Winthrop
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#163
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#188
Pace67.4#241
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#197
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#124
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.9% 20.5% 13.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 76.6% 82.2% 59.5%
.500 or above in Conference 80.4% 83.3% 71.3%
Conference Champion 24.2% 26.5% 17.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.3% 4.8%
First Four1.0% 0.8% 1.7%
First Round18.4% 20.2% 13.0%
Second Round1.8% 2.1% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Home) - 75.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 44 - 8
Quad 414 - 418 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 279   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-67 81%     1 - 0 +5.8 -4.7 +8.9
  Nov 11, 2024 82   @ Virginia Tech L 52-58 17%     1 - 1 +4.1 -10.1 +13.7
  Nov 15, 2024 244   William & Mary W 74-67 75%    
  Nov 16, 2024 197   Georgia Southern W 76-71 69%    
  Nov 17, 2024 283   NC Central W 74-64 81%    
  Nov 22, 2024 49   @ Louisville L 66-79 12%    
  Nov 25, 2024 339   LIU Brooklyn W 78-64 90%    
  Dec 03, 2024 297   @ Queens W 76-72 65%    
  Dec 07, 2024 268   Coastal Carolina W 72-63 79%    
  Dec 17, 2024 80   @ Florida St. L 66-76 19%    
  Dec 21, 2024 249   Mercer W 74-66 74%    
  Dec 29, 2024 24   @ Indiana L 63-79 8%    
  Jan 02, 2025 316   South Carolina Upstate W 77-65 85%    
  Jan 04, 2025 254   @ Radford W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 08, 2025 217   @ Gardner-Webb W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 11, 2025 167   Longwood W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 15, 2025 303   Charleston Southern W 75-65 82%    
  Jan 18, 2025 211   @ UNC Asheville L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 25, 2025 125   @ High Point L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 29, 2025 264   Presbyterian W 76-68 77%    
  Feb 01, 2025 217   Gardner-Webb W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 05, 2025 303   @ Charleston Southern W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 08, 2025 316   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 12, 2025 254   Radford W 74-66 75%    
  Feb 15, 2025 125   High Point W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 19, 2025 264   @ Presbyterian W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 26, 2025 167   @ Longwood L 67-70 41%    
  Mar 01, 2025 211   UNC Asheville W 74-68 68%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.7 6.8 5.5 2.6 0.7 24.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 4.3 7.6 5.6 2.2 0.3 20.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.6 7.0 3.4 0.6 0.0 16.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.1 5.6 2.1 0.2 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.5 1.4 0.1 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.5 1.0 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.0 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 1.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.4 5.2 8.0 10.4 12.4 13.9 13.5 11.9 9.0 5.9 2.6 0.7 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
15-1 100.0% 2.6    2.6 0.0
14-2 94.4% 5.5    4.8 0.7
13-3 75.3% 6.8    4.7 2.0 0.1
12-4 47.7% 5.7    2.5 2.6 0.5 0.0
11-5 17.6% 2.4    0.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0
10-6 3.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 24.2% 24.2 15.9 6.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.7% 66.1% 64.7% 1.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.8%
15-1 2.6% 52.9% 52.9% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-2 5.9% 44.2% 44.2% 13.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.3
13-3 9.0% 35.3% 35.3% 13.4 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.9
12-4 11.9% 28.0% 28.0% 13.9 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 8.6
11-5 13.5% 20.8% 20.8% 14.3 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.2 10.7
10-6 13.9% 14.8% 14.8% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.3 11.9
9-7 12.4% 10.3% 10.3% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 11.1
8-8 10.4% 8.4% 8.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 9.5
7-9 8.0% 6.5% 6.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 7.5
6-10 5.2% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.0
5-11 3.4% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.4
4-12 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-13 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-14 0.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.9% 18.9% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.7 5.2 4.2 2.2 81.1 0.0%