Preseason Rankings
Radford
Big South
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#269
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace61.1#348
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#259
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#260
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 12.7% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 27.0% 57.7% 25.5%
.500 or above in Conference 45.0% 66.6% 43.9%
Conference Champion 6.0% 13.0% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 14.1% 5.4% 14.6%
First Four1.5% 1.4% 1.5%
First Round5.2% 12.3% 4.9%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 4.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 410 - 612 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 52   @ Pittsburgh L 57-75 5%    
  Nov 08, 2024 247   William & Mary W 67-65 57%    
  Nov 12, 2024 227   Old Dominion W 69-68 54%    
  Nov 16, 2024 228   @ Evansville L 65-70 33%    
  Nov 21, 2024 43   @ Clemson L 57-76 5%    
  Nov 25, 2024 332   Chicago St. W 66-61 67%    
  Dec 01, 2024 354   @ St. Francis (PA) W 67-62 68%    
  Dec 05, 2024 256   @ NC Central L 65-68 39%    
  Dec 08, 2024 268   Bucknell W 65-62 61%    
  Dec 14, 2024 77   @ Utah L 61-77 9%    
  Dec 17, 2024 84   @ Colorado St. L 57-72 10%    
  Dec 22, 2024 64   @ South Carolina L 54-71 8%    
  Jan 02, 2025 125   @ High Point L 66-76 19%    
  Jan 04, 2025 189   Winthrop L 67-68 46%    
  Jan 11, 2025 330   @ South Carolina Upstate W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 15, 2025 246   Gardner-Webb W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 18, 2025 280   @ Charleston Southern L 65-68 42%    
  Jan 22, 2025 195   Longwood L 65-66 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 303   @ Presbyterian L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 29, 2025 186   @ UNC Asheville L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 01, 2025 330   South Carolina Upstate W 70-62 74%    
  Feb 05, 2025 125   High Point L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 08, 2025 195   @ Longwood L 62-69 29%    
  Feb 12, 2025 189   @ Winthrop L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 19, 2025 186   UNC Asheville L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 303   Presbyterian W 69-64 67%    
  Feb 26, 2025 246   @ Gardner-Webb L 66-70 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 280   Charleston Southern W 68-65 61%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 6.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.2 1.9 0.6 0.1 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.4 4.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.4 5.0 1.8 0.2 12.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.2 5.4 1.6 0.1 13.7 5th
6th 0.2 1.6 5.5 5.3 1.4 0.1 14.0 6th
7th 0.3 2.2 5.6 4.7 1.1 0.1 14.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.8 3.2 0.7 0.0 12.3 8th
9th 0.4 1.4 2.6 2.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 8.7 9th
Total 0.4 1.4 3.3 5.9 8.5 10.7 12.2 12.7 12.0 10.5 8.6 6.1 3.8 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 93.7% 1.1    1.0 0.2
13-3 74.1% 1.6    1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0
12-4 44.0% 1.7    0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
11-5 15.0% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.3 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 57.5% 57.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 47.4% 47.3% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2%
14-2 1.2% 37.7% 37.7% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7
13-3 2.2% 27.0% 27.0% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6
12-4 3.8% 22.2% 22.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 3.0
11-5 6.1% 14.4% 14.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 5.3
10-6 8.6% 10.3% 10.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 7.7
9-7 10.5% 7.1% 7.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 9.8
8-8 12.0% 4.4% 4.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 11.5
7-9 12.7% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 12.3
6-10 12.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.0
5-11 10.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.6
4-12 8.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.5
3-13 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.9
2-14 3.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
1-15 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.4 94.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%