Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
197 Central Connecticut St. 77.8%   15   23 - 6 14 - 2 24 - 6 14 - 2 -1.9      -4.2 284 +2.2 103 65.1 264 +1.0 151 -0.5 1
301 LIU Brooklyn 0.0%   15 - 16 12 - 4 15 - 16 12 - 4 -8.1      -9.0 356 +1.0 144 63.5 301 -8.6 308 -4.2 2
314 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0%   10 - 20 8 - 8 10 - 20 8 - 8 -9.2      -6.5 335 -2.7 256 72.0 70 -11.5 333 -10.9 5
326 St. Francis (PA) 22.2%   12 - 17 8 - 8 12 - 18 8 - 8 -9.8      -4.4 292 -5.5 324 67.7 192 -8.9 310 -10.8 4
331 Stonehill 0.0%   13 - 17 7 - 9 13 - 17 7 - 9 -10.7      -4.4 290 -6.3 338 63.8 296 -9.5 316 -12.2 6
342 Mercyhurst 0.0%   12 - 16 9 - 7 12 - 16 9 - 7 -12.1      -5.7 319 -6.4 340 62.8 319 -9.4 315 -8.9 3
345 Wagner 0.0%   10 - 16 6 - 10 10 - 16 6 - 10 -12.4      -10.0 360 -2.4 241 55.2 363 -11.6 335 -13.6 7
355 Le Moyne 0.0%   7 - 23 4 - 12 7 - 23 4 - 12 -14.2      -3.8 275 -10.4 362 70.6 109 -14.4 351 -16.9 9
361 Chicago St. 0.0%   4 - 28 4 - 12 4 - 28 4 - 12 -16.9      -10.1 361 -6.8 347 70.7 106 -17.4 358 -16.4 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Central Connecticut St. 1.0 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 2.0 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.0 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 4.0 100.0
Stonehill 6.0 100.0
Mercyhurst 3.0 100.0
Wagner 7.0 100.0
Le Moyne 8.0 100.0
Chicago St. 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Central Connecticut St. 14 - 2 100.0
LIU Brooklyn 12 - 4 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 8 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 8 - 8 100.0
Stonehill 7 - 9 100.0
Mercyhurst 9 - 7 100.0
Wagner 6 - 10 100.0
Le Moyne 4 - 12 100.0
Chicago St. 4 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Central Connecticut St. 100.0% 100.0
LIU Brooklyn
Fairleigh Dickinson
St. Francis (PA)
Stonehill
Mercyhurst
Wagner
Le Moyne
Chicago St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Central Connecticut St. 77.8% 77.8% 0.0% 15   0.3 19.1 51.9 6.5 22.2 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 22.2% 22.2% 0.0% 22.2 77.8 0.0%
Stonehill 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Central Connecticut St. 77.8% 0.2% 77.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 22.2% 22.2% 8.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 86.0% 0.9 14.0 86.0
2nd Round 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0