IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
TCU
Big 12
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.5	#53
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.6	#54
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.0	#53

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.5	#49

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.9%	0.9%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	2.6%	2.6%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	8.1%	8.2%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	15.7%	15.8%	1.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid	38.6%	38.9%	8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	37.5%	37.7%	7.9%
Average Seed	7.1	7.1	8.7

.500 or above	61.4%	61.7%	20.4%
.500 or above in Conference	40.9%	41.1%	11.9%
Conference Champion	1.8%	1.9%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	8.7%	8.6%	24.1%

First Four	4.7%	4.8%	1.7%
First Round	36.2%	36.5%	7.6%
Second Round	22.1%	22.2%	2.8%
Sweet Sixteen	9.4%	9.5%	0.4%
Elite Eight	4.0%	4.1%	0.0%
Final Four	1.6%	1.6%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.7%	0.7%	0.0%
National Champion	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%

Next Game: Florida A&M (Home) - 99.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 7	2 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 3	4 - 10
Quad 2	4 - 3	8 - 13
Quad 3	4 - 1	12 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 0	17 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	353	Florida A&M	W	86-60	99%
Nov 08, 2024	206	Florida Gulf Coast	W	77-62	91%
Nov 12, 2024	185	Texas St.	W	78-65	89%
Nov 15, 2024	30	@ Michigan	L	73-78	32%
Nov 19, 2024	324	Alcorn St.	W	85-63	98%
Nov 28, 2024	98	Santa Clara	W	79-75	63%
Dec 05, 2024	28	Xavier	W	80-79	53%
Dec 08, 2024	89	Vanderbilt	W	75-72	59%
Dec 16, 2024	223	South Alabama	W	83-67	91%
Dec 22, 2024	149	Montana St.	W	81-69	84%
Dec 30, 2024	11	@ Arizona	L	75-85	20%
Jan 04, 2025	39	Kansas St.	W	73-72	55%
Jan 06, 2025	3	@ Houston	L	62-74	15%
Jan 11, 2025	32	BYU	W	78-77	53%
Jan 15, 2025	77	Utah	W	79-74	66%
Jan 19, 2025	9	@ Baylor	L	69-79	21%
Jan 22, 2025	2	Kansas	L	74-80	30%
Jan 25, 2025	71	@ Central Florida	L	74-75	45%
Jan 29, 2025	21	@ Texas Tech	L	70-76	30%
Feb 02, 2025	79	Colorado	W	77-72	66%
Feb 05, 2025	65	West Virginia	W	78-74	63%
Feb 08, 2025	8	@ Iowa St.	L	67-77	21%
Feb 12, 2025	87	Oklahoma St.	W	76-70	67%
Feb 15, 2025	73	@ Arizona St.	L	74-75	46%
Feb 18, 2025	21	Texas Tech	L	73-74	50%
Feb 22, 2025	27	@ Cincinnati	L	71-76	33%
Feb 25, 2025	65	@ West Virginia	L	75-77	43%
Mar 01, 2025	71	Central Florida	W	77-72	65%
Mar 04, 2025	9	Baylor	L	72-76	38%
Mar 08, 2025	79	@ Colorado	L	74-75	47%
Projected Record						16 - 14	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.8	1st
2nd													0.0	0.2	0.8	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0			3.1	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	1.0	1.6	1.0	0.2	0.0					4.0	3rd
4th											0.0	0.2	1.2	2.0	1.2	0.2	0.0						4.9	4th
5th										0.0	0.1	1.2	2.6	1.7	0.3	0.0	0.0						6.0	5th
6th										0.0	0.8	3.0	2.3	0.5	0.0								6.6	6th
7th									0.0	0.6	2.8	3.0	0.8	0.0									7.2	7th
8th									0.3	2.4	3.7	1.4	0.1										7.9	8th
9th							0.0	0.2	1.6	4.0	2.0	0.2	0.0										8.0	9th
10th							0.1	1.1	3.7	2.9	0.5	0.0											8.1	10th
11th						0.0	0.7	3.2	3.4	0.9	0.0												8.1	11th
12th					0.0	0.4	2.2	3.7	1.4	0.1	0.0												7.7	12th
13th				0.0	0.3	1.9	3.5	2.0	0.2	0.0													7.9	13th
14th			0.0	0.3	1.5	3.0	2.0	0.4	0.0														7.2	14th
15th		0.1	0.4	1.5	2.4	1.6	0.4	0.0															6.3	15th
16th	0.1	0.7	1.3	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.0														5.1	16th

Total	0.1	0.7	1.7	3.4	5.3	7.1	8.9	10.4	10.5	10.9	9.9	9.1	7.1	5.5	3.9	2.7	1.6	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	97.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	85.0%	0.2		0.2	0.1	0.0
17-3	70.2%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
16-4	37.3%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
15-5	11.8%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	2.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.0%	0.0						0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0								0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.8%	1.8		0.8	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	20.6%	79.4%	1.3		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	36.2%	63.8%	1.4		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.3%		100.0%	26.5%	73.5%	1.6		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.7%		100.0%	20.6%	79.4%	1.9		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	1.6%		100.0%	15.7%	84.3%	2.7		0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-5	2.7%		99.9%	9.8%	90.1%	3.7		0.1	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0								0.0		99.9%
14-6	3.9%		99.9%	7.0%	92.9%	4.8		0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.8%
13-7	5.5%		98.1%	3.9%	94.2%	6.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.1	1.1	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.1		98.0%
12-8	7.1%		92.3%	2.9%	89.4%	7.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.2	1.2	0.9	0.5	0.3	0.0					0.5		92.0%
11-9	9.1%		79.0%	1.4%	77.5%	8.5				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.1	1.4	1.5	1.2	0.9	0.1					1.9		78.7%
10-10	9.9%		59.6%	1.0%	58.6%	9.3				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.1	1.5	1.4	0.2	0.0				4.0		59.2%
9-11	10.9%		29.8%	0.4%	29.4%	10.2				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.3	0.4	0.0				7.6		29.5%
8-12	10.5%		9.0%	0.2%	8.8%	10.8							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0				9.6		8.8%
7-13	10.4%		1.1%	0.0%	1.0%	11.0									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.0			10.3		1.0%
6-14	8.9%		0.2%	0.0%	0.1%	12.0												0.0	0.0			0.0		8.9		0.1%
5-15	7.1%																							7.1
4-16	5.3%																							5.3
3-17	3.4%																							3.4
2-18	1.7%																							1.7
1-19	0.7%																							0.7
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		38.6%	1.8%	36.9%	7.1		0.9	1.7	2.5	3.0	3.6	3.9	4.3	4.4	4.4	4.3	4.5	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		61.4		37.5%