Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#257
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#243
Pace58.5#365
Improvement+2.3#35

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#304
First Shot-8.8#362
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#25
Layup/Dunks-0.1#179
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#344
Freethrows-0.3#194
Improvement-1.3#285

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#181
First Shot+1.4#129
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#295
Layups/Dunks-3.5#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#130
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#76
Freethrows+0.6#144
Improvement+3.6#3
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.2% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 27.2% 31.7% 14.0%
.500 or above in Conference 51.4% 54.1% 43.7%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.3% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 3.3% 6.1%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
First Round2.5% 2.8% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Home) - 74.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 198 Navy L 55-76 50%     0 - 1 -26.4 -14.9 -13.3
  Sat, Nov 8 115 East Tennessee St. W 68-64 29%     1 - 1 +4.4 +1.2 +3.5
  Mon, Nov 10 334 @Georgia St. W 63-61 58%     2 - 1 -5.5 -0.3 -4.9
  Wed, Nov 12 89 @South Carolina L 61-81 10%     2 - 2 -11.2 -2.9 -9.8
  Sun, Nov 16 274 @Sacramento St. L 62-64 41%     2 - 3 -5.2 -8.2 +2.9
  Tue, Nov 18 69 @California L 57-67 7%     2 - 4 +1.0 +0.9 -2.0
  Fri, Nov 21 31 @UCLA L 46-86 3%     2 - 5 -23.4 -17.0 -8.0
  Sun, Nov 30 363 The Citadel W 69-41 82%     3 - 5 +13.0 +6.2 +14.9
  Wed, Dec 3 208 @Wofford L 56-63 30%     3 - 6 -7.0 -11.3 +3.6
  Sat, Dec 6 327 Morehead St. W 67-60 75%    
  Wed, Dec 17 245 @East Carolina L 63-67 37%    
  Sun, Dec 21 310 @Manhattan L 68-69 50%    
  Sat, Jan 3 278 South Carolina Upstate W 68-64 65%    
  Wed, Jan 7 290 @Radford L 69-70 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 289 @Longwood L 66-67 45%    
  Wed, Jan 14 210 UNC Asheville W 67-66 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 360 @Gardner-Webb W 71-65 71%    
  Wed, Jan 21 288 Charleston Southern W 68-63 67%    
  Sat, Jan 24 107 Winthrop L 66-73 27%    
  Thu, Jan 29 93 @High Point L 63-77 11%    
  Sat, Jan 31 290 Radford W 72-67 67%    
  Sat, Feb 7 360 Gardner-Webb W 74-62 86%    
  Thu, Feb 12 288 @Charleston Southern L 65-66 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 210 @UNC Asheville L 64-69 32%    
  Thu, Feb 19 289 Longwood W 69-64 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 278 @South Carolina Upstate L 65-67 43%    
  Thu, Feb 26 93 High Point L 66-74 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 107 @Winthrop L 63-76 13%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 6.2 6.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 19.2 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 8.0 6.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 20.2 4th
5th 0.3 3.7 8.1 4.9 1.0 0.1 18.0 5th
6th 0.2 3.0 7.0 3.8 0.6 0.0 14.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.0 2.5 0.4 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.7 1.4 0.1 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.8 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.9 5.6 9.7 13.5 15.7 15.6 14.0 10.4 6.4 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 84.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1
13-3 57.7% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1
12-4 17.6% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
11-5 3.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 19.5% 19.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.4% 13.7% 13.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
12-4 3.2% 11.0% 11.0% 14.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.8
11-5 6.4% 6.7% 6.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.0
10-6 10.4% 5.8% 5.8% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 9.8
9-7 14.0% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.1 0.3 13.6
8-8 15.6% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.4 15.2
7-9 15.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 15.5
6-10 13.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.3
5-11 9.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.6
4-12 5.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.5
3-13 2.9% 2.9
2-14 0.9% 0.9
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.7 97.0 0.0%