Preseason Rankings
East Tennessee St.
Southern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#142
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.8#282
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#181
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#123
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.7% 13.2% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.1% 1.7% 0.4%
Average Seed 12.7 12.5 13.4
.500 or above 69.6% 80.6% 55.3%
.500 or above in Conference 72.9% 79.1% 64.9%
Conference Champion 10.9% 13.3% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.2% 2.8%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
First Round10.3% 12.6% 7.3%
Second Round2.0% 2.7% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Abilene Christian (Neutral) - 56.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 49 - 214 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 173   Abilene Christian W 69-67 57%    
  Dec 08, 2020 226   UNC Asheville W 76-71 69%    
  Dec 12, 2020 131   UAB W 67-65 58%    
  Dec 15, 2020 309   N.C. A&T W 80-67 88%    
  Dec 22, 2020 32   @ Alabama L 70-84 12%    
  Dec 30, 2020 182   Western Carolina W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 02, 2021 84   @ UNC Greensboro L 64-72 23%    
  Jan 06, 2021 276   VMI W 76-65 82%    
  Jan 09, 2021 148   @ Wofford L 66-69 41%    
  Jan 13, 2021 301   Samford W 82-70 85%    
  Jan 16, 2021 83   @ Furman L 64-73 23%    
  Jan 20, 2021 182   @ Western Carolina L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 23, 2021 83   Furman L 67-70 42%    
  Jan 27, 2021 158   Chattanooga W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 30, 2021 317   The Citadel W 85-70 89%    
  Feb 03, 2021 183   @ Mercer L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 06, 2021 158   @ Chattanooga L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 10, 2021 317   @ The Citadel W 82-73 76%    
  Feb 13, 2021 148   Wofford W 69-66 61%    
  Feb 17, 2021 183   Mercer W 72-66 68%    
  Feb 20, 2021 301   @ Samford W 79-73 69%    
  Feb 24, 2021 276   @ VMI W 73-68 65%    
  Feb 27, 2021 84   UNC Greensboro L 67-69 43%    
Projected Record 13 - 10 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 3.4 2.4 1.2 0.3 10.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.8 4.0 1.8 0.2 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.5 6.2 3.6 0.8 0.0 16.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.4 5.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 15.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.1 4.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.2 3.4 1.0 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 2.2 3.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.7 1.0 0.2 5.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.3 4.7 7.2 8.9 10.8 12.5 12.2 11.1 9.8 7.2 5.3 2.6 1.2 0.3 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.2    1.1 0.1
16-2 91.0% 2.4    1.9 0.5 0.0
15-3 65.2% 3.4    2.0 1.3 0.2
14-4 33.2% 2.4    1.0 1.0 0.4 0.0
13-5 11.0% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.9% 10.9 6.5 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 83.1% 55.6% 27.6% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 62.1%
17-1 1.2% 68.9% 49.1% 19.8% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 38.8%
16-2 2.6% 54.7% 42.7% 12.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.2 20.9%
15-3 5.3% 35.6% 30.2% 5.4% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.4 7.7%
14-4 7.2% 22.7% 21.7% 1.0% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 5.6 1.3%
13-5 9.8% 16.3% 16.0% 0.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.2 0.3%
12-6 11.1% 10.0% 9.9% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 10.0 0.1%
11-7 12.2% 8.1% 8.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 11.2
10-8 12.5% 3.7% 3.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 12.0
9-9 10.8% 3.2% 3.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.5
8-10 8.9% 2.1% 2.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.7
7-11 7.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.1
6-12 4.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.7
5-13 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.3
4-14 1.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.7% 9.7% 1.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 2.3 2.9 2.1 1.2 0.4 89.3 1.1%