Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#227
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#235
Pace72.8#56
Improvement+1.2#78

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#137
First Shot+2.7#95
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#268
Layup/Dunks+0.8#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#52
Freethrows-0.6#225
Improvement+0.1#171

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#309
First Shot-4.5#324
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#175
Layups/Dunks-3.5#319
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#58
Freethrows-0.3#224
Improvement+1.2#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 21 - 6
Quad 30 - 91 - 15
Quad 411 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 2   @ Houston L 36-83 2%     0 - 1 -24.9 -21.6 -7.9
  Nov 11, 2022 314   Texas A&M - Commerce W 80-77 79%     1 - 1 -8.5 +0.2 -8.7
  Nov 14, 2022 14   @ Baylor L 62-95 4%     1 - 2 -15.6 -14.1 +2.4
  Nov 19, 2022 96   San Jose St. L 69-80 32%     1 - 3 -9.1 +4.2 -14.7
  Nov 25, 2022 222   North Dakota St. W 80-70 49%     2 - 3 +7.1 +4.2 +2.7
  Nov 26, 2022 233   Jacksonville St. W 86-82 OT 52%     3 - 3 +0.5 +7.0 -6.7
  Nov 27, 2022 57   @ New Mexico L 74-98 9%     3 - 4 -11.9 +0.6 -11.3
  Dec 03, 2022 105   @ Colorado St. W 88-83 16%     4 - 4 +12.4 +16.8 -4.4
  Dec 10, 2022 321   @ Cal St. Northridge W 70-63 62%     5 - 4 +0.9 +0.4 +1.0
  Dec 18, 2022 59   @ Colorado L 77-88 9%     5 - 5 +1.0 +11.1 -9.9
  Dec 20, 2022 152   Air Force L 65-67 45%     5 - 6 -3.9 -7.1 +3.2
  Dec 29, 2022 198   @ Weber St. L 72-81 33%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -7.5 +2.1 -9.5
  Dec 31, 2022 257   @ Idaho St. L 83-90 OT 47%     5 - 8 0 - 2 -9.3 -2.7 -5.6
  Jan 05, 2023 117   Montana St. L 56-77 38%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -20.9 -15.7 -5.0
  Jan 07, 2023 168   Montana L 74-79 50%     5 - 10 0 - 4 -8.1 -5.4 -2.5
  Jan 12, 2023 231   @ Sacramento St. L 64-72 40%     5 - 11 0 - 5 -8.5 -4.5 -4.6
  Jan 14, 2023 245   @ Portland St. W 69-67 44%     6 - 11 1 - 5 +0.4 -3.0 +3.5
  Jan 19, 2023 138   Eastern Washington L 75-83 43%     6 - 12 1 - 6 -9.2 -2.9 -6.1
  Jan 21, 2023 305   Idaho W 73-67 77%     7 - 12 2 - 6 -4.7 -4.0 -0.4
  Jan 28, 2023 224   @ Northern Arizona L 73-83 38%     7 - 13 2 - 7 -10.0 -4.2 -5.7
  Feb 02, 2023 168   @ Montana L 67-69 29%     7 - 14 2 - 8 +0.8 +1.5 -0.9
  Feb 04, 2023 117   @ Montana St. L 62-75 19%     7 - 15 2 - 9 -7.0 +1.8 -10.5
  Feb 06, 2023 198   Weber St. W 88-54 55%     8 - 15 3 - 9 +29.6 +17.4 +12.9
  Feb 09, 2023 245   Portland St. W 88-79 67%     9 - 15 4 - 9 +1.5 +4.7 -3.8
  Feb 11, 2023 231   Sacramento St. W 70-54 63%     10 - 15 5 - 9 +9.6 -2.5 +13.0
  Feb 16, 2023 305   @ Idaho L 82-84 56%     10 - 16 5 - 10 -6.7 +6.6 -13.3
  Feb 18, 2023 138   @ Eastern Washington L 77-89 23%     10 - 17 5 - 11 -7.3 +2.2 -9.2
  Feb 25, 2023 224   Northern Arizona L 82-85 61%     10 - 18 5 - 12 -9.0 +5.0 -14.0
  Feb 27, 2023 257   Idaho St. W 87-72 69%     11 - 18 6 - 12 +6.8 +8.7 -2.2
  Mar 04, 2023 245   Portland St. W 84-80 56%     12 - 18 -0.5 +1.2 -2.1
  Mar 05, 2023 117   Montana St. L 73-84 28%     12 - 19 -8.0 +3.4 -11.4
Projected Record 12 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%