IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Houston Christian
Southland
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.0	#298
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.8	#102
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-15.0	#362

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+7.0	#25

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.5%	20.8%	8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.2	15.7

.500 or above	48.5%	75.7%	40.8%
.500 or above in Conference	66.2%	83.1%	61.4%
Conference Champion	13.8%	25.5%	10.5%
Last Place in Conference	6.3%	2.0%	7.5%

First Four	5.0%	6.1%	4.7%
First Round	8.5%	17.3%	6.0%
Second Round	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Florida International (Away) - 22.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	13 - 9	13 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	224	@ Florida International	L	57-65	22%
Nov 10, 2022	9	@ Texas	L	43-71	1%
Nov 18, 2022	262	Western Michigan	W	60-59	51%
Nov 19, 2022	251	Georgia Southern	L	58-59	46%
Nov 21, 2022	206	@ Rice	L	59-68	21%
Nov 26, 2022	70	@ Missouri	L	51-70	5%
Dec 01, 2022	346	Denver	W	65-57	75%
Dec 10, 2022	303	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	65-62	61%
Dec 18, 2022	303	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	62-65	42%
Dec 21, 2022	17	@ Texas Tech	L	45-71	2%
Dec 30, 2022	286	New Orleans	W	68-66	58%
Jan 05, 2023	316	@ SE Louisiana	L	65-67	44%
Jan 07, 2023	286	@ New Orleans	L	65-69	39%
Jan 12, 2023	343	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	64-56	73%
Jan 14, 2023	331	@ McNeese St.	L	65-66	50%
Jan 19, 2023	348	Incarnate Word	W	64-56	75%
Jan 21, 2023	344	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	66-58	73%
Jan 26, 2023	338	@ Northwestern St.	W	67-66	52%
Jan 28, 2023	343	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	W	61-59	56%
Feb 02, 2023	338	Northwestern St.	W	70-63	70%
Feb 04, 2023	220	Nicholls St.	L	62-65	42%
Feb 09, 2023	344	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	63-61	56%
Feb 11, 2023	348	@ Incarnate Word	W	61-59	57%
Feb 16, 2023	301	@ Lamar	L	58-61	41%
Feb 18, 2023	301	Lamar	W	61-58	60%
Feb 23, 2023	331	McNeese St.	W	68-62	68%
Feb 25, 2023	220	@ Nicholls St.	L	59-68	25%
Mar 01, 2023	316	SE Louisiana	W	68-64	63%
Projected Record						13 - 15	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.5	1.5	3.1	3.7	2.9	1.6	0.5		13.8	1st
2nd											0.2	1.1	3.5	4.7	3.5	1.5	0.3				14.8	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.9	4.7	4.7	1.9	0.4	0.0					13.9	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.1	4.9	3.9	1.2	0.1	0.0						12.5	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.4	4.8	3.0	0.7	0.0								11.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.2	4.2	2.4	0.4	0.0									9.7	6th
7th					0.0	0.4	2.1	3.4	2.0	0.3	0.0										8.1	7th
8th				0.1	0.6	2.0	2.7	1.3	0.2	0.0											6.9	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	0.8	1.8	1.7	0.8	0.1	0.0												5.4	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.1	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0													3.9	10th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.0	3.3	4.4	6.1	7.3	9.1	9.8	10.3	10.4	9.9	8.3	7.0	5.2	3.2	1.6	0.5			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
17-1	100.0%	1.6		1.5	0.1
16-2	91.6%	2.9		2.5	0.4	0.0
15-3	70.6%	3.7		2.6	1.0	0.1
14-4	43.9%	3.1		1.5	1.3	0.2	0.0
13-5	18.0%	1.5		0.4	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0
12-6	4.7%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	13.8%	13.8		9.1	3.7	0.8	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.5%		76.4%	76.4%		13.9								0.0				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1
17-1	1.6%		57.0%	57.0%		14.5												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.7
16-2	3.2%		47.7%	47.7%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.5	1.7
15-3	5.2%		35.4%	35.4%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	0.9	3.4
14-4	7.0%		25.7%	25.7%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	5.2
13-5	8.3%		18.5%	18.5%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.3	6.7
12-6	9.9%		12.8%	12.8%		15.9																0.1	1.2	8.6
11-7	10.4%		9.3%	9.3%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.9	9.4
10-8	10.3%		5.3%	5.3%		16.0																0.0	0.5	9.8
9-9	9.8%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.3	9.5
8-10	9.1%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.2	8.9
7-11	7.3%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	7.2
6-12	6.1%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	6.0
5-13	4.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	4.4
4-14	3.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
3-15	2.0%																							2.0
2-16	1.1%																							1.1
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		11.5%	11.5%	0.0%	15.5								0.0				0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	2.6	7.4	88.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%