Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
230 LIU Brooklyn 33.3%   4 - 4 0 - 0 16 - 12 11 - 4 -4.0      -2.5 238 -1.5 217 71.5 136 +0.1 174 0.0 1
244 Central Connecticut St. 31.0%   16   3 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 10 12 - 6 -4.6      -4.2 281 -0.4 179 64.9 302 +3.4 129 0.0 1
297 Wagner 16.2%   1 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 14 10 - 8 -7.6      -5.1 308 -2.5 253 68.9 201 -7.5 280 0.0 1
321 Le Moyne 0.0%   3 - 5 0 - 0 11 - 15 7 - 7 -9.2      -0.8 187 -8.4 361 70.9 145 -7.4 278 0.0 1
328 Mercyhurst 0.0%   2 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 8 -9.6      -5.6 323 -4.0 310 62.6 343 -10.0 310 0.0 1
338 Stonehill 6.3%   1 - 8 0 - 0 10 - 19 8 - 10 -11.1      -8.0 356 -3.1 273 66.2 268 -16.6 354 0.0 1
346 New Haven 0.0%   2 - 4 0 - 0 11 - 17 8 - 10 -11.5      -8.8 359 -2.7 257 64.8 303 -5.1 240 0.0 1
350 Chicago St. 5.5%   0 - 8 0 - 0 8 - 22 8 - 10 -11.8      -5.2 310 -6.6 352 71.0 142 -12.2 328 0.0 1
356 St. Francis (PA) 2.5%   0 - 7 0 - 0 6 - 20 6 - 9 -13.8      -9.1 362 -4.8 329 75.5 45 -16.3 353 0.0 1
362 Fairleigh Dickinson 1.9%   0 - 7 0 - 0 6 - 22 6 - 12 -14.9      -6.1 335 -8.7 363 71.9 126 -21.9 364 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 2 230 LIU Brooklyn 92 107 Winthrop 94   
Tue, Dec 2 86 Maryland 89 297 Wagner 63   
Tue, Dec 2 295 Bryant 77 338 Stonehill 65   
Tue, Dec 2 362 Fairleigh Dickinson 64 72 Providence 94   
Wed, Dec 3 244 Central Connecticut St. 61 76 Seton Hall 77   
Fri, Dec 5 331 Lafayette 79 328 Mercyhurst 71   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Dec 6 230 LIU Brooklyn 73 299 Lehigh 72 53%   
Sat, Dec 6 349 Binghamton 76 321 Le Moyne 75 52%   
Sat, Dec 6 132 Boston College 72 346 New Haven 56 93%   
Sat, Dec 6 350 Chicago St. 65 101 Illinois St. 84 96%   
Sun, Dec 7 244 Central Connecticut St. 67 227 Northeastern 70 64%   
Sun, Dec 7 290 Radford 84 356 St. Francis (PA) 75 82%   
Wed, Dec 10 351 NJIT 68 346 New Haven 66 58%   
Wed, Dec 10 362 Fairleigh Dickinson 65 211 Fordham 79 91%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 3.2 19.9 25.0 19.9 13.6 8.7 5.6 3.8 2.0 1.1 0.4
Central Connecticut St. 2.1 48.1 19.1 11.0 6.9 4.2 2.8 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.3
Wagner 3.5 21.8 20.7 16.1 11.6 9.3 7.2 5.1 3.7 2.3 1.4
Le Moyne 6.0 1.9 5.4 9.5 11.8 13.9 15.2 13.9 12.5 9.8 6.1
Mercyhurst 5.2 5.8 10.2 12.3 13.5 13.3 12.7 11.5 9.7 7.3 3.8
Stonehill 5.3 6.4 9.7 11.7 12.3 12.8 12.5 11.1 9.7 8.3 5.5
New Haven 5.5 6.5 9.3 10.9 11.8 11.4 11.5 11.5 10.6 9.1 7.4
Chicago St. 5.7 4.9 8.2 10.2 11.6 12.2 12.5 11.6 11.4 10.2 7.2
St. Francis (PA) 7.6 0.6 1.6 3.5 5.2 7.4 9.8 12.9 16.2 20.2 22.5
Fairleigh Dickinson 7.4 1.2 2.7 4.4 6.0 7.2 9.9 11.6 14.8 18.4 23.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.7 5.0 8.6 12.6 16.1 17.4 16.1 11.9 6.0 1.8
Central Connecticut St. 12 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.2 4.0 6.2 9.2 12.1 13.7 14.6 13.3 11.0 7.2
Wagner 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.4 4.6 6.6 9.8 11.7 13.1 13.7 12.5 10.1 6.8 4.1 1.8
Le Moyne 7 - 9 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.1 6.3 10.1 13.5 16.4 15.9 14.0 9.6 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.2
Mercyhurst 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.5 7.1 11.1 13.6 14.6 14.5 12.2 9.0 5.7 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.0
Stonehill 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.8 5.2 8.1 10.8 13.5 14.2 13.3 11.2 8.0 5.7 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.3
New Haven 8 - 8 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.7 5.8 8.5 11.4 13.3 13.2 12.1 10.5 7.3 5.6 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3
Chicago St. 8 - 8 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.9 6.4 9.5 12.2 13.6 13.6 12.7 9.8 7.2 4.6 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
St. Francis (PA) 6 - 10 0.6 2.6 6.6 10.7 14.3 15.7 15.1 13.1 9.4 6.0 3.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 6 - 10 0.8 3.0 6.7 10.8 13.3 14.2 14.5 12.0 9.4 6.4 4.3 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 19.9% 11.8 6.3 1.5 0.3 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 48.1% 36.0 9.8 1.8 0.4 0.0
Wagner 21.8% 13.9 6.2 1.4 0.3 0.0
Le Moyne 1.9% 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Mercyhurst 5.8% 2.9 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0
Stonehill 6.4% 3.5 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
New Haven 6.5% 3.5 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.0
Chicago St. 4.9% 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 0.6% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.2% 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 33.3% 33.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 2.4 9.2 21.4 66.7 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 33.7% 33.7% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.2 1.0 2.8 8.6 21.0 66.4 0.0%
Wagner 16.7% 16.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 15.4 83.3 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stonehill 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0 6.3 93.7 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0 5.5 94.5 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 2.5 97.5 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 1.9 98.1 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 33.3% 11.8% 27.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 33.7% 12.2% 27.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 16.7% 13.0% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 6.3% 6.2% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 5.6% 5.4% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 2.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 71.7% 0.7 28.3 71.7
2nd Round 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0