IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Texas A&M
Southeastern
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.2	#78
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.9	#328
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.7	#131

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.5	#43

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.7%	0.8%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	2.7%	2.8%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	5.9%	6.1%	0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	23.8%	24.4%	5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	21.7%	22.2%	5.1%
Average Seed	8.4	8.4	9.4

.500 or above	57.2%	58.3%	25.3%
.500 or above in Conference	38.9%	39.7%	16.9%
Conference Champion	2.9%	3.0%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	12.2%	11.9%	22.5%

First Four	3.1%	3.2%	1.3%
First Round	22.1%	22.7%	5.2%
Second Round	11.2%	11.5%	2.3%
Sweet Sixteen	3.9%	4.1%	0.4%
Elite Eight	1.5%	1.6%	0.3%
Final Four	0.6%	0.7%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 96.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	1 - 3	2 - 7
Quad 2	4 - 4	6 - 11
Quad 3	3 - 1	9 - 13
Quad 4	5 - 0	14 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 29, 2020	312	New Orleans	W	79-60	97%
Dec 02, 2020	340	Tarleton St.	W	80-55	99%
Dec 06, 2020	231	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	76-61	91%
Dec 12, 2020	69	TCU	L	62-63	47%
Dec 15, 2020	319	SE Louisiana	W	81-60	96%
Dec 21, 2020	148	Wofford	W	69-60	80%
Dec 29, 2020	30	@ LSU	L	68-76	25%
Jan 02, 2021	60	Auburn	W	69-68	53%
Jan 06, 2021	59	@ South Carolina	L	68-73	34%
Jan 09, 2021	20	Tennessee	L	62-66	37%
Jan 13, 2021	72	@ Mississippi St.	L	64-68	38%
Jan 16, 2021	66	Missouri	W	65-63	56%
Jan 20, 2021	120	@ Vanderbilt	W	69-68	53%
Jan 23, 2021	61	@ Mississippi	L	64-69	33%
Jan 26, 2021	30	LSU	L	71-73	44%
Jan 30, 2021	89	@ Kansas St.	L	62-64	43%
Feb 03, 2021	120	Vanderbilt	W	72-65	72%
Feb 06, 2021	46	@ Arkansas	L	67-73	31%
Feb 10, 2021	94	Georgia	W	71-67	64%
Feb 13, 2021	22	@ Florida	L	59-68	21%
Feb 17, 2021	32	Alabama	L	73-75	44%
Feb 20, 2021	46	Arkansas	W	70-69	51%
Feb 23, 2021	11	@ Kentucky	L	61-72	18%
Feb 27, 2021	66	@ Missouri	L	62-66	36%
Mar 03, 2021	72	Mississippi St.	W	67-65	57%
Projected Record						13 - 12	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.9	1st
2nd												0.1	0.9	1.5	1.0	0.3	0.1				4.0	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.1	2.0	1.3	0.3	0.0					4.8	3rd
4th										0.0	1.1	2.8	1.7	0.3	0.0						5.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	2.8	2.2	0.3	0.0							6.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.8	3.3	0.8	0.0								7.3	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	1.9	3.8	1.3	0.1									7.3	7th
8th							0.1	1.2	4.6	2.4	0.2	0.0									8.4	8th
9th						0.0	0.8	4.1	3.8	0.7	0.0										9.4	9th
10th					0.1	0.6	3.2	4.2	1.1	0.0											9.2	10th
11th				0.0	0.4	2.5	4.3	1.8	0.1												9.2	11th
12th			0.0	0.5	2.4	4.2	2.0	0.3	0.0												9.4	12th
13th		0.1	0.7	2.4	3.7	1.8	0.3	0.0													8.9	13th
14th	0.4	1.2	2.3	2.3	1.0	0.2	0.0														7.5	14th

Total	0.4	1.3	3.1	5.2	7.6	9.3	10.8	11.7	11.9	10.4	8.8	7.0	5.1	3.5	2.1	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	84.4%	0.5		0.4	0.1
15-3	68.1%	0.8		0.5	0.3	0.0
14-4	38.1%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0
13-5	13.1%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.1			0.0	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.9%	2.9		1.5	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	42.9%	57.1%	1.5		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
17-1	0.2%		100.0%	18.8%	81.2%	1.8		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
16-2	0.6%		100.0%	25.7%	74.3%	2.9		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-3	1.2%		100.0%	24.8%	75.2%	3.9		0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
14-4	2.1%		100.0%	15.3%	84.7%	5.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0								100.0%
13-5	3.5%		97.0%	11.0%	86.0%	7.1			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.1		96.6%
12-6	5.1%		89.3%	8.4%	80.8%	8.3				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.9	0.8	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0				0.6		88.3%
11-7	7.0%		67.9%	5.3%	62.6%	9.5				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.8	0.9	1.0	0.9	0.6	0.0				2.3		66.1%
10-8	8.8%		46.7%	3.6%	43.1%	10.2						0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.8	1.1	0.8	0.1				4.7		44.7%
9-9	10.4%		20.4%	1.8%	18.6%	11.0							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.7	0.2	0.0			8.3		18.9%
8-10	11.9%		4.6%	0.9%	3.7%	11.6									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			11.3		3.7%
7-11	11.7%		1.2%	0.5%	0.6%	12.4											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.5		0.6%
6-12	10.8%		0.1%	0.1%		13.7													0.0		0.0	0.0		10.8
5-13	9.3%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		9.3
4-14	7.6%																							7.6
3-15	5.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
2-16	3.1%																							3.1
1-17	1.3%																							1.3
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		23.8%	2.7%	21.1%	8.4		0.3	0.5	0.9	1.1	1.5	1.8	2.1	2.9	3.2	3.2	3.2	2.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	76.2		21.7%