IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
New Orleans
Southland
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.5	#286
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	78.2	#12
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.8	#258

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.7	#310

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.3%	29.7%	12.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	14.9	15.5

.500 or above	46.9%	84.7%	45.1%
.500 or above in Conference	70.1%	91.7%	69.0%
Conference Champion	15.7%	37.3%	14.7%
Last Place in Conference	5.1%	0.5%	5.3%

First Four	5.5%	5.8%	5.5%
First Round	10.0%	26.4%	9.2%
Second Round	0.3%	1.3%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Butler (Away) - 4.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 4	12 - 7	13 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	80	@ Butler	L	63-81	5%
Nov 17, 2022	47	@ LSU	L	68-89	3%
Nov 23, 2022	265	The Citadel	W	83-82	53%
Nov 24, 2022	333	IUPUI	W	75-68	72%
Nov 25, 2022	346	Denver	W	81-72	76%
Dec 03, 2022	158	Louisiana	L	69-74	34%
Dec 10, 2022	154	@ Portland	L	75-86	18%
Dec 13, 2022	77	@ Boise St.	L	63-81	6%
Dec 21, 2022	24	@ Purdue	L	66-90	2%
Dec 30, 2022	298	@ Houston Christian	L	66-68	42%
Jan 05, 2023	301	Lamar	W	77-73	62%
Jan 07, 2023	298	Houston Christian	W	69-65	61%
Jan 12, 2023	348	@ Incarnate Word	W	77-74	59%
Jan 14, 2023	344	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	79-77	58%
Jan 19, 2023	343	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	80-72	75%
Jan 21, 2023	338	Northwestern St.	W	86-79	72%
Jan 26, 2023	316	@ SE Louisiana	L	82-83	46%
Jan 28, 2023	316	SE Louisiana	W	85-80	65%
Feb 02, 2023	344	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	82-74	74%
Feb 04, 2023	348	Incarnate Word	W	80-71	76%
Feb 09, 2023	220	@ Nicholls St.	L	76-84	26%
Feb 11, 2023	331	McNeese St.	W	84-78	70%
Feb 16, 2023	343	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	W	77-75	57%
Feb 18, 2023	338	@ Northwestern St.	W	83-82	54%
Feb 23, 2023	220	Nicholls St.	L	79-81	43%
Feb 25, 2023	301	@ Lamar	L	74-76	43%
Mar 01, 2023	331	@ McNeese St.	W	82-81	52%
Projected Record						13 - 14	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.5	1.8	3.3	4.0	3.5	2.0	0.6		15.7	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	1.3	3.6	5.3	3.8	1.6	0.3				16.1	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	2.0	4.8	4.8	2.3	0.5	0.0					14.6	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.1	4.9	3.9	1.2	0.1							12.5	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.2	4.4	3.2	0.7	0.0								10.8	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.0	3.9	2.4	0.5	0.0									9.0	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	1.7	3.3	1.8	0.3	0.0										7.4	7th
8th				0.0	0.5	1.7	2.4	1.4	0.2	0.0											6.2	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.6	0.7	0.1	0.0												4.6	9th
10th	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0													3.1	10th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.6	2.6	3.9	5.2	7.0	8.4	9.4	10.6	10.6	10.2	9.5	7.6	5.7	3.8	2.0	0.6			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
17-1	100.0%	2.0		1.9	0.1
16-2	91.0%	3.5		3.0	0.5	0.0
15-3	70.6%	4.0		2.8	1.2	0.1
14-4	43.8%	3.3		1.7	1.3	0.3	0.0
13-5	18.7%	1.8		0.5	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	4.9%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	15.7%	15.7		10.5	4.2	0.9	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.6%		74.0%	74.0%		13.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2
17-1	2.0%		64.1%	64.1%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.7
16-2	3.8%		47.8%	47.8%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.6	2.0
15-3	5.7%		37.0%	37.0%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.1	3.6
14-4	7.6%		28.0%	28.0%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.5	5.5
13-5	9.5%		19.6%	19.6%		15.8															0.0	0.3	1.5	7.7
12-6	10.2%		13.2%	13.2%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.2	8.8
11-7	10.6%		9.5%	9.5%		16.0																0.0	1.0	9.6
10-8	10.6%		5.8%	5.8%		16.0																0.0	0.6	10.0
9-9	9.4%		3.5%	3.5%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.1
8-10	8.4%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.2	8.2
7-11	7.0%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	6.9
6-12	5.2%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
5-13	3.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.9
4-14	2.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.6
3-15	1.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
2-16	0.9%																							0.9
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		13.3%	13.3%	0.0%	15.5												0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	3.1	8.4	86.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%