Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
6 Connecticut 100.0%   2   12 - 1 2 - 0 27 - 4 17 - 3 +21.5      +9.8 17 +11.7 3 63.8 323 +27.4 4 +22.3 2
18 St. John's 90.9%   7   8 - 4 1 - 0 21 - 10 14 - 6 +16.5      +8.4 29 +8.2 14 73.9 66 +12.1 48 +15.6 4
33 Villanova 86.4%   8   10 - 2 1 - 0 22 - 9 13 - 7 +14.1      +7.5 37 +6.6 30 60.1 362 +18.9 16 +28.0 1
38 Creighton 60.6%   10   9 - 5 3 - 0 19 - 12 13 - 7 +13.0      +7.4 39 +5.6 41 68.0 225 +10.7 57 +21.9 3
50 Butler 47.0%   11   10 - 4 1 - 2 19 - 12 10 - 10 +10.7      +6.7 47 +4.0 69 73.8 68 +12.5 46 +9.3 6
54 Seton Hall 48.2%   11   12 - 2 2 - 1 20 - 11 10 - 10 +9.8      +2.1 116 +7.7 21 65.0 301 +15.4 30 +13.1 5
80 Providence 3.5%   7 - 6 0 - 2 14 - 17 7 - 13 +7.1      +6.8 46 +0.3 147 77.0 29 +3.0 126 -6.0 10
93 Xavier 5.5%   9 - 4 1 - 1 15 - 16 7 - 13 +5.7      +2.2 113 +3.5 75 72.9 91 +9.3 64 +9.2 7
98 Georgetown 4.1%   9 - 4 1 - 1 15 - 16 7 - 13 +5.5      +3.8 84 +1.7 116 70.0 168 +8.2 73 +4.9 8
106 Marquette 0.2%   5 - 9 0 - 3 10 - 21 5 - 15 +4.0      +1.3 132 +2.7 95 74.3 60 -2.6 205 -9.0 11
113 DePaul 0.5%   8 - 5 0 - 2 13 - 18 5 - 15 +3.4      -0.4 175 +3.8 71 68.5 214 +3.1 125 +3.8 9




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 30 106 Marquette 73 54 Seton Hall 79   
Tue, Dec 30 50 Butler 85 38 Creighton 89   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Dec 31 98 Georgetown 74 18 St. John's 82 78%   
Wed, Dec 31 113 DePaul 60 33 Villanova 74 89%   
Wed, Dec 31 6 Connecticut 77 93 Xavier 65 88%   
Sat, Jan 3 50 Butler 71 33 Villanova 72 52%   
Sat, Jan 3 80 Providence 78 18 St. John's 90 87%   
Sat, Jan 3 113 DePaul 73 93 Xavier 72 53%   
Sun, Jan 4 38 Creighton 70 54 Seton Hall 69 51%   
Sun, Jan 4 106 Marquette 61 6 Connecticut 82 96%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Connecticut 1.3 76.2 16.6 5.0 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
St. John's 2.6 20.9 35.2 21.8 12.4 5.7 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Villanova 3.3 10.6 24.4 26.3 18.4 11.0 5.2 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1
Creighton 3.6 6.7 20.5 25.7 22.6 13.3 6.9 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Butler 5.3 0.8 5.2 10.8 17.4 22.8 19.3 11.8 6.7 3.2 1.5 0.5
Seton Hall 5.3 1.0 4.8 11.0 17.3 22.3 19.7 12.1 6.8 3.5 1.2 0.3
Providence 7.7 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.9 7.8 13.2 18.6 18.3 16.1 12.9 7.3
Xavier 7.6 0.0 0.5 1.4 4.2 8.2 13.4 19.4 18.8 16.4 11.3 6.3
Georgetown 8.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.0 6.2 11.0 16.8 19.5 19.3 14.5 8.3
Marquette 9.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.7 7.8 11.4 17.9 25.7 31.8
DePaul 9.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.9 5.8 10.1 14.3 18.3 22.7 24.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Connecticut 17 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.7 9.1 14.6 20.5 22.9 17.9 6.8
St. John's 14 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.0 5.7 9.1 13.1 15.8 16.6 14.6 10.9 6.1 2.3 0.5
Villanova 13 - 7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.9 6.6 10.0 12.7 15.7 15.6 13.7 9.8 5.8 2.3 0.8 0.1
Creighton 13 - 7 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 4.8 8.3 12.0 15.3 16.9 15.4 11.8 6.9 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.0
Butler 10 - 10 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.5 3.2 6.9 10.2 14.1 16.0 15.6 13.5 9.4 5.4 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0
Seton Hall 10 - 10 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.6 6.6 10.4 13.9 16.0 16.6 13.6 8.9 5.0 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0
Providence 7 - 13 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.9 7.5 11.3 14.6 16.4 14.4 11.9 8.5 5.3 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Xavier 7 - 13 0.2 1.1 2.9 6.9 11.7 14.7 16.6 15.9 12.5 8.6 4.7 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Georgetown 7 - 13 0.4 1.7 4.8 9.0 13.6 16.6 16.4 14.4 10.5 6.4 3.8 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Marquette 5 - 15 0.9 3.8 8.5 14.8 18.3 17.6 14.2 10.2 6.3 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
DePaul 5 - 15 0.6 2.7 6.4 11.3 15.6 16.6 15.2 12.7 8.7 5.2 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Connecticut 76.2% 63.7 11.1 1.2 0.1 0.0
St. John's 20.9% 12.5 7.2 1.1 0.1 0.0
Villanova 10.6% 5.5 4.1 0.8 0.1 0.0
Creighton 6.7% 3.2 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0
Butler 0.8% 0.2 0.5 0.1
Seton Hall 1.0% 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Providence 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Xavier 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0
Marquette
DePaul


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Connecticut 100.0% 53.0% 47.0% 2   34.3 34.1 18.6 8.2 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
St. John's 90.9% 20.7% 70.2% 7   1.1 2.2 5.1 9.5 12.1 14.4 15.1 12.9 9.4 6.4 2.7 0.1 9.1 88.6%
Villanova 86.4% 11.0% 75.4% 8   0.3 1.1 2.6 5.8 9.1 12.5 14.1 13.2 12.4 10.0 5.2 0.1 13.6 84.7%
Creighton 60.6% 7.5% 53.1% 10   0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.4 4.4 7.8 11.6 11.8 12.1 8.8 0.3 0.0 39.4 57.4%
Butler 47.0% 3.2% 43.8% 11   0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.5 3.4 6.9 9.7 13.6 10.2 0.4 0.0 53.0 45.2%
Seton Hall 48.2% 2.6% 45.7% 11   0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.1 4.4 7.4 10.2 13.4 9.8 0.3 51.8 46.8%
Providence 3.5% 0.9% 2.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.5 2.7%
Xavier 5.5% 0.5% 5.1% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 94.5 5.1%
Georgetown 4.1% 0.4% 3.7% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.9 3.7%
Marquette 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.1%
DePaul 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 99.5 0.4%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.3% 72.3% 44.8% 24.1% 12.3% 5.9%
St. John's 90.9% 3.1% 89.7% 64.0% 28.0% 11.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.6%
Villanova 86.4% 6.2% 83.3% 50.8% 17.1% 5.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Creighton 60.6% 9.6% 56.3% 30.3% 7.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Butler 47.0% 11.6% 40.8% 17.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Seton Hall 48.2% 11.3% 41.6% 16.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 3.5% 1.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Xavier 5.5% 2.7% 3.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 4.1% 1.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.5 0.0 0.6 10.5 41.0 37.8 9.6 0.5 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 4.2 0.0 1.2 16.6 47.0 29.5 5.5 0.2
2nd Round 99.9% 2.8 0.1 6.7 30.6 42.1 18.1 2.3 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 87.6% 1.3 12.4 50.4 31.2 5.7 0.3
Elite Eight 57.3% 0.7 42.7 48.6 8.4 0.4
Final Four 30.3% 0.3 69.7 28.9 1.4 0.0
Final Game 14.8% 0.1 85.2 14.7 0.1
Champion 6.7% 0.1 93.3 6.7