TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.8 #186
Expected Predictive Rating -1.7 #200
Pace 67.0 #234
Improvement +1.5 #111

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #301 F C- C D+ C
Defense #94 B- C A- F C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #18 0.97 #353 +0.1 #172
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #109 0.72 #234 +0.8 #136
Three Pointers 30% #353 0.91 #300 -7.2 #349
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #342 -6.3 #342
Freethrows 17.2 #194 67% #337 11.5 #250
Second Chance 29.7% #214 1.02 #211 0.30 #212
Turnovers 16.6% #181
Total Offense -4.8 #301

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #80 1.14 #157 -1.9 #243
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #153 0.71 #103 +0.3 #167
Three Pointers 37% #299 0.91 #58 +4.3 #35
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #96 +2.7 #96
Freethrows 22.6 #353 73% #209 16.6 #351
Second Chance 29.2% #122 1.09 #249 0.32 #183
Turnovers 19.6% #37
Total Defense +3.0 #94

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.3% #174 0.5% #204
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -12.6% #352 -5.7% #76
Possession Length 18.4 #288 16.8 #92
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #171 0.17 #183
Improvement -0.1 #183 +1.5 #91

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.3% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.8
.500 or above 41.7% 57.8% 27.9%
.500 or above in Conference 89.6% 96.3% 83.9%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round4.3% 5.2% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Away) - 46.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 33 - 43 - 11
Quad 411 - 514 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 29 @SMU L 58 - 69 5% -2  0 - 1 +6 -8 F F A- +14 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Nov 8 189 @Tarleton St. L 77 - 85 39% -13  0 - 2 -7 +6 F C- B+ -13 F F B-
 Tue, Nov 11 19 @Kansas L 46 - 77 3% -19  0 - 3 -11 -17 F F D- +7 F B+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 61 @Oklahoma St. L 69 - 85 10% -9  0 - 4 -4 -7 F D C +4 C+ C A+
 Fri, Nov 28 81 @Xavier L 67 - 88 13% -12  0 - 5 -11 -5 F D- A+ -4 C+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 211 @Lamar W 57 - 49 44% +1  1 - 5 1 - 0 +8 -4 F C D- +13 B+ A B-
 Wed, Dec 17 105 @Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 69 19% -1  1 - 6 1 - 1 -2 -1 D- B D- -1 D+ C+ B+
 Mon, Dec 29 232 Nicholls St. L 71 - 76 69% -3  1 - 7 1 - 2 -12 +2 B- C D- -14 F F B+
 Wed, Dec 31 235 New Orleans W 83 - 69 70% +6  2 - 7 2 - 2 +7 +4 F A+ C +3 B+ A- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 218 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 63 - 59 45% +1  3 - 7 3 - 2 +4 -2 F A D- +6 A+ A C
 Mon, Jan 5 298 @Houston Christian W 81 - 65 62% +8  4 - 7 4 - 2 +11 +5 D+ B+ C +7 A- D- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 276 @Northwestern St. L 78 - 79 57% +7  4 - 8 4 - 3 -4 +4 D+ F A+ -8 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 308 @East Texas A&M W 61 - 50 64% +5  5 - 8 5 - 3 +6 -9 F B- F +15 A+ C B
 Sat, Jan 17 272 SE Louisiana W 68 - 56 76% +14  6 - 8 6 - 3 +3 -7 D+ C F +9 C B- A+
 Mon, Jan 19 87 McNeese St. L 53 - 69 29% -6  6 - 9 6 - 4 -12 -9 D F A -6 A- F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 223 @Incarnate Word L 66 - 67 46%
 Mon, Jan 26 218 UT Rio Grande Valley W 71 - 66 67%
 Sat, Jan 31 298 Houston Christian W 73 - 64 80%
 Mon, Feb 2 223 Incarnate Word W 69 - 64 68%
 Sat, Feb 7 232 @Nicholls St. L 70 - 71 47%
 Mon, Feb 9 235 @New Orleans L 74 - 75 47%
 Sat, Feb 14 211 Lamar W 66 - 62 66%
 Mon, Feb 16 105 Stephen F. Austin L 64 - 67 38%
 Sat, Feb 21 87 @McNeese St. L 63 - 75 15%
 Mon, Feb 23 272 @SE Louisiana W 66 - 65 56%
 Sat, Feb 28 276 Northwestern St. W 73 - 65 76%
 Mon, Mar 2 308 East Texas A&M W 73 - 63 81%
Totals 13 - 14 13 - 9 -2 -5 F C- C +3 B- C A-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.1 0.9 0.1 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.3 12.1 14.4 9.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 44.9 3rd
4th 0.1 3.0 9.3 8.4 3.0 0.6 0.1 24.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 5.4 4.2 1.1 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 3.0 0.5 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 2.1 0.5 0.0 3.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 2.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 6.6 12.3 18.3 21.6 17.8 12.0 5.8 1.6 0.2 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4 45.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-5 17.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
16-6 4.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
15-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.0%
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4 0.2% 22.9% 22.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-5 1.6% 17.3% 17.3% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4
16-6 5.8% 10.8% 10.8% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 5.2
15-7 12.0% 6.4% 6.4% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 11.2
14-8 17.8% 6.0% 6.0% 14.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 16.7
13-9 21.6% 3.9% 3.9% 15.0 0.1 0.7 0.0 20.8
12-10 18.3% 2.4% 2.4% 15.4 0.3 0.2 17.9
11-11 12.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.1
10-12 6.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 6.5
9-13 2.8% 2.8
8-14 0.8% 0.8
7-15 0.1% 0.1
6-16 0.0% 0.0
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 14.4 95.7 0.0%