IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Washington
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.3	#79
Expected Predictive Rating	+4.8	#104

Pace	76.1	#37
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.1	#117

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.2	#42

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	2.2%	2.6%	0.7%
Top 6 Seed	5.5%	6.4%	2.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	22.5%	25.2%	11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	21.4%	24.1%	11.0%
Average Seed	8.1	8.1	8.5

.500 or above	45.8%	50.8%	26.1%
.500 or above in Conference	27.5%	29.9%	17.9%
Conference Champion	1.3%	1.5%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	19.1%	16.9%	27.5%

First Four	3.5%	3.9%	1.9%
First Round	20.8%	23.3%	10.5%
Second Round	10.9%	12.4%	4.8%
Sweet Sixteen	3.7%	4.2%	1.6%
Elite Eight	1.4%	1.6%	0.6%
Final Four	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 79.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 10
Quad 2	4 - 4	7 - 14
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 15
Quad 4	4 - 0	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	168	UC Davis	W	79-73	84%	1 - 0			+2.7	-5.4	+7.2
Nov 09, 2024	46	@ Nevada	L	53-63	29%	1 - 1			+3.0	-9.6	+11.9
Nov 17, 2024	138	Umass Lowell	W	82-73	80%
Nov 22, 2024	352	Alcorn St.	W	83-60	98%
Nov 28, 2024	91	Colorado St.	W	72-70	56%
Dec 03, 2024	30	@ UCLA	L	64-72	24%
Dec 07, 2024	65	USC	W	77-75	57%
Dec 10, 2024	228	Eastern Washington	W	87-73	89%
Dec 18, 2024	75	Washington St.	W	79-76	60%
Dec 23, 2024	152	Seattle	W	76-67	80%
Dec 29, 2024	354	NJIT	W	82-58	98%
Jan 02, 2025	31	Maryland	L	70-72	43%
Jan 05, 2025	20	Illinois	L	76-79	40%
Jan 09, 2025	27	@ Michigan St.	L	69-77	23%
Jan 12, 2025	25	@ Michigan	L	70-78	23%
Jan 15, 2025	15	Purdue	L	73-77	36%
Jan 21, 2025	39	@ Oregon	L	70-76	29%
Jan 24, 2025	30	UCLA	L	67-69	43%
Feb 01, 2025	88	@ Minnesota	L	70-72	44%
Feb 05, 2025	67	Nebraska	W	74-72	58%
Feb 08, 2025	50	Northwestern	W	71-70	52%
Feb 12, 2025	17	@ Ohio St.	L	67-77	21%
Feb 15, 2025	36	@ Penn St.	L	75-82	27%
Feb 19, 2025	37	Rutgers	L	71-72	47%
Feb 22, 2025	45	@ Iowa	L	80-86	31%
Feb 25, 2025	38	@ Wisconsin	L	68-75	28%
Mar 01, 2025	24	Indiana	L	74-76	41%
Mar 05, 2025	65	@ USC	L	74-78	36%
Mar 09, 2025	39	Oregon	L	72-73	48%
Projected Record						14 - 15	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.3	1st
2nd													0.0	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0				1.8	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	1.0	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0					2.3	3rd
4th												0.1	0.9	1.2	0.3	0.0							2.6	4th
5th											0.0	0.6	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0							2.9	5th
6th											0.2	1.7	1.4	0.2	0.0								3.4	6th
7th										0.0	1.0	2.2	0.5	0.0									3.8	7th
8th									0.0	0.3	2.6	1.5	0.1										4.5	8th
9th									0.1	1.5	2.6	0.4	0.0										4.5	9th
10th								0.0	0.5	2.9	1.6	0.1											5.1	10th
11th							0.0	0.2	2.0	3.0	0.4	0.0											5.6	11th
12th							0.0	1.0	3.7	1.4	0.1												6.2	12th
13th						0.0	0.5	3.0	3.2	0.4	0.0												7.1	13th
14th					0.0	0.3	2.1	4.1	1.3	0.0													7.8	14th
15th				0.0	0.2	1.5	3.7	2.5	0.3														8.2	15th
16th			0.0	0.2	1.6	3.6	3.4	0.7	0.0													9.5	16th
17th		0.0	0.5	1.9	3.9	3.5	1.1	0.1														10.9	17th
18th	0.4	1.4	3.2	3.6	2.7	0.9	0.1	0.0														12.4	18th

Total	0.4	1.5	3.7	5.7	8.3	9.7	11.0	11.6	11.1	9.5	8.4	6.6	4.8	3.5	2.0	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	86.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
17-3	85.3%	0.3		0.2	0.0	0.0
16-4	65.4%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	30.3%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	9.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0
13-7	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.3%	1.3		0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.0%							0.0	0.0	0.0
18-2	0.1%		100.0%	19.4%	80.6%	1.9		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.3%		100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	2.7		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0														100.0%
16-4	0.6%		100.0%	18.4%	81.6%	3.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-5	1.2%		99.4%	12.7%	86.7%	4.6		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0								0.0		99.3%
14-6	2.0%		99.0%	10.7%	88.3%	5.8			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		98.9%
13-7	3.5%		96.1%	6.7%	89.5%	7.1				0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.1		95.9%
12-8	4.8%		87.2%	3.2%	83.9%	8.1				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0					0.6		86.7%
11-9	6.6%		71.9%	1.9%	70.0%	9.1						0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.2	1.2	0.8	0.1	0.0				1.9		71.4%
10-10	8.4%		46.8%	1.3%	45.5%	9.9					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.3	0.2					4.5		46.1%
9-11	9.5%		17.5%	0.5%	16.9%	10.6							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.9	0.3	0.0				7.9		17.0%
8-12	11.1%		3.5%	0.4%	3.1%	11.0									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0				10.7		3.1%
7-13	11.6%		0.4%	0.1%	0.3%	11.5											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				11.5		0.3%
6-14	11.0%		0.0%	0.0%		11.0												0.0						11.0
5-15	9.7%																							9.7
4-16	8.3%																							8.3
3-17	5.7%																							5.7
2-18	3.7%																							3.7
1-19	1.5%																							1.5
0-20	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		22.5%	1.3%	21.1%	8.1		0.2	0.3	0.7	1.0	1.4	1.9	2.6	3.3	3.5	3.4	3.5	0.7	0.0				77.5		21.4%