Preseason Rankings
George Mason
Atlantic 10
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#123
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.8#239
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#137
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#117
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 9.0% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.0% 5.7% 1.5%
Average Seed 10.5 10.4 11.2
.500 or above 59.3% 69.7% 42.7%
.500 or above in Conference 47.7% 53.7% 38.1%
Conference Champion 4.0% 5.3% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 4.2% 7.8%
First Four1.4% 1.9% 0.7%
First Round5.9% 7.9% 2.6%
Second Round2.0% 2.7% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Neutral) - 61.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 43 - 8
Quad 35 - 48 - 12
Quad 47 - 115 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 26, 2020 163   Northeastern W 70-67 61%    
  Nov 27, 2020 114   Belmont L 73-74 45%    
  Nov 28, 2020 326   Howard W 83-68 91%    
  Dec 04, 2020 39   @ Maryland L 64-75 16%    
  Dec 08, 2020 323   Morgan St. W 80-63 94%    
  Dec 12, 2020 249   James Madison W 81-73 77%    
  Dec 13, 2020 118   Old Dominion L 67-68 48%    
  Dec 16, 2020 327   Coppin St. W 83-65 94%    
  Dec 22, 2020 184   Towson W 72-65 73%    
  Dec 30, 2020 128   @ Massachusetts L 71-73 41%    
  Jan 02, 2021 47   @ Dayton L 66-76 19%    
  Jan 06, 2021 99   Virginia Commonwealth W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 09, 2021 53   Richmond L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 13, 2021 157   La Salle W 74-68 69%    
  Jan 16, 2021 93   @ Rhode Island L 70-76 31%    
  Jan 20, 2021 174   Saint Joseph's W 80-73 70%    
  Jan 23, 2021 174   @ Saint Joseph's W 77-76 52%    
  Jan 27, 2021 198   George Washington W 73-65 75%    
  Jan 30, 2021 128   Massachusetts W 74-70 61%    
  Feb 02, 2021 53   @ Richmond L 67-77 20%    
  Feb 06, 2021 85   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-72 29%    
  Feb 10, 2021 201   Fordham W 67-59 76%    
  Feb 13, 2021 90   Duquesne L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 20, 2021 99   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 24, 2021 81   Davidson L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 27, 2021 198   @ George Washington W 70-68 56%    
  Mar 01, 2021 52   @ Saint Louis L 64-74 20%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.4 1.9 2.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.3 2.0 3.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.6 3.2 0.4 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.1 4.0 0.8 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.4 3.2 4.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.3 2.3 4.5 1.8 0.2 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 3.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.6 0.6 0.0 6.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.9 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.2 5.4 7.8 10.1 11.5 12.1 12.0 10.9 8.7 6.3 4.6 2.9 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 86.9% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 71.8% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.1
14-4 46.2% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.9% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 44.3% 55.7% 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 99.4% 34.0% 65.4% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
16-2 0.7% 87.6% 26.0% 61.6% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 83.3%
15-3 1.4% 76.7% 23.0% 53.6% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 69.7%
14-4 2.9% 51.0% 12.2% 38.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 44.2%
13-5 4.6% 28.1% 10.0% 18.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 20.1%
12-6 6.3% 13.4% 7.4% 6.1% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.4 6.5%
11-7 8.7% 6.5% 3.9% 2.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.1 2.7%
10-8 10.9% 3.2% 2.5% 0.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.6 0.7%
9-9 12.0% 1.3% 1.3% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.9
8-10 12.1% 0.8% 0.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0
7-11 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 10.1
5-13 7.8% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 7.8
4-14 5.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.4
3-15 3.2% 3.2
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.7% 2.8% 3.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 93.3 4.0%