Washington
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#90
Expected Predictive Rating+7.4#78
Pace70.5#116
Improvement+1.3#132

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#101
First Shot+1.1#136
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#97
Layup/Dunks+0.7#151
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#254
Freethrows+1.4#94
Improvement+4.0#29

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#88
First Shot+2.9#82
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#157
Layups/Dunks+3.2#66
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#360
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#8
Freethrows-0.7#237
Improvement-2.7#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 10.9 10.9 11.0
.500 or above 11.0% 27.6% 4.6%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 54.4% 25.9% 65.4%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Away) - 27.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 11
Quad 25 - 47 - 14
Quad 31 - 28 - 16
Quad 45 - 013 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 222   UC Davis W 79-73 86%     1 - 0 +0.2 -4.0 +3.3
  Nov 09, 2024 80   @ Nevada L 53-63 35%     1 - 1 -0.3 -11.6 +10.7
  Nov 17, 2024 225   Umass Lowell W 74-69 86%     2 - 1 -1.0 -5.1 +4.0
  Nov 22, 2024 307   Alcorn St. W 77-60 93%     3 - 1 +6.0 +6.4 +1.1
  Nov 28, 2024 67   Colorado St. W 73-67 40%     4 - 1 +14.3 +3.7 +10.7
  Nov 29, 2024 60   Santa Clara W 76-69 35%     5 - 1 +16.7 +9.6 +7.4
  Dec 03, 2024 27   @ UCLA L 58-69 14%     5 - 2 0 - 1 +6.3 -0.2 +5.5
  Dec 07, 2024 59   USC L 61-85 43%     5 - 3 0 - 2 -16.4 -8.3 -8.4
  Dec 10, 2024 265   Eastern Washington W 87-69 90%     6 - 3 +10.0 +8.9 +0.9
  Dec 18, 2024 107   Washington St. W 89-73 67%     7 - 3 +17.0 +9.5 +6.4
  Dec 23, 2024 165   Seattle L 70-79 79%     7 - 4 -11.8 -5.0 -6.5
  Dec 29, 2024 346   NJIT W 90-53 96%     8 - 4 +21.8 +21.6 +4.0
  Jan 02, 2025 13   Maryland W 75-69 18%     9 - 4 1 - 2 +21.4 +8.9 +12.5
  Jan 05, 2025 18   Illinois L 77-81 23%     9 - 5 1 - 3 +9.6 +5.5 +4.3
  Jan 09, 2025 12   @ Michigan St. L 54-88 9%     9 - 6 1 - 4 -13.2 -9.4 -2.7
  Jan 12, 2025 22   @ Michigan L 75-91 12%     9 - 7 1 - 5 +2.2 +8.0 -5.2
  Jan 15, 2025 16   Purdue L 58-69 19%     9 - 8 1 - 6 +3.9 -5.4 +8.4
  Jan 21, 2025 39   @ Oregon L 71-82 20%     9 - 9 1 - 7 +3.7 +5.3 -1.7
  Jan 24, 2025 27   UCLA L 60-65 27%     9 - 10 1 - 8 +7.2 -0.5 +7.3
  Feb 01, 2025 76   @ Minnesota W 71-68 34%     10 - 10 2 - 8 +12.9 +7.9 +5.3
  Feb 05, 2025 48   Nebraska L 72-86 39%     10 - 11 2 - 9 -5.5 +9.5 -16.2
  Feb 08, 2025 58   Northwestern W 76-71 42%     11 - 11 3 - 9 +12.7 +13.1 +0.1
  Feb 12, 2025 33   @ Ohio St. L 69-93 16%     11 - 12 3 - 10 -7.8 +4.4 -12.2
  Feb 15, 2025 62   @ Penn St. W 75-73 30%     12 - 12 4 - 10 +13.1 +5.9 +7.2
  Feb 19, 2025 63   Rutgers L 85-89 OT 49%     12 - 13 4 - 11 +1.8 +8.2 -6.1
  Feb 22, 2025 61   @ Iowa L 78-84 28%    
  Feb 25, 2025 7   @ Wisconsin L 68-84 7%    
  Mar 01, 2025 57   Indiana L 73-75 43%    
  Mar 05, 2025 59   @ USC L 72-79 25%    
  Mar 09, 2025 39   Oregon L 73-77 37%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 0.5 0.1 0.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 1.1 0.8 1.9 12th
13th 0.0 4.1 0.2 4.3 13th
14th 0.9 4.2 0.0 5.1 14th
15th 7.4 1.9 9.3 15th
16th 3.3 14.5 0.2 18.0 16th
17th 5.3 23.4 6.1 34.8 17th
18th 14.7 9.9 0.2 24.8 18th
Total 20.0 36.7 29.1 11.6 2.5 0.2 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
8-12 2.5% 1.2% 1.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 2.4 1.2%
7-13 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 11.6 0.1%
6-14 29.1% 29.1
5-15 36.7% 36.7
4-16 20.0% 20.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 20.0%