Winthrop
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#197
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#194
Pace78.3#13
Improvement-1.5#248

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#154
First Shot-0.5#192
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#107
Layup/Dunks+2.8#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#352
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#281
Freethrows+3.5#23
Improvement+2.5#59

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#248
First Shot-0.5#193
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#324
Layups/Dunks+0.2#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#281
Freethrows-0.2#196
Improvement-4.1#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 17.0% 10.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 80.3% 94.4% 76.5%
.500 or above in Conference 73.5% 91.1% 68.7%
Conference Champion 6.9% 20.4% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.2% 1.4%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round11.5% 16.7% 10.1%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Away) - 21.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 414 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 238   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-67 70%     1 - 0 +7.9 +0.2 +6.1
  Nov 11, 2024 137   @ Virginia Tech L 52-58 28%     1 - 1 -1.6 -14.0 +11.8
  Nov 15, 2024 189   William & Mary W 86-85 59%     2 - 1 -3.0 -2.0 -1.2
  Nov 16, 2024 272   Georgia Southern L 87-89 76%     2 - 2 -11.0 -7.2 -3.4
  Nov 17, 2024 306   NC Central W 77-75 80%     3 - 2 -8.7 -1.7 -7.0
  Nov 22, 2024 27   @ Louisville L 61-76 6%     3 - 3 +1.4 -11.2 +14.2
  Nov 25, 2024 314   LIU Brooklyn W 87-65 82%     4 - 3 +10.6 +9.4 +0.5
  Dec 03, 2024 210   @ Queens W 86-78 43%     5 - 3 +8.3 +5.2 +2.4
  Dec 07, 2024 292   Coastal Carolina W 96-89 79%     6 - 3 -3.3 +16.4 -19.8
  Dec 17, 2024 58   @ Florida St. L 64-82 10%     6 - 4 -5.7 -7.5 +3.3
  Dec 21, 2024 233   Mercer W 102-97 69%     7 - 4 -1.8 +7.6 -10.3
  Dec 29, 2024 56   @ Indiana L 68-77 10%     7 - 5 +3.7 +0.5 +3.5
  Jan 02, 2025 338   South Carolina Upstate W 95-76 88%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +4.8 +12.5 -8.2
  Jan 04, 2025 204   @ Radford L 67-87 41%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -19.4 -3.2 -17.2
  Jan 08, 2025 239   @ Gardner-Webb L 83-89 50%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -7.6 +6.8 -14.2
  Jan 11, 2025 199   Longwood W 95-76 61%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +14.6 +14.9 -1.4
  Jan 15, 2025 279   Charleston Southern W 102-97 3OT 77%     10 - 7 3 - 2 -4.4 -3.3 -2.5
  Jan 18, 2025 187   @ UNC Asheville L 84-93 38%     10 - 8 3 - 3 -7.4 +1.9 -8.8
  Jan 25, 2025 105   @ High Point L 80-88 21%    
  Jan 29, 2025 273   Presbyterian W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 01, 2025 239   Gardner-Webb W 84-79 70%    
  Feb 05, 2025 279   @ Charleston Southern W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 338   @ South Carolina Upstate W 88-81 74%    
  Feb 12, 2025 204   Radford W 77-74 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 105   High Point L 82-85 41%    
  Feb 19, 2025 273   @ Presbyterian W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 26, 2025 199   @ Longwood L 78-81 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 187   UNC Asheville W 85-83 59%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.7 3.1 2.6 0.5 6.9 1st
2nd 1.0 6.2 5.2 0.5 0.0 12.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 7.4 9.0 1.2 18.6 3rd
4th 0.7 7.3 10.2 2.3 0.0 20.6 4th
5th 0.4 5.5 10.0 2.5 0.1 18.4 5th
6th 0.1 3.1 7.0 2.5 0.1 12.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.8 1.7 0.1 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.8 0.1 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.8 8.1 15.0 20.9 21.3 18.2 9.5 3.1 0.5 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 98.1% 0.5    0.5 0.0
12-4 84.6% 2.6    1.7 0.9 0.1
11-5 32.5% 3.1    0.7 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.8% 0.7    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 2.8 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.5% 35.8% 35.8% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
12-4 3.1% 35.3% 35.3% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 2.0
11-5 9.5% 21.2% 21.2% 14.3 0.2 1.1 0.7 0.0 7.5
10-6 18.2% 15.0% 15.0% 14.7 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.2 15.5
9-7 21.3% 12.2% 12.2% 15.0 0.0 0.4 1.8 0.4 18.7
8-8 20.9% 8.6% 8.6% 15.3 0.1 1.1 0.7 19.1
7-9 15.0% 5.7% 5.7% 15.6 0.4 0.5 14.1
6-10 8.1% 4.3% 4.3% 15.8 0.1 0.3 7.7
5-11 2.8% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.1 2.6
4-12 0.7% 0.7
3-13 0.1% 0.0 0.1
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 14.8 0.1 0.7 3.2 5.7 2.1 88.3 0.0%