Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#279
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#254
Pace72.4#77
Improvement-4.4#337

Offense
Total Offense-7.2#343
First Shot-5.1#314
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#296
Layup/Dunks+2.4#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#336
Freethrows-1.6#282
Improvement-1.5#276

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#157
First Shot+2.3#99
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#321
Layups/Dunks+2.1#94
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#210
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement-2.9#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.9% 15.2% 11.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 29.7% 36.8% 14.3%
.500 or above in Conference 91.5% 95.7% 82.4%
Conference Champion 3.6% 4.8% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.3% 11.8% 10.2%
First Round8.2% 9.2% 6.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Home) - 68.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 31 - 10
Quad 414 - 815 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 14   @ Texas Tech L 61-94 2%     0 - 1 -13.5 -1.8 -12.6
  Nov 09, 2024 53   @ Nebraska L 58-63 5%     0 - 2 +7.6 -10.3 +18.2
  Nov 12, 2024 155   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-91 18%     0 - 3 -18.9 -9.1 -8.6
  Nov 16, 2024 249   South Carolina St. W 75-62 54%     1 - 3 +5.4 -3.2 +8.2
  Nov 19, 2024 141   @ Tulane L 57-72 16%     1 - 4 -11.0 -13.2 +2.1
  Nov 26, 2024 280   North Dakota W 79-67 50%     2 - 4 +5.3 -1.8 +7.0
  Nov 27, 2024 238   Gardner-Webb L 64-79 42%     2 - 5 -19.6 -14.9 -3.8
  Dec 01, 2024 90   @ Minnesota L 62-79 8%     2 - 6 -8.1 -0.7 -8.9
  Dec 12, 2024 103   @ Virginia L 41-59 11%     2 - 7 -11.4 -17.8 +2.4
  Dec 14, 2024 43   @ West Virginia L 61-84 4%     2 - 8 -9.3 -3.4 -5.7
  Dec 18, 2024 169   @ South Florida W 77-69 20%     3 - 8 +10.4 +9.2 +1.5
  Dec 21, 2024 123   @ Davidson L 63-76 14%     3 - 9 -8.3 -9.0 +0.5
  Dec 30, 2024 26   @ Mississippi St. L 73-87 2%     3 - 10 +3.3 +7.7 -4.4
  Jan 04, 2025 348   @ Florida A&M W 62-55 62%     4 - 10 1 - 0 -2.8 -7.6 +5.5
  Jan 11, 2025 326   @ Grambling St. W 65-59 54%     5 - 10 2 - 0 -1.7 -10.1 +8.4
  Jan 13, 2025 217   @ Southern L 53-69 28%     5 - 11 2 - 1 -16.5 -18.7 +3.1
  Jan 18, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 83-58 97%     6 - 11 3 - 1 -3.6 +2.5 -4.8
  Jan 20, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73-64 90%     7 - 11 4 - 1 -11.5 -16.8 +4.8
  Jan 25, 2025 299   @ Jackson St. L 81-86 44%     7 - 12 4 - 2 -10.2 +5.1 -15.1
  Jan 27, 2025 327   @ Alcorn St. L 61-70 54%     7 - 13 4 - 3 -16.7 -10.4 -7.0
  Feb 01, 2025 311   Alabama St. W 74-69 68%    
  Feb 03, 2025 358   Alabama A&M W 77-67 83%    
  Feb 08, 2025 344   @ Prairie View W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 10, 2025 281   @ Texas Southern L 69-71 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 327   Alcorn St. W 70-64 73%    
  Feb 17, 2025 299   Jackson St. W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 22, 2025 358   @ Alabama A&M W 74-69 65%    
  Feb 24, 2025 311   @ Alabama St. L 71-72 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 217   Southern L 67-68 47%    
  Mar 03, 2025 326   Grambling St. W 70-64 73%    
  Mar 08, 2025 348   Florida A&M W 73-65 79%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.8 3.6 1st
2nd 0.3 3.7 6.6 3.6 0.5 14.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.6 10.7 5.2 0.5 21.3 3rd
4th 0.1 3.7 10.4 5.4 0.5 20.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.7 8.9 4.9 0.4 15.9 5th
6th 0.5 5.5 5.1 0.6 11.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.3 0.6 3.6 8th
9th 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 5.9 11.6 18.6 20.7 20.4 13.2 5.7 1.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 64.1% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 29.3% 1.7    0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 7.6% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.1 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 1.3% 31.3% 31.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.9
14-4 5.7% 22.9% 22.9% 15.8 0.2 1.1 4.4
13-5 13.2% 20.1% 20.1% 16.0 0.1 2.6 10.6
12-6 20.4% 16.3% 16.3% 16.0 0.1 3.3 17.1
11-7 20.7% 14.5% 14.5% 16.0 3.0 17.7
10-8 18.6% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 2.1 16.5
9-9 11.6% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.8 10.7
8-10 5.9% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.3 5.6
7-11 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0
6-12 0.5% 0.5
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 13.9% 13.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 13.2 86.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 14.9 2.4 26.8 53.7 17.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%