Preseason Rankings
Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.5#325
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#193
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#332
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#290
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 3.7% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 15.5% 33.4% 12.0%
.500 or above in Conference 22.7% 36.4% 20.1%
Conference Champion 1.6% 3.5% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 31.2% 19.0% 33.6%
First Four0.6% 1.0% 0.5%
First Round1.3% 3.2% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Away) - 16.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 48 - 109 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 208   @ Bryant L 71-81 16%    
  Nov 10, 2023 1   @ Kansas L 56-88 0.2%   
  Nov 19, 2023 335   @ Central Connecticut St. L 65-67 43%    
  Nov 24, 2023 6   @ Connecticut L 55-84 1%    
  Nov 27, 2023 162   @ Fordham L 63-76 12%    
  Dec 01, 2023 250   Mount St. Mary's L 65-67 44%    
  Dec 03, 2023 272   @ Marist L 63-69 29%    
  Dec 08, 2023 314   Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-73 57%    
  Dec 21, 2023 311   @ Monmouth L 67-71 36%    
  Dec 30, 2023 298   Wagner W 62-61 53%    
  Jan 05, 2024 258   Niagara L 63-64 45%    
  Jan 07, 2024 232   @ Quinnipiac L 68-77 22%    
  Jan 12, 2024 230   @ Rider L 63-72 22%    
  Jan 14, 2024 279   St. Peter's L 61-62 50%    
  Jan 21, 2024 257   Fairfield L 65-66 45%    
  Jan 26, 2024 269   @ Canisius L 66-73 29%    
  Jan 28, 2024 258   @ Niagara L 60-67 27%    
  Feb 02, 2024 232   Quinnipiac L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 04, 2024 257   @ Fairfield L 62-69 27%    
  Feb 08, 2024 250   @ Mount St. Mary's L 62-70 26%    
  Feb 10, 2024 266   Siena L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 16, 2024 148   @ Iona L 64-78 12%    
  Feb 18, 2024 230   Rider L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 23, 2024 272   Marist L 65-66 48%    
  Mar 01, 2024 266   @ Siena L 64-71 29%    
  Mar 03, 2024 279   @ St. Peter's L 59-65 31%    
  Mar 07, 2024 148   Iona L 67-75 26%    
  Mar 09, 2024 269   Canisius L 69-70 48%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.1 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 2.7 2.0 0.5 0.1 6.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.2 2.6 0.6 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.7 3.0 0.7 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.0 3.7 0.9 0.1 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.9 4.1 1.2 0.1 13.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.7 4.2 5.4 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 17.0 10th
11th 1.0 2.8 4.9 5.7 5.0 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 22.8 11th
Total 1.0 2.9 5.4 7.5 9.7 10.7 11.3 10.7 9.8 8.3 7.0 5.4 3.9 2.8 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 83.8% 0.2    0.2 0.1
16-4 64.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 42.6% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 19.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 74.7% 74.7% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 46.6% 46.6% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.3% 37.5% 37.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.5% 21.2% 21.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-5 1.1% 18.4% 18.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
14-6 1.8% 13.2% 13.2% 15.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.5
13-7 2.8% 8.2% 8.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.6
12-8 3.9% 4.5% 4.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.7
11-9 5.4% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.2
10-10 7.0% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.8
9-11 8.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.2
8-12 9.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.8
7-13 10.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-14 11.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.3
5-15 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.7
4-16 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.7
3-17 7.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.5
2-18 5.4% 5.4
1-19 2.9% 2.9
0-20 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.9 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%