Preseason Rankings
Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#70
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.8#179
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#44
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#99
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Top 2 Seed 1.6% 4.4% 1.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.9% 11.5% 3.6%
Top 6 Seed 10.1% 22.8% 7.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.5% 49.5% 20.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.0% 47.7% 19.5%
Average Seed 7.5 7.0 7.8
.500 or above 32.3% 58.0% 27.3%
.500 or above in Conference 34.9% 52.5% 31.5%
Conference Champion 1.8% 3.2% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.2% 5.3% 12.3%
First Four3.4% 4.7% 3.2%
First Round23.9% 47.4% 19.3%
Second Round13.8% 29.1% 10.8%
Sweet Sixteen5.6% 12.9% 4.2%
Elite Eight2.4% 5.5% 1.7%
Final Four1.0% 2.6% 0.7%
Championship Game0.3% 1.0% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan St. (Away) - 16.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 24 - 47 - 15
Quad 33 - 110 - 16
Quad 42 - 012 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 10   @ Michigan St. L 70-80 16%    
  Dec 02, 2020 238   Western Michigan W 80-64 93%    
  Dec 04, 2020 20   Tennessee L 69-72 40%    
  Dec 08, 2020 17   Ohio St. L 70-73 39%    
  Dec 12, 2020 11   @ Kentucky L 69-79 18%    
  Dec 16, 2020 5   Duke L 75-81 30%    
  Dec 19, 2020 28   Purdue L 67-71 35%    
  Dec 22, 2020 35   @ Syracuse L 72-78 30%    
  Dec 29, 2020 6   Virginia L 57-63 32%    
  Jan 02, 2021 87   @ Pittsburgh L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 05, 2021 63   Georgia Tech W 75-73 56%    
  Jan 10, 2021 56   @ Virginia Tech L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 13, 2021 6   @ Virginia L 54-66 16%    
  Jan 16, 2021 101   Boston College W 78-72 71%    
  Jan 18, 2021 326   @ Howard W 87-70 92%    
  Jan 24, 2021 43   @ Miami (FL) L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 26, 2021 56   Virginia Tech W 70-68 55%    
  Jan 30, 2021 23   @ North Carolina L 73-82 24%    
  Feb 02, 2021 103   Wake Forest W 80-74 71%    
  Feb 06, 2021 63   @ Georgia Tech L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 09, 2021 5   @ Duke L 72-84 17%    
  Feb 14, 2021 43   Miami (FL) W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 16, 2021 49   Clemson W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 23, 2021 26   @ Louisville L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 27, 2021 101   @ Boston College W 75-74 51%    
  Mar 02, 2021 48   North Carolina St. W 77-76 54%    
  Mar 06, 2021 16   Florida St. L 74-77 39%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.5 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 3.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.4 3.1 0.6 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.3 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.1 2.4 0.3 9.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.2 2.8 0.5 0.0 9.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.7 2.6 0.7 0.0 0.0 9.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 1.9 3.1 2.3 0.7 0.1 8.7 14th
15th 0.2 0.9 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 6.5 15th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.3 4.2 6.4 8.4 10.0 10.4 11.1 11.0 9.5 7.8 6.1 4.7 3.2 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 88.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 84.3% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
16-4 53.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 21.0% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 55.4% 44.6% 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 31.0% 69.0% 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.5% 100.0% 22.6% 77.4% 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.9% 100.0% 18.1% 81.9% 3.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.0% 99.2% 13.5% 85.7% 4.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.1%
14-6 3.2% 99.2% 11.6% 87.6% 5.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.1%
13-7 4.7% 95.7% 6.7% 89.0% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 95.4%
12-8 6.1% 85.7% 3.1% 82.6% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 85.2%
11-9 7.8% 60.3% 1.8% 58.5% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.1 59.5%
10-10 9.5% 31.1% 0.9% 30.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.5 30.5%
9-11 11.0% 9.1% 0.4% 8.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.0 8.8%
8-12 11.1% 2.0% 0.4% 1.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.9 1.5%
7-13 10.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4 0.3%
6-14 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 10.0
5-15 8.4% 8.4
4-16 6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.4
3-17 4.2% 4.2
2-18 2.3% 2.3
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 25.5% 1.9% 23.6% 7.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.7 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 74.5 24.0%