Presbyterian
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#250
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#223
Pace66.3#253
Improvement-2.1#305

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#233
First Shot-4.4#305
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#53
Layup/Dunks-1.0#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#199
Freethrows-2.8#327
Improvement-3.3#352

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#267
First Shot-2.1#245
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#256
Layups/Dunks-3.1#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#225
Freethrows+0.8#133
Improvement+1.3#88
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 5.6% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 21.9% 27.1% 10.4%
.500 or above in Conference 43.0% 46.6% 35.1%
Conference Champion 4.6% 5.4% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 9.9% 15.2%
First Four1.8% 1.6% 2.1%
First Round4.4% 4.9% 3.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Manhattan (Home) - 69.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 74 - 11
Quad 49 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 193   @ Charlotte L 79-88 27%     0 - 1 -7.4 +16.6 -25.3
  Nov 08, 2024 78   @ North Carolina St. L 72-81 9%     0 - 2 +1.1 +7.1 -6.4
  Nov 13, 2024 155   Wofford W 71-68 42%     1 - 2 +0.0 +2.2 -1.9
  Nov 16, 2024 162   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-85 23%     1 - 3 -15.3 -2.5 -13.5
  Nov 21, 2024 217   @ Stephen F. Austin W 58-55 OT 30%     2 - 3 +3.4 -13.7 +16.9
  Nov 22, 2024 195   Youngstown St. W 67-42 37%     3 - 3 +23.5 -1.3 +25.7
  Nov 23, 2024 272   Monmouth W 71-61 54%     4 - 3 +4.0 +2.9 +2.2
  Nov 27, 2024 328   @ Tennessee Tech L 75-90 56%     4 - 4 -21.5 +1.2 -23.3
  Dec 03, 2024 357   @ Florida A&M L 63-66 71%     4 - 5 -13.7 -14.3 +0.7
  Dec 15, 2024 93   @ Miami (FL) L 75-94 10%     4 - 6 -10.0 +8.9 -20.7
  Dec 21, 2024 293   Manhattan W 77-72 69%    
  Dec 30, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 62-78 6%    
  Jan 02, 2025 172   Longwood L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 04, 2025 238   @ Gardner-Webb L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 08, 2025 338   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 11, 2025 166   UNC Asheville L 72-73 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 135   @ High Point L 68-77 19%    
  Jan 22, 2025 301   Charleston Southern W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 204   Radford W 69-68 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 187   @ Winthrop L 72-79 27%    
  Feb 01, 2025 135   High Point L 71-74 38%    
  Feb 05, 2025 338   South Carolina Upstate W 80-71 80%    
  Feb 12, 2025 301   @ Charleston Southern L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 172   @ Longwood L 67-74 26%    
  Feb 19, 2025 187   Winthrop L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 22, 2025 204   @ Radford L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 26, 2025 166   @ UNC Asheville L 69-76 25%    
  Mar 01, 2025 238   Gardner-Webb W 75-73 58%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.9 0.9 0.1 9.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.5 5.5 1.1 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.8 6.8 1.6 0.1 14.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.5 7.5 2.1 0.1 16.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.6 6.9 2.3 0.1 16.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.9 4.6 1.4 0.1 13.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.3 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.9 4.5 8.1 11.8 14.7 15.3 14.3 11.7 8.2 4.8 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 97.6% 0.4    0.4 0.0
13-3 88.1% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
12-4 63.5% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-5 25.0% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1
10-6 4.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 31.1% 31.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 24.9% 24.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.1% 17.7% 17.7% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-4 2.4% 17.1% 17.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.0
11-5 4.8% 13.0% 13.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 4.2
10-6 8.2% 10.4% 10.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 7.4
9-7 11.7% 7.6% 7.6% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 10.9
8-8 14.3% 5.6% 5.6% 15.8 0.1 0.7 13.5
7-9 15.3% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 14.8
6-10 14.7% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 14.3
5-11 11.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.6
4-12 8.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.0
3-13 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.5
2-14 1.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.8 94.9 0.0%