Preseason Rankings
Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#140
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.4#336
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#192
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#119
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 10.7% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.6 12.2 13.1
.500 or above 56.1% 70.4% 45.2%
.500 or above in Conference 59.6% 68.8% 52.6%
Conference Champion 8.1% 11.6% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 3.8% 8.2%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round7.8% 10.5% 5.7%
Second Round1.5% 2.3% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Neutral) - 43.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 32 - 6
Quad 35 - 67 - 12
Quad 48 - 215 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 117   College of Charleston L 70-72 43%    
  Nov 14, 2024 87   @ Oklahoma St. L 61-70 21%    
  Nov 18, 2024 234   North Dakota St. W 70-62 76%    
  Nov 22, 2024 25   @ Florida L 66-80 11%    
  Dec 03, 2024 92   Bradley L 64-66 42%    
  Dec 07, 2024 328   Southern Indiana W 75-61 89%    
  Dec 14, 2024 281   @ Austin Peay W 67-63 64%    
  Dec 21, 2024 125   High Point W 72-70 57%    
  Dec 29, 2024 112   @ Northern Iowa L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 01, 2025 228   Evansville W 70-63 74%    
  Jan 05, 2025 193   @ Illinois St. L 62-63 48%    
  Jan 08, 2025 144   @ Belmont L 69-72 40%    
  Jan 11, 2025 207   Missouri St. W 69-62 71%    
  Jan 15, 2025 207   @ Missouri St. W 66-65 52%    
  Jan 18, 2025 112   Northern Iowa W 66-65 52%    
  Jan 22, 2025 136   Murray St. W 66-63 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 203   @ Illinois-Chicago W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 28, 2025 242   @ Valparaiso W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 01, 2025 106   @ Drake L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 05, 2025 228   @ Evansville W 67-66 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 203   Illinois-Chicago W 70-64 70%    
  Feb 12, 2025 92   @ Bradley L 61-69 26%    
  Feb 15, 2025 144   Belmont W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 19, 2025 136   @ Murray St. L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 22, 2025 242   Valparaiso W 71-63 74%    
  Feb 25, 2025 193   Illinois St. W 66-60 68%    
  Mar 02, 2025 132   @ Indiana St. L 69-73 38%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.0 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 8.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.9 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.1 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.3 2.5 0.6 0.1 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.4 2.5 0.5 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.2 2.6 0.4 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.0 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.7 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.8 3.9 5.7 7.1 8.6 9.7 10.4 10.3 9.9 8.8 7.1 5.6 3.6 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 94.1% 1.2    1.0 0.1
17-3 82.1% 1.8    1.4 0.4 0.0
16-4 56.9% 2.0    1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
15-5 29.2% 1.6    0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 10.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 4.9 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 81.4% 58.6% 22.8% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.1%
19-1 0.5% 67.0% 53.5% 13.5% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 29.1%
18-2 1.2% 49.5% 41.2% 8.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 14.0%
17-3 2.2% 33.5% 31.5% 2.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 2.9%
16-4 3.6% 27.6% 27.1% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.7%
15-5 5.6% 20.6% 20.5% 0.1% 12.5 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.4 0.2%
14-6 7.1% 15.5% 15.5% 12.9 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 6.0
13-7 8.8% 12.3% 12.3% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.7
12-8 9.9% 7.9% 7.9% 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 9.1
11-9 10.3% 4.7% 4.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.8
10-10 10.4% 2.7% 2.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.2
9-11 9.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.5
8-12 8.6% 0.8% 0.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
7-13 7.1% 0.6% 0.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
6-14 5.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.7
5-15 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
4-16 2.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-17 1.5% 1.5
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.9% 7.7% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.4 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 92.1 0.3%