Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
4 Arizona 100.0%   1   28 - 2 15 - 2 +25.6      +12.0 9 +13.6 3 74.4 37 +29.1 3 +25.7 1
6 Houston 100.0%   2   25 - 5 13 - 4 +22.3      +11.1 14 +11.1 7 60.9 351 +21.6 6 +21.4 2
10 Iowa St. 100.0%   3   24 - 6 11 - 6 +20.1      +9.1 24 +10.9 9 67.8 199 +20.0 12 +17.2 5
12 Texas Tech 100.0%   3   22 - 8 12 - 5 +19.0      +11.4 11 +7.6 24 66.7 228 +19.2 15 +19.3 3
20 Kansas 100.0%   4   21 - 9 11 - 6 +17.5      +6.5 53 +10.9 8 68.0 191 +18.7 19 +18.6 4
23 BYU 98.6%   7   20 - 10 8 - 9 +15.9      +11.3 12 +4.6 56 74.0 43 +15.8 29 +12.7 9
37 Cincinnati 42.0%   11   17 - 13 9 - 8 +13.9      +3.0 100 +10.9 10 69.4 152 +10.8 56 +14.2 7
45 TCU 90.0%   9   20 - 10 10 - 7 +12.3      +4.0 86 +8.4 19 68.7 173 +14.7 36 +15.3 6
47 Baylor 1.6%   14 - 15 5 - 12 +11.6      +8.9 27 +2.7 98 69.1 162 +10.4 57 +9.6 13
51 Central Florida 78.6%   10   20 - 9 9 - 8 +11.1      +8.9 28 +2.2 115 72.7 68 +14.7 34 +13.7 8
55 West Virginia 12.0%   17 - 13 8 - 9 +10.3      +1.9 118 +8.4 18 59.6 362 +10.0 60 +12.4 10
57 Arizona St. 3.5%   16 - 14 7 - 10 +9.8      +5.3 66 +4.5 61 71.5 100 +10.9 54 +10.3 11
63 Oklahoma St. 2.6%   18 - 12 6 - 11 +9.0      +6.7 51 +2.3 109 78.6 10 +11.6 50 +9.4 14
65 Colorado 1.0%   17 - 13 7 - 10 +8.9      +6.3 56 +2.6 102 70.8 114 +9.6 64 +10.3 12
96 Kansas St. 0.0%   12 - 18 3 - 14 +5.6      +2.1 113 +3.5 83 78.9 8 +5.7 92 +3.6 15
102 Utah 0.0%   10 - 20 2 - 15 +4.3      +3.9 87 +0.4 155 67.0 221 +2.6 123 +1.2 16


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Mar 2 4 Arizona 73 10 Iowa St. 57   
Tue, Mar 3 45 TCU 73 12 Texas Tech 65   
Tue, Mar 3 63 Oklahoma St. 111 51 Central Florida 104   
Tue, Mar 3 57 Arizona St. 70 20 Kansas 60   
Tue, Mar 3 96 Kansas St. 65 55 West Virginia 63   
Tue, Mar 3 23 BYU 68 37 Cincinnati 90   
Tue, Mar 3 65 Colorado 92 102 Utah 78   
Wed, Mar 4 47 Baylor 64 6 Houston 77   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Mar 6 51 Central Florida 70 55 West Virginia 72 59%   
Sat, Mar 7 23 BYU 80 12 Texas Tech 81 51%   
Sat, Mar 7 37 Cincinnati 68 45 TCU 70 56%   
Sat, Mar 7 57 Arizona St. 68 10 Iowa St. 82 89%   
Sat, Mar 7 6 Houston 82 63 Oklahoma St. 71 83%   
Sat, Mar 7 47 Baylor 84 102 Utah 73 83%   
Sat, Mar 7 4 Arizona 87 65 Colorado 73 89%   
Sat, Mar 7 20 Kansas 84 96 Kansas St. 69 91%   





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Arizona 1.0 100.0
Houston 2.0 100.0
Texas Tech 2.9 8.1 91.9
Kansas 3.6 44.0 48.6 7.5
Iowa St. 3.7 43.3 47.2 9.5
TCU 5.9 0.5 9.7 89.7
Cincinnati 6.8 45.1 31.8 23.2
Central Florida 7.1 18.7 54.9 26.4
West Virginia 8.3 31.8 26.4 21.5 20.4
BYU 8.8 15.1 24.2 30.4 30.4
Arizona St. 11.0 2.2 5.4 83.5 8.9
Colorado 11.0 1.9 5.1 83.6 9.4
Oklahoma St. 12.7 12.6 3.2 84.2
Baylor 13.3 70.4 29.6
Kansas St. 15.0 100.0
Utah 15.9 14.8 85.2

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Arizona 16 - 2 29 - 2 9.9 90.1
Houston 14 - 4 26 - 5 16.0 84.0
Texas Tech 13 - 5 23 - 8 48.2 51.8
Kansas 12 - 6 22 - 9 8.4 91.6
Iowa St. 12 - 6 25 - 6 10.4 89.6
TCU 11 - 7 21 - 10 45.1 54.9
Cincinnati 9 - 9 17 - 14 54.9 45.1
Central Florida 9 - 9 20 - 10 58.1 41.9
West Virginia 9 - 9 18 - 13 41.9 58.1
BYU 8 - 10 20 - 11 51.8 48.2
Arizona St. 7 - 11 16 - 15 89.6 10.4
Colorado 7 - 11 17 - 14 90.1 9.9
Oklahoma St. 6 - 12 18 - 13 84.0 16.0
Baylor 6 - 12 15 - 15 16.1 83.9
Kansas St. 3 - 15 12 - 19 91.6 8.4
Utah 2 - 16 10 - 21 83.9 16.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Arizona 100.0% 100.0
Houston
Texas Tech
Kansas
Iowa St.
TCU
Cincinnati
Central Florida
West Virginia
BYU
Arizona St.
Colorado
Oklahoma St.
Baylor
Kansas St.
Utah


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Arizona 100.0% 47.2% 52.8% 1   93.2 6.7 0.0 100.0%
Houston 100.0% 25.4% 74.6% 2   14.3 54.3 24.1 6.8 0.5 0.0 100.0%
Iowa St. 100.0% 8.6% 91.4% 3   1.0 14.4 31.1 31.9 17.8 3.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Texas Tech 100.0% 9.4% 90.6% 3   1.0 14.1 33.3 31.2 17.0 3.4 0.2 100.0%
Kansas 100.0% 6.0% 94.0% 4   0.1 3.3 20.2 33.9 32.9 9.1 0.5 0.0 100.0%
BYU 98.6% 1.9% 96.7% 7   0.0 0.3 1.1 8.4 26.7 29.2 18.5 10.0 4.0 0.4 1.5 98.5%
Cincinnati 42.0% 0.5% 41.4% 11   0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.3 10.1 22.9 1.7 58.1 41.6%
TCU 90.0% 0.5% 89.5% 9   0.0 0.0 0.5 3.7 13.6 25.6 27.1 16.4 3.2 10.0 89.9%
Baylor 1.6% 0.1% 1.5% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.3 98.4 1.5%
Central Florida 78.6% 0.2% 78.4% 10   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.5 12.2 23.4 28.1 10.8 0.1 21.4 78.6%
West Virginia 12.0% 0.1% 11.9% 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.0 8.8 0.8 0.0 88.0 11.9%
Arizona St. 3.5% 0.1% 3.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 2.7 0.5 0.0 96.5 3.4%
Oklahoma St. 2.6% 0.1% 2.5% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 0.4 0.0 97.5 2.5%
Colorado 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 99.0 1.0%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 8.3 0.0 0.4 12.3 48.8 34.2 4.1 0.2
1st Round 100.0% 8.0 0.0 1.2 21.0 55.0 21.7 1.2 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 6.2 0.2 2.8 17.8 42.1 29.5 7.0 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 99.9% 3.6 0.1 2.1 11.4 30.6 36.4 16.8 2.5 0.1
Elite Eight 94.6% 1.9 5.4 28.1 41.5 21.2 3.6 0.2 0.0
Final Four 75.0% 1.0 25.0 53.9 19.3 1.8 0.1
Final Game 44.7% 0.5 55.3 41.2 3.5
Champion 23.0% 0.2 77.0 23.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Arizona 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.9% 87.1% 66.4% 46.5% 27.4% 15.1%
Houston 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.1% 75.5% 47.5% 22.7% 10.8% 4.6%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.4% 62.6% 27.5% 11.9% 4.6% 1.8%
Texas Tech 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 94.3% 58.4% 24.0% 9.1% 3.3% 1.0%
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 90.1% 46.9% 14.5% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4%
BYU 98.6% 0.5% 98.4% 62.5% 19.5% 7.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Cincinnati 42.0% 25.6% 31.0% 13.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
TCU 90.0% 3.3% 88.3% 37.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Baylor 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Florida 78.6% 11.5% 72.4% 26.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
West Virginia 12.0% 9.6% 6.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arizona St. 3.5% 3.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma St. 2.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colorado 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%