TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#237
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#251
Pace68.7#208
Improvement-0.6#236

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#290
First Shot-6.7#344
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#58
Layup/Dunks+0.7#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#321
Freethrows+0.2#173
Improvement-0.5#226

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#169
First Shot-1.1#211
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#113
Layups/Dunks+4.7#41
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#62
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#263
Freethrows-5.3#361
Improvement-0.1#204
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 4.7% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 18.4% 31.3% 12.5%
.500 or above in Conference 45.0% 62.9% 36.8%
Conference Champion 2.4% 5.0% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 3.4% 12.4%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round2.6% 4.5% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lamar (Away) - 31.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 48 - 611 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 40 @SMU L 58-69 5%     0 - 1 +3.9 -7.4 +11.2
  Sat, Nov 8 202 @Tarleton St. L 77-85 32%     0 - 2 -7.6 +5.7 -13.4
  Tue, Nov 11 18 @Kansas L 46-77 2%     0 - 3 -11.9 -16.6 +5.2
  Sun, Nov 16 47 @Oklahoma St. L 69-85 5%     0 - 4 -2.0 -4.8 +4.5
  Fri, Nov 28 77 @Xavier L 67-88 9%     0 - 5 -10.6 -4.8 -4.4
  Sat, Dec 6 195 @Lamar L 63-68 31%    
  Wed, Dec 17 144 @Stephen F. Austin L 64-73 21%    
  Mon, Dec 29 265 Nicholls St. W 72-68 66%    
  Wed, Dec 31 216 New Orleans W 73-71 57%    
  Sat, Jan 3 213 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-76 35%    
  Mon, Jan 5 282 @Houston Christian L 68-69 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 302 @Northwestern St. W 70-69 51%    
  Mon, Jan 12 300 @East Texas A&M W 69-68 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 248 SE Louisiana W 69-66 62%    
  Mon, Jan 19 78 McNeese St. L 63-72 22%    
  Sat, Jan 24 171 @Incarnate Word L 67-73 29%    
  Mon, Jan 26 213 UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-73 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 282 Houston Christian W 71-66 67%    
  Mon, Feb 2 171 Incarnate Word L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 265 @Nicholls St. L 69-71 44%    
  Mon, Feb 9 216 @New Orleans L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 195 Lamar W 66-65 53%    
  Mon, Feb 16 144 Stephen F. Austin L 67-70 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 78 @McNeese St. L 60-75 10%    
  Mon, Feb 23 248 @SE Louisiana L 66-69 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 302 Northwestern St. W 72-66 71%    
  Mon, Mar 2 300 East Texas A&M W 71-65 71%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.7 3.7 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.7 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.6 1.9 0.3 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.2 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.3 3.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.3 2.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.6 4.5 5.9 8.0 9.7 10.9 10.9 10.3 9.8 8.3 6.3 4.2 2.9 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
19-3 92.0% 0.4    0.4 0.1
18-4 64.3% 0.5    0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
17-5 38.6% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
16-6 14.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 3.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.1% 37.1% 37.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.5% 33.3% 33.3% 13.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
18-4 0.9% 20.0% 20.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
17-5 1.7% 20.4% 20.4% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.3
16-6 2.9% 14.9% 14.9% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.4
15-7 4.2% 10.4% 10.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.8
14-8 6.3% 6.4% 6.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 5.9
13-9 8.3% 3.7% 3.7% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 8.0
12-10 9.8% 2.0% 2.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 9.6
11-11 10.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.2
10-12 10.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.8
9-13 10.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.9
8-14 9.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.7
7-15 8.0% 8.0
6-16 5.9% 5.9
5-17 4.5% 4.5
4-18 2.6% 2.6
3-19 1.5% 1.5
2-20 0.6% 0.6
1-21 0.2% 0.2
0-22 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 97.3 0.0%