Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
218 LIU Brooklyn 52.1%   16   21 - 10 15 - 3 -3.2      -3.3 255 +0.1 169 70.2 131 -0.9 175 -1.5 1
291 Mercyhurst 14.8%   13 - 16 10 - 8 -7.5      -4.9 301 -2.6 256 62.6 330 -9.1 312 -9.0 4
298 Le Moyne 10.9%   14 - 16 10 - 8 -8.1      -5.4 310 -2.6 258 72.3 77 -8.3 299 -8.9 3
306 Central Connecticut St. 10.2%   16 - 11 12 - 6 -8.6      -3.1 251 -5.5 321 64.0 300 -5.2 247 -6.0 2
317 Wagner 6.9%   10 - 16 8 - 10 -9.7      -5.0 304 -4.7 313 64.5 285 -10.5 326 -11.4 8
325 New Haven 0.0%   11 - 17 9 - 9 -10.6      -8.5 349 -2.0 236 60.8 353 -10.2 322 -10.0 5
335 Stonehill 2.4%   9 - 20 8 - 10 -11.8      -11.7 361 -0.1 173 65.9 254 -13.1 344 -11.2 7
336 Fairleigh Dickinson 2.8%   8 - 20 8 - 10 -12.0      -5.7 318 -6.3 332 62.1 338 -13.2 346 -11.1 6
351 Chicago St. 0.0%   6 - 24 5 - 13 -13.6      -7.2 339 -6.4 336 65.8 255 -14.3 350 -15.3 10
355 St. Francis (PA) 0.0%   5 - 24 5 - 13 -15.0      -6.4 332 -8.5 359 73.4 54 -16.0 354 -15.1 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 298 Le Moyne 59 325 New Haven 66   
Sat, Feb 28 291 Mercyhurst 75 335 Stonehill 72   
Sat, Feb 28 306 Central Connecticut St. 69 355 St. Francis (PA) 64   
Sat, Feb 28 336 Fairleigh Dickinson 60 218 LIU Brooklyn 74   
Sat, Feb 28 351 Chicago St. 61 317 Wagner 80   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 4 306 Central Connecticut St. 73 317 Wagner 69 66%   
Wed, Mar 4 298 Le Moyne 71 335 Stonehill 64 74%   
Wed, Mar 4 336 Fairleigh Dickinson 63 291 Mercyhurst 71 76%   
Wed, Mar 4 351 Chicago St. 65 218 LIU Brooklyn 78 89%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 1.0 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 2.0 100.0
Mercyhurst 3.0 100.0
Le Moyne 3.0 100.0
New Haven 5.0 100.0
Stonehill 6.0 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 6.0 100.0
Wagner 6.0 100.0
Chicago St. 9.0 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 9.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 15 - 3 22 - 10 100.0
Central Connecticut St. 12 - 6 17 - 11 100.0
Mercyhurst 10 - 8 14 - 16 100.0
Le Moyne 10 - 8 15 - 16 100.0
New Haven 9 - 9 11 - 17 100.0
Stonehill 8 - 10 9 - 21 100.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 10 8 - 21 100.0
Wagner 8 - 10 10 - 17 100.0
Chicago St. 5 - 13 6 - 25 100.0
St. Francis (PA) 5 - 13 5 - 24 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 100.0% 100.0
Central Connecticut St.
Mercyhurst
Le Moyne
New Haven
Stonehill
Fairleigh Dickinson
Wagner
Chicago St.
St. Francis (PA)


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 52.1% 52.1% 0.0% 16   0.0 1.1 15.4 35.6 47.9 0.0%
Mercyhurst 14.8% 14.8% 0.0% 0.0 14.8 85.2 0.0%
Le Moyne 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0 10.9 89.1 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 0.1 10.1 89.8 0.0%
Wagner 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 6.9 93.1 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stonehill 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 2.4 97.6 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 2.8 97.2 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 67.4% 0.7 32.6 67.4
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 52.1% 14.5% 45.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 14.8% 14.1% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 10.9% 10.3% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 10.2% 8.5% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 6.9% 6.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 2.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 2.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%