Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
222 LIU Brooklyn 48.1%   16   11 - 8 5 - 1 -3.6      -2.2 227 -1.4 218 70.2 150 -0.5 171 -1.1 1
277 Central Connecticut St. 26.6%   8 - 7 4 - 2 -6.5      -1.5 213 -5.0 318 64.9 285 -2.9 217 -3.7 2
278 Le Moyne 0.0%   8 - 10 4 - 2 -6.6      -3.0 258 -3.6 281 70.9 126 -6.5 270 -5.8 4
306 Mercyhurst 0.0%   6 - 11 3 - 3 -8.3      -6.6 331 -1.7 226 62.2 344 -9.5 319 -9.6 5
326 Wagner 8.1%   3 - 11 1 - 5 -10.3      -3.6 273 -6.7 347 64.5 294 -14.9 349 -20.9 9
331 New Haven 0.0%   6 - 10 4 - 2 -10.6      -8.0 349 -2.7 258 60.9 357 -7.6 288 -5.0 3
339 Stonehill 6.5%   4 - 13 3 - 3 -11.3      -9.9 361 -1.4 217 65.6 274 -13.5 344 -9.7 7
348 Fairleigh Dickinson 4.6%   3 - 13 3 - 3 -12.4      -6.9 337 -5.5 328 67.0 235 -15.0 350 -10.2 8
357 Chicago St. 2.1%   1 - 17 0 - 6 -14.1      -7.6 347 -6.5 344 68.8 184 -19.8 359 -25.9 10
358 St. Francis (PA) 1.7%   3 - 14 3 - 3 -14.7      -8.1 351 -6.6 345 71.8 100 -13.4 343 -9.6 5


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Jan 19 222 LIU Brooklyn 77 278 Le Moyne 83   
Mon, Jan 19 357 Chicago St. 56 331 New Haven 62   
Mon, Jan 19 348 Fairleigh Dickinson 68 326 Wagner 61   
Mon, Jan 19 358 St. Francis (PA) 63 339 Stonehill 61   
Mon, Jan 19 277 Central Connecticut St. 61 306 Mercyhurst 79   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Jan 23 306 Mercyhurst 61 331 New Haven 62 53%   
Fri, Jan 23 278 Le Moyne 78 326 Wagner 71 74%   
Fri, Jan 23 357 Chicago St. 73 358 St. Francis (PA) 75 59%   
Fri, Jan 23 222 LIU Brooklyn 71 339 Stonehill 66 68%   
Fri, Jan 23 277 Central Connecticut St. 76 348 Fairleigh Dickinson 67 80%   
Sun, Jan 25 222 LIU Brooklyn 78 326 Wagner 69 82%   
Sun, Jan 25 277 Central Connecticut St. 69 339 Stonehill 67 57%   
Sun, Jan 25 348 Fairleigh Dickinson 72 278 Le Moyne 75 61%   
Sun, Jan 25 331 New Haven 71 358 St. Francis (PA) 64 75%   
Sun, Jan 25 357 Chicago St. 63 306 Mercyhurst 72 80%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 1.4 67.2 18.2 7.2 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 2.5 24.9 34.0 21.0 10.4 5.3 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Le Moyne 2.8 17.5 30.5 25.7 13.5 7.1 3.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
Mercyhurst 4.8 1.9 8.0 14.9 21.6 20.7 15.7 9.7 5.0 2.0 0.5
Wagner 7.4 0.1 0.8 2.2 4.4 8.0 12.4 17.2 22.1 23.2 9.7
New Haven 4.3 5.5 12.3 18.0 22.1 17.4 12.2 6.9 3.8 1.6 0.2
Stonehill 5.6 1.4 4.4 8.9 14.1 18.7 18.9 16.0 10.9 5.7 1.2
Fairleigh Dickinson 6.1 0.6 3.0 6.0 11.2 15.3 18.6 19.0 15.2 9.0 2.0
Chicago St. 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 5.7 10.6 20.6 59.2
St. Francis (PA) 7.5 0.0 0.4 1.5 4.1 7.5 12.6 19.1 24.0 22.3 8.5

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 14 - 4 20 - 11 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 6.3 12.3 18.7 23.4 20.2 11.9
Central Connecticut St. 12 - 6 16 - 11 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.9 6.4 11.4 17.2 20.4 19.3 13.3 6.1 1.6
Le Moyne 12 - 6 16 - 14 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 3.6 8.5 14.8 19.8 20.9 16.9 9.8 3.6 0.6
Mercyhurst 9 - 8 12 - 16 0.0 0.3 1.5 5.0 10.7 17.1 21.3 19.8 14.2 7.4 2.4 0.4
Wagner 6 - 12 8 - 18 0.3 1.5 4.9 10.6 16.8 19.7 18.5 14.0 8.0 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.0
New Haven 10 - 8 12 - 16 0.1 1.0 3.5 8.2 13.4 18.7 19.5 16.4 11.0 5.6 2.1 0.5 0.1
Stonehill 8 - 10 9 - 20 0.2 1.5 5.0 11.0 17.2 19.6 18.3 14.3 7.9 3.6 1.1 0.2 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 10 8 - 20 0.6 2.9 8.3 14.6 19.7 19.8 15.8 10.6 5.2 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Chicago St. 4 - 14 5 - 25 1.4 5.9 13.7 20.2 21.9 17.7 11.1 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 6 - 11 6 - 22 2.5 9.9 18.9 22.7 20.6 13.4 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 67.2% 51.6 12.8 2.4 0.3 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 24.9% 13.6 9.0 2.0 0.3 0.0
Le Moyne 17.5% 8.7 6.5 2.0 0.3 0.0
Mercyhurst 1.9% 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Wagner 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
New Haven 5.5% 2.3 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
Stonehill 1.4% 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.6% 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Chicago St.
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 50.4% 50.4% 0.0% 16   0.1 0.8 3.5 17.2 28.8 49.6 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 26.6% 26.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.7 4.4 21.3 73.5 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wagner 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0 8.1 91.9 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stonehill 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0 6.5 93.5 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 4.6 95.4 0.0%
Chicago St. 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 2.1 97.9 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7 98.3 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 74.9% 0.7 25.1 74.9
2nd Round 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 50.4% 11.2% 45.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 26.6% 12.1% 19.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 8.1% 7.8% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 6.5% 6.4% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.6% 4.6% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 2.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%