IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Washington St.
Pac-12
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.9	#129
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.3	#54
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.0	#140

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.9	#141

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.6%	0.7%	0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.6%	6.6%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	5.1%	5.9%	1.5%
Average Seed	9.5	9.4	9.5

.500 or above	27.0%	30.6%	11.0%
.500 or above in Conference	11.6%	12.8%	6.1%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	37.7%	35.0%	49.6%

First Four	1.0%	1.1%	0.2%
First Round	5.1%	5.9%	1.6%
Second Round	2.2%	2.5%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.7%	0.8%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Home) - 81.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 5	0 - 5
Quad 1b	1 - 4	1 - 9
Quad 2	2 - 5	3 - 14
Quad 3	3 - 2	6 - 16
Quad 4	6 - 1	12 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	237	Texas Southern	W	87-77	81%
Nov 28, 2020	132	Eastern Washington	W	83-80	61%
Dec 02, 2020	115	Oregon St.	W	73-72	54%
Dec 05, 2020	50	@ Colorado	L	69-80	16%
Dec 09, 2020	322	Idaho	W	83-67	93%
Dec 13, 2020	252	Portland St.	W	87-76	83%
Dec 18, 2020	209	Montana St.	W	78-70	77%
Dec 21, 2020	302	Prairie View	W	82-69	87%
Dec 23, 2020	283	Northwestern St.	W	87-75	85%
Mar 08, 2021	38	Arizona	L	73-79	30%
Mar 08, 2021	25	Arizona St.	L	78-86	24%
Mar 08, 2021	107	@ California	L	69-74	32%
Mar 08, 2021	31	@ Stanford	L	67-80	14%
Mar 08, 2021	27	@ UCLA	L	65-79	12%
Mar 08, 2021	57	@ USC	L	70-81	19%
Mar 08, 2021	50	Colorado	L	72-77	35%
Mar 08, 2021	67	Utah	L	72-76	38%
Mar 08, 2021	68	@ Washington	L	71-80	22%
Mar 08, 2021	21	@ Oregon	L	65-80	11%
Mar 08, 2021	115	@ Oregon St.	L	70-75	35%
Mar 09, 2021	27	UCLA	L	68-76	25%
Mar 09, 2021	57	USC	L	73-78	36%
Mar 09, 2021	107	California	W	72-71	52%
Mar 09, 2021	31	Stanford	L	70-77	28%
Mar 09, 2021	38	@ Arizona	L	70-82	17%
Mar 09, 2021	25	@ Arizona St.	L	75-89	12%
Mar 09, 2021	68	Washington	L	74-77	39%
Projected Record						11 - 16	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Pac-12 Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.9	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.0						1.3	3rd
4th										0.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0							2.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.2	1.0	1.2	0.5	0.1									3.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.2	1.3	1.7	0.8	0.1	0.0									4.2	6th
7th							0.0	0.4	1.7	2.6	1.2	0.2	0.0										6.1	7th
8th						0.1	0.6	2.2	3.4	1.5	0.2												8.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	1.0	3.5	3.8	2.1	0.3	0.0												10.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	2.2	4.5	5.1	2.3	0.3	0.0													14.7	10th
11th		0.2	1.5	4.5	7.1	5.2	2.1	0.3	0.0														21.0	11th
12th	2.2	5.8	7.6	7.2	3.4	1.1	0.2	0.0															27.6	12th

Total	2.2	6.0	9.1	12.1	12.8	11.9	11.4	9.1	7.8	5.9	4.3	3.1	1.8	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	70.4%	0.0		0.0	0.0
17-3	63.6%	0.0		0.0
16-4	55.2%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-5	23.5%	0.1		0.0	0.1		0.0
14-6	8.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.8%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.0%							0.0
18-2	0.0%		100.0%	59.3%	40.7%	2.5		0.0		0.0		0.0														100.0%
17-3	0.1%		100.0%	37.9%	62.1%	2.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-4	0.2%		100.0%	22.7%	77.3%	5.4			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-5	0.3%		100.0%	11.7%	88.3%	6.4				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0								100.0%
14-6	0.7%		96.9%	11.2%	85.7%	7.7				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.0		96.5%
13-7	1.2%		87.0%	9.1%	77.9%	9.0						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.2		85.7%
12-8	1.8%		67.3%	4.5%	62.9%	10.0							0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0				0.6		65.8%
11-9	3.1%		39.5%	2.0%	37.5%	10.7							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0			1.8		38.2%
10-10	4.3%		16.1%	0.9%	15.3%	11.1									0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0				3.6		15.4%
9-11	5.9%		3.5%	1.0%	2.4%	11.6										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0				5.7		2.5%
8-12	7.8%		0.5%	0.0%	0.4%	12.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			7.8		0.4%
7-13	9.1%		0.4%	0.4%		13.0													0.0	0.0	0.0			9.1
6-14	11.4%		0.0%	0.0%		14.0														0.0		0.0		11.4
5-15	11.9%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		11.9
4-16	12.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
3-17	12.1%																							12.1
2-18	9.1%																							9.1
1-19	6.0%																							6.0
0-20	2.2%																							2.2

Total	100%		5.6%	0.6%	5.1%	9.5		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.9	1.1	1.1	0.9	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	94.4		5.1%