Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
289 LIU Brooklyn 24.3%   16   0 - 1 0 - 0 12 - 15 9 - 5 -7.0      -5.4 327 -1.5 210 63.4 313 -1.1 280 0.0 1
310 Central Connecticut St. 20.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 13 11 - 7 -8.2      -6.9 353 -1.2 202 64.9 284 0.0 121 0.0 1
334 Stonehill 14.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 16 10 - 8 -10.2      -5.7 335 -4.6 323 63.7 307 0.0 121 0.0 1
344 Wagner 10.8%   0 - 1 0 - 0 10 - 16 9 - 9 -11.2      -8.3 360 -2.9 277 66.5 236 -0.4 275 0.0 1
347 Chicago St. 9.8%   0 - 1 0 - 0 10 - 21 9 - 9 -11.7      -6.0 338 -5.7 346 71.0 111 -3.4 305 0.0 1
348 Fairleigh Dickinson 9.1%   0 - 1 0 - 0 11 - 17 9 - 9 -11.9      -6.7 350 -5.1 333 71.9 87 +6.3 51 0.0 1
350 Le Moyne 0.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 16 6 - 7 -12.1      -4.3 308 -7.8 362 70.9 116 0.0 121 0.0 1
352 St. Francis (PA) 7.1%   0 - 1 0 - 0 7 - 15 6 - 7 -12.3      -6.6 348 -5.7 345 67.8 204 +1.5 106 0.0 1
361 Mercyhurst 0.0%   0 - 1 0 - 0 8 - 19 6 - 10 -14.7      -8.7 361 -6.0 351 62.6 328 -1.2 282 0.0 1
362 New Haven 0.0%   0 - 1 0 - 0 8 - 20 7 - 11 -14.9      -8.1 359 -6.7 356 69.0 166 +11.4 14 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 4.2 11.2 16.6 16.8 15.5 12.6 10.0 7.4 5.3 3.1 1.6
Central Connecticut St. 3.1 32.2 18.8 12.3 9.1 7.1 5.7 4.1 3.2 2.5 1.5
Stonehill 4.0 20.4 16.8 13.2 10.9 9.3 7.8 6.6 5.3 4.7 3.6
Wagner 4.4 15.6 14.6 12.9 12.0 10.4 8.7 7.8 7.1 5.7 4.5
Chicago St. 4.7 13.1 14.1 12.5 11.6 10.8 10.0 8.8 7.2 6.7 4.7
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.7 13.0 13.2 13.0 11.8 11.0 9.4 8.7 7.6 6.4 5.6
Le Moyne 6.8 1.5 3.7 5.8 8.6 10.3 12.3 13.7 15.1 15.3 13.7
St. Francis (PA) 6.8 1.3 3.4 5.6 8.4 10.0 12.4 14.3 15.4 15.8 13.4
Mercyhurst 6.7 2.7 4.8 6.8 8.2 9.6 11.4 12.5 13.6 15.1 15.3
New Haven 6.3 4.5 6.5 8.0 9.0 9.6 10.7 11.4 12.3 13.1 14.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.4 4.4 7.2 9.7 12.4 14.8 15.4 13.5 10.2 5.9 2.2
Central Connecticut St. 10 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.6 3.9 5.7 7.5 8.8 10.0 11.9 11.5 10.9 9.1 7.1 4.8
Stonehill 9 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 3.2 4.8 6.4 8.0 9.9 10.7 11.1 11.1 9.4 8.0 6.3 4.0 2.3
Wagner 9 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.1 5.9 8.0 9.3 10.8 11.5 11.4 10.1 8.4 6.3 4.6 2.9 1.5
Chicago St. 9 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.7 4.7 6.9 8.5 10.2 11.6 11.5 11.1 9.3 7.9 5.7 4.1 2.3 1.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 9 - 7 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.0 4.7 6.8 8.8 10.1 11.1 12.1 11.0 9.1 7.7 5.8 3.8 2.2 1.0
Le Moyne 6 - 10 0.6 2.2 5.0 8.2 11.5 13.2 14.0 13.5 11.6 9.2 5.9 3.3 1.4 0.4
St. Francis (PA) 6 - 10 0.6 2.3 5.0 8.4 11.1 14.0 14.5 14.0 11.3 8.7 5.7 2.9 1.2 0.3
Mercyhurst 6 - 10 0.7 2.5 5.6 8.9 10.9 12.6 12.7 12.5 10.8 8.5 6.2 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0
New Haven 7 - 9 0.7 2.5 4.9 7.5 9.8 11.6 12.4 11.3 10.3 9.2 7.2 5.1 3.5 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.2




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 11.2% 6.0 3.7 1.2 0.2 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 32.2% 23.5 6.9 1.5 0.2 0.1
Stonehill 20.4% 13.7 5.1 1.3 0.2 0.1
Wagner 15.6% 10.2 4.2 1.0 0.2 0.1
Chicago St. 13.1% 8.1 3.9 0.9 0.2 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 13.0% 8.3 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
Le Moyne 1.5% 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 1.3% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Mercyhurst 2.7% 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
New Haven 4.5% 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 24.3% 24.3% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 4.4 20.7 75.7 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 22.7% 22.7% 0.0% 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.8 20.9 77.3 0.0%
Stonehill 15.1% 15.1% 0.0% 0.1 0.2 1.2 14.7 84.9 0.0%
Wagner 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 11.2 88.7 0.0%
Chicago St. 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.2 89.8 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 9.3 90.6 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.5 7.0 92.9 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 24.3% 16.1% 18.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 22.7% 17.3% 15.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 15.1% 12.7% 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 11.3% 10.0% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 10.2% 9.4% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 9.4% 8.2% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 7.1% 6.2% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 58.2% 0.6 41.8 53.1 5.1
2nd Round 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0