Nov 8 135 East Tennessee St. W 68 - 64 34% +2  1 - 1 +3 +0 F A+ F +3 A+ F A-
 Mon, Nov 10 273 @Georgia St. W 63 - 61 40% -5  2 - 1 -1 +3 C A+ F -4 F C D+
 Wed, Nov 12 69 @South Carolina L 61 - 81 7% -18  2 - 2 -9 -1 D- B C -9 C A- F
 Sun, Nov 16 290 @Sacramento St. L 62 - 64 44% +4  2 - 3 -6 -10 F D- C- +4 C- F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 75 @California L 57 - 67 7% -3  2 - 4 +1 +2 F A+ D -3 D C A+
 Fri, Nov 21 36 @UCLA L 46 - 86 3% -24  2 - 5 -24 -18 F F F -7 F F B
 Sun, Nov 30 351 The Citadel W 69 - 41 74% +19  3 - 5 +15 +9 B- A+ F +15 A+ B+ B
 Wed, Dec 3 215 @Wofford L 56 - 63 30% -4  3 - 6 -7 -13 F C+ F +5 A B+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 302 Morehead St. W 80 - 72 69% +3  4 - 6 -3 +3 C A F -6 F A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 17 267 @East Carolina L 53 - 74 39% -10  4 - 7 -24 -17 F C F -7 F B+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 327 @Manhattan L 81 - 87 56% -3  4 - 8 -13 +1 D- C- C -14 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 303 South Carolina Upstate W 86 - 77 70% +4  5 - 8 1 - 0 -2 +10 A- B B -12 F B- B
 Wed, Jan 7 253 @Radford L 61 - 80 36% -6  5 - 9 1 - 1 -21 -7 F D A- -17 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 262 @Longwood L 70 - 77 38% -10  5 - 10 1 - 2 -10 +3 B- D- F -13 F D- F
 Wed, Jan 14 205 UNC Asheville W 71 - 70 50% +6  6 - 10 2 - 2 -5 +0 A D+ F -5 A C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 363 @Gardner-Webb W 92 - 55 83% +20  7 - 10 3 - 2 +21 +11 B- C- B- +10 B C+ A
 Wed, Jan 21 234 Charleston Southern W 87 - 83 55% +8  8 - 10 4 - 2 -3 +7 A+ D- D -10 D- F D+
 Sat, Jan 24 130 Winthrop L 69 - 74 32%
 Thu, Jan 29 98 @High Point L 67 - 81 9%
 Sat, Jan 31 253 Radford W 76 - 74 58%
 Sat, Feb 7 363 Gardner-Webb W 81 - 65 93%
 Thu, Feb 12 234 @Charleston Southern L 70 - 75 33%
 Sat, Feb 14 205 @UNC Asheville L 65 - 71 29%
 Thu, Feb 19 262 Longwood W 73 - 70 60%
 Sat, Feb 21 303 @South Carolina Upstate L 68 - 69 48%
 Thu, Feb 26 98 High Point L 70 - 78 23%
 Sat, Feb 28 130 @Winthrop L 66 - 77 16%
Totals 12 - 16 8 - 8 -6 -3 D+ C F -2 D C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.1 0.7 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.5 10.1 8.4 2.0 0.1 23.0 3rd
4th 1.4 11.4 8.9 1.2 0.0 22.9 4th
5th 0.6 9.2 9.9 1.4 0.0 21.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 5.8 9.8 1.5 0.0 17.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 5.4 1.2 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 0.5 1.9 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.2 3.7 12.3 21.6 25.3 20.5 10.8 4.2 1.2 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 85.7% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 31.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.2% 17.1% 17.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 1.2% 8.5% 8.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1
11-5 4.2% 6.3% 6.3% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.9
10-6 10.8% 5.4% 5.4% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 10.3
9-7 20.5% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.1 0.6 19.8
8-8 25.3% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 24.6
7-9 21.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.4 21.3
6-10 12.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 12.2
5-11 3.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.7
4-12 0.2% 0.2
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 15.7 97.2 0.0%