Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
2 Arizona 100.0%   1   23 - 1 10 - 1 +24.7      +11.7 9 +13.0 2 76.5 23 +30.8 1 +25.5 2
5 Houston 100.0%   1   22 - 2 10 - 1 +22.6      +12.0 6 +10.7 8 59.9 360 +24.7 5 +26.5 1
8 Iowa St. 100.0%   3   21 - 3 8 - 3 +20.7      +9.4 25 +11.4 6 69.8 145 +21.4 8 +16.9 5
12 Kansas 100.0%   3   19 - 5 9 - 2 +19.0      +8.3 37 +10.7 7 68.3 195 +20.5 12 +22.3 3
16 Texas Tech 99.9%   5   18 - 6 8 - 3 +18.3      +10.2 17 +8.1 19 68.7 183 +18.9 17 +19.4 4
21 BYU 99.3%   6   18 - 6 6 - 5 +17.6      +12.2 4 +5.3 50 74.2 48 +17.6 23 +14.2 8
42 Baylor 14.2%   12 - 11 3 - 9 +12.5      +9.1 28 +3.4 81 69.6 152 +10.3 57 +8.1 12
45 Cincinnati 7.1%   13 - 12 5 - 7 +11.7      +1.1 135 +10.6 10 69.9 142 +7.6 75 +10.8 10
50 TCU 52.1%   11   15 - 9 5 - 6 +10.9      +3.3 90 +7.6 25 69.1 169 +12.2 49 +12.7 9
52 Central Florida 67.2%   11   17 - 6 6 - 5 +10.5      +7.9 43 +2.6 100 72.5 78 +16.5 28 +15.7 6
56 West Virginia 24.7%   15 - 9 6 - 5 +10.1      +2.4 109 +7.6 23 60.4 357 +10.7 56 +15.6 7
59 Oklahoma St. 13.6%   16 - 8 4 - 7 +9.2      +5.8 59 +3.4 83 78.6 12 +12.3 48 +9.9 11
69 Arizona St. 1.8%   13 - 12 4 - 8 +8.1      +5.4 63 +2.7 96 71.6 99 +9.3 63 +6.9 14
77 Colorado 0.6%   14 - 11 4 - 8 +7.5      +6.1 56 +1.4 129 69.7 148 +8.0 70 +8.0 13
101 Kansas St. 0.0%   10 - 14 1 - 10 +5.1      +3.6 88 +1.5 125 76.9 20 +4.4 99 -1.6 16
110 Utah 0.0%   9 - 15 1 - 10 +3.9      +3.7 87 +0.2 161 69.5 158 +2.0 132 -0.7 15


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sun, Feb 8 16 Texas Tech 70 56 West Virginia 63   
Sun, Feb 8 45 Cincinnati 92 52 Central Florida 72   
Mon, Feb 9 2 Arizona 78 12 Kansas 82   
Tue, Feb 10 8 Iowa St. 55 50 TCU 62   
Tue, Feb 10 21 BYU 99 42 Baylor 94   
Tue, Feb 10 69 Arizona St. 85 59 Oklahoma St. 76   
Tue, Feb 10 5 Houston 66 110 Utah 52   
Wed, Feb 11 77 Colorado 44 16 Texas Tech 78   
Wed, Feb 11 45 Cincinnati 91 101 Kansas St. 62   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 14 8 Iowa St. 75 12 Kansas 70 68%   
Sat, Feb 14 2 Arizona 83 16 Texas Tech 74 81%   
Sat, Feb 14 52 Central Florida 73 56 West Virginia 69 63%   
Sat, Feb 14 42 Baylor 79 11 Louisville 86 75%   
Sat, Feb 14 59 Oklahoma St. 79 50 TCU 78 55%   
Sat, Feb 14 21 BYU 90 77 Colorado 77 89%   
Sat, Feb 14 5 Houston 85 101 Kansas St. 64 96%   
Sun, Feb 15 45 Cincinnati 78 110 Utah 67 84%   
Mon, Feb 16 5 Houston 69 8 Iowa St. 70 54%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Arizona 1.5 62.8 28.3 6.6 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0
Houston 1.6 54.4 36.3 7.4 1.6 0.3 0.0
Iowa St. 3.8 3.0 10.9 28.9 28.1 20.1 7.1 1.5 0.3 0.0
Kansas 3.0 8.3 21.1 39.7 21.8 7.4 1.6 0.2 0.0
Texas Tech 4.1 1.2 6.2 22.6 32.3 27.4 7.7 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
BYU 6.3 0.0 0.1 2.1 8.7 17.3 30.1 24.1 10.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
Baylor 11.7 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.5 14.1 23.2 23.0 17.3 13.3 1.5 0.2
Cincinnati 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.7 7.5 16.0 24.6 27.3 12.8 5.9 2.4 0.5
TCU 8.3 0.1 0.7 2.9 10.2 18.3 23.3 20.7 13.4 6.1 2.8 1.1 0.5
Central Florida 7.1 0.0 0.8 3.3 11.0 24.5 23.5 18.2 11.9 4.6 1.4 0.6 0.1
West Virginia 7.2 0.0 0.5 3.4 9.3 22.7 22.3 20.7 14.0 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
Oklahoma St. 10.9 0.2 0.9 3.3 7.1 12.6 18.3 19.8 15.8 12.6 9.2 0.4 0.0
Arizona St. 12.1 0.1 0.2 1.5 4.6 10.5 16.6 21.0 23.6 20.5 1.4 0.1
Colorado 11.8 0.1 0.2 1.3 4.5 13.6 22.0 22.8 21.3 13.2 1.0 0.0
Kansas St. 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.1 5.7 52.9 38.1
Utah 15.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.7 6.7 53.6 35.2

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Arizona 15 - 3 28 - 3 0.1 1.1 5.1 15.3 30.2 32.8 15.4
Houston 15 - 3 27 - 4 0.1 0.7 5.1 20.5 34.4 29.3 10.0
Iowa St. 13 - 5 26 - 5 0.0 0.6 4.3 15.3 27.6 31.5 17.1 3.6
Kansas 13 - 5 23 - 8 0.1 0.7 5.4 18.0 31.5 29.7 12.8 1.9
Texas Tech 12 - 6 22 - 9 0.1 0.7 4.6 18.9 33.8 28.9 11.2 1.9
BYU 10 - 8 22 - 9 0.1 1.1 6.6 19.0 30.3 28.2 12.7 2.0
Baylor 6 - 12 15 - 15 0.8 6.1 22.6 35.8 27.0 7.3 0.6
Cincinnati 8 - 10 16 - 15 1.7 11.8 30.5 33.1 18.1 4.6 0.4
TCU 9 - 9 19 - 12 0.9 5.4 15.9 25.8 27.9 17.4 5.8 0.9
Central Florida 10 - 8 21 - 9 0.8 5.0 14.7 25.3 27.3 18.9 7.0 1.0
West Virginia 9 - 9 18 - 13 0.9 5.8 17.4 26.7 25.8 16.4 6.1 0.8
Oklahoma St. 7 - 11 19 - 12 4.2 15.8 27.3 27.2 17.5 6.3 1.6 0.2
Arizona St. 6 - 12 15 - 16 8.0 32.3 34.8 18.1 6.0 0.8 0.0
Colorado 6 - 12 16 - 15 5.9 24.8 37.6 25.4 5.7 0.5 0.0
Kansas St. 3 - 15 12 - 19 16.4 32.5 31.1 15.4 4.1 0.6 0.0
Utah 3 - 15 11 - 20 16.0 31.0 30.6 16.4 4.7 1.1 0.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Arizona 62.8% 40.4 18.9 3.1 0.3 0.0
Houston 54.4% 31.6 19.3 3.1 0.3 0.0
Iowa St. 3.0% 0.3 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
Kansas 8.3% 2.0 3.8 2.2 0.3 0.0
Texas Tech 1.2% 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0
BYU 0.0% 0.0
Baylor
Cincinnati
TCU
Central Florida
West Virginia
Oklahoma St.
Arizona St.
Colorado
Kansas St.
Utah


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Arizona 100.0% 39.5% 60.5% 1   79.8 19.6 0.7 0.0 100.0%
Houston 100.0% 26.3% 73.7% 1   41.2 44.3 12.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 100.0%
Iowa St. 100.0% 12.9% 87.1% 3   9.5 25.3 29.8 20.0 9.9 4.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 100.0%
Kansas 100.0% 9.6% 90.5% 3   5.2 18.6 32.0 25.9 12.7 4.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Texas Tech 99.9% 6.9% 93.0% 5   1.0 4.6 15.4 23.3 24.9 18.5 9.1 2.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.8%
BYU 99.3% 3.7% 95.7% 6   0.3 1.4 6.5 14.4 21.9 25.2 16.9 7.5 3.5 1.3 0.5 0.7 99.3%
Baylor 14.2% 0.4% 13.8% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 2.6 9.1 0.3 85.8 13.9%
Cincinnati 7.1% 0.3% 6.9% 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 4.9 0.2 92.9 6.9%
TCU 52.1% 0.1% 52.0% 11   0.0 0.1 0.2 1.3 5.0 11.2 16.7 17.3 0.3 47.9 52.0%
Central Florida 67.2% 0.2% 67.0% 11   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 7.8 16.5 22.0 17.6 0.1 32.9 67.1%
West Virginia 24.7% 0.2% 24.5% 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.1 7.2 13.1 0.2 75.3 24.5%
Oklahoma St. 13.6% 0.0% 13.6% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.1 8.8 0.3 86.4 13.6%
Arizona St. 1.8% 0.0% 1.8% 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 0.0 98.2 1.8%
Colorado 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 99.4 0.6%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 7.8 0.0 4.6 31.4 45.1 16.8 2.0 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 7.4 0.1 10.5 44.7 36.6 7.6 0.5 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 6.0 0.1 3.0 20.4 49.2 23.5 3.7 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 99.9% 3.7 0.1 1.6 9.9 29.0 36.1 19.4 3.8 0.2
Elite Eight 95.7% 2.1 4.3 23.5 40.3 25.5 5.9 0.5 0.0
Final Four 78.9% 1.1 21.1 48.9 25.9 3.9 0.1
Final Game 52.6% 0.6 47.4 45.9 6.8
Champion 30.3% 0.3 69.7 30.3

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Arizona 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.7% 84.4% 61.7% 41.6% 25.8% 15.6%
Houston 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.0% 76.8% 49.9% 29.0% 15.6% 7.8%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.2% 65.6% 34.8% 17.4% 8.1% 3.4%
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 94.2% 57.3% 26.0% 11.2% 4.5% 1.7%
Texas Tech 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 86.3% 45.4% 18.6% 8.1% 3.1% 1.1%
BYU 99.3% 0.4% 99.2% 78.4% 35.7% 13.6% 5.2% 2.2% 0.8%
Baylor 14.2% 9.5% 10.0% 4.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cincinnati 7.1% 4.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TCU 52.1% 16.5% 42.8% 15.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Florida 67.2% 16.3% 58.0% 20.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
West Virginia 24.7% 12.7% 17.9% 5.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma St. 13.6% 8.7% 8.7% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arizona St. 1.8% 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colorado 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%