IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.2	#169
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.9	#109
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.9	#120

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.7	#227

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	19.9%	30.4%	18.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.8%	0.1%
Average Seed	13.7	12.9	13.9

.500 or above	54.8%	78.6%	51.1%
.500 or above in Conference	81.2%	90.8%	79.6%
Conference Champion	25.7%	38.4%	23.6%
Last Place in Conference	1.7%	0.4%	1.9%

First Four	2.3%	1.6%	2.4%
First Round	19.0%	29.9%	17.2%
Second Round	2.5%	5.3%	2.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.6%	1.2%	0.4%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Utah (Away) - 13.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 3	3 - 4	4 - 11
Quad 4	11 - 3	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	62	@ Utah	L	66-77	14%
Nov 10, 2023	60	@ Mississippi	L	66-78	13%
Nov 12, 2023	58	@ Cincinnati	L	69-81	14%
Nov 17, 2023	49	@ Stanford	L	67-80	13%
Nov 27, 2023	86	@ Washington St.	L	65-74	22%
Nov 29, 2023	18	@ USC	L	67-83	7%
Dec 09, 2023	166	@ Air Force	L	67-70	39%
Dec 18, 2023	334	@ Cal Poly	W	71-63	75%
Dec 21, 2023	74	@ Washington	L	71-81	19%
Dec 28, 2023	211	Portland St.	W	83-78	68%
Dec 30, 2023	252	Sacramento St.	W	73-65	76%
Jan 03, 2024	304	@ South Dakota	W	76-71	66%
Jan 06, 2024	201	North Dakota St.	W	78-73	66%
Jan 13, 2024	354	@ Idaho	W	78-68	81%
Jan 18, 2024	160	@ Weber St.	L	69-72	39%
Jan 20, 2024	290	@ Idaho St.	W	73-69	63%
Jan 25, 2024	251	Northern Colorado	W	82-74	75%
Jan 27, 2024	231	Northern Arizona	W	79-72	71%
Feb 01, 2024	225	@ Montana St.	W	72-71	52%
Feb 03, 2024	181	@ Montana	L	70-72	43%
Feb 05, 2024	211	@ Portland St.	L	80-81	48%
Feb 10, 2024	354	Idaho	W	81-65	91%
Feb 15, 2024	290	Idaho St.	W	76-66	80%
Feb 17, 2024	160	Weber St.	W	72-69	59%
Feb 22, 2024	231	@ Northern Arizona	W	76-75	52%
Feb 24, 2024	251	@ Northern Colorado	W	79-77	56%
Feb 29, 2024	181	Montana	W	73-69	62%
Mar 02, 2024	225	Montana St.	W	75-69	70%
Mar 04, 2024	252	@ Sacramento St.	W	70-68	56%
Projected Record						15 - 14	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.7	3.0	5.8	6.9	5.3	2.9	0.8		25.7	1st
2nd											0.1	1.4	4.7	6.4	3.8	1.5	0.2				18.1	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.7	5.0	5.3	2.3	0.3	0.0					14.7	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	1.4	4.4	4.0	1.3	0.1							11.4	4th
5th								0.1	1.3	3.7	3.3	0.8	0.0								9.3	5th
6th							0.1	1.2	3.1	2.6	0.6	0.0									7.6	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	1.0	2.2	2.0	0.4	0.0										5.8	7th
8th				0.0	0.1	1.0	1.6	1.2	0.3	0.0											4.2	8th
9th			0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0												2.5	9th
10th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0														0.9	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	2.2	3.2	4.9	6.8	8.2	10.2	11.3	12.1	11.8	10.0	8.4	5.5	2.9	0.8			Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.8		0.8
17-1	100.0%	2.9		2.9	0.0
16-2	96.2%	5.3		4.8	0.5
15-3	82.5%	6.9		5.2	1.6	0.0
14-4	58.3%	5.8		3.2	2.2	0.4	0.0
13-5	25.7%	3.0		1.0	1.4	0.6	0.1
12-6	6.0%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0							0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	25.7%	25.7		18.0	6.1	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.8%		81.5%	77.6%	3.8%	10.9			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.2		17.2%
17-1	2.9%		63.9%	61.6%	2.3%	11.9					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0		1.1		5.9%
16-2	5.5%		50.5%	49.9%	0.7%	12.7									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.9	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0	2.7		1.3%
15-3	8.4%		42.4%	42.4%	0.0%	13.2												0.1	0.8	1.3	1.0	0.3	0.0	4.8		0.0%
14-4	10.0%		30.7%	30.7%		13.7												0.0	0.4	0.8	1.0	0.7	0.1	6.9
13-5	11.8%		23.7%	23.7%		14.3												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	0.9	0.3	9.0
12-6	12.1%		17.0%	17.0%		14.8												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	0.5	10.0
11-7	11.3%		12.3%	12.3%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	9.9
10-8	10.2%		8.0%	8.0%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	9.3
9-9	8.2%		6.4%	6.4%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	7.7
8-10	6.8%		3.0%	3.0%		16.0																0.0	0.2	6.6
7-11	4.9%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.1	4.8
6-12	3.2%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.2
5-13	2.2%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
4-14	0.9%																							0.9
3-15	0.5%																							0.5
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		19.9%	19.8%	0.1%	13.7			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	1.0	3.0	4.4	4.3	3.5	3.2	80.1		0.2%