Preseason Rankings
Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.5#349
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.0#190
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#348
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#343
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 5.1% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 15.0% 43.5% 14.7%
.500 or above in Conference 26.1% 50.3% 25.9%
Conference Champion 2.1% 8.6% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.3% 10.0% 27.4%
First Four1.2% 1.8% 1.2%
First Round1.4% 3.8% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 49 - 1310 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 55   @ Oklahoma L 57-82 1%    
  Nov 14, 2024 346   New Orleans L 74-75 48%    
  Nov 15, 2024 295   @ Robert Morris L 66-75 22%    
  Nov 17, 2024 356   Stonehill W 70-68 56%    
  Nov 21, 2024 242   @ Valparaiso L 65-77 15%    
  Nov 27, 2024 58   @ Missouri L 58-83 2%    
  Dec 07, 2024 40   @ Mississippi L 59-85 1%    
  Dec 14, 2024 360   IU Indianapolis W 72-66 70%    
  Dec 19, 2024 336   Tennessee Tech W 68-67 55%    
  Dec 21, 2024 294   Western Illinois L 64-67 41%    
  Jan 02, 2025 326   @ Eastern Illinois L 65-71 31%    
  Jan 04, 2025 316   @ SIU Edwardsville L 65-72 28%    
  Jan 09, 2025 309   Tennessee St. L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 323   Tennessee Martin L 76-77 50%    
  Jan 16, 2025 328   @ Southern Indiana L 68-74 32%    
  Jan 18, 2025 224   @ Morehead St. L 60-72 15%    
  Jan 23, 2025 327   Southeast Missouri St. W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 25, 2025 267   Arkansas Little Rock L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 30, 2025 316   SIU Edwardsville L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 01, 2025 326   Eastern Illinois W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 06, 2025 323   @ Tennessee Martin L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 08, 2025 309   @ Tennessee St. L 66-74 26%    
  Feb 13, 2025 224   Morehead St. L 63-69 30%    
  Feb 15, 2025 328   Southern Indiana W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 20, 2025 267   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 68-78 20%    
  Feb 22, 2025 327   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 68-74 32%    
  Feb 25, 2025 294   @ Western Illinois L 61-70 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 336   @ Tennessee Tech L 65-70 35%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.2 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.4 3.0 0.6 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.4 0.8 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.3 3.8 1.1 0.1 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.0 4.0 1.1 0.1 13.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.7 5.1 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 15.5 10th
11th 0.8 2.4 4.3 5.2 4.4 2.2 0.6 0.0 19.9 11th
Total 0.8 2.4 4.6 6.9 8.7 10.0 10.8 10.7 10.0 9.0 7.8 5.9 4.5 3.2 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 94.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 83.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-4 68.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 41.3% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 18.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 5.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 37.0% 37.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 40.1% 40.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 36.5% 36.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.6% 25.5% 25.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
15-5 1.3% 23.5% 23.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0
14-6 2.1% 14.1% 14.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.8
13-7 3.2% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.9
12-8 4.5% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 4.3
11-9 5.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.8
10-10 7.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 7.7
9-11 9.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.9
8-12 10.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.0
7-13 10.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-14 10.8% 10.8
5-15 10.0% 10.0
4-16 8.7% 8.7
3-17 6.9% 6.9
2-18 4.6% 4.6
1-19 2.4% 2.4
0-20 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%